NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Wins Ratings

By division
Last Updated Tue Apr 03 01:12:32 PDT 2001

Home Advantage = 5.0911

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Duke (35-4)102.5814-45-05-0
2. Stanford (29-3)100.766-35-07-0
3. Arizona (27-8)97.5799-45-15-3
4. Michigan St (28-5)97.04110-43-13-0
5. North Carolina (26-7)95.6735-66-05-0
6. Illinois (27-8)95.5687-64-25-0
7. Kentucky (24-10)93.6936-66-36-1
8. Boston College (26-5)93.6910-23-113-2
9. Maryland (25-11)93.6124-86-12-1
10. UCLA (23-9)93.4055-53-28-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Florida (24-7)93.1474-46-14-2
12. Mississippi (26-8)92.8566-45-35-0
13. Kansas (24-7)92.6073-44-26-1
14. Oklahoma (26-7)92.2024-43-05-2
15. USC (23-10)91.7492-83-08-0
16. Iowa St (24-6)91.1834-11-25-2
17. Texas (25-9)90.7183-72-08-2
18. St Josephs (26-7)90.2392-12-16-3
19. Penn St (21-12)89.8935-74-33-1
20. Temple (24-13)89.8574-70-28-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Indiana (21-13)89.7156-64-34-3
22. Virginia (20-9)89.4534-32-53-1
23. Wisconsin (18-11)89.2424-64-35-2
24. Fresno St (26-7)89.1860-14-08-5
25. Tennessee (22-11)89.1041-74-410-0
26. Wake Forest (19-11)89.0603-82-33-0
27. Ohio St (20-11)88.8884-61-45-1
28. Iowa (23-12)88.8406-75-16-0
29. Syracuse (25-9)88.6390-35-29-4
30. California (20-11)88.3561-92-05-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Georgia Tech (17-13)88.2526-81-31-1
32. Georgetown (25-8)88.2310-13-36-4
33. Gonzaga (25-7)88.1321-32-03-2
34. Arkansas (20-11)87.9042-54-23-4
35. Cincinnati (25-10)87.8420-13-49-4
36. Butler (22-8)87.7571-21-05-2
37. Alabama (23-11)87.5212-43-55-2
38. Notre Dame (20-10)87.4891-34-26-4
39. NC Charlotte (22-11)87.4411-22-210-5
40. Xavier (21-8)87.1142-21-15-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Georgia St (26-5)86.9231-11-12-1
42. Missouri (19-13)86.8293-81-24-2
43. Providence (20-10)86.7440-31-29-4
44. Georgia (16-15)86.6844-53-67-3
45. Pepperdine (22-8)86.3760-21-34-2
46. Tulsa (24-11)86.3420-41-210-4
47. Utah St (24-6)86.2180-11-04-2
48. Hofstra (26-5)85.7820-20-01-0
49. Creighton (24-8)85.6200-03-15-4
50. Mississippi St (17-12)85.4522-42-44-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Oklahoma St (19-10)85.3672-62-02-1
52. Villanova (18-13)85.3052-51-35-5
53. Texas El Paso (22-8)85.2641-10-45-2
54. UC Irvine (22-5)85.1930-12-20-0
55. SO Mississippi (21-9)84.9710-11-46-2
56. BYU (24-9)84.9420-21-17-3
57. Dayton (20-12)84.8011-61-24-3
58. Auburn (18-13)84.6810-64-46-1
59. Richmond (22-6)84.5210-01-12-0
60. Minnesota (16-13)84.2252-61-55-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Massachusetts (15-15)84.2232-52-22-7
62. Connecticut (19-12)84.1902-22-35-7
63. Pittsburgh (18-13)84.1600-23-67-2
64. South Carolina (15-15)83.9191-73-53-2
65. Purdue (16-15)83.8992-90-45-2
66. Detroit (23-12)83.7610-01-42-4
67. Kent (23-10)83.7431-00-25-5
68. Hawaii (17-14)83.7282-32-35-4
69. Southern Utah (22-6)83.5180-10-03-3
70. Western KY (21-7)83.1860-20-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. St Bonaventure (18-12)83.1421-31-14-4
72. West Virginia (16-12)82.9810-21-55-5
73. Wyoming (19-10)82.8410-01-24-5
74. Utah (16-11)82.8030-21-25-4
75. Miami Fla (16-13)82.7520-32-27-7
76. Memphis (18-15)82.6470-40-56-5
77. Santa Clara (19-12)82.5260-22-70-1
78. Seton Hall (16-14)82.5160-35-32-6
79. TCU (19-11)82.4921-11-24-4
80. South Florida (18-13)82.1961-11-42-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Toledo (22-10)82.0420-12-13-6
82. Baylor (17-12)82.0412-60-11-3
83. St Johns (14-15)81.9892-31-64-3
84. Vanderbilt (14-15)81.9162-72-51-3
85. CS Northridge (20-10)81.8431-20-12-2
86. Ohio (18-11)81.7830-20-17-3
87. NO Carolina St (13-16)81.7332-91-60-0
88. SMU (16-12)81.4900-41-12-6
89. Oregon (14-14)81.4201-70-21-3
90. Indiana St (21-12)81.4132-02-42-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. St Louis (17-14)81.2680-04-32-7
92. New Mexico (19-13)81.2610-22-03-8
93. Central Mich (18-8)81.2190-00-05-4
94. Illinois St (21-9)81.0800-11-11-3
95. Valparaiso (22-8)80.9360-11-11-3
96. Marshall (16-9)80.8080-00-14-5
97. Arizona St (13-16)80.5550-81-35-1
98. Marquette (15-14)80.4440-22-36-4
99. Nebraska (13-16)80.2691-51-25-3
100. Eastern Ill (19-10)80.1000-10-10-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Cleveland St (19-13)79.9860-10-41-3
102. South Alabama (20-11)79.8450-10-03-4
103. Uab (17-14)79.8400-11-33-7
104. Colorado (14-15)79.8260-70-33-3
105. LSU (13-16)79.8221-52-71-4
106. George Mason (18-12)79.7420-10-01-5
107. Tennessee Tech (17-9)79.7150-10-12-1
108. Austin Peay (18-9)79.7000-11-01-3
109. NC Wilmington (19-11)79.6000-01-10-4
110. Geo Washington (14-18)79.5370-61-42-7

