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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Upward Stability

By division
Last Updated Tue Apr 03 01:17:34 PDT 2001

Home Advantage = 4.1316

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Miami Ohio (17-16)3.9194
2. Iowa (23-12)3.8901
3. Memphis (18-15)3.8813
4. Louisville (12-19)3.8638
5. Detroit (23-12)3.8355
6. Temple (24-13)3.7650
7. Indiana (21-13)3.7620
8. Hawaii (17-14)3.7350
9. St Louis (17-14)3.7339
10. Geo Washington (14-18)3.7307

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Georgia (16-15)3.6952
12. Indiana St (21-12)3.6938
13. Massachusetts (15-15)3.6767
14. Evansville (13-16)3.6482
15. Tennessee (22-11)3.6346
16. Penn St (21-12)3.5870
17. Nebraska (13-16)3.5785
18. New Mexico (19-13)3.5648
19. Uab (17-14)3.5487
20. Alabama (23-11)3.5467

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. South Carolina (15-15)3.5267
22. Cleveland St (19-13)3.5220
23. Geo Southern (13-15)3.5129
24. Old Dominion (12-17)3.4893
25. NC Charlotte (22-11)3.4777
26. Nicholls St (13-14)3.4722
27. Pittsburgh (18-13)3.4620
28. Duquesne (9-21)3.4616
29. SW Missouri St (13-16)3.4563
30. Southern Ill (15-14)3.4497

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Northeastern (10-19)3.4376
32. Marquette (15-14)3.4271
33. Canisius (20-11)3.4240
34. Fairfield (12-16)3.4200
35. Syracuse (25-9)3.4170
36. Northwestern St (18-13)3.4091
37. South Florida (18-13)3.4074
38. James Madison (12-17)3.4039
39. Wichita St (9-19)3.4039
40. Central Florida (7-22)3.3987

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. William & Mary (11-17)3.3982
42. La Salle (12-17)3.3948
43. Purdue (16-15)3.3912
44. Cincinnati (25-10)3.3892
45. Bradley (18-12)3.3892
46. Akron (12-16)3.3883
47. Tulsa (24-11)3.3883
48. St Bonaventure (18-12)3.3811
49. Montana St (15-14)3.3775
50. Tex San Antonio (13-15)3.3771

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. VA Commonwealth (15-14)3.3715
52. Minnesota (16-13)3.3671
53. Rice (13-16)3.3639
54. West Virginia (16-12)3.3459
55. Missouri (19-13)3.3445
56. Iona (21-11)3.3434
57. Auburn (18-13)3.3394
58. Northern Iowa (6-24)3.3304
59. Kent (23-10)3.3255
60. Lehigh (12-16)3.3225

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Seton Hall (16-14)3.3191
62. Norfolk St (12-17)3.3178
63. Mississippi (26-8)3.3168
64. Manhattan (14-15)3.3140
65. Fordham (12-17)3.3089
66. Campbell (7-21)3.3050
67. SW Texas St (11-15)3.3004
68. Texas Arlington (11-15)3.2981
69. Davidson (12-17)3.2949
70. Siena (19-11)3.2825

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Vanderbilt (14-15)3.2814
72. Dayton (20-12)3.2787
73. Colorado (14-15)3.2777
74. St Johns (14-15)3.2764
75. Appalachian St (9-19)3.2746
76. Sam Houston (14-13)3.2699
77. Boise St (15-14)3.2675
78. Liu Brooklyn (12-16)3.2653
79. Villanova (18-13)3.2633
80. Central Conn (14-14)3.2626

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Connecticut (19-12)3.2614
82. Wisconsin (18-11)3.2527
83. Wyoming (19-10)3.2523
84. SE Louisiana (7-21)3.2334
85. NO Carolina A&T (12-16)3.2207
86. Delaware St (13-15)3.2201
87. Marist (17-13)3.2178
88. Drake (12-16)3.2167
89. Lafayette (10-16)3.2144
90. Notre Dame (20-10)3.2130

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Sacred Heart (7-21)3.2129
92. Ball St (16-12)3.2028
93. VMI (7-19)3.1969
94. Kansas St (11-18)3.1963
95. Lamar (8-18)3.1920
96. Toledo (22-10)3.1917
97. Kentucky (24-10)3.1902
98. Westrn Carolina (5-24)3.1898
99. Houston (9-20)3.1875
100. Pennsylvania (12-17)3.1770

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Vermont (12-17)3.1770
102. George Mason (18-12)3.1756
103. Unlv (14-13)3.1707
104. Fair Dickinson (13-15)3.1702
105. Ohio (18-11)3.1639
106. Ohio St (20-11)3.1594
107. Nevada (9-18)3.1591
108. Towson (12-17)3.1591
109. Portland St (8-18)3.1522
110. SMU (16-12)3.1506

