NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Strength of Schedule

By division
Last Updated Tue Apr 03 01:18:30 PDT 2001

Home Advantage = 4.1316

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Washington (9-20)0.4526
2. St Marys CA (1-25)0.4068
3. Michigan (9-18)0.3936
4. Florida St (8-21)0.3703
5. Oregon St (9-19)0.3440
6. North Texas (2-24)0.3334
7. Northwestern (11-19)0.3273
8. Georgia (16-15)0.3152
9. Louisville (12-19)0.3139
10. Texas A&M (9-19)0.3100

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Kansas St (11-18)0.3063
12. NO Carolina St (13-16)0.3056
13. Georgia Tech (17-13)0.3001
14. Rhode Island (7-22)0.2998
15. DePaul (10-18)0.2969
16. Clemson (12-19)0.2875
17. Duquesne (9-21)0.2856
18. Vanderbilt (14-15)0.2844
19. Tulane (7-21)0.2843
20. Texas Tech (9-19)0.2810

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Minnesota (16-13)0.2710
22. LSU (13-16)0.2701
23. Washington St (12-16)0.2668
24. Arizona St (13-16)0.2639
25. South Carolina (15-15)0.2626
26. Virginia Tech (8-19)0.2618
27. Houston (9-20)0.2603
28. St Johns (14-15)0.2571
29. Fordham (12-17)0.2536
30. San Jose St (9-14)0.2522

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Penn St (21-12)0.2510
32. Wisconsin (18-11)0.2496
33. Massachusetts (15-15)0.2488
34. Oregon (14-14)0.2444
35. Rutgers (11-16)0.2357
36. Missouri (19-13)0.2337
37. Purdue (16-15)0.2325
38. Nevada (9-18)0.2308
39. Wake Forest (19-11)0.2238
40. Nebraska (13-16)0.2220

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Villanova (18-13)0.2195
42. La Salle (12-17)0.2193
43. Northern Iowa (6-24)0.2191
44. Iowa (23-12)0.2156
45. Seton Hall (16-14)0.2154
46. Tennessee (22-11)0.2122
47. Indiana (21-13)0.2086
48. Hawaii (17-14)0.2063
49. UCLA (23-9)0.2054
50. Buffalo (4-24)0.2048

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Geo Washington (14-18)0.2036
52. CS Fullerton (3-22)0.2026
53. USC (23-10)0.2021
54. Ohio St (20-11)0.2005
55. Wisc Green Bay (11-17)0.1933
56. Mississippi St (17-12)0.1920
57. Rice (13-16)0.1906
58. Mississippi (26-8)0.1893
59. Auburn (18-13)0.1867
60. North Carolina (26-7)0.1858

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. West Virginia (16-12)0.1847
62. Marquette (15-14)0.1843
63. Northern Ill (4-22)0.1835
64. Colorado (14-15)0.1812
65. Maryland (25-11)0.1796
66. California (20-11)0.1788
67. Temple (24-13)0.1701
68. Air Force (8-21)0.1688
69. Pittsburgh (18-13)0.1682
70. Kentucky (24-10)0.1664

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Chicago St (4-23)0.1663
72. Unlv (14-13)0.1656
73. Loyola Chi (7-21)0.1653
74. Illinois Chi (11-17)0.1630
75. Virginia (20-9)0.1620
76. Arkansas (20-11)0.1613
77. Memphis (18-15)0.1585
78. Idaho (4-21)0.1579
79. SMU (16-12)0.1566
80. Miami Fla (16-13)0.1551

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. St Peters (4-23)0.1542
82. Alabama (23-11)0.1532
83. NC Charlotte (22-11)0.1530
84. New Mexico (19-13)0.1504
85. Texas (25-9)0.1503
86. Arizona (27-8)0.1502
87. St Bonaventure (18-12)0.1502
88. Sacramento St (3-20)0.1458
89. Syracuse (25-9)0.1398
90. Dayton (20-12)0.1393

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Illinois (27-8)0.1380
92. South Florida (18-13)0.1376
93. Notre Dame (20-10)0.1370
94. Connecticut (19-12)0.1351
95. St Louis (17-14)0.1311
96. Wichita St (9-19)0.1214
97. Baylor (17-12)0.1213
98. Eastern Mich (3-25)0.1206
99. San Francisco (10-18)0.1189
100. Oklahoma St (19-10)0.1187

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Kansas (24-7)0.1167
102. Florida (24-7)0.1158
103. Providence (20-10)0.1144
104. Akron (12-16)0.1112
105. Cincinnati (25-10)0.1094
106. Western Ill (5-22)0.1086
107. Utah (16-11)0.1072
108. Wisc Milwaukee (13-13)0.1063
109. Uab (17-14)0.1056
110. Evansville (13-16)0.1011