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Hampton (25-7)79.3361-00-10-0
112. Miami Ohio (17-16)79.1091-01-16-7
113. Coll Of Charltn (20-7)78.9450-10-12-0
114. Bradley (18-12)78.8920-11-23-4
115. Unlv (14-13)78.8710-11-25-5
116. Rutgers (11-16)78.3390-30-83-5
117. Iona (21-11)78.2900-11-00-2
118. Kansas St (11-18)78.2770-92-11-5
119. Wright St (17-11)78.2550-11-20-2
120. Louisville (12-19)78.1910-21-54-9

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Delaware (20-10)78.1640-21-20-0
122. Holy Cross (22-8)78.1420-20-11-0
123. Northwestern (11-19)78.1132-71-40-4
124. Ball St (16-12)78.0990-10-15-5
125. Murray St (15-12)78.0180-00-03-4
126. Wisc Milwaukee (13-13)78.0180-20-32-1
127. Michigan (9-18)77.7731-102-20-4
128. San Jose St (9-14)77.7540-20-42-7
129. Siena (19-11)77.6800-00-00-3
130. La Salle (12-17)77.6581-40-30-6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. San Diego (15-14)77.5760-10-53-2
132. Washington St (12-16)77.3980-80-23-2
133. McNeese St (21-9)77.3480-00-10-2
134. Pacific (15-12)77.2520-10-42-2
135. Canisius (20-11)77.0670-00-11-0
136. Southern Ill (15-14)76.9260-20-23-3
137. Rice (13-16)76.6960-31-13-7
138. Colorado St (13-13)76.6900-00-12-8
139. Boise St (15-14)76.6670-12-30-3
140. Bowling Green (13-14)76.5870-10-02-8

