NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team

By division
Last Updated Tue Apr 02 06:42:01 PST 2002

Home Advantage = 3.9904

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Arizona (24-10)0.6740
2. Indiana (24-12)0.6548
3. Kentucky (21-10)0.6351
4. Washington (10-18)0.6279
5. UCLA (21-12)0.6278
6. Tennessee (14-16)0.6179
7. Arkansas (14-15)0.6123
8. Stanford (20-10)0.6017
9. North Carolina (8-20)0.5931
10. Wake Forest (22-13)0.5924

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Arizona St (13-15)0.5921
12. Texas (22-12)0.5892
13. South Carolina (21-15)0.5882
14. Illinois (26-9)0.5872
15. Kansas (31-4)0.5860
16. USC (22-10)0.5859
17. Washington St (6-21)0.5800
18. Georgia (22-10)0.5788
19. Michigan St (18-12)0.5782
20. Mississippi St (27-8)0.5732

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Wisconsin (18-13)0.5726
22. Duke (31-4)0.5675
23. Florida (22-9)0.5661
24. Maryland (32-4)0.5659
25. Oregon St (9-17)0.5657
26. Connecticut (27-7)0.5641
27. Oregon (25-9)0.5615
28. Auburn (12-16)0.5614
29. Alabama (27-8)0.5614
30. NC Charlotte (18-12)0.5589

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Oklahoma (31-5)0.5588
32. Georgia Tech (15-16)0.5556
33. California (23-9)0.5542
34. North Carolina St (23-11)0.5510
35. Purdue (13-18)0.5505
36. Temple (19-15)0.5501
37. LSU (18-15)0.5481
38. Iowa (19-16)0.5451
39. Michigan (10-18)0.5445
40. Texas A&M (8-22)0.5421

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Vanderbilt (17-14)0.5401
42. Mississippi (19-11)0.5379
43. Missouri (24-12)0.5379
44. Florida St (11-17)0.5354
45. Ohio St (24-8)0.5330
46. Cincinnati (31-4)0.5277
47. Penn St (7-21)0.5274
48. Virginia (17-12)0.5270
49. Texas Tech (23-9)0.5246
50. Villanova (19-13)0.5239

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. DePaul (9-19)0.5223
52. Notre Dame (21-11)0.5205
53. Seton Hall (11-18)0.5202
54. Oklahoma St (23-9)0.5178
55. West Virginia (7-20)0.5154
56. Minnesota (18-13)0.5118
57. Boston College (20-12)0.5092
58. Xavier (26-6)0.5072
59. Miami Fla (24-8)0.5068
60. St Johns (20-12)0.5067

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. San Diego St (19-12)0.5046
62. Iowa St (11-19)0.5044
63. Kansas St (12-16)0.5036
64. Houston (17-15)0.5028
65. Louisville (19-13)0.4994
66. Colorado (14-14)0.4988
67. Richmond (21-14)0.4964
68. Nebraska (12-15)0.4960
69. Fresno St (18-15)0.4949
70. BYU (17-12)0.4941

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Syracuse (23-13)0.4927
72. Tulane (13-15)0.4925
73. Marquette (26-7)0.4914
74. Georgetown (18-11)0.4909
75. Duquesne (9-19)0.4901
76. Pittsburgh (28-6)0.4899
77. St Bonaventure (17-13)0.4890
78. Rhode Island (8-20)0.4883
79. Massachusetts (13-16)0.4877
80. Utah (19-9)0.4826

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. St Louis (15-16)0.4807
82. Geo Washington (12-16)0.4807
83. East Carolina (10-18)0.4806
84. Baylor (12-16)0.4789
85. Colorado St (10-17)0.4786
86. Northwestern (16-13)0.4785
87. South Florida (19-13)0.4784
88. Providence (15-16)0.4770
89. Clemson (13-17)0.4736
90. New Mexico (16-14)0.4730

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. St Josephs (19-11)0.4709
92. Air Force (9-19)0.4689
93. Miami Ohio (13-18)0.4682
94. Wyoming (21-9)0.4670
95. Virginia Tech (10-18)0.4620
96. Fordham (8-20)0.4619
97. Unlv (21-11)0.4603
98. La Salle (15-17)0.4581
99. SO Mississippi (9-17)0.4529
100. Dayton (21-10)0.4482

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Uab (13-17)0.4454
102. Memphis (26-9)0.4443
103. Louisiana Tech (19-10)0.4407
104. Rutgers (18-13)0.4394
105. SMU (14-14)0.4391
106. Pepperdine (21-10)0.4387
107. Ball St (21-12)0.4365
108. Wofford (7-18)0.4362
109. Tulsa (26-7)0.4337
110. Texas El Paso (9-22)0.4314

