NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

NC WILMINGTON
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 19-11
Power Rating: 78.783
Ranking: 107

0-0 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
0-4 v #51-100
13-4 v #101-200
5-2 v #201-319

Home Ratings (13-3): 77.916 (118) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 8-2 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 8-2 77.096 Non-League Ratings: 5-1 74.572 Last Ten Ratings: 6-1 77.283

Away Ratings (6-8): 79.498 (102)
0-0 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
5-2 v #101-200
0-2 v #201-319
League Ratings: 4-4 76.822
Non-League Ratings: 2-4 82.830
Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 82.143

Neutral Ratings (0-0): 78.783 (110) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 0-0 78.783 Non-League Ratings: 0-0 78.783 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 78.783

League Ratings (12-6): 78.404 (113)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
10-2 v #101-200
2-2 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 8-2 77.096
Away Ratings: 4-4 76.822
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 78.783
Last Ten Ratings: 8-1 79.197

Non-League Ratings (7-5): 79.752 (104) 0-0 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 3-2 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 5-1 74.572 Away Ratings: 2-4 82.830 Neutral Ratings: 0-0 78.783 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 78.408

Wins Ratings: 79.600 (109)
0-0 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
0-4 v #51-100
13-4 v #101-200
5-2 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 13-3 77.916
Away Ratings: 6-8 80.893
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 79.600
Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 82.736

Points Ratings: 77.772 (110) 0-0 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 2-5 v #51-100 10-3 v #101-200 6-2 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 13-3 77.598 Away Ratings: 6-8 77.936 Neutral Ratings: 0-0 77.772 League Ratings: 12-6 77.252 Non-League Ratings: 7-5 79.061 Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 79.475

Last Ten Ratings (8-2): 81.318 (82)
0-0 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
5-0 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 6-1 77.283
Away Ratings: 2-1 82.143
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 78.783
League Ratings: 8-1 79.197
Non-League Ratings: 0-1 78.408

Home Advantage: 2.5496 (198)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0445 (154)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1412 (154)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.2439 (154)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.3456 (162)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.4955 (164)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.7783 (166)

Upward Stability: 2.8953 (195)

Downward Stability: 3.3731 (79)

RPI
RPI: 0.5361 (94)
0-1 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
2-2 v #51-100
11-3 v #101-200
5-3 v #201-319

RPI Home (13-3): 0.5652 (108) 0-0 v #1-25 1-2 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 6-1 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-319

RPI Away (6-8): 0.5034 (82)
0-1 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
2-3 v #201-319

RPI Neutral (0-0): 0.5361 (105) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-319

RPI League (12-6): 0.5456 (81)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
2-3 v #51-100
7-2 v #101-200
3-1 v #201-319

RPI Non-League (7-5): 0.5225 (117) 0-1 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 4-2 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-319

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5038 (128)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/17/2000	Home	L 71-78	vs. #130 La Salle
11/18/2000	Home	W 90-64	vs. #268 Alcorn St
11/21/2000	Away	L 73-82	vs. #190 Duquesne
11/27/2000	Home	W 91-76	vs. #137 Bowling Green
12/2/2000	Away	L 69-77	vs. #94 Valparaiso
12/6/2000	Away	L 54-74	vs. #209 William & Mary
12/16/2000	Away	W 53-48	vs. #31 Butler
12/22/2000	Home	W 61-56	vs. #273 Central Florida
12/28/2000	Away	L 55-65	vs. #30 Cincinnati
12/30/2000	Away	W 59-44	vs. #109 Miami Ohio
1/2/2001	Home	W 64-54	vs. #191 Radford
1/6/2001	Away	W 57-53	vs. #102 George Mason
1/8/2001	Away	L 39-53	vs. #265 American
1/10/2001	Home	W 66-48	vs. #313 High Point
1/13/2001	Home	W 73-66	vs. #184 East Carolina
1/17/2001	Home	L 37-41	vs. #58 Richmond
1/20/2001	Away	W 61-60	vs. #195 James Madison
1/22/2001	Away	L 55-70	vs. #144 VA Commonwealth
1/27/2001	Home	W 63-50	vs. #209 William & Mary
1/31/2001	Away	L 70-73	vs. #58 Richmond
2/3/2001	Home	W 56-54	vs. #195 James Madison
2/5/2001	Home	W 50-42	vs. #102 George Mason
2/10/2001	Home	W 59-48	vs. #163 Old Dominion
2/12/2001	Home	W 62-46	vs. #265 American
2/17/2001	Away	W 78-69	vs. #184 East Carolina
2/21/2001	Home	W 65-44	vs. #144 VA Commonwealth
2/26/2001	Away	W 62-59	vs. #163 Old Dominion
3/4/2001	Home	W 57-54	vs. #163 Old Dominion
3/5/2001	Home	L 33-35	vs. #102 George Mason
3/14/2001	Away	L 59-68	vs. #57 Dayton

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)