NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Away Ratings

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 02 06:39:28 PST 2002

Home Court Advantage = 3.9904

SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 85.141


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Florida (6-4)90.3431-21-23-0
13. Kentucky (5-4)89.1833-10-12-2
19. Mississippi St (6-5)88.0741-20-23-1
20. Alabama (4-4)88.0092-11-21-1
21. Georgia (6-5)87.9673-10-02-3
23. South Carolina (6-5)87.7220-22-22-1
48. Tennessee (3-9)84.6030-60-22-1
50. Arkansas (3-7)84.2851-31-21-2
56. LSU (3-7)83.5920-42-11-1
65. Vanderbilt (2-7)82.3751-30-31-0
73. Mississippi (2-7)81.5510-31-10-3
179. Auburn (0-9)73.9930-30-20-3


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 83.992


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Maryland (7-2)96.0992-21-01-0
3. Duke (8-3)93.3502-10-12-0
22. North Carolina St (6-4)87.8120-31-02-1
38. Georgia Tech (4-6)85.7400-41-11-0
58. Wake Forest (4-7)83.3251-30-10-2
74. Virginia (3-7)81.3780-41-11-0
103. Clemson (3-7)78.5690-40-11-0
138. North Carolina (1-9)76.1700-60-10-1
188. Florida St (1-10)73.4900-50-11-2


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 83.451


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Stanford (7-3)93.0541-21-12-0
14. USC (8-5)89.0831-20-21-1
15. Arizona (6-5)89.0771-22-20-1
24. UCLA (5-5)87.6841-30-11-1
29. Oregon (5-6)86.9262-11-20-1
44. California (4-6)84.8851-30-11-1
91. Arizona St (2-9)79.6090-41-10-2
96. Oregon St (2-8)79.1500-40-20-1
105. Washington (3-10)78.3780-40-22-2
273. Washington St (0-12)66.6690-40-40-1


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 82.804


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Pittsburgh (7-2)91.7411-11-13-0
9. Connecticut (7-3)90.4341-01-13-1
16. Georgetown (6-4)89.0202-10-13-1
18. Notre Dame (7-4)88.2871-12-01-2
32. Boston College (5-4)86.8430-11-03-2
34. Miami Fla (5-4)86.7420-11-02-2
39. Syracuse (6-5)85.6521-10-13-2
80. St Johns (3-7)80.7250-30-11-3
83. Villanova (2-8)80.5861-20-20-4
86. Seton Hall (3-7)80.2060-30-20-1
128. Providence (2-9)76.6840-30-21-2
153. Rutgers (3-8)75.3750-20-20-3
178. Virginia Tech (1-10)74.0460-10-20-5
199. West Virginia (1-10)72.9100-30-11-3


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 80.862


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
25. Illinois (5-5)87.5950-32-02-2
27. Indiana (6-5)87.4920-22-21-1
30. Michigan St (4-5)86.8602-20-21-1
35. Ohio St (5-5)86.4130-11-32-1
57. Wisconsin (5-7)83.5551-12-21-2
75. Minnesota (3-8)81.3650-21-31-2
85. Northwestern (3-6)80.3160-20-20-2
117. Iowa (2-9)77.4060-31-10-3
124. Purdue (2-8)77.0430-31-10-2
208. Michigan (1-10)72.3820-20-30-3
250. Penn St (0-11)69.0600-40-30-3


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 80.361


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Kansas (10-1)96.9791-03-11-0
7. Oklahoma (7-4)90.9971-12-32-0
8. Texas (7-3)90.6640-13-02-1
47. Oklahoma St (5-5)84.6430-11-21-1
51. Texas Tech (5-5)84.1710-20-23-0
52. Missouri (4-5)84.1690-20-12-1
119. Colorado (2-9)77.3700-10-40-1
152. Texas A&M (3-9)75.3850-11-30-1
171. Nebraska (1-10)74.3440-10-40-2
227. Iowa St (0-10)71.0260-20-20-3
259. Kansas St (0-10)68.3010-20-30-3
278. Baylor (0-10)66.2850-20-30-1


