NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
Wall St. Journal Competition Results
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NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2)
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Spreading the Nerd Word
Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Last Ten Ratings

By division
Last Updated Tue Apr 02 06:42:34 PST 2002

Home Advantage = 3.9904

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Maryland (9-1)98.9434-11-01-0
2. Oklahoma (9-1)97.4274-11-01-0
3. Kansas (8-2)95.7683-22-01-0
4. Connecticut (9-1)95.7562-12-02-0
5. Mississippi St (9-1)94.2262-12-05-0
6. Indiana (7-3)94.0213-22-02-1
7. Kent (9-1)93.0602-11-01-0
8. Duke (8-2)92.9471-13-01-1
9. Illinois (8-2)92.7241-20-05-0
10. Oregon (8-2)92.1842-22-02-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Pittsburgh (8-2)90.6551-21-03-0
12. Cincinnati (8-2)90.5822-02-11-1
13. Arizona (7-3)90.5263-31-03-0
14. Xavier (8-2)90.1810-12-12-0
15. Missouri (6-4)89.8311-33-11-0
16. Temple (8-2)89.8111-01-16-0
17. Texas (6-4)89.4961-33-11-0
18. USC (6-4)89.2314-30-01-1
19. Georgia Tech (7-3)89.1651-21-12-0
20. Gonzaga (9-1)88.8160-02-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. North Carolina St (5-5)88.1441-31-11-1
22. San Diego St (8-2)88.1300-12-04-1
23. Wisconsin (7-3)88.0242-10-04-1
24. Ohio St (7-3)87.9701-10-24-0
25. Pennsylvania (9-1)87.8470-10-00-0
26. California (6-4)87.8341-32-02-1
27. Texas Tech (7-3)87.6400-22-11-0
28. Stanford (6-4)87.4251-31-12-0
29. South Carolina (6-4)87.3671-21-24-0
30. Wake Forest (5-5)87.3451-42-02-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Tulsa (7-3)87.2871-10-22-0
32. Memphis (7-3)86.6680-12-04-2
33. McNeese St (9-1)86.6540-10-00-0
34. Michigan St (6-4)86.5673-30-03-1
35. Hawaii (7-3)86.3700-12-02-2
36. Oklahoma St (6-4)86.3702-11-20-1
37. UCLA (5-5)86.3393-31-10-1
38. Florida (5-5)86.3120-31-14-1
39. Kentucky (6-4)86.2841-11-24-1
40. Marquette (6-4)86.0830-21-13-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Alabama (6-4)85.9421-21-13-1
42. LSU (6-4)85.8890-12-24-1
43. Creighton (7-3)85.8081-11-10-0
44. Notre Dame (5-5)85.6110-22-01-3
45. Southern Ill (7-3)85.3610-12-01-1
46. Unlv (7-3)85.0920-01-24-1
47. Western KY (9-1)85.0820-10-00-0
48. Villanova (6-4)84.9880-11-14-1
49. Georgia (5-5)84.7782-11-11-3
50. Louisiana Tech (7-3)84.7320-01-12-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Dayton (7-3)84.6840-10-11-1
52. NC Wilmington (7-3)84.5301-10-00-0
53. Boston College (5-5)84.4020-41-03-1
54. St Josephs (6-4)84.0140-11-21-1
55. Georgetown (6-4)83.7740-10-22-1
56. Miami Fla (5-5)83.7690-11-22-2
57. Tennessee (4-6)83.6621-41-12-1
58. Mississippi (3-7)83.3752-20-31-2
59. Louisville (6-4)83.3601-21-10-1
60. Wyoming (6-4)83.1371-11-02-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Richmond (7-3)83.1150-10-02-1
62. East Tenn St (8-2)83.0120-00-02-1
63. Houston (6-4)82.9220-12-01-2
64. St Johns (5-5)82.7331-11-31-1
65. Utah (5-5)82.6000-10-12-3
66. Toledo (8-2)82.4100-10-01-1
67. St Louis (6-4)82.3380-11-02-1
68. Valparaiso (8-2)82.2760-10-00-0
69. La Salle (6-4)82.1250-12-11-1
70. Tennessee Tech (8-2)81.9360-00-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Vanderbilt (4-6)81.7891-30-13-2
72. Illinois Chi (7-3)81.6240-10-10-0
73. Central Conn (9-1)81.4030-10-00-0
74. Butler (7-3)81.2440-00-01-1
75. NC Charlotte (4-6)81.1440-31-10-2
