NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

CALIFORNIA
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 20-11
Power Rating: 86.959
Ranking: 27

1-9 v #1-25
2-0 v #26-50
6-2 v #51-100
8-0 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-319

Home Ratings (13-3): 87.686 (31) 1-3 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 4-0 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 6-3 87.225 Non-League Ratings: 7-0 86.733 Last Ten Ratings: 3-2 87.038

Away Ratings (5-7): 86.827 (31)
0-5 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
2-2 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319
League Ratings: 5-4 90.295
Non-League Ratings: 0-3 80.272
Last Ten Ratings: 2-2 89.350

Neutral Ratings (2-1): 85.131 (51) 0-1 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 0-0 86.959 Non-League Ratings: 2-1 85.397 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 75.272

League Ratings (11-7): 88.403 (22)
1-7 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
4-0 v #51-100
6-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 6-3 87.225
Away Ratings: 5-4 90.295
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 86.959
Last Ten Ratings: 5-4 88.237

Non-League Ratings (9-4): 84.553 (54) 0-2 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 2-2 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 7-0 86.733 Away Ratings: 0-3 80.272 Neutral Ratings: 2-1 85.397 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 75.272

Wins Ratings: 88.356 (30)
1-9 v #1-25
2-0 v #26-50
5-2 v #51-100
9-0 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 13-3 88.758
Away Ratings: 5-7 88.524
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 86.606
Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 86.344

Points Ratings: 85.399 (20) 1-9 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 6-1 v #51-100 8-1 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 13-3 86.227 Away Ratings: 5-7 85.137 Neutral Ratings: 2-1 83.547 League Ratings: 11-7 86.836 Non-League Ratings: 9-4 82.946 Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 84.836

Last Ten Ratings (5-5): 85.596 (38)
0-4 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 3-2 87.038
Away Ratings: 2-2 89.350
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 75.272
League Ratings: 5-4 88.237
Non-League Ratings: 0-1 75.272

Home Advantage: 5.3301 (124)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1411 (24)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.3100 (32)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4477 (34)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5589 (38)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6935 (40)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8866 (39)

Upward Stability: 2.8378 (214)

Downward Stability: 3.2567 (101)

RPI
RPI: 0.5838 (36)
1-9 v #1-25
2-0 v #26-50
3-1 v #51-100
11-1 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-319

RPI Home (13-3): 0.6125 (40) 2-1 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-319

RPI Away (5-7): 0.5449 (33)
0-3 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
1-0 v #51-100
3-1 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-319

RPI Neutral (2-1): 0.5843 (62) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-319

RPI League (11-7): 0.5865 (33)
1-5 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
10-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319

RPI Non-League (9-4): 0.5796 (51) 1-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 4-1 v #51-100 2-1 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-319

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5634 (37)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/13/2000	Home	W 83-76	vs. #49 Mississippi St
11/15/2000	Away	L 54-57	vs. #17 Texas
11/29/2000	Away	L 66-88	vs. #87 St Louis
12/2/2000	Away	L 52-56	vs. #73 UC Irvine
12/5/2000	Home	W 62-54	vs. #105 Cleveland St
12/9/2000	Home	W 75-63	vs. #99 Colorado
12/11/2000	Home	W 95-61	vs. #315 Albany NY
12/21/2000	Neut	W 85-64	vs. #42 Georgia
12/23/2000	Home	W 75-59	vs. #234 Coppin St
12/29/2000	Neut	W 76-62	vs. #264 Yale
12/30/2000	Home	W 81-59	vs. #130 La Salle
1/4/2001	Away	L 75-78	vs. #3 Arizona
1/6/2001	Away	W 82-67	vs. #92 Arizona St
1/11/2001	Home	W 78-62	vs. #81 Oregon
1/13/2001	Home	W 81-67	vs. #135 Oregon St
1/17/2001	Away	L 58-84	vs. #2 Stanford
1/20/2001	Home	W 79-69	vs. #76 South Florida
1/25/2001	Away	W 75-71	vs. #129 Washington St
1/27/2001	Away	W 79-64	vs. #162 Washington
2/1/2001	Home	W 92-63	vs. #11 UCLA
2/3/2001	Home	L 66-80	vs. #14 USC
2/8/2001	Away	W 72-69	vs. #135 Oregon St
2/10/2001	Away	W 65-56	vs. #81 Oregon
2/17/2001	Home	L 56-88	vs. #2 Stanford
2/22/2001	Home	W 82-66	vs. #162 Washington
2/24/2001	Home	W 84-65	vs. #129 Washington St
3/1/2001	Away	L 75-79	vs. #11 UCLA
3/3/2001	Away	L 69-74	vs. #14 USC
3/8/2001	Home	W 86-67	vs. #92 Arizona St
3/10/2001	Home	L 76-78	vs. #3 Arizona
3/16/2001	Neut	L 70-82	vs. #24 Fresno St

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)