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 80.244


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
17. Xavier (9-3)88.7670-01-12-2
28. Temple (8-5)87.4850-22-03-1
31. St Josephs (8-5)86.8580-00-22-3
42. Richmond (8-6)85.1030-12-32-0
43. Dayton (5-6)85.0320-20-10-3
76. St Bonaventure (6-8)81.0890-21-10-2
110. La Salle (4-8)77.9060-00-22-2
148. Geo Washington (3-8)75.6080-00-21-2
162. Massachusetts (2-9)74.9201-00-21-3
163. Rhode Island (3-12)74.7700-20-30-2
190. Duquesne (2-11)73.4200-10-30-3
214. Fordham (2-11)71.9650-10-20-4


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 79.936


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Cincinnati (8-3)92.6681-12-23-0
26. Memphis (6-4)87.5590-11-22-1
40. Marquette (5-5)85.5090-21-11-1
49. NC Charlotte (6-7)84.5930-30-32-1
69. Tulane (5-7)81.7980-30-11-3
87. Houston (6-7)79.9281-00-01-5
88. South Florida (5-7)79.8860-10-10-4
90. St Louis (3-8)79.7090-21-30-0
97. TCU (2-7)79.1060-20-21-2
104. Louisville (2-8)78.5090-50-11-1
122. DePaul (2-9)77.1100-31-20-3
191. Uab (1-10)73.3860-20-00-3
194. SO Mississippi (2-10)73.1210-20-00-4
279. East Carolina (0-11)66.2210-20-20-2


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 79.266


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
33. Utah (6-4)86.7600-10-02-3
55. Wyoming (6-6)83.6270-10-13-2
61. San Diego St (5-7)82.5590-10-03-5
77. Unlv (4-7)81.0530-20-01-4
113. New Mexico (2-8)77.6640-00-21-5
120. Colorado St (3-8)77.3160-10-00-7
176. BYU (1-11)74.0910-10-01-8
226. Air Force (2-10)71.0590-00-00-6


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 77.669


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
12. Tulsa (9-2)89.2830-00-02-2
46. Hawaii (6-3)84.7600-01-01-1
54. Louisiana Tech (9-7)83.7320-10-22-3
78. Fresno St (5-7)81.0350-00-20-3
84. SMU (6-6)80.5740-00-11-3
98. Nevada (6-8)79.0990-00-11-3
174. Boise St (3-10)74.2170-00-11-4
203. Rice (2-11)72.6220-00-10-5
270. Texas El Paso (0-12)66.7970-00-30-4
294. San Jose St (0-10)64.5690-00-10-3


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 76.890


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
59. Davidson (8-5)83.1800-00-12-2
68. Coll Of Charltn (7-4)82.1010-00-02-0
94. East Tenn St (6-8)79.2490-10-10-2
95. NC Greensboro (8-9)79.1580-20-10-2
116. Chattanooga (3-9)77.4350-20-11-1
125. Geo Southern (3-7)76.7960-00-01-2
127. Furman (5-9)76.7540-00-10-3
141. Westrn Carolina (6-8)76.0170-00-00-1
156. The Citadel (3-8)75.1390-20-00-1
172. Appalachian St (3-12)74.2490-00-10-5
216. VMI (2-12)71.6100-10-10-2
228. Wofford (2-12)70.9940-10-01-2


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 76.563


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
11. Gonzaga (10-2)90.2450-10-03-1
53. Pepperdine (7-5)84.1280-11-11-3
109. San Diego (5-5)78.0770-00-10-1
123. Santa Clara (4-8)77.1050-10-21-1
166. San Francisco (5-8)74.5490-00-10-4
200. St Marys CA (3-11)72.8970-00-10-6
233. Loyola Marymnt (3-9)70.6080-00-10-2
292. Portland (1-11)64.8930-10-10-2