76. Santa Barbara (7-3)81.1340-10-02-1
77. Nevada (5-5)81.0950-01-21-1
78. Murray St (8-2)81.0130-00-12-0
79. Davidson (6-4)81.0120-10-03-1
80. Iowa (4-6)80.8481-21-21-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Bowling Green (6-4)80.8350-10-11-0
82. Montana St (8-2)80.7130-00-01-0
83. Auburn (3-7)80.6920-53-00-2
84. Ball St (6-4)80.6820-00-12-1
85. Arizona St (3-7)80.5930-61-01-1
86. Pepperdine (6-4)80.5340-20-20-0
87. Eastern Wash (8-2)80.2930-00-01-0
88. Illinois St (7-3)80.2660-01-00-1
89. Syracuse (4-6)80.2320-01-32-3
90. NC Greensboro (6-4)80.0900-00-10-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Arkansas (3-7)80.0541-30-12-3
92. Ul Lafayette (7-3)79.9860-00-10-1
93. Fresno St (5-5)79.9550-01-31-1
94. SW Missouri St (7-3)79.8120-01-10-0
95. Northwestern (4-6)79.7540-31-12-1
96. George Mason (7-3)79.6570-00-01-1
97. BYU (4-6)79.4850-01-22-3
98. Furman (6-4)79.4710-00-01-3
99. Long Beach St (7-3)79.3890-00-02-2
100. Virginia Tech (4-6)79.2960-00-12-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Minnesota (4-6)79.2320-20-22-2
102. Drake (6-4)79.1860-00-11-1
103. Kansas St (4-6)79.0230-40-01-0
104. Ohio (5-5)78.9040-10-02-1
105. Coll Of Charltn (6-4)78.8580-00-01-1
106. South Florida (4-6)78.6680-10-11-2
107. Western Mich (7-3)78.6040-00-01-0
108. Hampton (8-2)78.5930-10-00-0
109. East Carolina (5-5)78.5381-10-02-2
110. Chattanooga (6-4)78.4920-00-01-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. New Mexico (3-7)78.4840-01-11-5
112. Nebraska (4-6)78.4410-11-10-2
113. SO Mississippi (4-6)78.3710-20-02-1
114. Yale (6-4)78.3020-00-01-3
115. Georgia St (7-3)78.1360-00-00-1
116. Uab (4-6)78.0790-01-01-4
117. New Mexico St (6-4)77.9150-00-10-0
118. Colorado (3-7)77.8500-30-20-0
119. Virginia (3-7)77.7881-30-20-1
120. VA Commonwealth (6-4)77.7470-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. TCU (5-5)77.7110-00-11-2
122. Oakland (7-3)77.5100-00-00-2
123. SW Texas St (7-3)77.4810-00-00-0
124. St Bonaventure (4-6)77.3941-00-10-4
125. Geo Southern (5-5)77.3740-00-02-2
126. Massachusetts (4-6)77.3090-20-10-2
127. Pacific (6-4)77.2750-00-02-2
128. Detroit (6-4)77.2560-00-20-0
129. Washington (3-7)77.2451-40-00-1
130. Central Florida (6-4)77.2230-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Rutgers (4-6)77.1950-12-20-1
132. Providence (3-7)77.0520-10-32-1
133. Boston U (9-1)76.9860-10-00-0
134. New Orleans (7-3)76.8150-00-00-0
135. Iowa St (3-7)76.8110-30-31-0
136. Miami Ohio (4-6)76.7960-20-00-3
137. Boise St (5-5)76.7530-00-21-2
138. Purdue (3-7)76.6600-30-11-2
139. Oral Roberts (7-3)76.6320-00-01-0
140. Baylor (2-8)76.5310-31-30-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Utah St (6-4)76.4710-00-01-2
142. UC Irvine (5-5)76.4310-00-01-3
143. San Diego (5-5)76.4130-20-10-0
144. Morehead St (7-3)76.3860-00-00-1
145. Wisc Milwaukee (5-5)76.3010-00-10-0
146. Montana (6-4)76.1350-10-01-1
147. Loyola Chi (5-5)76.1270-01-00-0
148. Holy Cross (7-3)76.0980-10-00-0
149. Colorado St (3-7)76.0540-00-31-4
150. Fla Atlantic (6-4)76.0370-10-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Marshall (5-5)75.9840-20-00-1
152. Duquesne (4-6)75.9470-20-10-2
153. Princeton (6-4)75.9230-00-00-3
154. San Francisco (5-5)75.8220-10-10-0
155. Northrn Arizona (6-4)75.7590-00-00-1
156. Air Force (2-8)75.7230-00-42-3
157. Ul Monroe (6-4)75.6660-00-00-1
158. Weber St (6-4)75.6340-00-00-0
159. SMU (4-6)75.2480-00-21-3