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. San Diego St (13-14)0.0983
112. Portland St (8-18)0.0970
113. Western Mich (7-21)0.0970
114. Oklahoma (26-7)0.0958
115. Wyoming (19-10)0.0953
116. Old Dominion (12-17)0.0946
117. Duke (35-4)0.0943
118. Colorado St (13-13)0.0917
119. Michigan St (28-5)0.0914
120. Xavier (21-8)0.0911

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Loyola Marymnt (8-19)0.0891
122. Cleveland St (19-13)0.0875
123. Stanford (29-3)0.0874
124. Tulsa (24-11)0.0862
125. SW Missouri St (13-16)0.0848
126. Miami Ohio (17-16)0.0828
127. SO Mississippi (21-9)0.0816
128. Santa Clara (19-12)0.0811
129. Detroit (23-12)0.0798
130. St Josephs (26-7)0.0757

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Southern Ill (15-14)0.0749
132. Iowa St (24-6)0.0729
133. Cal Poly (6-18)0.0718
134. Portland (8-17)0.0707
135. Boston College (26-5)0.0673
136. Fresno St (26-7)0.0640
137. TCU (19-11)0.0632
138. Eastern KY (4-19)0.0624
139. Butler (22-8)0.0606
140. Bowling Green (13-14)0.0590

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Centenary (5-17)0.0589
142. Texas El Paso (22-8)0.0581
143. Georgetown (25-8)0.0541
144. Indiana St (21-12)0.0509
145. Florida Intl (7-21)0.0501
146. Ohio (18-11)0.0469
147. Oral Roberts (7-19)0.0441
148. BYU (24-9)0.0423
149. San Diego (15-14)0.0419
150. Loyola MD (6-23)0.0393

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Tenn Martin (6-18)0.0393
152. Weber St (10-12)0.0381
153. William & Mary (11-17)0.0358
154. Middle Tenn St (4-22)0.0336
155. VA Commonwealth (15-14)0.0321
156. James Madison (12-17)0.0298
157. American (7-20)0.0291
158. Bradley (18-12)0.0290
159. Drake (12-16)0.0277
160. George Mason (18-12)0.0254

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Pepperdine (22-8)0.0233
162. Boise St (15-14)0.0227
163. Wright St (17-11)0.0219
164. TX Pan American (8-17)0.0197
165. Kent (23-10)0.0156
166. Murray St (15-12)0.0132
167. Creighton (24-8)0.0125
168. Marshall (16-9)0.0099
169. Long Beach St (14-13)0.0083
170. Oakland (11-15)0.0082

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Gonzaga (25-7)0.0053
172. Santa Barbara (11-13)0.0029
173. CS Northridge (20-10)0.0018
174. Ball St (16-12)-0.004
175. Tennessee St (8-19)-0.007
176. Westrn Carolina (5-24)-0.008
177. Denver (8-18)-0.009
178. Idaho St (12-14)-0.011
179. Fla Atlantic (7-22)-0.011
180. Hartford (4-23)-0.011

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Northeastern (10-19)-0.012
182. Central Mich (18-8)-0.013
183. Montana (9-16)-0.015
184. Wofford (8-16)-0.015
185. NC Wilmington (19-11)-0.017
186. South Alabama (20-11)-0.018
187. New Hampshire (7-21)-0.019
188. Ul Lafayette (15-13)-0.020
189. Iupui (9-18)-0.022
190. Pacific (15-12)-0.025

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Eastern Wash (15-11)-0.026
192. Illinois St (21-9)-0.026
193. Appalachian St (9-19)-0.037
194. Fairfield (12-16)-0.044
195. VMI (7-19)-0.045
196. Toledo (22-10)-0.045
197. Morehead St (10-15)-0.046
198. Central Florida (7-22)-0.058
199. Arkansas St (15-13)-0.058
200. Belmont (10-15)-0.061

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Campbell (7-21)-0.063
202. Pennsylvania (12-17)-0.065
203. Jacksonville St (9-18)-0.065
204. Ark Pine Bluff (1-25)-0.065
205. Davidson (12-17)-0.066
206. Eastern Ill (19-10)-0.066
207. East Carolina (13-12)-0.066
208. Niagara (15-13)-0.067
209. Princeton (14-11)-0.067
210. Austin Peay (18-9)-0.070

