NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

ST JOSEPHS
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 26-7
Power Rating: 87.784
Ranking: 21

2-1 v #1-25
2-1 v #26-50
7-3 v #51-100
10-2 v #101-200
5-0 v #201-319

Home Ratings (13-1): 87.315 (36) 1-0 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 3-1 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 8-0 87.542 Non-League Ratings: 5-1 76.448 Last Ten Ratings: 3-0 90.253

Away Ratings (9-4): 88.823 (20)
1-0 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
4-1 v #51-100
3-2 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-319
League Ratings: 6-2 89.936
Non-League Ratings: 3-2 85.706
Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 88.971

Neutral Ratings (4-2): 85.800 (45) 0-1 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 1-1 81.073 Non-League Ratings: 3-1 89.831 Last Ten Ratings: 2-2 85.362

League Ratings (15-3): 89.485 (16)
2-0 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
5-1 v #51-100
5-1 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 8-0 87.542
Away Ratings: 6-2 89.936
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 81.073
Last Ten Ratings: 6-2 86.721

Non-League Ratings (11-4): 85.331 (46) 0-1 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 2-2 v #51-100 5-1 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 5-1 76.448 Away Ratings: 3-2 85.706 Neutral Ratings: 3-1 89.831 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 90.221

Wins Ratings: 90.239 (18)
2-1 v #1-25
2-1 v #26-50
6-3 v #51-100
11-2 v #101-200
5-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 13-1 91.013
Away Ratings: 9-4 90.954
Neutral Ratings: 4-2 87.622
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 89.466

Points Ratings: 84.807 (24) 2-1 v #1-25 2-1 v #26-50 8-3 v #51-100 10-2 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 13-1 83.139 Away Ratings: 9-4 86.417 Neutral Ratings: 4-2 83.690 League Ratings: 15-3 86.180 Non-League Ratings: 11-4 82.862 Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 85.725

Last Ten Ratings (7-3): 87.757 (27)
1-1 v #1-25
2-0 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
1-1 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 3-0 90.253
Away Ratings: 2-1 88.971
Neutral Ratings: 2-2 85.362
League Ratings: 6-2 86.721
Non-League Ratings: 1-1 90.221

Home Advantage: 3.5786 (167)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0829 (79)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2194 (84)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.3556 (86)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.4815 (84)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6328 (86)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8624 (73)

Upward Stability: 2.5840 (260)

Downward Stability: 3.5615 (44)

RPI
RPI: 0.5873 (31)
2-1 v #1-25
2-1 v #26-50
8-3 v #51-100
7-2 v #101-200
7-0 v #201-319

RPI Home (13-1): 0.6190 (32) 0-0 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 5-1 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-319

RPI Away (9-4): 0.5637 (23)
0-0 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
3-0 v #51-100
2-2 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-319

RPI Neutral (4-2): 0.5649 (83) 1-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-319

RPI League (15-3): 0.6032 (23)
2-0 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
3-1 v #51-100
4-1 v #101-200
5-0 v #201-319

RPI Non-League (11-4): 0.5687 (62) 0-1 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 2-2 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-319

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5205 (99)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/17/2000	Neut	W 103-53	vs. #285 Westrn Carolina
11/18/2000	Neut	W 84-71	vs. #177 SO Carolina St
11/19/2000	Away	L 76-78	vs. #85 Vanderbilt
11/26/2000	Away	W 92-78	vs. #99 Colorado
11/29/2000	Home	W 70-65	vs. #163 Old Dominion
12/5/2000	Away	W 67-65	vs. #114 Rutgers
12/9/2000	Home	W 68-54	vs. #174 Drexel
12/11/2000	Home	L 75-78	vs. #56 Villanova
12/17/2000	Away	L 76-80	vs. #141 DePaul
12/21/2000	Away	W 74-68	vs. #69 Western KY
12/27/2000	Home	W 79-69	vs. #290 St Peters
12/30/2000	Home	W 72-67	vs. #117 Delaware
1/3/2001	Home	W 75-60	vs. #190 Duquesne
1/6/2001	Away	W 92-67	vs. #218 Rhode Island
1/10/2001	Away	W 76-71	vs. #101 Geo Washington
1/14/2001	Home	W 84-71	vs. #57 Dayton
1/16/2001	Away	W 73-51	vs. #18 Temple
1/20/2001	Away	L 73-86	vs. #40 Xavier
1/24/2001	Home	W 82-67	vs. #218 Rhode Island
1/27/2001	Home	W 67-61	vs. #206 Pennsylvania
2/1/2001	Home	W 104-97	vs. #77 St Bonaventure
2/7/2001	Home	W 79-76	vs. #40 Xavier
2/10/2001	Away	W 78-76	vs. #77 St Bonaventure
2/13/2001	Home	W 71-62	vs. #18 Temple
2/18/2001	Home	W 88-78	vs. #148 Fordham
2/21/2001	Away	W 82-72	vs. #57 Dayton
2/25/2001	Away	W 90-70	vs. #190 Duquesne
2/27/2001	Home	W 84-69	vs. #62 Massachusetts
3/3/2001	Away	L 90-91	vs. #130 La Salle
3/8/2001	Neut	W 82-74	vs. #130 La Salle
3/9/2001	Neut	L 70-75	vs. #62 Massachusetts
3/15/2001	Neut	W 66-62	vs. #33 Georgia Tech
3/17/2001	Neut	L 83-90	vs. #2 Stanford

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)