NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

MARQUETTE
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 15-14
Power Rating: 79.890
Ranking: 97

0-2 v #1-25
2-3 v #26-50
6-5 v #51-100
3-4 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-319

Home Ratings (9-6): 78.220 (116) 0-1 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 4-2 v #51-100 2-2 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 5-3 79.062 Non-League Ratings: 4-3 75.819 Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 78.437

Away Ratings (4-7): 82.851 (65)
0-1 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
2-2 v #51-100
1-2 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319
League Ratings: 4-4 84.034
Non-League Ratings: 0-3 81.249
Last Ten Ratings: 1-4 78.749

Neutral Ratings (2-1): 76.968 (130) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 1-1 75.015 Non-League Ratings: 1-0 84.890 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 75.015

League Ratings (10-8): 81.065 (78)
0-0 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
4-3 v #51-100
2-3 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 5-3 79.062
Away Ratings: 4-4 84.034
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 75.015
Last Ten Ratings: 4-6 77.913

Non-League Ratings (5-6): 76.909 (134) 0-2 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 2-2 v #51-100 1-1 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 4-3 75.819 Away Ratings: 0-3 81.249 Neutral Ratings: 1-0 84.890 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 79.890

Wins Ratings: 80.444 (98)
0-2 v #1-25
2-3 v #26-50
6-4 v #51-100
3-5 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 9-6 78.384
Away Ratings: 4-7 84.089
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 76.851
Last Ten Ratings: 4-6 76.901

Points Ratings: 79.228 (94) 0-2 v #1-25 2-4 v #26-50 6-4 v #51-100 3-4 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 9-6 77.802 Away Ratings: 4-7 81.671 Neutral Ratings: 2-1 77.040 League Ratings: 10-8 80.257 Non-League Ratings: 5-6 76.708 Last Ten Ratings: 4-6 77.472

Last Ten Ratings (4-6): 77.097 (136)
1-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-2 v #51-100
1-3 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 2-1 78.437
Away Ratings: 1-4 78.749
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 75.015
League Ratings: 4-6 77.913
Non-League Ratings: 0-0 79.890

Home Advantage: 0.7614 (248)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0815 (80)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2237 (82)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.3592 (82)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.4877 (77)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6448 (71)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8712 (61)

Upward Stability: 3.4271 (32)

Downward Stability: 3.3795 (77)

RPI
RPI: 0.5256 (112)
2-2 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
3-5 v #51-100
6-3 v #101-200
4-1 v #201-319

RPI Home (9-6): 0.5511 (133) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 5-2 v #51-100 2-2 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-319

RPI Away (4-7): 0.5058 (77)
1-1 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
1-2 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
0-1 v #201-319

RPI Neutral (2-1): 0.4706 (177) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-319

RPI League (10-8): 0.5283 (105)
0-0 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
3-2 v #51-100
3-4 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-319

RPI Non-League (5-6): 0.5214 (118) 0-2 v #1-25 0-3 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-319

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5284 (86)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/14/2000	Home	L 54-67	vs. #108 South Alabama
11/20/2000	Home	W 68-64	vs. #62 Massachusetts
12/1/2000	Neut	W 66-47	vs. #271 Centenary
12/2/2000	Home	W 69-66	vs. #79 CS Northridge
12/7/2000	Home	L 59-61	vs. #65 Minnesota
12/9/2000	Home	W 48-46	vs. #164 Arkansas Lr
12/16/2000	Away	L 59-75	vs. #40 Xavier
12/20/2000	Home	W 78-66	vs. #285 Westrn Carolina
12/23/2000	Home	L 47-52	vs. #25 Wisconsin
12/30/2000	Away	L 60-61	vs. #57 Dayton
1/6/2001	Away	W 69-49	vs. #141 DePaul
1/10/2001	Home	W 47-44	vs. #30 Cincinnati
1/13/2001	Away	L 54-84	vs. #6 North Carolina
1/17/2001	Home	W 72-68	vs. #76 South Florida
1/20/2001	Home	L 71-74	vs. #36 NC Charlotte
1/24/2001	Away	W 73-64	vs. #87 St Louis
1/27/2001	Home	W 82-57	vs. #225 Tulane
1/30/2001	Home	L 65-78	vs. #52 SO Mississippi
2/2/2001	Away	W 71-65	vs. #70 Memphis
2/8/2001	Away	L 65-75	vs. #121 Louisville
2/11/2001	Home	W 75-69	vs. #87 St Louis
2/14/2001	Away	L 66-72	vs. #100 Uab
2/18/2001	Away	W 66-63	vs. #30 Cincinnati
2/22/2001	Home	W 82-64	vs. #141 DePaul
2/24/2001	Home	L 74-77	vs. #121 Louisville
2/28/2001	Away	L 64-66	vs. #182 Houston
3/3/2001	Away	L 62-85	vs. #36 NC Charlotte
3/7/2001	Neut	W 72-67	vs. #225 Tulane
3/8/2001	Neut	L 64-71	vs. #70 Memphis

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)