NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

ARK PINE BLUFF
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 1-25
Power Rating: 48.736
Ranking: 319

0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-4 v #51-100
0-3 v #101-200
1-16 v #201-319

Home Ratings (1-8): 48.681 (319) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-1 v #101-200 1-7 v #201-319 League Ratings: 1-6 50.392 Non-League Ratings: 0-2 58.517 Last Ten Ratings: 1-4 53.728

Away Ratings (0-17): 48.877 (319)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-4 v #51-100
0-2 v #101-200
0-9 v #201-319
League Ratings: 0-8 53.705
Non-League Ratings: 0-9 57.924
Last Ten Ratings: 0-5 56.158

Neutral Ratings (0-0): 48.736 (312) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 0-0 48.736 Non-League Ratings: 0-0 48.736 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 48.736

League Ratings (1-14): 48.228 (319)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
1-14 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 1-6 50.392
Away Ratings: 0-8 53.705
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 48.736
Last Ten Ratings: 1-7 54.299

Non-League Ratings (0-11): 53.142 (316) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-4 v #51-100 0-3 v #101-200 0-2 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 0-2 58.517 Away Ratings: 0-9 57.924 Neutral Ratings: 0-0 48.736 Last Ten Ratings: 0-2 57.111

Wins Ratings: 41.947 (319)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-4 v #51-100
0-3 v #101-200
1-16 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 1-8 42.525
Away Ratings: 0-17 39.541
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 41.947
Last Ten Ratings: 1-9 45.830

Points Ratings: 55.732 (319) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-4 v #51-100 0-3 v #101-200 1-16 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 1-8 55.447 Away Ratings: 0-17 56.209 Neutral Ratings: 0-0 55.732 League Ratings: 1-14 55.154 Non-League Ratings: 0-11 58.951 Last Ten Ratings: 1-9 57.841

Last Ten Ratings (1-9): 51.603 (319)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-2 v #101-200
1-7 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 1-4 53.728
Away Ratings: 0-5 56.158
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 48.736
League Ratings: 1-7 54.299
Non-League Ratings: 0-2 57.111

Home Advantage: 3.9363 (154)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0387 (181)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1082 (206)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.1793 (235)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.2446 (259)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.3450 (277)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.5852 (304)

Upward Stability: 1.4144 (318)

Downward Stability: 0.8173 (318)

RPI
RPI: 0.3475 (319)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
0-6 v #101-200
1-14 v #201-319

RPI Home (1-8): 0.3247 (319) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-3 v #101-200 1-5 v #201-319

RPI Away (0-17): 0.3598 (303)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-4 v #51-100
0-5 v #101-200
0-7 v #201-319

RPI Neutral (0-0): 0.3475 (263) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-319

RPI League (1-14): 0.2990 (315)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-5 v #101-200
1-9 v #201-319

RPI Non-League (0-11): 0.4140 (265) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-3 v #51-100 0-6 v #101-200 0-1 v #201-319

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4505 (256)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/18/2000	Away	L 47-98	vs. #13 Mississippi
11/22/2000	Away	L 40-85	vs. #89 Baylor
11/25/2000	Away	L 53-110	vs. #38 Alabama
11/27/2000	Away	L 51-113	vs. #158 New Mexico St
11/29/2000	Away	L 60-110	vs. #54 Texas El Paso
12/4/2000	Away	L 50-90	vs. #88 SMU
12/6/2000	Away	L 56-92	vs. #180 Drake
12/30/2000	Away	L 71-130	vs. #75 TCU
1/6/2001	Home	L 63-69	vs. #204 Alabama St
1/8/2001	Home	L 58-61	vs. #251 Alabama A&M
1/13/2001	Away	L 68-93	vs. #303 Southern
1/15/2001	Away	L 65-81	vs. #268 Alcorn St
1/20/2001	Home	L 54-69	vs. #317 Texas Southern
1/22/2001	Home	L 61-78	vs. #318 Prairie View
1/27/2001	Away	L 75-81	vs. #309 Grambling
1/29/2001	Away	L 53-76	vs. #312 Jackson St
2/3/2001	Away	L 52-76	vs. #204 Alabama St
2/5/2001	Away	L 60-72	vs. #251 Alabama A&M
2/8/2001	Home	L 77-94	vs. #164 Arkansas Lr
2/10/2001	Home	W 67-64	vs. #303 Southern
2/12/2001	Home	L 75-89	vs. #268 Alcorn St
2/17/2001	Away	L 67-69	vs. #317 Texas Southern
2/19/2001	Away	L 69-77	vs. #318 Prairie View
2/24/2001	Home	L 70-78	vs. #309 Grambling
2/26/2001	Home	L 64-66	vs. #312 Jackson St
3/3/2001	Away	L 71-101	vs. #214 Miss Valley St

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)