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Boise St (12-17)0.4272
112. San Jose St (9-20)0.4258
113. Nevada (16-13)0.4240
114. TCU (14-15)0.4220
115. Davidson (18-10)0.4212
116. VMI (7-18)0.4211
117. Kent (29-6)0.4208
118. Appalachian St (7-18)0.4204
119. Central Mich (8-19)0.4147
120. Toledo (15-14)0.4075

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Southern Ill (28-8)0.4058
122. Creighton (23-9)0.4024
123. Chattanooga (14-14)0.4022
124. Hawaii (27-6)0.4006
125. Akron (9-21)0.4006
126. Bowling Green (23-9)0.3981
127. Rice (10-19)0.3969
128. Furman (13-13)0.3936
129. St Marys CA (8-20)0.3928
130. Illinois St (17-14)0.3926

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Indiana St (6-22)0.3884
132. Marshall (13-15)0.3881
133. Gonzaga (28-4)0.3875
134. San Diego (14-13)0.3846
135. CS Northridge (11-16)0.3826
136. Long Beach St (11-17)0.3778
137. Morris Brown (3-22)0.3774
138. Portland (6-24)0.3748
139. Buffalo (12-18)0.3748
140. Geo Southern (11-11)0.3744

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. NC Wilmington (23-10)0.3741
142. Evansville (7-21)0.3737
143. Bradley (9-20)0.3727
144. Detroit (18-13)0.3724
145. Ohio (17-11)0.3708
146. Northern Iowa (14-15)0.3705
147. East Tenn St (15-10)0.3681
148. Florida Intl (8-20)0.3668
149. Santa Clara (12-15)0.3646
150. San Francisco (12-15)0.3642

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Loyola Marymnt (8-20)0.3640
152. Illinois Chi (17-14)0.3639
153. NC Greensboro (20-11)0.3638
154. UC Riverside (7-18)0.3623
155. Hofstra (12-20)0.3594
156. Delaware (14-16)0.3575
157. Youngstown St (3-23)0.3567
158. Santa Barbara (19-11)0.3555
159. North Texas (13-14)0.3547
160. Wisc Milwaukee (13-13)0.3533

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Drake (14-15)0.3533
162. Wichita St (15-15)0.3532
163. Portland St (11-16)0.3514
164. UC Irvine (20-11)0.3514
165. Westrn Carolina (8-16)0.3492
166. SW Missouri St (17-15)0.3487
167. Princeton (15-12)0.3482
168. Western Mich (17-13)0.3480
169. William & Mary (9-19)0.3479
170. South Alabama (5-20)0.3473

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Eastern Mich (5-24)0.3470
172. Austin Peay (11-18)0.3465
173. Eastern Wash (15-13)0.3462
174. Chicago St (1-24)0.3460
175. Ul Lafayette (19-11)0.3430
176. Wisc Green Bay (9-21)0.3429
177. Mercer (5-23)0.3399
178. Montana (14-15)0.3388
179. CS Fullerton (4-22)0.3380
180. Iupui (12-15)0.3377

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. The Citadel (13-12)0.3365
182. Northern Ill (12-16)0.3327
183. New Mexico St (18-11)0.3327
184. Loyola Chi (16-13)0.3325
185. Western KY (26-4)0.3303
186. Southern Utah (9-16)0.3301
187. Nicholls St (1-25)0.3287
188. Arkansas St (13-16)0.3285
189. Coll Of Charltn (20-8)0.3267
190. VA Commonwealth (20-11)0.3252

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Oakland (16-12)0.3240
192. Arkansas Lr (16-11)0.3234
193. George Mason (19-10)0.3230
194. Idaho (8-19)0.3228
195. Drexel (14-14)0.3224
196. James Madison (13-15)0.3222
197. Old Dominion (13-16)0.3211
198. Cal Poly (14-12)0.3211
199. New Orleans (14-14)0.3210
200. Weber St (15-11)0.3201

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Ul Monroe (19-12)0.3200
202. Belmont (11-17)0.3191
203. Eastern Ill (12-16)0.3189
204. Montana St (17-9)0.3158
205. Pennsylvania (25-7)0.3155
206. Cleveland St (12-16)0.3154
207. Denver (7-20)0.3151
208. Middle Tenn St (12-15)0.3151
209. McNeese St (20-9)0.3149
210. Pacific (18-10)0.3146

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Eastern KY (3-20)0.3139
212. Northrn Arizona (12-14)0.3123
213. Butler (26-6)0.3116
214. Cornell (4-22)0.3110
215. Utah St (22-8)0.3089
216. Towson (11-17)0.3072
217. Tennessee St (9-17)0.3071
218. Murray St (17-12)0.3058
219. Stetson (9-16)0.3053
220. Wright St (16-11)0.3038