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Wisc Green Bay (11-17)3.1492
112. Northrn Arizona (11-13)3.1427
113. Arkansas (20-11)3.1420
114. MD Eastrn Shore (12-16)3.1411
115. San Diego St (13-14)3.1386
116. Santa Clara (19-12)3.1339
117. Providence (20-10)3.1304
118. Arkansas St (15-13)3.1245
119. Chattanooga (15-13)3.1224
120. Bethune Cookman (9-17)3.1211

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Colgate (10-15)3.1178
122. Denver (8-18)3.1122
123. Tennessee St (8-19)3.1109
124. Niagara (15-13)3.1093
125. Wagner (16-13)3.1092
126. Murray St (15-12)3.1090
127. BYU (24-9)3.1076
128. Cornell (6-20)3.1034
129. Bowling Green (13-14)3.0954
130. Rider (16-12)3.0947

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Jacksonville St (9-18)3.0927
132. Bucknell (12-15)3.0921
133. DePaul (10-18)3.0907
134. Southern (11-16)3.0898
135. New Hampshire (7-21)3.0853
136. Liberty (10-15)3.0808
137. USC (23-10)3.0695
138. South Alabama (20-11)3.0678
139. St Francis PA (9-18)3.0647
140. NC Greensboro (18-12)3.0547

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Idaho St (12-14)3.0477
142. Boston U (12-14)3.0449
143. Arizona St (13-16)3.0448
144. Morgan St (6-22)3.0434
145. Stetson (16-12)3.0431
146. Coast Carolina (8-20)3.0353
147. SO Mississippi (21-9)3.0323
148. Mt St Marys (7-21)3.0307
149. Loyola MD (6-23)3.0292
150. Navy (17-12)3.0255

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Samford (13-14)3.0217
152. TCU (19-11)3.0201
153. Yale (10-17)3.0195
154. Brown (15-12)3.0177
155. The Citadel (12-12)3.0129
156. Fla Atlantic (7-22)3.0129
157. Northwestern (11-19)3.0124
158. SE Missouri St (14-12)3.0093
159. Furman (9-16)3.0076
160. St Francis NY (18-11)3.0067

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Georgia Tech (17-13)3.0020
162. LSU (13-16)3.0015
163. Washington (9-20)2.9961
164. San Diego (15-14)2.9958
165. Ul Monroe (9-17)2.9956
166. Iupui (9-18)2.9932
167. Maryland (25-11)2.9906
168. Colorado St (13-13)2.9898
169. Texas (25-9)2.9878
170. Illinois Chi (11-17)2.9877

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Harvard (14-12)2.9856
172. Stephen Austin (7-17)2.9774
173. Florida Intl (7-21)2.9702
174. Coppin St (12-15)2.9656
175. San Francisco (10-18)2.9644
176. Rutgers (11-16)2.9604
177. Oklahoma St (19-10)2.9548
178. Wake Forest (19-11)2.9502
179. Robert Morris (7-22)2.9457
180. Charleston Sou (7-19)2.9449

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Mercer (12-15)2.9423
182. Miami Fla (16-13)2.9359
183. New Orleans (15-12)2.9309
184. Illinois St (21-9)2.9284
185. Air Force (8-21)2.9253
186. Howard (10-17)2.9182
187. Oregon (14-14)2.9094
188. Army (7-18)2.9091
189. Texas El Paso (22-8)2.9077
190. Mississippi St (17-12)2.9038

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Oral Roberts (7-19)2.9026
192. Eastern Wash (15-11)2.9007
193. New Mexico St (13-14)2.9004
194. Georgetown (25-8)2.8979
195. NC Wilmington (19-11)2.8953
196. Mo Kansas City (13-15)2.8871
197. Baylor (17-12)2.8866
198. San Jose St (9-14)2.8848
199. Columbia (10-15)2.8817
200. Drexel (15-12)2.8801

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Texas Tech (9-19)2.8708
202. Utah (16-11)2.8694
203. UCLA (23-9)2.8690
204. NO Carolina St (13-16)2.8616
205. Creighton (24-8)2.8561
206. Wisc Milwaukee (13-13)2.8533
207. Belmont (10-15)2.8524
208. Austin Peay (18-9)2.8456
209. Pacific (15-12)2.8430
210. Quinnipiac (5-21)2.8417

