NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team

By division
Last Updated Tue Apr 02 06:41:28 PST 2002

Home Advantage = 3.9904

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. North Carolina (8-20)0.1687
2. Wake Forest (22-13)0.1535
3. Arizona (24-10)0.1510
4. Florida St (11-17)0.1509
5. North Carolina St (23-11)0.1482
6. Indiana (24-12)0.1454
7. Kentucky (21-10)0.1386
8. Maryland (32-4)0.1356
9. Virginia (17-12)0.1351
10. UCLA (21-12)0.1351

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Georgia Tech (15-16)0.1339
12. Texas (22-12)0.1330
13. Oklahoma (31-5)0.1313
14. Washington St (6-21)0.1305
15. Stanford (20-10)0.1293
16. Arkansas (14-15)0.1293
17. Washington (10-18)0.1290
18. Tennessee (14-16)0.1282
19. Kansas (31-4)0.1277
20. Arizona St (13-15)0.1270

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Kansas St (12-16)0.1245
22. Missouri (24-12)0.1228
23. Illinois (26-9)0.1224
24. Oregon St (9-17)0.1223
25. Colorado (14-14)0.1198
26. Connecticut (27-7)0.1186
27. Texas Tech (23-9)0.1182
28. USC (22-10)0.1159
29. Oregon (25-9)0.1159
30. NC Charlotte (18-12)0.1158

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Iowa St (11-19)0.1147
32. Michigan St (18-12)0.1146
33. Wisconsin (18-13)0.1142
34. Clemson (13-17)0.1141
35. Duke (31-4)0.1129
36. Baylor (12-16)0.1125
37. California (23-9)0.1111
38. South Carolina (21-15)0.1104
39. Texas A&M (8-22)0.1098
40. Seton Hall (11-18)0.1092

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Auburn (12-16)0.1079
42. DePaul (9-19)0.1078
43. Purdue (13-18)0.1071
44. Florida (22-9)0.1067
45. Oklahoma St (23-9)0.1067
46. Iowa (19-16)0.1062
47. Mississippi St (27-8)0.1059
48. Louisville (19-13)0.1053
49. Alabama (27-8)0.1048
50. Notre Dame (21-11)0.1044

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. St Johns (20-12)0.1043
52. Nebraska (12-15)0.1042
53. Penn St (7-21)0.1041
54. Temple (19-15)0.1026
55. Vanderbilt (17-14)0.1025
56. LSU (18-15)0.1012
57. Mississippi (19-11)0.1004
58. Georgia (22-10)0.1000
59. Michigan (10-18)0.0984
60. Marquette (26-7)0.0981

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Villanova (19-13)0.0969
62. West Virginia (7-20)0.0938
63. Cincinnati (31-4)0.0913
64. Minnesota (18-13)0.0904
65. Boston College (20-12)0.0897
66. Ohio St (24-8)0.0894
67. Georgetown (18-11)0.0892
68. St Louis (15-16)0.0879
69. Duquesne (9-19)0.0879
70. San Diego St (19-12)0.0876

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. East Carolina (10-18)0.0874
72. Providence (15-16)0.0863
73. Miami Fla (24-8)0.0856
74. St Bonaventure (17-13)0.0846
75. Richmond (21-14)0.0839
76. Houston (17-15)0.0833
77. Pittsburgh (28-6)0.0828
78. Massachusetts (13-16)0.0826
79. Xavier (26-6)0.0816
80. Pepperdine (21-10)0.0799

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Dayton (21-10)0.0791
82. Tulane (13-15)0.0788
83. Ball St (21-12)0.0777
84. Syracuse (23-13)0.0770
85. Rhode Island (8-20)0.0762
86. Fresno St (18-15)0.0761
87. Northwestern (16-13)0.0757
88. Wyoming (21-9)0.0753
89. Virginia Tech (10-18)0.0752
90. South Florida (19-13)0.0746

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Miami Ohio (13-18)0.0733
92. BYU (17-12)0.0725
93. Louisiana Tech (19-10)0.0722
94. SO Mississippi (9-17)0.0720
95. Unlv (21-11)0.0713
96. Memphis (26-9)0.0711
97. Geo Washington (12-16)0.0709
98. Utah (19-9)0.0703
99. Morris Brown (3-22)0.0696
100. New Mexico (16-14)0.0692

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Toledo (15-14)0.0691
102. St Josephs (19-11)0.0688
103. Rutgers (18-13)0.0683
104. Fordham (8-20)0.0682
105. Tulsa (26-7)0.0665
106. Colorado St (10-17)0.0659
107. La Salle (15-17)0.0631
108. Air Force (9-19)0.0627
109. Portland (6-24)0.0621
110. Texas El Paso (9-22)0.0617