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. SE Missouri St (4-22)0.2998
222. Northwestern St (11-18)0.2987
223. Valparaiso (24-8)0.2964
224. Samford (15-14)0.2962
225. Columbia (10-16)0.2960
226. Georgia St (19-11)0.2951
227. Centenary (9-12)0.2941
228. SW Texas St (11-16)0.2846
229. Idaho St (8-17)0.2837
230. Jacksonville St (11-16)0.2825

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Jacksonville (14-12)0.2806
232. Campbell (7-19)0.2786
233. Sam Houston (14-14)0.2785
234. Tennessee Tech (23-7)0.2773
235. Morehead St (14-11)0.2746
236. Texas A&M-CC (7-14)0.2744
237. Tenn Martin (11-14)0.2731
238. Lipscomb (2-18)0.2723
239. Central Florida (16-12)0.2716
240. Fla Atlantic (18-12)0.2710

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Oral Roberts (17-13)0.2686
242. Mo Kansas City (16-11)0.2658
243. Yale (21-9)0.2657
244. Troy St (18-10)0.2629
245. TX Pan American (15-9)0.2627
246. Texas Arlington (11-14)0.2600
247. Siena (17-19)0.2590
248. Florida A&M (9-19)0.2585
249. Norfolk St (10-19)0.2583
250. St Peters (4-24)0.2582

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Western Ill (10-16)0.2577
252. Ark Pine Bluff (2-26)0.2577
253. SE Louisiana (6-20)0.2541
254. Lamar (15-14)0.2461
255. Fairfield (12-17)0.2435
256. Dartmouth (8-18)0.2426
257. Harvard (14-12)0.2423
258. NC Asheville (12-14)0.2415
259. Sacramento St (7-19)0.2414
260. Tex San Antonio (19-10)0.2406

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Stephen Austin (12-15)0.2406
262. Charleston Sou (10-17)0.2401
263. Brown (16-10)0.2391
264. St Francis PA (6-21)0.2375
265. SO Carolina St (14-15)0.2374
266. Morgan St (3-25)0.2357
267. Elon (11-16)0.2336
268. Radford (14-16)0.2313
269. Holy Cross (18-15)0.2313
270. Monmouth NJ (18-12)0.2311

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. NO Carolina A&T (10-17)0.2289
272. Grambling (8-19)0.2282
273. Iona (13-17)0.2270
274. Canisius (10-20)0.2269
275. Loyola MD (5-23)0.2226
276. Robert Morris (12-18)0.2211
277. Navy (9-20)0.2188
278. Coast Carolina (8-20)0.2178
279. Manhattan (20-9)0.2167
280. Niagara (18-14)0.2160

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Coppin St (5-25)0.2120
282. High Point (9-19)0.2105
283. Stony Brook (6-22)0.2095
284. Sacred Heart (8-20)0.2083
285. Lafayette (14-14)0.2079
286. Quinnipiac (14-16)0.2078
287. Wagner (19-10)0.2056
288. Liu Brooklyn (5-22)0.2039
289. Liberty (3-24)0.2037
290. MD Eastrn Shore (11-18)0.2029

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Marist (19-9)0.2020
292. Boston U (22-10)0.2017
293. Jackson St (9-19)0.1994
294. American (18-12)0.1985
295. New Hampshire (10-17)0.1978
296. Rider (17-11)0.1971
297. Winthrop (17-12)0.1940
298. Lehigh (4-23)0.1923
299. Howard (17-13)0.1910
300. Texas Southern (11-17)0.1909

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Birmingham Southern (9-14)0.1909
302. Hampton (25-7)0.1906
303. Northeastern (7-21)0.1897
304. Hartford (14-18)0.1896
305. Bucknell (13-16)0.1886
306. Colgate (15-11)0.1838
307. Central Conn (27-5)0.1830
308. Fair Dickinson (4-25)0.1817
309. Mt St Marys (3-24)0.1806
310. Bethune Cookman (11-17)0.1799

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. St Francis NY (18-11)0.1792
312. Southern (7-19)0.1788
313. Army (10-16)0.1763
314. Delaware St (16-13)0.1748
315. Albany NY (8-20)0.1731
316. Prairie View (9-18)0.1713
317. Maine (11-18)0.1665
318. Miss Valley St (11-16)0.1616
319. Binghamton (9-19)0.1602
320. Alcorn St (20-10)0.1568

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Umbc (20-9)0.1565
322. Alabama A&M (15-10)0.1442
323. Alabama St (18-12)0.1380
324. Vermont (21-8)0.1348
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