NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Home Advantage

By division
Last Updated Tue Apr 02 06:42:49 PST 2002

Home Advantage = 3.9904

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. BYU (17-12)20.800
2. Baylor (12-16)17.796
3. Morris Brown (3-22)17.200
4. Middle Tenn St (12-15)17.132
5. Mississippi (19-11)16.434
6. Duke (31-4)15.924
7. Rutgers (18-13)15.684
8. Cal Poly (14-12)15.270
9. Oregon (25-9)14.095
10. Sacramento St (7-19)13.997

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Kansas St (12-16)13.206
12. Wichita St (15-15)13.134
13. Youngstown St (3-23)12.502
14. Lipscomb (2-18)12.349
15. Marquette (26-7)12.343
16. Ul Monroe (19-12)12.246
17. Michigan St (18-12)12.074
18. St Johns (20-12)11.960
19. East Carolina (10-18)11.949
20. Nebraska (12-15)11.942

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Wisconsin (18-13)11.808
22. Texas El Paso (9-22)10.974
23. Alabama (27-8)10.944
24. Mercer (5-23)10.893
25. Grambling (8-19)10.831
26. Southern Ill (28-8)10.706
27. Howard (17-13)10.580
28. Oakland (16-12)10.568
29. Drexel (14-14)10.549
30. Centenary (9-12)10.485

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Northwestern (16-13)10.358
32. Auburn (12-16)10.351
33. California (23-9)10.340
34. VA Commonwealth (20-11)9.9227
35. SO Mississippi (9-17)9.9039
36. Eastern KY (3-20)9.8811
37. Elon (11-16)9.8250
38. Detroit (18-13)9.7791
39. Illinois St (17-14)9.6313
40. Central Mich (8-19)9.5256

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Miami Ohio (13-18)9.4000
42. Birmingham Southern (9-14)9.3147
43. Ul Lafayette (19-11)9.2613
44. Rider (17-11)9.1876
45. Iowa St (11-19)9.1170
46. Ark Pine Bluff (2-26)9.0553
47. Tennessee St (9-17)9.0022
48. Purdue (13-18)8.9771
49. Alcorn St (20-10)8.9756
50. Princeton (15-12)8.9516

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Prairie View (9-18)8.8553
52. Michigan (10-18)8.8013
53. Washington St (6-21)8.7382
54. Texas Tech (23-9)8.7276
55. Idaho St (8-17)8.7066
56. Bradley (9-20)8.6397
57. Robert Morris (12-18)8.6343
58. McNeese St (20-9)8.6232
59. Kent (29-6)8.5487
60. Uab (13-17)8.5473

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Austin Peay (11-18)8.4588
62. New Mexico (16-14)8.3855
63. Bowling Green (23-9)8.3728
64. Oklahoma (31-5)8.3416
65. Campbell (7-19)8.2653
66. Kansas (31-4)8.2338
67. Manhattan (20-9)8.1711
68. NC Greensboro (20-11)7.8297
69. Texas Southern (11-17)7.6680
70. Louisville (19-13)7.6350

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Virginia Tech (10-18)7.5403
72. Oklahoma St (23-9)7.5252
73. Florida Intl (8-20)7.4518
74. Vermont (21-8)7.4071
75. Stephen Austin (12-15)7.3792
76. Minnesota (18-13)7.3647
77. Wake Forest (22-13)7.3140
78. Hampton (25-7)7.3020
79. Unlv (21-11)7.2798
80. Florida A&M (9-19)7.2443

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Maryland (32-4)7.2226
82. The Citadel (13-12)7.2102
83. Portland (6-24)7.1838
84. Arkansas (14-15)7.1721
85. Oral Roberts (17-13)7.0662
86. Toledo (15-14)7.0060
87. Loyola Chi (16-13)6.9362
88. Penn St (7-21)6.9218
89. Southern Utah (9-16)6.8847
90. Virginia (17-12)6.7359

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Navy (9-20)6.7141
92. North Texas (13-14)6.6829
93. NC Charlotte (18-12)6.6052
94. Nicholls St (1-25)6.5725
95. William & Mary (9-19)6.5590
96. Harvard (14-12)6.5404
97. Duquesne (9-19)6.4943
98. New Orleans (14-14)6.3768
99. Pepperdine (21-10)6.3178
100. Providence (15-16)6.2406

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Cleveland St (12-16)6.2404
102. Akron (9-21)6.1910
103. Northern Iowa (14-15)6.1148
104. Vanderbilt (17-14)6.0920
105. Fordham (8-20)6.0590
106. Nevada (16-13)6.0536
107. Pacific (18-10)5.9302
108. Florida St (11-17)5.8107
109. Indiana (24-12)5.7439
110. Denver (7-20)5.7131

