NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

HAWAII
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 17-14
Power Rating: 82.423
Ranking: 67

2-2 v #1-25
2-4 v #26-50
6-4 v #51-100
5-4 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-319

Home Ratings (9-2): 83.825 (52) 1-0 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 3-1 v #51-100 3-1 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 7-1 83.056 Non-League Ratings: 2-1 74.814 Last Ten Ratings: 3-0 87.767

Away Ratings (2-8): 78.736 (110)
0-2 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
1-2 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319
League Ratings: 2-7 79.505
Non-League Ratings: 0-1 74.673
Last Ten Ratings: 2-2 86.642

Neutral Ratings (6-4): 84.700 (58) 1-0 v #1-25 0-3 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 1-1 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 2-0 97.954 Non-League Ratings: 4-4 81.396 Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 88.423

League Ratings (11-8): 83.906 (51)
2-1 v #1-25
2-1 v #26-50
3-4 v #51-100
4-2 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 7-1 83.056
Away Ratings: 2-7 79.505
Neutral Ratings: 2-0 97.954
Last Ten Ratings: 7-2 88.970

Non-League Ratings (6-6): 79.275 (110) 0-1 v #1-25 0-3 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 1-2 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 2-1 74.814 Away Ratings: 0-1 74.673 Neutral Ratings: 4-4 81.396 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 76.048

Wins Ratings: 83.728 (68)
2-3 v #1-25
2-3 v #26-50
5-4 v #51-100
6-4 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 9-2 85.689
Away Ratings: 2-8 79.829
Neutral Ratings: 6-4 85.954
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 90.896

Points Ratings: 80.808 (73) 2-2 v #1-25 2-3 v #26-50 6-5 v #51-100 5-4 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 9-2 81.148 Away Ratings: 2-8 77.714 Neutral Ratings: 6-4 83.357 League Ratings: 11-8 81.771 Non-League Ratings: 6-6 78.866 Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 85.429

Last Ten Ratings (7-3): 88.447 (23)
0-0 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
2-1 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 3-0 87.767
Away Ratings: 2-2 86.642
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 88.423
League Ratings: 7-2 88.970
Non-League Ratings: 0-1 76.048

Home Advantage: 6.2391 (99)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0886 (66)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2470 (60)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4006 (56)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5350 (50)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6932 (41)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.9032 (24)

Upward Stability: 3.7350 (8)

Downward Stability: 3.9068 (16)

RPI
RPI: 0.5646 (57)
2-4 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
4-4 v #51-100
6-3 v #101-200
3-1 v #201-319

RPI Home (9-2): 0.6164 (36) 1-0 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 3-1 v #51-100 3-1 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-319

RPI Away (2-8): 0.4852 (105)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
1-4 v #51-100
1-1 v #101-200
0-1 v #201-319

RPI Neutral (6-4): 0.5857 (59) 0-0 v #1-25 0-3 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-319

RPI League (11-8): 0.5847 (34)
2-1 v #1-25
2-3 v #26-50
3-2 v #51-100
3-1 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-319

RPI Non-League (6-6): 0.5333 (104) 0-3 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 0-2 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-319

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5700 (31)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/17/2000	Home	L 71-86	vs. #121 Louisville
11/24/2000	Neut	W 59-55	vs. #284 SE Louisiana
11/26/2000	Neut	L 63-65	vs. #123 San Diego
12/9/2000	Away	L 64-84	vs. #11 UCLA
12/16/2000	Home	W 86-73	vs. #222 TX Pan American
12/21/2000	Neut	L 64-65	vs. #48 Georgia St
12/22/2000	Home	W 76-70	vs. #79 CS Northridge
12/23/2000	Neut	W 100-86	vs. #100 Uab
12/27/2000	Neut	W 81-67	vs. #167 Manhattan
12/29/2000	Neut	W 75-67	vs. #87 St Louis
12/30/2000	Neut	L 58-69	vs. #26 Tennessee
1/4/2001	Away	L 64-103	vs. #75 TCU
1/6/2001	Away	L 56-69	vs. #88 SMU
1/11/2001	Home	L 71-79	vs. #54 Texas El Paso
1/13/2001	Home	W 68-65	vs. #43 Tulsa
1/20/2001	Home	W 65-64	vs. #125 San Jose St
1/25/2001	Away	L 64-70	vs. #139 Rice
1/28/2001	Away	L 67-79	vs. #43 Tulsa
2/1/2001	Home	W 91-73	vs. #24 Fresno St
2/3/2001	Home	W 76-69	vs. #173 Nevada
2/8/2001	Away	L 60-73	vs. #173 Nevada
2/11/2001	Away	L 63-86	vs. #24 Fresno St
2/15/2001	Home	W 79-65	vs. #88 SMU
2/17/2001	Home	W 61-53	vs. #139 Rice
2/22/2001	Home	W 102-87	vs. #75 TCU
3/1/2001	Away	W 71-61	vs. #125 San Jose St
3/3/2001	Away	L 77-85	vs. #54 Texas El Paso
3/8/2001	Neut	W 99-79	vs. #75 TCU
3/9/2001	Neut	W 76-67	vs. #24 Fresno St
3/10/2001	Away	W 78-72	vs. #43 Tulsa
3/16/2001	Neut	L 69-79	vs. #34 Syracuse

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)