NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

UTAH ST
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 24-6
Power Rating: 84.565
Ranking: 45

0-1 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
4-2 v #51-100
10-3 v #101-200
9-0 v #201-319

Home Ratings (14-0): 88.987 (23) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 6-0 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 10-0 86.425 Non-League Ratings: 4-0 78.878 Last Ten Ratings: 4-0 87.503

Away Ratings (6-4): 81.264 (79)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
3-2 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-319
League Ratings: 5-3 82.221
Non-League Ratings: 1-1 83.862
Last Ten Ratings: 1-2 79.307

Neutral Ratings (4-2): 86.721 (40) 0-1 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 1-1 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-319 League Ratings: 1-0 95.190 Non-League Ratings: 3-2 84.636 Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 87.721

League Ratings (16-3): 84.159 (48)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
8-2 v #101-200
7-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 10-0 86.425
Away Ratings: 5-3 82.221
Neutral Ratings: 1-0 95.190
Last Ten Ratings: 6-2 82.386

Non-League Ratings (8-3): 85.167 (48) 0-1 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 3-1 v #51-100 2-1 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 4-0 78.878 Away Ratings: 1-1 83.862 Neutral Ratings: 3-2 84.636 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 86.690

Wins Ratings: 86.218 (47)
0-1 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
4-2 v #51-100
10-3 v #101-200
9-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 14-0 95.905
Away Ratings: 6-4 81.817
Neutral Ratings: 4-2 89.218
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 84.335

Points Ratings: 82.702 (45) 0-1 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 11-4 v #101-200 9-0 v #201-319 Home Ratings: 14-0 84.514 Away Ratings: 6-4 81.007 Neutral Ratings: 4-2 83.483 League Ratings: 16-3 83.233 Non-League Ratings: 8-3 81.948 Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 82.421

Last Ten Ratings (7-3): 83.386 (60)
1-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
4-2 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-319
Home Ratings: 4-0 87.503
Away Ratings: 1-2 79.307
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 87.721
League Ratings: 6-2 82.386
Non-League Ratings: 1-1 86.690

Home Advantage: 9.8079 (36)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0402 (173)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1303 (174)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.2291 (174)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.3305 (177)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.4774 (181)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.7506 (199)

Upward Stability: 2.1709 (300)

Downward Stability: 2.8824 (190)

RPI
RPI: 0.5675 (50)
0-1 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
3-2 v #51-100
11-2 v #101-200
9-0 v #201-319

RPI Home (14-0): 0.5891 (70) 0-0 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-319

RPI Away (6-4): 0.5083 (71)
0-0 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
3-3 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-319

RPI Neutral (4-2): 0.6168 (38) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-319

RPI League (16-3): 0.5570 (65)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
8-2 v #101-200
7-0 v #201-319

RPI Non-League (8-3): 0.5866 (45) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 5-2 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-319

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4900 (155)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/17/2000	Neut	W 76-67	vs. #86 Santa Clara
11/18/2000	Neut	W 69-66	vs. #76 South Florida
11/19/2000	Neut	L 76-80	vs. #110 Austin Peay
11/29/2000	Away	W 59-55	vs. #186 Idaho St
12/6/2000	Home	W 58-57	vs. #68 Utah
12/16/2000	Away	L 67-69	vs. #51 BYU
12/23/2000	Home	W 89-77	vs. #175 Weber St
12/29/2000	Home	W 88-43	vs. #315 Albany NY
12/30/2000	Home	W 59-50	vs. #229 Air Force
1/4/2001	Away	W 82-69	vs. #259 Cal Poly
1/6/2001	Away	W 80-58	vs. #272 Idaho
1/11/2001	Home	W 76-60	vs. #152 Long Beach St
1/13/2001	Home	W 73-59	vs. #136 Pacific
1/20/2001	Home	W 82-64	vs. #143 Boise St
1/25/2001	Away	W 62-51	vs. #136 Pacific
1/27/2001	Home	W 71-57	vs. #272 Idaho
1/31/2001	Away	L 51-56	vs. #73 UC Irvine
2/2/2001	Away	W 76-52	vs. #287 CS Fullerton
2/8/2001	Home	W 67-52	vs. #73 UC Irvine
2/10/2001	Home	W 58-46	vs. #287 CS Fullerton
2/15/2001	Away	W 71-48	vs. #172 Santa Barbara
2/17/2001	Away	L 56-71	vs. #152 Long Beach St
2/24/2001	Away	L 77-78	vs. #143 Boise St
3/1/2001	Home	W 83-50	vs. #172 Santa Barbara
3/3/2001	Home	W 82-55	vs. #259 Cal Poly
3/8/2001	Home	W 74-43	vs. #287 CS Fullerton
3/9/2001	Neut	W 67-48	vs. #143 Boise St
3/10/2001	Home	W 50-38	vs. #136 Pacific
3/15/2001	Neut	W 77-68	vs. #29 Ohio St
3/17/2001	Neut	L 50-75	vs. #11 UCLA

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)