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 75.555


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
37. Kent (8-3)85.8960-00-11-0
72. Bowling Green (7-5)81.6360-10-10-1
81. Ball St (6-7)80.7170-30-01-0
82. Ohio (8-5)80.7060-10-00-2
99. Western Mich (6-7)79.0380-10-01-1
147. Northern Ill (5-7)75.7270-00-01-1
149. Toledo (4-11)75.5530-20-10-2
180. Marshall (3-8)73.8550-20-00-1
184. Miami Ohio (2-11)73.7770-20-10-3
209. Buffalo (4-10)72.2930-10-00-3
238. Akron (2-9)70.3980-10-00-2
271. Central Mich (1-12)66.7700-10-10-1
281. Eastern Mich (1-9)65.8540-00-00-2


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 74.960


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
79. NC Wilmington (8-7)80.7840-21-00-1
93. George Mason (7-6)79.4270-01-00-1
146. James Madison (5-9)75.7610-10-00-2
154. VA Commonwealth (4-8)75.3740-00-01-1
159. Old Dominion (3-8)75.0970-00-00-2
164. Delaware (4-9)74.7490-00-01-1
177. Towson (4-10)74.0770-00-10-2
182. Drexel (3-9)73.8120-00-00-3
225. Hofstra (2-11)71.0640-00-00-3
248. William & Mary (2-11)69.4610-10-00-1


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 74.852


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
62. Utah St (7-4)82.5400-00-03-0
89. UC Irvine (7-6)79.8490-00-12-2
115. Pacific (6-6)77.4390-00-00-3
126. Long Beach St (4-8)76.7910-10-00-4
133. Santa Barbara (5-7)76.4660-10-00-2
137. CS Northridge (5-9)76.2350-00-01-5
186. North Texas (4-10)73.5170-00-20-3
192. UC Riverside (4-10)73.3660-00-10-4
196. Idaho (4-8)73.0350-00-00-4
206. Cal Poly (4-9)72.5030-00-00-4
306. CS Fullerton (0-13)61.6260-00-00-6


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 74.687


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
41. Pennsylvania (9-2)85.3510-01-00-0
66. Yale (9-3)82.1850-00-00-1
118. Princeton (5-6)77.4000-00-20-1
157. Brown (7-5)75.1210-00-01-1
207. Columbia (4-8)72.4600-00-11-2
232. Harvard (4-7)70.6290-00-00-1
245. Dartmouth (4-8)69.8260-00-00-1
295. Cornell (1-12)64.5230-10-00-3


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 74.619


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
60. Creighton (7-5)82.7220-00-10-2
71. Southern Ill (9-5)81.7110-00-02-0
139. Illinois St (4-9)76.1020-10-00-2
142. SW Missouri St (4-9)75.9720-00-10-2
173. Drake (4-9)74.2290-00-12-1
189. Northern Iowa (4-9)73.4860-00-10-2
213. Wichita St (3-9)72.0110-00-10-2
221. Indiana St (2-12)71.1630-00-10-3
229. Bradley (2-10)70.7790-00-00-3
261. Evansville (1-13)68.0110-00-20-2


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 74.241


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
36. Western KY (10-3)86.2731-00-00-2
54. Louisiana Tech (9-7)83.7320-10-22-3
114. Arkansas Lr (6-8)77.6120-10-11-1
132. New Mexico St (5-6)76.4820-00-10-1
140. New Orleans (7-8)76.0360-10-10-1
145. Ul Lafayette (5-8)75.8060-00-21-2
186. North Texas (4-10)73.5170-00-20-3
198. Arkansas St (4-9)73.0010-10-10-1
254. Florida Intl (1-12)68.8310-00-20-4
269. Denver (2-13)66.8460-00-00-2
272. South Alabama (1-12)66.7140-10-10-2
280. Middle Tenn St (1-12)66.0470-00-10-1