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Dartmouth (7-19)2.8403
212. Morehead St (10-15)2.8391
213. Texas A&M (9-19)2.8391
214. California (20-11)2.8378
215. Eastern Ill (19-10)2.8345
216. SO Carolina St (18-13)2.8320
217. Oakland (11-15)2.8300
218. Long Beach St (14-13)2.8229
219. East Carolina (13-12)2.8221
220. Albany NY (5-21)2.8206

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. American (7-20)2.8092
222. Oregon St (9-19)2.8068
223. Ul Lafayette (15-13)2.7985
224. Western Mich (7-21)2.7977
225. Troy St (18-12)2.7976
226. Louisiana Tech (16-12)2.7814
227. Wright St (17-11)2.7808
228. East Tenn St (15-10)2.7779
229. Umbc (18-11)2.7638
230. Illinois (27-8)2.7628

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. TX Pan American (8-17)2.7536
232. Kansas (24-7)2.7470
233. Loyola Chi (7-21)2.7427
234. Xavier (21-8)2.7378
235. Montana (9-16)2.7364
236. Wofford (8-16)2.7299
237. Elon (8-18)2.7241
238. Maine (17-11)2.7122
239. Rhode Island (7-22)2.7074
240. Cal Poly (6-18)2.7046

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Arizona (27-8)2.7040
242. Fresno St (26-7)2.6926
243. Florida St (8-21)2.6899
244. Youngstown St (17-11)2.6804
245. Western Ill (5-22)2.6551
246. Weber St (10-12)2.6487
247. Florida A&M (4-23)2.6327
248. Tulane (7-21)2.6256
249. Jacksonville (15-10)2.6250
250. Oklahoma (26-7)2.6230

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Loyola Marymnt (8-19)2.6189
252. Arkansas Lr (14-11)2.6041
253. Monmouth NJ (21-10)2.6024
254. Jackson St (7-21)2.6000
255. Marshall (16-9)2.5926
256. Alcorn St (15-15)2.5889
257. Buffalo (4-24)2.5885
258. Radford (16-10)2.5861
259. Clemson (12-19)2.5859
260. St Josephs (26-7)2.5840

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Portland (8-17)2.5814
262. North Carolina (26-7)2.5755
263. Central Mich (18-8)2.5687
264. Texas Southern (7-21)2.5633
265. Winthrop (16-11)2.5594
266. CS Northridge (20-10)2.5592
267. Washington St (12-16)2.5584
268. Tenn Martin (6-18)2.5548
269. Grambling (8-18)2.5410
270. Michigan (9-18)2.5140

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Hartford (4-23)2.5009
272. Florida (24-7)2.4961
273. NC Asheville (13-13)2.4948
274. Tennessee Tech (17-9)2.4849
275. Delaware (20-10)2.4831
276. Virginia (20-9)2.4809
277. Idaho (4-21)2.4793
278. Pepperdine (22-8)2.4666
279. Texas A&M-CC (11-14)2.4662
280. Valparaiso (22-8)2.4632

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Hampton (25-7)2.4625
282. Princeton (14-11)2.4596
283. St Peters (4-23)2.4537
284. McNeese St (21-9)2.4513
285. Chicago St (4-23)2.4382
286. Santa Barbara (11-13)2.4324
287. Alabama A&M (16-11)2.3971
288. Butler (22-8)2.3614
289. Iowa St (24-6)2.3557
290. Holy Cross (22-8)2.3380

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Coll Of Charltn (20-7)2.3365
292. High Point (4-21)2.2996
293. Prairie View (5-22)2.2765
294. Richmond (22-6)2.2550
295. Western KY (21-7)2.2479
296. Gonzaga (25-7)2.2433
297. Virginia Tech (8-19)2.2055
298. Northern Ill (4-22)2.2054
299. Centenary (5-17)2.1880
300. Utah St (24-6)2.1709

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. CS Fullerton (3-22)2.1676
302. Michigan St (28-5)2.1526
303. Middle Tenn St (4-22)2.1516
304. Georgia St (26-5)2.0819
305. Sacramento St (3-20)2.0742
306. UC Irvine (22-5)2.0329
307. Boston College (26-5)2.0282
308. Southern Utah (22-6)2.0150
309. Alabama St (19-8)2.0069
310. Stony Brook (12-11)2.0032

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Eastern Mich (3-25)1.9998
312. Eastern KY (4-19)1.9953
313. Duke (35-4)1.9466
314. Hofstra (26-5)1.9004
315. Miss Valley St (16-8)1.8118
316. Stanford (29-3)1.6596
317. North Texas (2-24)1.6136
318. Ark Pine Bluff (1-25)1.4144
319. St Marys CA (1-25)1.2793
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