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Buffalo (12-18)5.7122
112. Marshall (13-15)5.6606
113. Radford (14-16)5.6262
114. Georgia (22-10)5.5885
115. Colorado (14-14)5.5851
116. Washington (10-18)5.5363
117. Cincinnati (31-4)5.5278
118. Wofford (7-18)5.5173
119. Alabama St (18-12)5.4878
120. Lehigh (4-23)5.4792

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Tennessee Tech (23-7)5.4385
122. St Josephs (19-11)5.3179
123. Xavier (26-6)5.2821
124. Wright St (16-11)5.2653
125. Villanova (19-13)5.2628
126. Geo Southern (11-11)5.2067
127. Rice (10-19)5.1997
128. Air Force (9-19)5.1983
129. Florida (22-9)5.1818
130. Illinois Chi (17-14)5.1364

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Miss Valley St (11-16)5.1352
132. Arkansas St (13-16)5.0778
133. Valparaiso (24-8)5.0697
134. SW Missouri St (17-15)5.0221
135. Wyoming (21-9)4.8769
136. Illinois (26-9)4.8705
137. St Louis (15-16)4.8359
138. Gonzaga (28-4)4.7951
139. East Tenn St (15-10)4.7932
140. Evansville (7-21)4.7756

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Drake (14-15)4.7565
142. Georgia St (19-11)4.6936
143. Texas A&M-CC (7-14)4.6936
144. Utah (19-9)4.6199
145. Boise St (12-17)4.5557
146. CS Fullerton (4-22)4.4955
147. Eastern Ill (12-16)4.4800
148. Bucknell (13-16)4.3488
149. La Salle (15-17)4.3409
150. Santa Barbara (19-11)4.2495

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Western Mich (17-13)4.2485
152. USC (22-10)4.1467
153. George Mason (19-10)4.1131
154. Louisiana Tech (19-10)4.0610
155. Wisc Milwaukee (13-13)3.9966
156. Jackson St (9-19)3.9012
157. Albany NY (8-20)3.8942
158. Tex San Antonio (19-10)3.8759
159. Murray St (17-12)3.8698
160. Loyola MD (5-23)3.7014

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Coast Carolina (8-20)3.6993
162. Umbc (20-9)3.5744
163. Hawaii (27-6)3.5624
164. UC Irvine (20-11)3.5484
165. South Alabama (5-20)3.5100
166. Fla Atlantic (18-12)3.5022
167. Fairfield (12-17)3.4375
168. Western KY (26-4)3.4182
169. San Jose St (9-20)3.3757
170. Chicago St (1-24)3.3592

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Wagner (19-10)3.2443
172. Western Ill (10-16)3.2046
173. Northrn Arizona (12-14)3.1837
174. Ohio St (24-8)3.1577
175. Ohio (17-11)3.0996
176. Northern Ill (12-16)3.0940
177. Liberty (3-24)3.0715
178. Mississippi St (27-8)3.0470
179. Jacksonville (14-12)3.0334
180. Miami Fla (24-8)3.0024

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Tennessee (14-16)2.9699
182. Old Dominion (13-16)2.9613
183. Syracuse (23-13)2.9569
184. Montana (14-15)2.9503
185. Geo Washington (12-16)2.9454
186. Holy Cross (18-15)2.9224
187. Memphis (26-9)2.9096
188. Ball St (21-12)2.9036
189. Iowa (19-16)2.8770
190. Arizona St (13-15)2.8498

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Texas Arlington (11-14)2.8498
192. St Bonaventure (17-13)2.7647
193. Utah St (22-8)2.7275
194. Delaware (14-16)2.6255
195. Houston (17-15)2.6219
196. Belmont (11-17)2.6179
197. Arkansas Lr (16-11)2.5971
198. San Francisco (12-15)2.5548
199. Central Florida (16-12)2.5451
200. New Mexico St (18-11)2.5126

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Furman (13-13)2.4497
202. VMI (7-18)2.3615
203. Northeastern (7-21)2.2611
204. Eastern Mich (5-24)2.2170
205. Canisius (10-20)2.2150
206. Stetson (9-16)2.0959
207. NO Carolina A&T (10-17)2.0749
208. Morehead St (14-11)2.0647
209. Connecticut (27-7)2.0156
210. SE Missouri St (4-22)1.9787

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Massachusetts (13-16)1.9505
212. Coppin St (5-25)1.9246
213. Charleston Sou (10-17)1.9028
214. Army (10-16)1.8777
215. Sam Houston (14-14)1.8679
216. San Diego (14-13)1.8628
217. NC Asheville (12-14)1.8479
218. Chattanooga (14-14)1.8337
219. Niagara (18-14)1.8291
220. Temple (19-15)1.7959