HORIZON AVERAGE = 73.648


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
45. Butler (10-3)84.8490-00-03-1
100. Wisc Milwaukee (4-6)78.9770-01-10-1
107. Detroit (6-9)78.2670-10-30-2
121. Wright St (6-7)77.1920-11-00-1
185. Loyola Chi (4-10)73.7640-20-11-1
218. Illinois Chi (2-8)71.5660-00-10-2
231. Cleveland St (3-9)70.7410-00-10-1
247. Wisc Green Bay (2-12)69.6560-00-10-4
317. Youngstown St (0-16)57.8200-00-20-1


ATLANTIC SUN AVERAGE = 72.716


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
101. Troy St (8-6)78.9530-00-00-1
112. Georgia St (6-6)77.6980-00-00-1
130. Jacksonville (6-7)76.6040-00-10-0
135. Central Florida (6-9)76.2960-00-00-0
143. Samford (5-7)75.9510-00-10-0
170. Fla Atlantic (6-8)74.3460-00-10-0
211. Jacksonville St (5-11)72.1580-10-00-1
224. Belmont (3-11)71.0810-10-00-1
239. Stetson (3-11)70.3580-10-10-1
289. Campbell (1-12)65.1500-00-00-1
309. Mercer (0-14)61.2870-10-20-0


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 72.712


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
63. Montana St (7-3)82.5180-00-01-2
106. Eastern Wash (6-7)78.3240-00-30-1
131. Portland St (4-8)76.5740-00-11-1
161. Weber St (3-6)75.0520-00-00-1
201. Northrn Arizona (5-10)72.7590-20-00-1
212. Montana (3-8)72.0720-00-10-1
290. Idaho St (1-10)64.9790-00-00-2
314. Sacramento St (0-13)59.4150-00-00-0


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 72.630


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
67. Valparaiso (8-4)82.1160-11-00-1
111. Mo Kansas City (6-4)77.7230-10-10-1
134. Oakland (5-7)76.3490-00-20-1
167. Oral Roberts (5-8)74.5300-00-20-0
175. Iupui (4-8)74.1110-10-11-1
236. Southern Utah (3-12)70.4970-10-11-2
257. Western Ill (3-8)68.5940-10-10-1
319. Chicago St (0-14)57.1170-10-10-3


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 71.916


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
108. McNeese St (8-8)78.0790-10-10-2
129. Tex San Antonio (6-6)76.6760-00-00-0
151. Ul Monroe (6-7)75.4200-00-10-0
165. Sam Houston (5-7)74.6900-01-00-0
181. Lamar (6-6)73.8210-00-00-0
195. SW Texas St (5-10)73.0440-00-10-1
202. Northwestern St (5-10)72.7560-10-10-2
223. Texas Arlington (4-9)71.1300-00-00-2
235. Stephen Austin (4-9)70.5240-00-00-2
242. SE Louisiana (4-10)70.0340-10-00-0
322. Nicholls St (0-15)54.9000-10-10-2


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 70.549


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
92. Marist (8-4)79.4770-00-00-1
168. Rider (7-7)74.4540-00-00-0
187. Niagara (5-7)73.5050-00-00-1
205. Manhattan (5-7)72.5670-00-00-2
222. Fairfield (4-10)71.1500-00-00-2
237. Iona (4-7)70.4800-00-00-0
252. Siena (3-11)68.8890-00-10-1
258. St Peters (3-13)68.3670-00-00-1
284. Canisius (2-10)65.6660-00-00-1
310. Loyola MD (2-14)60.9370-00-00-0


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 70.277


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
70. Tennessee Tech (10-6)81.7170-10-10-2
158. Morehead St (5-8)75.1010-10-10-2
160. Murray St (6-7)75.0830-00-10-1
220. Austin Peay (4-10)71.3540-10-20-2
230. Tenn Martin (3-7)70.7770-10-00-1
243. Eastern Ill (4-11)69.9390-30-00-1
277. Tennessee St (2-14)66.3660-00-10-4
297. SE Missouri St (1-13)64.2280-00-00-5
316. Eastern KY (0-14)57.9290-10-20-2


