NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

EASTERN ILL
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 19-10
Power Rating: 78.860
Ranking: 106

0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
8-4 v #101-200
11-1 v #201-319

Home Ratings (10-0): 84.641 (45) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 8-0 78.055 Non-League Ratings: 2-0 87.235 Last Ten Ratings: 3-0 80.298

Away Ratings (5-8): 75.161 (158)
0-0 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
1-4 v #101-200
4-1 v #201-319
League Ratings: 3-5 74.036
Non-League Ratings: 2-3 79.516
Last Ten Ratings: 0-3 67.516

Neutral Ratings (4-2): 82.188 (84) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 3-0 85.829 Non-League Ratings: 1-2 69.423 Last Ten Ratings: 3-1 83.844

League Ratings (14-5): 79.063 (102)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
6-4 v #101-200
8-1 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 8-0 78.055
Away Ratings: 3-5 74.036
Neutral Ratings: 3-0 85.829
Last Ten Ratings: 6-3 77.536

Non-League Ratings (5-5): 78.301 (119) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-3 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 2-0 87.235 Away Ratings: 2-3 79.516 Neutral Ratings: 1-2 69.423 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 69.860

Wins Ratings: 80.100 (100)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
8-4 v #101-200
11-1 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 10-0 91.632
Away Ratings: 5-8 75.292
Neutral Ratings: 4-2 84.397
Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 78.760

Points Ratings: 77.288 (120) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-3 v #51-100 8-4 v #101-200 11-1 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 10-0 79.764 Away Ratings: 5-8 75.194 Neutral Ratings: 4-2 79.241 League Ratings: 14-5 77.258 Non-League Ratings: 5-5 77.374 Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 76.819

Last Ten Ratings (6-4): 77.899 (121)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
3-2 v #101-200
3-1 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 3-0 80.298
Away Ratings: 0-3 67.516
Neutral Ratings: 3-1 83.844
League Ratings: 6-3 77.536
Non-League Ratings: 0-1 69.860

Home Advantage: 11.392 (25)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0465 (146)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1370 (159)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.2319 (171)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.3343 (173)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.4831 (174)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.7721 (175)

Upward Stability: 2.8345 (215)

Downward Stability: 3.3034 (94)

RPI
RPI: 0.5246 (114)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
2-3 v #51-100
6-4 v #101-200
11-1 v #201-319

RPI Home (10-0): 0.5945 (61) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-319

RPI Away (5-8): 0.4531 (163)
0-0 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
2-5 v #101-200
3-1 v #201-319

RPI Neutral (4-2): 0.5645 (85) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 2-1 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-319

RPI League (14-5): 0.5453 (82)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
4-2 v #101-200
9-2 v #201-319

RPI Non-League (5-5): 0.4879 (164) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 1-1 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-319

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4811 (186)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/18/2000	Away	L 73-90	vs. #31 Butler
11/21/2000	Away	L 71-85	vs. #98 Nebraska
11/27/2000	Home	W 99-78	vs. #279 Western Ill
12/2/2000	Away	W 86-67	vs. #176 Arkansas St
12/5/2000	Home	W 91-73	vs. #159 Evansville
12/16/2000	Away	W 86-80	vs. #232 Loyola Chi
12/18/2000	Away	L 73-83	vs. #74 Miami Fla
12/21/2000	Neut	W 73-66	vs. #277 Buffalo
12/22/2000	Neut	L 68-90	vs. #76 South Florida
1/4/2001	Away	L 89-90	vs. #110 Austin Peay
1/6/2001	Away	W 99-98	vs. #226 Tennessee St
1/11/2001	Home	W 80-68	vs. #260 Tenn Martin
1/13/2001	Home	W 79-63	vs. #132 Murray St
1/16/2001	Away	L 78-86	vs. #111 Tennessee Tech
1/20/2001	Home	W 83-71	vs. #181 SE Missouri St
1/25/2001	Away	W 88-85	vs. #217 Morehead St
1/27/2001	Away	W 96-79	vs. #294 Eastern KY
2/1/2001	Home	W 74-72	vs. #226 Tennessee St
2/3/2001	Home	W 80-78	vs. #110 Austin Peay
2/8/2001	Away	L 71-85	vs. #260 Tenn Martin
2/10/2001	Away	L 77-92	vs. #132 Murray St
2/12/2001	Home	W 80-71	vs. #111 Tennessee Tech
2/17/2001	Away	L 73-75	vs. #181 SE Missouri St
2/22/2001	Home	W 76-51	vs. #217 Morehead St
2/24/2001	Home	W 89-80	vs. #294 Eastern KY
2/27/2001	Neut	W 102-80	vs. #217 Morehead St
3/2/2001	Neut	W 97-71	vs. #132 Murray St
3/3/2001	Neut	W 84-83	vs. #110 Austin Peay
3/16/2001	Neut	L 76-101	vs. #3 Arizona

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)