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Kent (29-6)0.0611
112. TCU (14-15)0.0611
113. Uab (13-17)0.0601
114. San Jose St (9-20)0.0599
115. Boise St (12-17)0.0591
116. Detroit (18-13)0.0582
117. Princeton (15-12)0.0582
118. Central Mich (8-19)0.0574
119. Akron (9-21)0.0574
120. Santa Clara (12-15)0.0571

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Davidson (18-10)0.0565
122. Nevada (16-13)0.0565
123. SMU (14-14)0.0564
124. Marshall (13-15)0.0557
125. Creighton (23-9)0.0554
126. Eastern Ill (12-16)0.0553
127. Chattanooga (14-14)0.0547
128. Wofford (7-18)0.0543
129. Hawaii (27-6)0.0538
130. Gonzaga (28-4)0.0531

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. San Diego (14-13)0.0530
132. Southern Ill (28-8)0.0529
133. VMI (7-18)0.0527
134. Rice (10-19)0.0518
135. Bowling Green (23-9)0.0518
136. Illinois St (17-14)0.0514
137. Appalachian St (7-18)0.0514
138. St Marys CA (8-20)0.0511
139. William & Mary (9-19)0.0500
140. NC Wilmington (23-10)0.0497

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Illinois Chi (17-14)0.0496
142. Loyola Marymnt (8-20)0.0496
143. Buffalo (12-18)0.0493
144. San Francisco (12-15)0.0490
145. Valparaiso (24-8)0.0481
146. Eastern Wash (15-13)0.0475
147. Long Beach St (11-17)0.0473
148. Norfolk St (10-19)0.0469
149. Florida Intl (8-20)0.0462
150. Austin Peay (11-18)0.0459

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. NC Greensboro (20-11)0.0450
152. Evansville (7-21)0.0444
153. Portland St (11-16)0.0443
154. North Texas (13-14)0.0442
155. Loyola Chi (16-13)0.0442
156. Indiana St (6-22)0.0441
157. Furman (13-13)0.0440
158. Ul Lafayette (19-11)0.0439
159. McNeese St (20-9)0.0432
160. Ohio (17-11)0.0431

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. CS Northridge (11-16)0.0425
162. Florida A&M (9-19)0.0422
163. Arkansas St (13-16)0.0418
164. Ark Pine Bluff (2-26)0.0416
165. SO Carolina St (14-15)0.0415
166. East Tenn St (15-10)0.0414
167. Northern Iowa (14-15)0.0414
168. Nicholls St (1-25)0.0414
169. Wichita St (15-15)0.0413
170. Bradley (9-20)0.0409

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Santa Barbara (19-11)0.0408
172. UC Riverside (7-18)0.0407
173. Montana (14-15)0.0406
174. Northrn Arizona (12-14)0.0403
175. Eastern KY (3-20)0.0402
176. Southern Utah (9-16)0.0402
177. Arkansas Lr (16-11)0.0401
178. Western Mich (17-13)0.0400
179. Geo Southern (11-11)0.0400
180. South Alabama (5-20)0.0399

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Drake (14-15)0.0396
182. UC Irvine (20-11)0.0394
183. SW Missouri St (17-15)0.0392
184. Wright St (16-11)0.0391
185. Ul Monroe (19-12)0.0391
186. Siena (17-19)0.0390
187. Mo Kansas City (16-11)0.0387
188. Iupui (12-15)0.0384
189. The Citadel (13-12)0.0384
190. Monmouth NJ (18-12)0.0381

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Chicago St (1-24)0.0380
192. Hofstra (12-20)0.0372
193. Mercer (5-23)0.0371
194. Western KY (26-4)0.0371
195. Belmont (11-17)0.0369
196. Stetson (9-16)0.0369
197. Northwestern St (11-18)0.0367
198. New Orleans (14-14)0.0367
199. Wisc Green Bay (9-21)0.0365
200. Grambling (8-19)0.0365

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. NO Carolina A&T (10-17)0.0362
202. Texas A&M-CC (7-14)0.0360
203. Wisc Milwaukee (13-13)0.0356
204. Youngstown St (3-23)0.0356
205. Cornell (4-22)0.0354
206. St Francis PA (6-21)0.0354
207. Columbia (10-16)0.0353
208. Bethune Cookman (11-17)0.0353
209. Oakland (16-12)0.0352
210. Delaware (14-16)0.0351

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. CS Fullerton (4-22)0.0349
212. Eastern Mich (5-24)0.0349
213. High Point (9-19)0.0341
214. Coppin St (5-25)0.0337
215. Pennsylvania (25-7)0.0336
216. New Mexico St (18-11)0.0335
217. James Madison (13-15)0.0332
218. Morehead St (14-11)0.0331
219. SE Missouri St (4-22)0.0327
220. Butler (26-6)0.0326

