NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

TEXAS
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 25-9
Power Rating: 88.025
Ranking: 17

3-7 v #1-25
2-0 v #26-50
9-2 v #51-100
7-0 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-319

Home Ratings (16-1): 90.502 (18) 2-1 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 4-0 v #51-100 4-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 7-1 86.697 Non-League Ratings: 9-0 87.572 Last Ten Ratings: 3-0 96.525

Away Ratings (6-5): 87.232 (29)
0-3 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
3-2 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319
League Ratings: 5-3 88.400
Non-League Ratings: 1-2 79.994
Last Ten Ratings: 3-0 97.306

Neutral Ratings (3-3): 86.392 (41) 1-3 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 2-1 85.634 Non-League Ratings: 1-2 85.134 Last Ten Ratings: 2-2 83.689

League Ratings (14-5): 88.521 (21)
1-4 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
7-1 v #51-100
5-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 7-1 86.697
Away Ratings: 5-3 88.400
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 85.634
Last Ten Ratings: 8-1 90.959

Non-League Ratings (11-4): 87.134 (29) 2-3 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 2-1 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 9-0 87.572 Away Ratings: 1-2 79.994 Neutral Ratings: 1-2 85.134 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 73.962

Wins Ratings: 90.718 (17)
3-7 v #1-25
2-0 v #26-50
8-2 v #51-100
8-0 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 16-1 94.195
Away Ratings: 6-5 89.707
Neutral Ratings: 3-3 89.019
Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 93.238

Points Ratings: 84.707 (25) 4-7 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 9-2 v #51-100 7-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 16-1 86.164 Away Ratings: 6-5 84.429 Neutral Ratings: 3-3 83.011 League Ratings: 14-5 85.105 Non-League Ratings: 11-4 83.941 Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 86.675

Last Ten Ratings (8-2): 90.337 (13)
0-2 v #1-25
2-0 v #26-50
4-0 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 3-0 96.525
Away Ratings: 3-0 97.306
Neutral Ratings: 2-2 83.689
League Ratings: 8-1 90.959
Non-League Ratings: 0-1 73.962

Home Advantage: 7.6976 (66)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1188 (42)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2794 (48)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4249 (47)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5476 (43)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6885 (44)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8875 (37)

Upward Stability: 2.9878 (169)

Downward Stability: 3.7945 (24)

RPI
RPI: 0.6178 (12)
3-7 v #1-25
2-0 v #26-50
5-1 v #51-100
10-1 v #101-200
5-0 v #201-319

RPI Home (16-1): 0.6587 (3) 3-0 v #1-25 4-1 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-319

RPI Away (6-5): 0.5510 (29)
0-3 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-0 v #51-100
3-2 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-319

RPI Neutral (3-3): 0.6227 (36) 1-2 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-319

RPI League (14-5): 0.6184 (14)
1-4 v #1-25
3-0 v #26-50
4-1 v #51-100
6-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-319

RPI Non-League (11-4): 0.6172 (21) 1-2 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 3-1 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-319

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5787 (21)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/13/2000	Home	W 79-65	vs. #168 Navy
11/15/2000	Home	W 57-54	vs. #27 California
11/22/2000	Neut	L 69-95	vs. #1 Duke
11/24/2000	Neut	W 70-58	vs. #20 Indiana
11/28/2000	Home	W 70-51	vs. #215 Tex San Antonio
12/2/2000	Home	W 90-60	vs. #245 SW Texas St
12/9/2000	Away	L 69-87	vs. #76 South Florida
12/16/2000	Home	W 79-71	vs. #237 Texas A&M-CC
12/20/2000	Away	W 71-60	vs. #182 Houston
12/23/2000	Home	W 72-64	vs. #5 Illinois
12/28/2000	Home	W 74-43	vs. #241 NC Asheville
12/30/2000	Home	W 70-59	vs. #68 Utah
1/6/2001	Home	W 78-71	vs. #53 Oklahoma St
1/10/2001	Home	W 63-41	vs. #120 Kansas St
1/13/2001	Away	L 67-80	vs. #98 Nebraska
1/15/2001	Home	W 60-56	vs. #59 Connecticut
1/17/2001	Away	W 76-58	vs. #170 Texas A&M
1/20/2001	Home	W 73-66	vs. #89 Baylor
1/24/2001	Away	L 68-75	vs. #15 Oklahoma
1/27/2001	Away	L 52-80	vs. #3 Arizona
1/30/2001	Home	W 81-61	vs. #170 Texas A&M
2/3/2001	Away	L 66-82	vs. #12 Kansas
2/7/2001	Away	W 77-72	vs. #99 Colorado
2/10/2001	Home	L 54-75	vs. #15 Oklahoma
2/13/2001	Home	W 73-56	vs. #185 Texas Tech
2/17/2001	Away	W 80-69	vs. #53 Oklahoma St
2/21/2001	Away	W 69-59	vs. #89 Baylor
2/24/2001	Home	W 94-78	vs. #16 Iowa St
2/26/2001	Home	W 76-61	vs. #44 Missouri
3/3/2001	Away	W 78-55	vs. #185 Texas Tech
3/9/2001	Neut	W 55-54	vs. #53 Oklahoma St
3/10/2001	Neut	W 76-62	vs. #89 Baylor
3/11/2001	Neut	L 45-54	vs. #15 Oklahoma
3/16/2001	Neut	L 65-79	vs. #18 Temple

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)