160. Florida St (2-8)75.1230-40-11-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Michigan (2-8)75.0810-40-11-2
162. Siena (6-4)75.0490-10-00-0
163. Troy St (6-4)75.0390-00-00-0
164. North Carolina (2-8)75.0210-40-10-2
165. Delaware (5-5)74.8250-00-00-2
166. Appalachian St (4-6)74.7090-00-01-5
167. Rhode Island (3-7)74.5550-00-31-1
168. Middle Tenn St (6-4)74.4260-00-10-0
169. St Marys CA (4-6)74.3970-10-20-0
170. Drexel (5-5)74.3350-00-01-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Tulane (3-7)74.3250-00-31-3
172. Seton Hall (1-9)74.3070-40-20-3
173. Winthrop (8-2)74.2140-10-00-0
174. Santa Clara (6-4)74.1480-10-10-0
175. The Citadel (4-6)74.1080-00-01-2
176. Wisc Green Bay (4-6)74.0930-01-10-0
177. Washington St (2-8)73.9580-50-01-2
178. Wichita St (4-6)73.8470-00-10-1
179. Niagara (7-3)73.7430-00-00-0
180. Penn St (2-8)73.7000-10-02-6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Fairfield (6-4)73.6740-00-00-1
182. Northern Ill (4-6)73.6410-10-01-1
183. North Texas (5-5)73.5680-00-20-0
184. CS Northridge (4-6)73.5620-00-01-2
185. Rice (3-7)73.5360-00-21-2
186. James Madison (4-6)73.4760-00-00-2
187. Mo Kansas City (5-5)73.4650-00-00-2
188. Marist (7-3)73.2730-00-00-0
189. Wright St (5-5)73.2700-00-10-0
190. Tex San Antonio (6-4)73.2070-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Arkansas Lr (4-6)73.1300-00-10-0
192. San Jose St (3-7)73.0880-00-31-2
193. Cal Poly (4-6)73.0620-00-00-4
194. American (7-3)73.0030-00-00-0
195. VMI (4-6)72.9500-00-01-2
196. Lamar (6-4)72.8250-00-00-2
197. Arkansas St (3-7)72.4780-00-20-0
198. Brown (5-5)72.4570-00-00-2
199. Southern Utah (5-5)72.4070-00-00-1
200. Oregon St (2-8)72.3920-50-20-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Colgate (7-3)72.0660-00-00-0
202. Clemson (2-8)72.0450-31-00-2
203. Rider (7-3)71.9540-00-00-0
204. Towson (5-5)71.9070-00-00-0
205. Umbc (8-2)71.8330-00-00-0
206. Centenary (5-5)71.8160-00-01-0
207. Iupui (4-6)71.8150-00-00-2
208. Wagner (6-4)71.6010-00-00-2
209. Jacksonville (4-6)71.5110-00-00-0
210. Cleveland St (4-6)71.3100-00-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Portland St (5-5)71.2690-00-00-1
212. Manhattan (5-5)71.1020-00-00-1
213. Geo Washington (2-8)71.0100-10-21-1
214. Tennessee St (5-5)70.9910-00-00-1
215. Alcorn St (7-3)70.9400-00-00-0
216. Old Dominion (3-7)70.9020-00-00-0
217. Quinnipiac (6-4)70.8430-00-00-1
218. Monmouth NJ (7-3)70.5800-00-00-1
219. Evansville (3-7)70.4760-00-10-0
220. Northwestern St (4-6)70.4090-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Central Mich (2-8)70.3490-10-00-1
222. Florida Intl (2-8)70.3380-00-10-1
223. Radford (7-3)70.2190-00-00-0
224. Akron (2-8)70.2060-10-00-2
225. Sam Houston (5-5)70.1790-00-00-1
226. Austin Peay (4-6)70.1590-00-00-2
227. TX Pan American (5-5)70.1420-00-00-0
228. Iona (5-5)70.1240-00-00-0
229. SO Carolina St (6-4)70.1190-00-00-0
230. Howard (6-4)70.0860-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Stetson (4-6)70.0450-00-00-0
232. DePaul (1-9)69.9700-20-30-3
233. William & Mary (3-7)69.9410-00-00-1
234. NO Carolina A&T (6-4)69.9390-00-00-0
235. Harvard (4-6)69.6600-00-00-1
236. Samford (4-6)69.6110-00-00-0
237. Belmont (3-7)69.5770-00-00-0
238. Buffalo (2-8)69.5740-00-00-2
239. Hofstra (2-8)69.4700-00-00-0
240. West Virginia (1-9)69.4680-30-30-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Idaho (3-7)69.4610-00-01-3
242. Stephen Austin (4-6)69.4270-00-00-2
243. Vermont (6-4)69.3690-00-00-0
