NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

NC CHARLOTTE
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 22-11
Power Rating: 85.779
Ranking: 36

0-2 v #1-25
3-2 v #26-50
10-6 v #51-100
6-1 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-319

Home Ratings (12-2): 85.263 (42) 0-0 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 6-2 v #51-100 4-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 7-2 81.240 Non-League Ratings: 5-0 92.060 Last Ten Ratings: 5-0 84.896

Away Ratings (9-7): 86.271 (33)
0-1 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
4-4 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-319
League Ratings: 6-4 85.560
Non-League Ratings: 3-3 87.888
Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 89.904

Neutral Ratings (1-2): 84.755 (57) 0-1 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 0-0 85.779 Non-League Ratings: 1-2 84.310 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 87.732

League Ratings (13-6): 85.083 (41)
0-0 v #1-25
2-1 v #26-50
6-4 v #51-100
4-1 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 7-2 81.240
Away Ratings: 6-4 85.560
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 85.779
Last Ten Ratings: 7-1 87.833

Non-League Ratings (9-5): 86.826 (36) 0-2 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 4-2 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 5-0 92.060 Away Ratings: 3-3 87.888 Neutral Ratings: 1-2 84.310 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 87.732

Wins Ratings: 87.441 (39)
1-2 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
10-5 v #51-100
6-2 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 12-2 86.605
Away Ratings: 9-7 87.896
Neutral Ratings: 1-2 87.144
Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 93.597

Points Ratings: 83.769 (35) 0-2 v #1-25 5-1 v #26-50 9-7 v #51-100 5-1 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 12-2 83.207 Away Ratings: 9-7 84.544 Neutral Ratings: 1-2 81.738 League Ratings: 13-6 82.804 Non-League Ratings: 9-5 85.308 Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 86.216

Last Ten Ratings (8-2): 90.326 (14)
1-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
3-1 v #51-100
4-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 5-0 84.896
Away Ratings: 2-1 89.904
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 87.732
League Ratings: 7-1 87.833
Non-League Ratings: 1-1 87.732

Home Advantage: 3.3631 (173)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0894 (62)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2509 (57)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4031 (54)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5346 (51)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6982 (37)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.9064 (22)

Upward Stability: 3.4777 (25)

Downward Stability: 4.0610 (10)

RPI
RPI: 0.5739 (45)
3-3 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
7-3 v #51-100
9-4 v #101-200
3-1 v #201-319

RPI Home (12-2): 0.6120 (42) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 5-2 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-319

RPI Away (9-7): 0.5392 (38)
1-1 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
4-1 v #51-100
1-3 v #101-200
2-1 v #201-319

RPI Neutral (1-2): 0.5843 (61) 0-1 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-319

RPI League (13-6): 0.5758 (44)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
5-1 v #51-100
5-5 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-319

RPI Non-League (9-5): 0.5715 (60) 1-1 v #1-25 1-3 v #26-50 3-1 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-319

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5430 (67)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/17/2000	Home	W 89-75	vs. #148 Fordham
11/18/2000	Away	W 95-78	vs. #78 NO Carolina St
11/25/2000	Away	L 78-79	vs. #77 St Bonaventure
11/28/2000	Home	W 95-63	vs. #74 Miami Fla
12/2/2000	Home	W 98-77	vs. #61 South Carolina
12/6/2000	Home	W 88-46	vs. #296 Charleston Sou
12/9/2000	Away	W 69-53	vs. #220 Davidson
12/16/2000	Away	L 72-76	vs. #20 Indiana
12/20/2000	Away	W 94-81	vs. #54 Texas El Paso
12/29/2000	Neut	L 70-81	vs. #46 Pepperdine
12/30/2000	Away	L 78-91	vs. #92 Arizona St
1/3/2001	Home	W 84-73	vs. #101 Geo Washington
1/6/2001	Away	L 66-76	vs. #30 Cincinnati
1/10/2001	Home	L 71-78	vs. #76 South Florida
1/13/2001	Home	L 56-69	vs. #87 St Louis
1/17/2001	Away	W 73-62	vs. #141 DePaul
1/20/2001	Away	W 74-71	vs. #97 Marquette
1/24/2001	Away	L 61-81	vs. #100 Uab
1/27/2001	Home	W 71-60	vs. #52 SO Mississippi
2/1/2001	Home	W 60-58	vs. #30 Cincinnati
2/4/2001	Away	L 72-73	vs. #182 Houston
2/11/2001	Away	W 106-72	vs. #121 Louisville
2/14/2001	Away	W 98-93	vs. #225 Tulane
2/17/2001	Home	W 83-76	vs. #70 Memphis
2/21/2001	Home	W 74-68	vs. #121 Louisville
2/25/2001	Away	L 70-85	vs. #87 St Louis
2/28/2001	Home	W 90-66	vs. #141 DePaul
3/3/2001	Home	W 85-62	vs. #97 Marquette
3/8/2001	Home	W 77-74	vs. #76 South Florida
3/9/2001	Away	W 75-63	vs. #52 SO Mississippi
3/10/2001	Away	W 80-72	vs. #30 Cincinnati
3/16/2001	Neut	W 70-63	vs. #26 Tennessee
3/18/2001	Neut	L 61-79	vs. #5 Illinois

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)