NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

FLORIDA
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 24-7
Power Rating: 90.680
Ranking: 10

2-4 v #1-25
8-1 v #26-50
4-2 v #51-100
4-0 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-319

Home Ratings (13-2): 89.438 (22) 2-0 v #1-25 3-1 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 6-2 89.696 Non-League Ratings: 7-0 84.305 Last Ten Ratings: 3-0 99.211

Away Ratings (8-3): 93.539 (5)
0-2 v #1-25
3-0 v #26-50
2-1 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-319
League Ratings: 6-2 92.489
Non-League Ratings: 2-1 89.524
Last Ten Ratings: 3-0 94.633

Neutral Ratings (3-2): 87.828 (35) 0-2 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 1-1 88.578 Non-League Ratings: 2-1 86.992 Last Ten Ratings: 2-2 86.387

League Ratings (13-5): 91.424 (10)
2-2 v #1-25
7-1 v #26-50
3-2 v #51-100
1-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 6-2 89.696
Away Ratings: 6-2 92.489
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 88.578
Last Ten Ratings: 7-1 93.496

Non-League Ratings (11-2): 88.313 (18) 0-2 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 7-0 84.305 Away Ratings: 2-1 89.524 Neutral Ratings: 2-1 86.992 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 84.008

Wins Ratings: 93.147 (11)
4-4 v #1-25
6-1 v #26-50
4-2 v #51-100
4-0 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 13-2 90.694
Away Ratings: 8-3 97.002
Neutral Ratings: 3-2 90.053
Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 95.733

Points Ratings: 87.701 (9) 2-4 v #1-25 8-1 v #26-50 4-2 v #51-100 4-0 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 13-2 87.791 Away Ratings: 8-3 89.342 Neutral Ratings: 3-2 85.069 League Ratings: 13-5 88.377 Non-League Ratings: 11-2 85.764 Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 88.522

Last Ten Ratings (8-2): 92.598 (8)
2-2 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
4-0 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 3-0 99.211
Away Ratings: 3-0 94.633
Neutral Ratings: 2-2 86.387
League Ratings: 7-1 93.496
Non-League Ratings: 1-1 84.008

Home Advantage: 1.8147 (218)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1190 (41)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2938 (41)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4515 (32)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5741 (32)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6994 (34)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8633 (71)

Upward Stability: 2.4961 (272)

Downward Stability: 3.5129 (54)

RPI
RPI: 0.6052 (18)
4-4 v #1-25
5-1 v #26-50
6-2 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-319

RPI Home (13-2): 0.5932 (64) 4-0 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 2-1 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-319

RPI Away (8-3): 0.5991 (8)
2-2 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
4-1 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-319

RPI Neutral (3-2): 0.6545 (15) 1-2 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-319

RPI League (13-5): 0.6373 (7)
3-2 v #1-25
5-1 v #26-50
3-1 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319

RPI Non-League (11-2): 0.5602 (69) 0-1 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-319

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5488 (59)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/17/2000	Away	W 85-70	vs. #145 Florida St
11/27/2000	Home	W 100-42	vs. #283 Fla Atlantic
12/2/2000	Home	W 83-76	vs. #141 DePaul
12/6/2000	Away	L 83-99	vs. #4 Michigan St
12/9/2000	Home	W 79-65	vs. #114 Rutgers
12/10/2000	Home	W 125-50	vs. #311 Florida A&M
12/16/2000	Neut	W 85-71	vs. #37 Gonzaga
12/19/2000	Home	W 106-64	vs. #293 Bethune Cookman
12/23/2000	Home	W 76-33	vs. #265 American
12/28/2000	Away	W 103-85	vs. #225 Tulane
12/30/2000	Home	W 102-54	vs. #275 New Hampshire
1/7/2001	Away	L 68-69	vs. #61 South Carolina
1/10/2001	Away	W 81-80	vs. #49 Mississippi St
1/17/2001	Home	L 72-75	vs. #42 Georgia
1/20/2001	Home	L 61-63	vs. #85 Vanderbilt
1/24/2001	Away	W 65-63	vs. #55 Auburn
1/27/2001	Home	W 69-57	vs. #61 South Carolina
1/30/2001	Home	W 81-67	vs. #26 Tennessee
2/3/2001	Away	W 82-71	vs. #42 Georgia
2/6/2001	Away	L 70-71	vs. #8 Kentucky
2/10/2001	Home	W 73-63	vs. #35 Arkansas
2/13/2001	Away	W 81-74	vs. #104 LSU
2/18/2001	Away	W 88-82	vs. #26 Tennessee
2/21/2001	Home	W 75-55	vs. #13 Mississippi
2/24/2001	Home	W 89-68	vs. #38 Alabama
2/28/2001	Away	W 72-62	vs. #85 Vanderbilt
3/4/2001	Home	W 94-86	vs. #8 Kentucky
3/9/2001	Neut	W 69-61	vs. #38 Alabama
3/10/2001	Neut	L 69-74	vs. #13 Mississippi
3/16/2001	Neut	W 69-56	vs. #69 Western KY
3/18/2001	Neut	L 54-75	vs. #18 Temple

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)