NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

ARIZONA ST
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 13-16
Power Rating: 80.541
Ranking: 92

0-8 v #1-25
1-3 v #26-50
5-1 v #51-100
4-4 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-319

Home Ratings (10-6): 81.422 (81) 0-4 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 4-0 v #51-100 2-1 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 3-6 76.791 Non-League Ratings: 7-0 93.916 Last Ten Ratings: 3-2 78.393

Away Ratings (2-8): 80.361 (89)
0-4 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
1-0 v #51-100
1-3 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319
League Ratings: 2-7 83.604
Non-League Ratings: 0-1 77.729
Last Ten Ratings: 1-4 86.760

Neutral Ratings (1-2): 76.635 (134) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 0-0 80.541 Non-League Ratings: 1-2 79.650 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 80.541

League Ratings (5-13): 78.846 (106)
0-8 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
3-3 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 3-6 76.791
Away Ratings: 2-7 83.604
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 80.541
Last Ten Ratings: 4-6 82.572

Non-League Ratings (8-3): 83.494 (64) 0-0 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 3-1 v #51-100 1-1 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 7-0 93.916 Away Ratings: 0-1 77.729 Neutral Ratings: 1-2 79.650 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 80.541

Wins Ratings: 80.555 (97)
0-8 v #1-25
1-3 v #26-50
5-1 v #51-100
4-4 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 10-6 81.750
Away Ratings: 2-8 80.227
Neutral Ratings: 1-2 75.211
Last Ten Ratings: 4-6 82.047

Points Ratings: 80.666 (75) 0-10 v #1-25 2-1 v #26-50 4-1 v #51-100 4-4 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 10-6 80.877 Away Ratings: 2-8 80.967 Neutral Ratings: 1-2 78.619 League Ratings: 5-13 78.973 Non-League Ratings: 8-3 84.104 Last Ten Ratings: 4-6 81.334

Last Ten Ratings (4-6): 81.744 (79)
0-4 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
4-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 3-2 78.393
Away Ratings: 1-4 86.760
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 80.541
League Ratings: 4-6 82.572
Non-League Ratings: 0-0 80.541

Home Advantage: 6.0522 (106)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1469 (20)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.3139 (28)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4450 (36)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5618 (37)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6990 (35)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8921 (35)

Upward Stability: 3.0448 (143)

Downward Stability: 2.9712 (168)

RPI
RPI: 0.5409 (88)
0-8 v #1-25
2-3 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
6-5 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-319

RPI Home (10-6): 0.5876 (72) 1-2 v #1-25 1-3 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 4-1 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-319

RPI Away (2-8): 0.4713 (126)
0-3 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
1-0 v #51-100
0-3 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-319

RPI Neutral (1-2): 0.5215 (118) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-319

RPI League (5-13): 0.4998 (155)
0-6 v #1-25
0-4 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
5-3 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319

RPI Non-League (8-3): 0.6057 (28) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 4-1 v #51-100 0-2 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-319

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5718 (29)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/10/2000	Neut	L 67-69	vs. #43 Tulsa
11/11/2000	Neut	W 76-68	vs. #187 Winthrop
11/17/2000	Home	W 94-72	vs. #72 Southern Utah
11/21/2000	Home	W 64-50	vs. #267 Colgate
11/25/2000	Home	W 76-61	vs. #63 Kent
12/2/2000	Home	W 80-52	vs. #51 BYU
12/16/2000	Away	L 62-64	vs. #147 San Diego St
12/20/2000	Home	W 59-42	vs. #224 Mercer
12/22/2000	Home	W 92-44	vs. #235 Belmont
12/29/2000	Neut	L 71-75	vs. #91 Ohio
12/30/2000	Home	W 91-78	vs. #36 NC Charlotte
1/4/2001	Home	L 77-94	vs. #2 Stanford
1/6/2001	Home	L 67-82	vs. #27 California
1/11/2001	Away	L 68-70	vs. #162 Washington
1/13/2001	Away	L 60-81	vs. #129 Washington St
1/18/2001	Home	L 83-91	vs. #11 UCLA
1/20/2001	Home	L 58-77	vs. #14 USC
1/24/2001	Away	L 75-86	vs. #3 Arizona
2/1/2001	Away	W 73-58	vs. #135 Oregon St
2/4/2001	Away	W 99-72	vs. #81 Oregon
2/8/2001	Home	L 57-58	vs. #129 Washington St
2/10/2001	Home	W 89-57	vs. #162 Washington
2/15/2001	Away	L 68-80	vs. #14 USC
2/17/2001	Away	L 68-73	vs. #11 UCLA
2/21/2001	Home	L 58-88	vs. #3 Arizona
3/1/2001	Home	W 86-74	vs. #81 Oregon
3/3/2001	Home	W 61-59	vs. #135 Oregon St
3/8/2001	Away	L 67-86	vs. #27 California
3/10/2001	Away	L 75-99	vs. #2 Stanford

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)