NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

DETROIT
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 23-12
Power Rating: 82.583
Ranking: 64

0-0 v #1-25
1-4 v #26-50
1-4 v #51-100
17-3 v #101-200
4-1 v #201-319

Home Ratings (12-0): 90.552 (17) 0-0 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 9-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 7-0 84.591 Non-League Ratings: 5-0 87.114 Last Ten Ratings: 1-0 86.833

Away Ratings (8-7): 82.890 (64)
0-0 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
1-2 v #51-100
5-2 v #101-200
2-1 v #201-319
League Ratings: 3-4 79.646
Non-League Ratings: 5-3 86.529
Last Ten Ratings: 3-1 87.404

Neutral Ratings (3-5): 77.814 (122) 0-0 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 3-1 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 2-1 81.685 Non-League Ratings: 1-4 75.872 Last Ten Ratings: 2-3 78.294

League Ratings (12-5): 82.771 (64)
0-0 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
10-2 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 7-0 84.591
Away Ratings: 3-4 79.646
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 81.685
Last Ten Ratings: 4-2 81.685

Non-League Ratings (11-7): 82.388 (73) 0-0 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 1-4 v #51-100 7-1 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 5-0 87.114 Away Ratings: 5-3 86.529 Neutral Ratings: 1-4 75.872 Last Ten Ratings: 2-2 83.630

Wins Ratings: 83.761 (66)
0-0 v #1-25
1-4 v #26-50
2-4 v #51-100
16-3 v #101-200
4-1 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 12-0 97.230
Away Ratings: 8-7 84.241
Neutral Ratings: 3-5 78.245
Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 84.823

Points Ratings: 81.163 (65) 0-0 v #1-25 1-4 v #26-50 3-4 v #51-100 14-3 v #101-200 5-1 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 12-0 85.624 Away Ratings: 8-7 81.456 Neutral Ratings: 3-5 77.394 League Ratings: 12-5 80.905 Non-League Ratings: 11-7 81.429 Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 81.316

Last Ten Ratings (6-4): 83.261 (62)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
3-2 v #51-100
3-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 1-0 86.833
Away Ratings: 3-1 87.404
Neutral Ratings: 2-3 78.294
League Ratings: 4-2 81.685
Non-League Ratings: 2-2 83.630

Home Advantage: 13.559 (8)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0581 (116)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1813 (110)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.3145 (103)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.4443 (101)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6074 (98)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8619 (74)

Upward Stability: 3.8355 (5)

Downward Stability: 4.3702 (4)

RPI
RPI: 0.5538 (72)
0-0 v #1-25
1-4 v #26-50
4-4 v #51-100
14-3 v #101-200
4-1 v #201-319

RPI Home (12-0): 0.6352 (20) 0-0 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-319

RPI Away (8-7): 0.5208 (57)
0-0 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
6-2 v #101-200
2-1 v #201-319

RPI Neutral (3-5): 0.4945 (152) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 2-3 v #51-100 1-1 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-319

RPI League (12-5): 0.5735 (48)
0-0 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
4-1 v #51-100
3-1 v #101-200
4-1 v #201-319

RPI Non-League (11-7): 0.5359 (98) 0-2 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 1-3 v #51-100 7-1 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-319

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5194 (100)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/22/2000	Away	W 87-65	vs. #295 Chicago St
11/25/2000	Home	W 73-63	vs. #306 Eastern Mich
11/27/2000	Away	L 69-77	vs. #95 Marshall
11/29/2000	Away	L 72-78	vs. #82 Toledo
12/2/2000	Home	W 91-64	vs. #132 Murray St
12/5/2000	Home	W 77-56	vs. #200 Oakland
12/9/2000	Neut	L 72-75	vs. #55 Auburn
12/16/2000	Away	W 54-53	vs. #165 Youngstown St
12/18/2000	Home	W 74-60	vs. #103 Central Mich
12/21/2000	Away	W 67-56	vs. #246 Western Mich
12/28/2000	Away	L 68-69	vs. #28 Iowa
12/29/2000	Neut	W 63-50	vs. #101 Geo Washington
12/30/2000	Neut	L 72-81	vs. #170 Texas A&M
1/6/2001	Home	W 81-61	vs. #232 Loyola Chi
1/11/2001	Away	W 78-65	vs. #126 Wright St
1/13/2001	Away	L 59-74	vs. #31 Butler
1/20/2001	Away	L 67-69	vs. #105 Cleveland St
1/25/2001	Home	W 54-51	vs. #116 Wisc Milwaukee
1/27/2001	Home	W 91-74	vs. #169 Wisc Green Bay
1/29/2001	Home	W 67-54	vs. #102 George Mason
2/1/2001	Away	L 54-66	vs. #232 Loyola Chi
2/3/2001	Away	W 64-62	vs. #150 Illinois Chi
2/8/2001	Home	W 68-63	vs. #31 Butler
2/10/2001	Home	W 80-67	vs. #126 Wright St
2/15/2001	Home	W 75-62	vs. #150 Illinois Chi
2/18/2001	Home	W 75-63	vs. #105 Cleveland St
2/22/2001	Away	W 58-46	vs. #169 Wisc Green Bay
2/24/2001	Away	L 69-80	vs. #116 Wisc Milwaukee
3/3/2001	Neut	W 66-58	vs. #169 Wisc Green Bay
3/4/2001	Neut	W 91-81	vs. #105 Cleveland St
3/6/2001	Neut	L 38-53	vs. #31 Butler
3/14/2001	Away	W 68-49	vs. #115 Bradley
3/18/2001	Away	W 67-61	vs. #59 Connecticut
3/27/2001	Neut	L 63-74	vs. #38 Alabama
3/29/2001	Neut	L 71-86	vs. #70 Memphis

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)