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Eastern Wash (15-11)76.3990-10-11-2
142. Oregon St (9-19)76.1311-80-20-5
143. DePaul (10-18)76.0962-30-62-6
144. VA Commonwealth (15-14)76.0700-10-01-5
145. Fordham (12-17)75.9900-40-23-4
146. Troy St (18-12)75.7900-21-30-0
147. Long Beach St (14-13)75.7750-21-20-3
148. Ul Lafayette (15-13)75.5870-10-20-4
149. Clemson (12-19)75.5771-80-51-3
150. Washington (9-20)75.4171-70-42-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Florida St (8-21)75.3601-81-40-5
152. Maine (17-11)75.1290-11-30-0
153. San Diego St (13-14)75.0930-10-02-9
154. Louisiana Tech (16-12)75.0600-00-11-3
155. East Tenn St (15-10)75.0320-10-00-1
156. Evansville (13-16)74.9450-02-10-7
157. Niagara (15-13)74.9410-00-10-4
158. Texas A&M (9-19)74.9020-70-22-5
159. Princeton (14-11)74.8530-31-00-1
160. Marist (17-13)74.8040-10-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. SW Missouri St (13-16)74.6160-11-31-4
162. Illinois Chi (11-17)74.5710-30-20-6
163. Youngstown St (17-11)74.5260-10-11-5
164. SO Carolina St (18-13)74.5010-20-10-3
165. Rider (16-12)74.3860-00-00-1
166. Chattanooga (15-13)74.3260-10-10-1
167. Wisc Green Bay (11-17)74.2720-12-30-4
168. Old Dominion (12-17)74.2650-20-01-3
169. New Mexico St (13-14)74.1850-00-01-6
170. Santa Barbara (11-13)74.1230-20-30-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Arkansas Lr (14-11)74.1180-00-00-5
172. NC Greensboro (18-12)73.9990-10-00-3
173. Akron (12-16)73.9890-00-21-9
174. Manhattan (14-15)73.8590-00-10-2
175. Arkansas St (15-13)73.8500-00-00-5
176. Drexel (15-12)73.7820-10-20-1
177. Navy (17-12)73.5770-10-10-2
178. SE Missouri St (14-12)73.5060-00-01-2
179. Weber St (10-12)73.2470-00-11-5
180. Nevada (9-18)73.2400-20-22-7

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. New Orleans (15-12)73.2130-00-00-3
182. Houston (9-20)73.1620-11-22-10
183. Texas Tech (9-19)72.9731-50-12-6
184. Northwestern St (18-13)72.9620-10-10-2
185. Drake (12-16)72.8530-10-33-2
186. Radford (16-10)72.8070-00-10-1
187. East Carolina (13-12)72.7920-00-01-2
188. Idaho St (12-14)72.6380-00-21-5
189. Duquesne (9-21)72.6160-30-13-6
190. Winthrop (16-11)72.3790-10-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Stetson (16-12)72.1770-01-20-0
192. Monmouth NJ (21-10)71.9100-10-10-0
193. Montana St (15-14)71.8190-10-10-3
194. James Madison (12-17)71.7600-00-01-4
195. Fairfield (12-16)71.7100-00-00-2
196. San Francisco (10-18)71.5481-00-51-3
197. Jacksonville (15-10)71.5060-00-20-0
198. Oakland (11-15)71.4910-10-10-7
199. Samford (13-14)71.3730-00-40-1
200. Mo Kansas City (13-15)71.3480-00-12-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Geo Southern (13-15)71.3220-00-00-2
202. Boston U (12-14)70.8980-01-20-1
203. Virginia Tech (8-19)70.8960-30-52-8
204. Northrn Arizona (11-13)70.8370-00-01-2
205. William & Mary (11-17)70.6590-00-01-2
206. The Citadel (12-12)70.6550-00-00-1
207. Alabama St (19-8)70.5810-10-10-1
208. Sam Houston (14-13)70.5400-10-00-0
209. Brown (15-12)70.5220-10-10-1
210. St Francis NY (18-11)70.4910-00-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Tex San Antonio (13-15)70.2900-10-00-3
212. Stony Brook (12-11)70.1690-10-10-2
213. Rhode Island (7-22)69.9830-30-50-7
214. Pennsylvania (12-17)69.9230-40-00-3
215. Nicholls St (13-14)69.8820-00-10-0
216. Wichita St (9-19)69.8710-00-31-5
217. Miss Valley St (16-8)69.6810-00-20-1
218. Morehead St (10-15)69.6160-00-10-4
219. Davidson (12-17)69.5230-10-20-2
220. Norfolk St (12-17)69.4150-20-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Mercer (12-15)69.1360-00-21-3
222. Wofford (8-16)68.9900-10-20-2
223. Tulane (7-21)68.9490-20-32-8
224. Delaware St (13-15)68.6680-00-00-2
225. Northeastern (10-19)68.6490-10-20-1
226. Vermont (12-17)68.6010-00-40-0
227. Coppin St (12-15)68.5580-10-20-0
228. TX Pan American (8-17)68.4030-00-10-2
229. Texas Arlington (11-15)68.3310-00-00-1
230. Iupui (9-18)68.2940-00-02-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Tennessee St (8-19)68.2790-00-10-3
232. Umbc (18-11)68.2190-20-00-0
233. NC Asheville (13-13)68.1330-20-00-2
234. Harvard (14-12)68.1330-00-10-0
235. Loyola Marymnt (8-19)68.1220-10-40-4
236. Montana (9-16)68.1040-00-10-4
237. Portland St (8-18)68.0830-00-00-3
238. Portland (8-17)68.0720-10-50-3
239. Belmont (10-15)67.8590-00-00-4
240. Air Force (8-21)67.7360-00-22-7

