NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles:
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
Wall St. Journal Competition Results
Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains
NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2)
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2)
2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds
March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled
Spreading the Nerd Word

Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

SIENA
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 19-11
Power Rating: 76.951
Ranking: 134

0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
14-7 v #101-200
5-1 v #201-319

Home Ratings (11-2): 78.451 (113)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
9-2 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-319
League Ratings: 7-2 75.232
Non-League Ratings: 4-0 83.342
Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 73.170

Away Ratings (6-7): 76.807 (132)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
3-4 v #101-200
3-1 v #201-319
League Ratings: 5-4 78.017
Non-League Ratings: 1-3 70.373
Last Ten Ratings: 4-1 83.240

Neutral Ratings (2-2): 74.529 (155)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319
League Ratings: 1-1 72.857
Non-League Ratings: 1-1 72.107
Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 72.857

League Ratings (13-7): 76.926 (133)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
9-7 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 7-2 75.232
Away Ratings: 5-4 78.017
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 72.857
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 77.928

Non-League Ratings (6-4): 77.021 (133)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
5-0 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 4-0 83.342
Away Ratings: 1-3 70.373
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 72.107
Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 76.951

Wins Ratings: 77.680 (129)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
14-7 v #101-200
5-1 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 11-2 78.476
Away Ratings: 6-7 77.859
Neutral Ratings: 2-2 75.781
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 79.945

Points Ratings: 75.957 (144)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
11-7 v #101-200
8-1 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 11-2 77.988
Away Ratings: 6-7 75.656
Neutral Ratings: 2-2 72.527
League Ratings: 13-7 76.100
Non-League Ratings: 6-4 75.578
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 77.617

Last Ten Ratings (7-3): 78.939 (104)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
3-3 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 2-1 73.170
Away Ratings: 4-1 83.240
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 72.857
League Ratings: 7-3 77.928
Non-League Ratings: 0-0 76.951

Home Advantage: 6.3120 (97)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0237 (273)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.0956 (248)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.1867 (225)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.2896 (210)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.4522 (199)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.7782 (167)

Upward Stability: 3.2825 (70)

Downward Stability: 3.8389 (22)

RPI
RPI: 0.5212 (117)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-3 v #51-100
10-7 v #101-200
8-1 v #201-319

RPI Home (11-2): 0.5863 (75)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
4-0 v #51-100
3-1 v #101-200
4-1 v #201-319

RPI Away (6-7): 0.4623 (146)
0-0 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
3-4 v #101-200
3-1 v #201-319

RPI Neutral (2-2): 0.5004 (143)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
1-1 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-319

RPI League (13-7): 0.5275 (107)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
5-7 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-319

RPI Non-League (6-4): 0.5092 (128)
0-0 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
4-0 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-319

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4838 (179)

GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/21/2000	Home	W 67-59	vs. #191 Radford
11/24/2000	Neut	L 91-111	vs. #75 TCU
11/26/2000	Neut	W 91-89	vs. #190 Duquesne
12/2/2000	Home	W 84-79	vs. #105 Cleveland St
12/5/2000	Away	W 87-82	vs. #305 Hartford
12/7/2000	Home	W 89-68	vs. #290 St Peters
12/10/2000	Away	L 58-62	vs. #161 Marist
12/13/2000	Away	L 85-99	vs. #77 St Bonaventure
12/23/2000	Home	W 107-91	vs. #148 Fordham
12/28/2000	Away	L 77-81	vs. #218 Rhode Island
1/2/2001	Away	L 67-87	vs. #57 Dayton
1/4/2001	Home	W 82-59	vs. #281 Loyola MD
1/7/2001	Away	L 83-104	vs. #166 Niagara
1/10/2001	Away	L 77-95	vs. #142 Canisius
1/13/2001	Home	W 76-52	vs. #139 Rice
1/15/2001	Home	W 100-71	vs. #122 Iona
1/19/2001	Away	W 80-77	vs. #290 St Peters
1/21/2001	Home	W 89-82	vs. #142 Canisius
1/25/2001	Home	L 72-82	vs. #167 Manhattan
1/28/2001	Home	W 71-53	vs. #199 Fairfield
2/1/2001	Away	W 94-54	vs. #171 Rider
2/4/2001	Away	L 51-56	vs. #167 Manhattan
2/8/2001	Away	W 65-56	vs. #281 Loyola MD
2/11/2001	Home	W 69-62	vs. #171 Rider
2/16/2001	Away	W 65-46	vs. #199 Fairfield
2/18/2001	Away	W 81-79	vs. #122 Iona
2/21/2001	Home	W 63-54	vs. #161 Marist
2/24/2001	Home	L 65-69	vs. #166 Niagara
3/3/2001	Neut	W 79-76	vs. #167 Manhattan
3/4/2001	Neut	L 64-76	vs. #142 Canisius

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)