244. Indiana St (2-8)69.2960-00-10-1
245. Texas A&M-CC (4-6)69.0850-00-00-1
246. Lafayette (6-4)68.8480-00-00-0
247. Alabama A&M (7-3)68.7620-00-00-0
248. Northern Iowa (3-7)68.7030-00-00-2
249. Canisius (4-6)68.6700-00-00-0
250. Bucknell (5-5)68.6090-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Jacksonville St (4-6)68.5290-00-00-0
252. Westrn Carolina (2-8)68.4370-00-01-4
253. Robert Morris (5-5)68.2710-00-00-2
254. Denver (3-7)68.2640-00-00-0
255. Delaware St (6-4)68.0110-00-00-0
256. Bradley (2-8)67.9310-00-20-1
257. SE Missouri St (3-7)67.9270-00-00-2
258. St Francis NY (5-5)67.8510-00-00-1
259. Alabama St (6-4)67.7060-00-00-0
260. Wofford (2-8)67.6890-00-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Texas El Paso (1-9)67.6680-00-20-3
262. Elon (5-5)67.4580-00-00-0
263. UC Riverside (2-8)67.3850-00-00-3
264. NC Asheville (5-5)66.9070-00-00-0
265. Campbell (3-7)66.8020-00-00-0
266. Texas Southern (6-4)66.7710-00-00-0
267. Charleston Sou (5-5)66.7130-00-00-0
268. Mercer (3-7)66.7090-00-00-0
269. Eastern KY (3-7)66.5030-00-00-1
270. Hartford (5-5)66.1890-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Texas Arlington (3-7)65.9070-00-00-1
272. Tenn Martin (3-7)65.8480-00-00-1
273. Western Ill (2-8)65.8130-00-00-1
274. Loyola MD (3-7)65.6170-00-00-0
275. Bethune Cookman (5-5)65.5910-00-00-0
276. Columbia (2-8)65.4710-00-01-1
277. Portland (1-9)65.2370-20-20-0
278. Birmingham Southern (4-6)65.0280-00-00-0
279. Norfolk St (5-5)64.8570-00-00-0
280. Liu Brooklyn (4-6)64.6740-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Southern (5-5)64.6020-00-00-0
282. Idaho St (1-9)64.4950-00-00-1
283. Cornell (2-8)64.4560-00-00-2
284. Eastern Mich (1-9)64.4400-10-00-2
285. Texas A&M (0-10)64.4120-20-40-1
286. Eastern Ill (2-8)64.3680-00-00-2
287. Albany NY (4-6)64.1900-00-00-0
288. Florida A&M (4-6)64.1270-00-00-0
289. SE Louisiana (2-8)63.7260-00-00-1
290. South Alabama (1-9)63.6590-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Army (3-7)63.6430-00-00-0
292. Youngstown St (1-9)63.4380-00-10-0
293. Jackson St (4-6)63.2830-00-00-0
294. New Hampshire (4-6)63.2670-00-00-0
295. Dartmouth (2-8)63.1810-00-00-1
296. Sacramento St (1-9)63.1420-00-00-1
297. Miss Valley St (4-6)62.8670-00-00-0
298. CS Fullerton (1-9)62.6880-00-00-3
299. Stony Brook (3-7)62.4760-00-00-0
300. Coast Carolina (3-7)62.4200-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Navy (2-8)62.4130-00-00-0
302. High Point (3-7)62.3460-00-00-0
303. Northeastern (3-7)62.1610-00-00-0
304. Maine (3-7)62.1310-00-00-0
305. Binghamton (2-8)62.0190-00-00-0
306. Fordham (0-10)61.8400-00-20-3
307. Prairie View (4-6)61.4080-00-00-0
308. Coppin St (3-7)61.3160-00-00-0
309. Morris Brown (2-8)60.9950-00-10-1
310. MD Eastrn Shore (3-7)60.8470-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Liberty (2-8)60.7210-00-00-0
312. St Peters (2-8)60.6070-00-00-1
313. Sacred Heart (3-7)59.9970-00-00-1
314. Lipscomb (1-9)59.9120-00-10-0
315. Grambling (3-7)59.2260-00-00-0
316. Lehigh (1-9)59.0130-00-00-0
317. Morgan St (2-8)58.8830-00-00-0
318. Nicholls St (1-9)58.8290-00-00-1
319. Fair Dickinson (1-9)56.4880-00-00-2
320. Ark Pine Bluff (2-8)55.9560-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Loyola Marymnt (0-10)55.9360-20-20-0
322. St Francis PA (1-9)55.1520-00-00-2
323. Mt St Marys (1-9)54.0940-00-00-0
324. Chicago St (0-10)51.2730-00-00-2
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