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Morgan St (6-22)-0.070
212. Florida A&M (4-23)-0.071
213. High Point (4-21)-0.074
214. Boston U (12-14)-0.076
215. Vermont (12-17)-0.076
216. Lamar (8-18)-0.076
217. New Mexico St (13-14)-0.079
218. Furman (9-16)-0.082
219. Northrn Arizona (11-13)-0.082
220. SE Louisiana (7-21)-0.085

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Mo Kansas City (13-15)-0.085
222. Manhattan (14-15)-0.088
223. Montana St (15-14)-0.089
224. Sacred Heart (7-21)-0.090
225. Ul Monroe (9-17)-0.093
226. Louisiana Tech (16-12)-0.093
227. Robert Morris (7-22)-0.094
228. Army (7-18)-0.096
229. Cornell (6-20)-0.098
230. Albany NY (5-21)-0.098

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Geo Southern (13-15)-0.099
232. Mt St Marys (7-21)-0.100
233. Tennessee Tech (17-9)-0.100
234. Yale (10-17)-0.101
235. Dartmouth (7-19)-0.110
236. Mercer (12-15)-0.115
237. Chattanooga (15-13)-0.115
238. The Citadel (12-12)-0.115
239. Charleston Sou (7-19)-0.117
240. Towson (12-17)-0.118

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. SE Missouri St (14-12)-0.119
242. Stephen Austin (7-17)-0.119
243. Richmond (22-6)-0.119
244. Rider (16-12)-0.120
245. Samford (13-14)-0.120
246. Quinnipiac (5-21)-0.121
247. Siena (19-11)-0.122
248. Marist (17-13)-0.123
249. Coast Carolina (8-20)-0.125
250. Prairie View (5-22)-0.127

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Elon (8-18)-0.127
252. UC Irvine (22-5)-0.128
253. Norfolk St (12-17)-0.129
254. Bucknell (12-15)-0.131
255. Tex San Antonio (13-15)-0.132
256. Drexel (15-12)-0.133
257. Texas Arlington (11-15)-0.134
258. Youngstown St (17-11)-0.135
259. SW Texas St (11-15)-0.138
260. Arkansas Lr (14-11)-0.140

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. New Orleans (15-12)-0.141
262. Texas Southern (7-21)-0.143
263. Lafayette (10-16)-0.143
264. Canisius (20-11)-0.146
265. Nicholls St (13-14)-0.146
266. St Francis PA (9-18)-0.147
267. Northwestern St (18-13)-0.148
268. Bethune Cookman (9-17)-0.149
269. Howard (10-17)-0.149
270. Maine (17-11)-0.152

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Colgate (10-15)-0.152
272. Lehigh (12-16)-0.154
273. Iona (21-11)-0.158
274. NC Greensboro (18-12)-0.160
275. MD Eastrn Shore (12-16)-0.165
276. Columbia (10-15)-0.168
277. Georgia St (26-5)-0.169
278. Utah St (24-6)-0.172
279. Fair Dickinson (13-15)-0.173
280. Texas A&M-CC (11-14)-0.174

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Western KY (21-7)-0.174
282. Southern Utah (22-6)-0.175
283. Stony Brook (12-11)-0.175
284. SO Carolina St (18-13)-0.177
285. Navy (17-12)-0.179
286. Liberty (10-15)-0.179
287. East Tenn St (15-10)-0.180
288. Troy St (18-12)-0.182
289. Brown (15-12)-0.186
290. NC Asheville (13-13)-0.187

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Grambling (8-18)-0.188
292. Jackson St (7-21)-0.191
293. Valparaiso (22-8)-0.192
294. Delaware St (13-15)-0.192
295. Coppin St (12-15)-0.194
296. Sam Houston (14-13)-0.195
297. Liu Brooklyn (12-16)-0.198
298. Coll Of Charltn (20-7)-0.206
299. Stetson (16-12)-0.210
300. Delaware (20-10)-0.217

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Radford (16-10)-0.220
302. Harvard (14-12)-0.229
303. NO Carolina A&T (12-16)-0.233
304. Jacksonville (15-10)-0.237
305. Holy Cross (22-8)-0.242
306. Hofstra (26-5)-0.266
307. Central Conn (14-14)-0.270
308. Winthrop (16-11)-0.276
309. Alcorn St (15-15)-0.277
310. St Francis NY (18-11)-0.286

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Southern (11-16)-0.289
312. Wagner (16-13)-0.296
313. McNeese St (21-9)-0.304
314. Alabama A&M (16-11)-0.318
315. Monmouth NJ (21-10)-0.334
316. Umbc (18-11)-0.343
317. Hampton (25-7)-0.347
318. Miss Valley St (16-8)-0.428
319. Alabama St (19-8)-0.446
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