NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

APPALACHIAN ST
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 9-19
Power Rating: 67.289
Ranking: 258

0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
1-10 v #101-200
8-5 v #201-319

Home Ratings (5-7): 65.539 (272) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 0-3 v #101-200 5-2 v #201-319 League Ratings: 4-4 67.171 Non-League Ratings: 1-3 60.164 Last Ten Ratings: 2-2 67.374

Away Ratings (3-9): 69.460 (232)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
1-4 v #101-200
2-3 v #201-319
League Ratings: 3-5 70.851
Non-League Ratings: 0-4 62.320
Last Ten Ratings: 2-2 68.242

Neutral Ratings (1-3): 67.179 (224) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-3 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 1-1 66.617 Non-League Ratings: 0-2 66.351 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 66.617

League Ratings (8-10): 68.990 (243)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
1-7 v #101-200
7-3 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 4-4 67.171
Away Ratings: 3-5 70.851
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 66.617
Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 67.558

Non-League Ratings (1-9): 59.773 (306) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-3 v #51-100 0-3 v #101-200 1-2 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 1-3 60.164 Away Ratings: 0-4 62.320 Neutral Ratings: 0-2 66.351 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 67.289

Wins Ratings: 66.242 (254)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
0-10 v #101-200
9-5 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 5-7 63.589
Away Ratings: 3-9 69.300
Neutral Ratings: 1-3 66.398
Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 68.205

Points Ratings: 68.507 (267) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-3 v #51-100 1-11 v #101-200 8-4 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 5-7 67.681 Away Ratings: 3-9 69.808 Neutral Ratings: 1-3 67.929 League Ratings: 8-10 69.800 Non-League Ratings: 1-9 63.656 Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 69.074

Last Ten Ratings (5-5): 68.703 (242)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
2-5 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 2-2 67.374
Away Ratings: 2-2 68.242
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 66.617
League Ratings: 5-5 67.558
Non-League Ratings: 0-0 67.289

Home Advantage: 0.7801 (247)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0232 (279)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.0892 (255)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.1716 (247)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.2619 (242)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.4132 (233)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.7292 (222)

Upward Stability: 3.2746 (75)

Downward Stability: 2.7247 (214)

RPI
RPI: 0.4242 (260)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
0-8 v #101-200
9-6 v #201-319

RPI Home (5-7): 0.4672 (255) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 1-2 v #101-200 4-2 v #201-319

RPI Away (3-9): 0.4001 (249)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
0-2 v #101-200
3-6 v #201-319

RPI Neutral (1-3): 0.3676 (254) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 0-1 v #101-200 1-1 v #201-319

RPI League (8-10): 0.4425 (239)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
1-7 v #101-200
7-3 v #201-319

RPI Non-League (1-9): 0.3932 (295) 0-2 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 0-3 v #101-200 1-2 v #201-319

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4585 (240)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/17/2000	Home	L 69-99	vs. #6 North Carolina
11/20/2000	Home	W 86-71	vs. #302 Robert Morris
11/24/2000	Neut	L 37-60	vs. #135 Oregon St
11/25/2000	Neut	L 52-54	vs. #197 San Francisco
11/30/2000	Away	L 52-68	vs. #270 Liberty
12/2/2000	Away	L 65-79	vs. #60 Purdue
12/14/2000	Home	L 64-84	vs. #241 NC Asheville
12/16/2000	Away	L 62-79	vs. #184 East Carolina
12/21/2000	Home	L 60-86	vs. #58 Richmond
12/30/2000	Away	L 62-76	vs. #90 Indiana St
1/3/2001	Home	W 81-72	vs. #274 VMI
1/6/2001	Away	L 62-69	vs. #157 Chattanooga
1/8/2001	Away	L 62-78	vs. #179 NC Greensboro
1/13/2001	Home	L 45-63	vs. #113 Coll Of Charltn
1/15/2001	Away	L 56-61	vs. #160 East Tenn St
1/20/2001	Home	W 87-75	vs. #285 Westrn Carolina
1/23/2001	Away	W 78-68	vs. #220 Davidson
1/27/2001	Home	L 67-72	vs. #160 East Tenn St
1/29/2001	Home	W 81-74	vs. #212 The Citadel
2/3/2001	Away	W 68-64	vs. #198 Geo Southern
2/5/2001	Away	W 63-59	vs. #285 Westrn Carolina
2/10/2001	Home	W 78-70	vs. #220 Davidson
2/12/2001	Home	L 63-70	vs. #247 Furman
2/17/2001	Away	L 65-86	vs. #213 Wofford
2/19/2001	Home	L 60-63	vs. #179 NC Greensboro
2/24/2001	Away	L 51-73	vs. #274 VMI
3/1/2001	Neut	W 58-56	vs. #247 Furman
3/2/2001	Neut	L 48-74	vs. #157 Chattanooga

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)