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 69.389


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
144. American (8-6)75.8620-10-00-1
193. Holy Cross (5-7)73.2520-00-00-1
197. Colgate (8-6)73.0270-10-00-1
219. Lafayette (5-9)71.4260-00-10-1
265. Army (4-9)67.4910-10-00-0
275. Navy (2-10)66.6440-00-00-0
276. Bucknell (4-9)66.5150-00-00-1
311. Lehigh (1-14)60.8960-00-00-0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 68.713


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
150. Boston U (8-5)75.4550-00-00-2
177. Towson (4-10)74.0770-00-10-2
217. Vermont (7-5)71.5980-00-00-0
251. Maine (5-7)69.0530-00-10-0
256. Hartford (5-8)68.7060-00-00-0
263. New Hampshire (4-8)67.6420-10-00-1
264. Binghamton (4-9)67.6140-00-00-1
285. Northeastern (3-11)65.5980-10-00-0
298. Stony Brook (3-14)64.2030-00-00-2
300. Albany NY (3-12)63.1820-10-00-0


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 67.812


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
64. Central Conn (10-2)82.5010-10-00-1
155. Monmouth NJ (8-6)75.2630-10-00-1
183. Wagner (8-8)73.8110-00-10-1
210. St Francis NY (7-7)72.1790-10-00-1
296. Robert Morris (4-11)64.4540-10-00-1
303. Liu Brooklyn (2-10)62.6310-00-10-0
305. St Francis PA (2-12)62.2140-20-10-0
308. Fair Dickinson (2-13)61.3400-00-00-1
321. Mt St Marys (1-13)55.9140-00-10-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 67.412


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
102. Hampton (10-3)78.7180-00-00-0
215. SO Carolina St (7-9)71.6580-30-00-1
244. Delaware St (7-9)69.9190-10-00-1
246. Norfolk St (5-10)69.7750-10-10-1
255. NO Carolina A&T (4-10)68.7240-10-00-1
266. Howard (4-10)67.4650-00-30-0
268. MD Eastrn Shore (5-12)67.0260-00-20-0
282. Florida A&M (3-15)65.8110-20-10-3
287. Bethune Cookman (3-9)65.2140-20-10-0
313. Morgan St (1-15)59.8480-10-10-1
318. Coppin St (1-12)57.3700-10-20-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 66.729


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
136. Winthrop (7-4)76.2920-10-00-0
234. NC Asheville (5-10)70.5490-10-20-1
253. Radford (3-9)68.8550-00-00-3
267. High Point (3-10)67.2580-20-00-1
274. Charleston Sou (3-12)66.6620-20-10-0
286. Elon (3-13)65.3260-10-10-0
302. Birmingham Southern (2-11)62.7780-00-10-0
304. Coast Carolina (2-13)62.2950-00-20-0
312. Liberty (1-13)60.5450-00-00-2


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 63.297


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
241. Alabama A&M (6-7)70.2370-20-00-0
249. Alcorn St (7-9)69.4260-00-00-4
283. Alabama St (5-6)65.7940-00-00-0
288. Southern (4-11)65.1680-00-10-2
291. Miss Valley St (3-12)64.9220-10-00-1
299. Jackson St (3-10)64.1970-00-20-2
301. Texas Southern (3-11)62.9590-10-00-1
307. Prairie View (3-10)61.4350-00-00-1
315. Grambling (1-13)58.2450-00-40-2
323. Ark Pine Bluff (0-19)50.5850-10-20-2


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 63.072


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
169. TX Pan American (5-7)74.4500-00-20-0
240. Centenary (2-8)70.2810-00-00-3
262. Texas A&M-CC (2-9)67.6640-10-10-0
320. Lipscomb (0-10)56.0610-00-10-0
324. Morris Brown (0-15)46.9050-20-30-2
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