NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

CS NORTHRIDGE
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 20-10
Power Rating: 81.220
Ranking: 79

1-2 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
2-3 v #51-100
10-4 v #101-200
7-0 v #201-319

Home Ratings (12-1): 82.353 (68) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 6-1 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 9-1 78.970 Non-League Ratings: 3-0 81.360 Last Ten Ratings: 6-0 82.876

Away Ratings (8-8): 81.136 (82)
1-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
4-3 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-319
League Ratings: 6-2 79.974
Non-League Ratings: 2-6 83.688
Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 78.188

Neutral Ratings (0-1): 64.220 (250) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 0-0 81.220 Non-League Ratings: 0-1 66.220 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 66.220

League Ratings (15-3): 81.052 (79)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
9-3 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 9-1 78.970
Away Ratings: 6-2 79.974
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 81.220
Last Ten Ratings: 8-1 80.313

Non-League Ratings (5-7): 81.458 (84) 1-2 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 2-3 v #51-100 1-1 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 3-0 81.360 Away Ratings: 2-6 83.688 Neutral Ratings: 0-1 66.220 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 66.220

Wins Ratings: 81.843 (85)
1-2 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
2-2 v #51-100
9-4 v #101-200
8-1 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 12-1 83.218
Away Ratings: 8-8 81.665
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 64.843
Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 83.218

Points Ratings: 80.546 (77) 1-2 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 2-4 v #51-100 10-4 v #101-200 7-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 12-1 81.073 Away Ratings: 8-8 80.780 Neutral Ratings: 0-1 63.546 League Ratings: 15-3 80.513 Non-League Ratings: 5-7 80.593 Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 80.194

Last Ten Ratings (8-2): 81.856 (75)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
3-1 v #101-200
5-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 6-0 82.876
Away Ratings: 2-1 78.188
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 66.220
League Ratings: 8-1 80.313
Non-League Ratings: 0-1 66.220

Home Advantage: 6.3435 (96)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0561 (119)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1595 (127)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.2596 (143)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.3595 (153)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.5063 (153)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.7879 (152)

Upward Stability: 2.5592 (266)

Downward Stability: 3.1509 (128)

RPI
RPI: 0.5439 (82)
1-2 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
2-2 v #51-100
7-4 v #101-200
10-1 v #201-319

RPI Home (12-1): 0.5967 (59) 0-0 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 6-1 v #201-319

RPI Away (8-8): 0.5041 (81)
1-0 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
2-3 v #101-200
5-1 v #201-319

RPI Neutral (0-1): 0.0 (277) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-319

RPI League (15-3): 0.5490 (77)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
3-2 v #101-200
12-1 v #201-319

RPI Non-League (5-7): 0.5406 (92) 1-3 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 2-3 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-319

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5030 (131)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/19/2000	Home	W 90-73	vs. #280 Howard
11/21/2000	Away	W 78-74	vs. #11 UCLA
11/25/2000	Away	L 69-70	vs. #112 Unlv
12/1/2000	Home	W 89-85	vs. #63 Kent
12/2/2000	Away	L 66-69	vs. #97 Marquette
12/5/2000	Away	L 90-99	vs. #14 USC
12/7/2000	Home	W 74-71	vs. #71 Wyoming
12/18/2000	Away	W 84-70	vs. #195 James Madison
12/21/2000	Away	L 67-71	vs. #100 Uab
12/22/2000	Away	L 70-76	vs. #67 Hawaii
12/23/2000	Away	L 88-97	vs. #48 Georgia St
1/4/2001	Away	W 89-78	vs. #175 Weber St
1/6/2001	Away	W 95-82	vs. #299 Sacramento St
1/11/2001	Away	L 75-76	vs. #196 Northrn Arizona
1/13/2001	Home	W 90-73	vs. #186 Idaho St
1/18/2001	Home	W 103-83	vs. #240 Portland St
1/20/2001	Home	L 75-88	vs. #140 Eastern Wash
1/25/2001	Away	W 72-65	vs. #189 Montana St
1/27/2001	Away	W 74-65	vs. #228 Montana
1/31/2001	Home	W 100-73	vs. #299 Sacramento St
2/1/2001	Home	W 96-86	vs. #175 Weber St
2/8/2001	Away	L 84-89	vs. #186 Idaho St
2/17/2001	Home	W 78-72	vs. #196 Northrn Arizona
2/22/2001	Home	W 92-68	vs. #228 Montana
2/24/2001	Home	W 85-65	vs. #189 Montana St
3/1/2001	Away	W 86-84	vs. #140 Eastern Wash
3/3/2001	Away	W 81-75	vs. #240 Portland St
3/9/2001	Home	W 91-74	vs. #175 Weber St
3/10/2001	Home	W 73-58	vs. #140 Eastern Wash
3/16/2001	Neut	L 75-99	vs. #12 Kansas

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)