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Tennessee St (9-17)0.0317
222. Cleveland St (12-16)0.0317
223. Winthrop (17-12)0.0316
224. Middle Tenn St (12-15)0.0316
225. Texas Southern (11-17)0.0314
226. Drexel (14-14)0.0313
227. Murray St (17-12)0.0312
228. Northern Ill (12-16)0.0311
229. Westrn Carolina (8-16)0.0307
230. NC Asheville (12-14)0.0306

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Old Dominion (13-16)0.0301
232. Holy Cross (18-15)0.0299
233. Tennessee Tech (23-7)0.0299
234. Towson (11-17)0.0294
235. Samford (15-14)0.0293
236. Tenn Martin (11-14)0.0293
237. Charleston Sou (10-17)0.0292
238. Delaware St (16-13)0.0292
239. Cal Poly (14-12)0.0291
240. Sam Houston (14-14)0.0291

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Centenary (9-12)0.0291
242. Western Ill (10-16)0.0288
243. George Mason (19-10)0.0288
244. Idaho (8-19)0.0284
245. VA Commonwealth (20-11)0.0283
246. Jacksonville St (11-16)0.0283
247. Central Conn (27-5)0.0282
248. American (18-12)0.0278
249. Montana St (17-9)0.0278
250. Coll Of Charltn (20-8)0.0276

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Morgan St (3-25)0.0274
252. Weber St (15-11)0.0270
253. Robert Morris (12-18)0.0269
254. Georgia St (19-11)0.0267
255. Utah St (22-8)0.0267
256. TX Pan American (15-9)0.0265
257. Fla Atlantic (18-12)0.0263
258. Boston U (22-10)0.0262
259. Denver (7-20)0.0258
260. New Hampshire (10-17)0.0251

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Jackson St (9-19)0.0249
262. Jacksonville (14-12)0.0245
263. Idaho St (8-17)0.0244
264. Elon (11-16)0.0244
265. Pacific (18-10)0.0244
266. SW Texas St (11-16)0.0243
267. Alabama A&M (15-10)0.0240
268. Harvard (14-12)0.0237
269. Lipscomb (2-18)0.0234
270. Yale (21-9)0.0234

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. St Francis NY (18-11)0.0229
272. Oral Roberts (17-13)0.0228
273. Coast Carolina (8-20)0.0228
274. Quinnipiac (14-16)0.0213
275. Campbell (7-19)0.0210
276. SE Louisiana (6-20)0.0208
277. Liu Brooklyn (5-22)0.0205
278. Howard (17-13)0.0204
279. Radford (14-16)0.0202
280. Troy St (18-10)0.0200

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Wagner (19-10)0.0199
282. Brown (16-10)0.0197
283. Fairfield (12-17)0.0197
284. Dartmouth (8-18)0.0195
285. Central Florida (16-12)0.0191
286. Southern (7-19)0.0190
287. Manhattan (20-9)0.0189
288. Lafayette (14-14)0.0189
289. Northeastern (7-21)0.0186
290. Lamar (15-14)0.0185

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Texas Arlington (11-14)0.0181
292. Miss Valley St (11-16)0.0180
293. Stony Brook (6-22)0.0178
294. St Peters (4-24)0.0177
295. MD Eastrn Shore (11-18)0.0170
296. Canisius (10-20)0.0168
297. Hampton (25-7)0.0166
298. Sacred Heart (8-20)0.0165
299. Stephen Austin (12-15)0.0162
300. Mt St Marys (3-24)0.0161

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Tex San Antonio (19-10)0.0160
302. Colgate (15-11)0.0159
303. Birmingham Southern (9-14)0.0152
304. Loyola MD (5-23)0.0148
305. Sacramento St (7-19)0.0148
306. Alcorn St (20-10)0.0147
307. Iona (13-17)0.0144
308. Albany NY (8-20)0.0143
309. Navy (9-20)0.0141
310. Prairie View (9-18)0.0134

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Army (10-16)0.0130
312. Niagara (18-14)0.0126
313. Hartford (14-18)0.0126
314. Liberty (3-24)0.0126
315. Bucknell (13-16)0.0122
316. Marist (19-9)0.0120
317. Fair Dickinson (4-25)0.0113
318. Umbc (20-9)0.0102
319. Alabama St (18-12)0.0102
320. Binghamton (9-19)0.0101

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Maine (11-18)0.0100
322. Rider (17-11)0.0097
323. Lehigh (4-23)0.0083
324. Vermont (21-8)0.0056
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