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. SW Texas St (11-15)67.6640-20-00-0
242. Loyola Chi (7-21)67.4090-10-42-2
243. Texas A&M-CC (11-14)67.3150-10-00-2
244. Alabama A&M (16-11)67.2630-00-20-1
245. Western Mich (7-21)67.1960-10-01-8
246. Towson (12-17)67.1950-00-20-1
247. Bucknell (12-15)67.0000-20-00-0
248. MD Eastrn Shore (12-16)66.9330-10-20-0
249. Northern Iowa (6-24)66.9180-10-41-4
250. Furman (9-16)66.6610-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Wagner (16-13)66.6490-10-00-1
252. Ul Monroe (9-17)66.6360-10-20-0
253. NO Carolina A&T (12-16)66.4770-10-00-1
254. Appalachian St (9-19)66.2420-10-00-3
255. Denver (8-18)66.2210-00-10-3
256. Fair Dickinson (13-15)65.8800-00-00-2
257. Lehigh (12-16)65.8690-00-00-1
258. Florida Intl (7-21)65.7860-00-20-6
259. Oral Roberts (7-19)65.7540-10-12-4
260. Tenn Martin (6-18)65.5050-00-11-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Lafayette (10-16)65.3630-00-00-0
262. Cal Poly (6-18)65.3580-00-20-4
263. Jacksonville St (9-18)65.2840-10-20-1
264. Alcorn St (15-15)65.1910-10-00-4
265. Colgate (10-15)65.1180-00-10-1
266. Yale (10-17)65.0830-10-20-0
267. American (7-20)64.9550-10-00-3
268. Central Conn (14-14)64.9000-00-00-1
269. Columbia (10-15)64.8900-00-10-2
270. Howard (10-17)64.4900-00-10-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Liberty (10-15)64.4310-00-00-1
272. VMI (7-19)64.1590-10-00-1
273. Lamar (8-18)63.9180-00-00-2
274. Centenary (5-17)63.7960-00-20-3
275. New Hampshire (7-21)63.7080-10-20-2
276. Loyola MD (6-23)63.6830-10-00-0
277. Idaho (4-21)63.5510-00-30-4
278. Liu Brooklyn (12-16)63.4820-10-10-0
279. Fla Atlantic (7-22)63.3150-10-40-1
280. Stephen Austin (7-17)63.3040-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Central Florida (7-22)63.2560-00-30-2
282. Western Ill (5-22)63.2060-00-10-9
283. Buffalo (4-24)63.0070-10-00-10
284. Bethune Cookman (9-17)62.4370-10-10-1
285. Morgan St (6-22)62.1640-00-20-0
286. St Peters (4-23)61.9990-20-00-1
287. SE Louisiana (7-21)61.8450-10-20-1
288. Westrn Carolina (5-24)61.7710-20-00-2
289. Northern Ill (4-22)61.7540-10-11-7
290. Campbell (7-21)61.7420-00-30-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. St Francis PA (9-18)61.5150-00-00-2
292. CS Fullerton (3-22)61.2300-00-40-5
293. Charleston Sou (7-19)61.0620-00-20-1
294. Coast Carolina (8-20)60.9820-10-30-0
295. Chicago St (4-23)60.8510-10-00-7
296. Eastern KY (4-19)60.7470-10-20-2
297. Elon (8-18)60.7450-00-00-2
298. Army (7-18)60.0720-10-00-0
299. Dartmouth (7-19)60.0550-10-00-1
300. Sacramento St (3-20)59.8130-00-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Robert Morris (7-22)59.3530-00-10-3
302. Cornell (6-20)59.2010-10-00-0
303. Sacred Heart (7-21)58.8170-10-10-0
304. Southern (11-16)58.7920-10-00-0
305. Mt St Marys (7-21)58.4670-00-10-0
306. Middle Tenn St (4-22)58.2850-20-00-2
307. Hartford (4-23)58.2500-00-20-1
308. North Texas (2-24)57.1720-10-30-3
309. Eastern Mich (3-25)57.0750-00-00-10
310. Florida A&M (4-23)56.9050-10-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Grambling (8-18)56.7450-00-30-3
312. High Point (4-21)55.9790-10-00-1
313. Jackson St (7-21)55.6740-00-20-2
314. Albany NY (5-21)55.5420-00-30-0
315. Quinnipiac (5-21)55.3640-10-00-1
316. St Marys CA (1-25)54.9780-20-50-3
317. Texas Southern (7-21)54.5290-20-00-1
318. Prairie View (5-22)51.6750-00-20-1
319. Ark Pine Bluff (1-25)41.9470-10-10-4
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