NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

MICHIGAN ST
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 28-5
Power Rating: 94.393
Ranking: 4

10-4 v #1-25
3-1 v #26-50
3-0 v #51-100
9-0 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-319

Home Ratings (14-0): 101.04 (1) 6-0 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 8-0 96.939 Non-League Ratings: 6-0 95.314 Last Ten Ratings: 2-0 93.080

Away Ratings (6-3): 93.291 (7)
2-2 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
1-0 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-319
League Ratings: 5-3 93.471
Non-League Ratings: 1-0 101.39
Last Ten Ratings: 2-0 100.42

Neutral Ratings (8-2): 92.033 (14) 2-2 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 0-1 85.361 Non-League Ratings: 8-1 93.584 Last Ten Ratings: 4-2 91.420

League Ratings (13-4): 93.246 (5)
5-3 v #1-25
2-1 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
4-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 8-0 96.939
Away Ratings: 5-3 93.471
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 85.361
Last Ten Ratings: 4-1 93.955

Non-League Ratings (15-1): 96.346 (3) 5-1 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 6-0 95.314 Away Ratings: 1-0 101.39 Neutral Ratings: 8-1 93.584 Last Ten Ratings: 4-1 93.275

Wins Ratings: 97.041 (4)
10-4 v #1-25
3-1 v #26-50
3-0 v #51-100
9-0 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 14-0 108.47
Away Ratings: 6-3 96.018
Neutral Ratings: 8-2 94.096
Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 97.564

Points Ratings: 91.230 (4) 8-3 v #1-25 5-2 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 8-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 14-0 94.730 Away Ratings: 6-3 90.316 Neutral Ratings: 8-2 89.633 League Ratings: 13-4 90.701 Non-League Ratings: 15-1 91.980 Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 90.836

Last Ten Ratings (8-2): 94.529 (5)
3-1 v #1-25
3-1 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 2-0 93.080
Away Ratings: 2-0 100.42
Neutral Ratings: 4-2 91.420
League Ratings: 4-1 93.955
Non-League Ratings: 4-1 93.275

Home Advantage: 12.551 (13)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1280 (32)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.3147 (27)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4725 (22)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5971 (19)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.7305 (17)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.9159 (14)

Upward Stability: 2.1526 (302)

Downward Stability: 3.1709 (121)

RPI
RPI: 0.6495 (4)
10-4 v #1-25
2-1 v #26-50
4-0 v #51-100
10-0 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-319

RPI Home (14-0): 0.6933 (1) 4-0 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 4-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-319

RPI Away (6-3): 0.5838 (15)
0-2 v #1-25
2-1 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
1-0 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-319

RPI Neutral (8-2): 0.6470 (22) 2-2 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-319

RPI League (13-4): 0.6293 (11)
2-3 v #1-25
5-1 v #26-50
1-0 v #51-100
5-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319

RPI Non-League (15-1): 0.6702 (2) 1-1 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 4-0 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-319

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5832 (17)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/19/2000	Home	W 97-61	vs. #200 Oakland
11/24/2000	Neut	W 89-56	vs. #301 Cornell
11/25/2000	Neut	W 83-61	vs. #140 Eastern Wash
11/29/2000	Home	W 77-64	vs. #6 North Carolina
12/2/2000	Home	W 97-53	vs. #150 Illinois Chi
12/6/2000	Home	W 99-83	vs. #10 Florida
12/9/2000	Away	W 103-71	vs. #232 Loyola Chi
12/16/2000	Home	W 46-45	vs. #8 Kentucky
12/19/2000	Neut	W 72-57	vs. #80 Seton Hall
12/27/2000	Neut	W 85-69	vs. #137 Bowling Green
12/30/2000	Home	W 88-61	vs. #126 Wright St
1/3/2001	Home	W 98-73	vs. #23 Penn St
1/7/2001	Away	L 58-59	vs. #20 Indiana
1/10/2001	Home	W 84-53	vs. #128 Northwestern
1/13/2001	Home	W 69-59	vs. #25 Wisconsin
1/21/2001	Home	W 71-56	vs. #29 Ohio St
1/24/2001	Away	W 74-58	vs. #128 Northwestern
1/27/2001	Away	L 55-64	vs. #29 Ohio St
1/30/2001	Away	W 91-64	vs. #131 Michigan
2/4/2001	Home	W 72-55	vs. #60 Purdue
2/6/2001	Away	L 66-77	vs. #5 Illinois
2/10/2001	Away	W 94-83	vs. #65 Minnesota
2/18/2001	Home	W 94-70	vs. #28 Iowa
2/20/2001	Home	W 66-57	vs. #20 Indiana
2/24/2001	Away	W 76-57	vs. #23 Penn St
2/27/2001	Away	W 51-47	vs. #25 Wisconsin
3/3/2001	Home	W 78-57	vs. #131 Michigan
3/9/2001	Neut	L 63-65	vs. #23 Penn St
3/16/2001	Neut	W 69-35	vs. #204 Alabama St
3/18/2001	Neut	W 81-65	vs. #24 Fresno St
3/23/2001	Neut	W 77-62	vs. #37 Gonzaga
3/25/2001	Neut	W 69-62	vs. #18 Temple
3/31/2001	Neut	L 61-80	vs. #3 Arizona

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)