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. LSU (18-15)1.7668
222. Samford (15-14)1.7668
223. Pittsburgh (28-6)1.6936
224. New Hampshire (10-17)1.6171
225. TCU (14-15)1.6064
226. Hofstra (12-20)1.6049
227. Tenn Martin (11-14)1.5875
228. Indiana St (6-22)1.5529
229. Cornell (4-22)1.5464
230. St Francis PA (6-21)1.4943

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Alabama A&M (15-10)1.4504
232. Mt St Marys (3-24)1.4279
233. South Florida (19-13)1.3903
234. Loyola Marymnt (8-20)1.3660
235. NC Wilmington (23-10)1.2736
236. High Point (9-19)1.2679
237. Hartford (14-18)1.2275
238. Kentucky (21-10)1.1962
239. Yale (21-9)1.1389
240. Jacksonville St (11-16)1.1018

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Colgate (15-11)1.0761
242. Weber St (15-11)1.0520
243. Quinnipiac (14-16)0.9891
244. Siena (17-19)0.9709
245. Seton Hall (11-18)0.9445
246. Butler (26-6)0.9195
247. Rhode Island (8-20)0.8269
248. Oregon St (9-17)0.8062
249. Fresno St (18-15)0.7613
250. Norfolk St (10-19)0.7502

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. San Diego St (19-12)0.7456
252. Clemson (13-17)0.6969
253. Bethune Cookman (11-17)0.6690
254. North Carolina (8-20)0.6335
255. Wisc Green Bay (9-21)0.6237
256. UCLA (21-12)0.5929
257. Dayton (21-10)0.5803
258. SMU (14-14)0.5006
259. Stony Brook (6-22)0.4378
260. Boston College (20-12)0.4094

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Delaware St (16-13)0.3928
262. Lafayette (14-14)0.3679
263. Northwestern St (11-18)0.3451
264. Colorado St (10-17)0.3326
265. Texas A&M (8-22)0.3135
266. St Marys CA (8-20)0.1725
267. South Carolina (21-15)-0.016
268. Montana St (17-9)-0.134
269. Richmond (21-14)-0.225
270. Eastern Wash (15-13)-0.405

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Santa Clara (12-15)-0.527
272. SW Texas St (11-16)-0.572
273. Missouri (24-12)-0.572
274. MD Eastrn Shore (11-18)-0.623
275. Tulsa (26-7)-0.686
276. St Francis NY (18-11)-0.739
277. Stanford (20-10)-0.762
278. TX Pan American (15-9)-0.857
279. James Madison (13-15)-0.949
280. West Virginia (7-20)-0.987

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Coll Of Charltn (20-8)-0.992
282. Creighton (23-9)-1.190
283. North Carolina St (23-11)-1.206
284. CS Northridge (11-16)-1.285
285. Sacred Heart (8-20)-1.517
286. Idaho (8-19)-1.596
287. Iona (13-17)-1.664
288. Iupui (12-15)-1.669
289. Liu Brooklyn (5-22)-1.775
290. Brown (16-10)-1.803

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Central Conn (27-5)-1.823
292. Appalachian St (7-18)-1.857
293. Towson (11-17)-2.196
294. Boston U (22-10)-2.329
295. Georgia Tech (15-16)-2.456
296. Troy St (18-10)-2.467
297. Georgetown (18-11)-2.554
298. Long Beach St (11-17)-2.639
299. Pennsylvania (25-7)-2.917
300. Davidson (18-10)-2.981

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Mo Kansas City (16-11)-3.003
302. Winthrop (17-12)-3.016
303. Maine (11-18)-3.124
304. Columbia (10-16)-3.255
305. Arizona (24-10)-3.262
306. Binghamton (9-19)-3.288
307. UC Riverside (7-18)-3.304
308. Lamar (15-14)-3.364
309. Portland St (11-16)-3.386
310. Texas (22-12)-3.470

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Morgan St (3-25)-3.497
312. SO Carolina St (14-15)-3.679
313. American (18-12)-3.820
314. Tulane (13-15)-3.897
315. Southern (7-19)-3.964
316. Notre Dame (21-11)-3.966
317. Fair Dickinson (4-25)-4.064
318. Marist (19-9)-4.184
319. SE Louisiana (6-20)-4.259
320. DePaul (9-19)-5.109

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Monmouth NJ (18-12)-5.696
322. Westrn Carolina (8-16)-6.206
323. Dartmouth (8-18)-6.468
324. St Peters (4-24)-16.87
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