NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI Away

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 02 06:43:04 PST 2002


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5380


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Maryland (7-2)0.64111-21-02-0
7. Duke (8-3)0.60721-12-02-1
14. North Carolina St (6-4)0.58690-30-03-1
45. Georgia Tech (4-6)0.53890-40-11-0
65. Wake Forest (4-7)0.52470-31-10-2
70. Virginia (3-7)0.51190-30-22-0
99. Clemson (3-7)0.48510-30-11-1
100. North Carolina (1-9)0.48480-50-10-2
147. Florida St (1-10)0.46130-40-11-2


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5373


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
12. Kentucky (5-4)0.58741-22-01-2
13. Florida (6-4)0.58711-21-13-1
18. Alabama (4-4)0.57572-11-11-1
19. Mississippi St (6-5)0.57550-21-13-2
24. Georgia (6-5)0.56313-00-12-3
33. South Carolina (6-5)0.55200-31-03-1
43. Arkansas (3-7)0.54080-42-00-3
66. Tennessee (3-9)0.52280-50-32-1
68. LSU (3-7)0.51510-31-11-2
84. Vanderbilt (2-7)0.49900-41-11-1
96. Mississippi (2-7)0.49160-41-00-2
199. Auburn (0-9)0.43740-30-10-5


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5269


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Pittsburgh (7-2)0.63631-11-13-0
5. Connecticut (7-3)0.61491-12-12-1
15. Georgetown (6-4)0.58440-23-11-1
16. Notre Dame (7-4)0.57942-10-11-2
28. Boston College (5-4)0.55921-11-11-1
30. Miami Fla (5-4)0.55770-11-22-1
50. Syracuse (6-5)0.53600-11-12-3
64. St Johns (3-7)0.52560-41-10-1
80. Villanova (2-8)0.50510-31-30-2
87. Seton Hall (3-7)0.49580-20-20-3
144. Providence (2-9)0.46200-31-40-0
180. West Virginia (1-10)0.44350-20-21-3
181. Rutgers (3-8)0.44320-10-10-4
206. Virginia Tech (1-10)0.43400-20-30-3


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5120


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Kansas (10-1)0.65153-11-01-0
6. Texas (7-3)0.60842-11-11-0
8. Oklahoma (7-4)0.60492-31-10-0
26. Texas Tech (5-5)0.56120-40-01-0
44. Oklahoma St (5-5)0.53971-20-10-1
52. Missouri (4-5)0.53500-30-00-0
132. Texas A&M (3-9)0.46681-30-10-0
152. Colorado (2-9)0.45760-40-10-1
182. Nebraska (1-10)0.44250-30-20-1
212. Iowa St (0-10)0.43080-30-20-0
225. Kansas St (0-10)0.42530-30-10-1
231. Baylor (0-10)0.42020-50-00-0


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5085


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Stanford (7-3)0.59432-00-31-0
27. Arizona (6-5)0.56031-12-30-0
40. USC (8-5)0.54340-21-20-1
41. UCLA (5-5)0.54250-11-40-0
69. California (4-6)0.51220-21-20-1
73. Oregon (5-6)0.50872-01-20-1
135. Oregon St (2-8)0.46620-20-40-0
138. Arizona St (2-9)0.46511-10-40-2
146. Washington (3-10)0.46140-20-41-0
213. Washington St (0-12)0.43060-30-50-0


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.4989


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
17. Xavier (9-3)0.57660-01-02-2
20. St Josephs (8-5)0.56930-11-22-2
21. Temple (8-5)0.56800-11-14-1
38. Richmond (8-6)0.54410-20-13-1
49. Dayton (5-6)0.53640-30-10-2
77. St Bonaventure (6-8)0.50630-20-01-3
114. La Salle (4-8)0.47850-11-00-3
159. Rhode Island (3-12)0.45400-10-10-6
177. Geo Washington (3-8)0.44430-10-01-3
183. Duquesne (2-11)0.44220-20-00-5
200. Massachusetts (2-9)0.43730-11-11-3
215. Fordham (2-11)0.42960-20-00-5


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.4965


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
29. Illinois (5-5)0.55830-31-11-0
31. Indiana (6-5)0.55570-21-21-1
39. Michigan St (4-5)0.54382-20-00-2
53. Ohio St (5-5)0.53480-10-21-2
61. Wisconsin (5-7)0.52771-21-01-2
110. Minnesota (3-8)0.48030-40-21-0
123. Northwestern (3-6)0.47130-20-10-2
125. Purdue (2-8)0.47080-30-21-0
161. Iowa (2-9)0.45390-31-20-0
204. Penn St (0-11)0.43520-40-20-3
214. Michigan (1-10)0.43010-20-20-3


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.4926


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Cincinnati (8-3)0.62332-21-02-1
23. Memphis (6-4)0.56650-10-13-1
46. NC Charlotte (6-7)0.53830-40-02-2
59. Marquette (5-5)0.52920-20-21-0
71. Tulane (5-7)0.51120-20-22-2
93. South Florida (5-7)0.49230-00-10-4
94. Houston (6-7)0.49230-01-10-3
101. St Louis (3-8)0.48410-20-21-1
104. DePaul (2-9)0.48250-20-21-3
106. Louisville (2-8)0.48090-40-20-0
129. TCU (2-7)0.46900-20-10-3
229. SO Mississippi (2-10)0.42060-10-10-2
230. Uab (1-10)0.42020-10-10-3
286. East Carolina (0-11)0.38630-20-10-1


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.4871


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
25. Utah (6-4)0.56180-11-01-3
58. San Diego St (5-7)0.52930-11-12-3
60. Wyoming (6-6)0.52920-12-11-3
85. Unlv (4-7)0.49770-11-20-3
122. New Mexico (2-8)0.47180-00-31-4
148. Colorado St (3-8)0.45960-00-30-4
178. BYU (1-11)0.44430-00-30-6
261. Air Force (2-10)0.40320-00-20-4


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4822


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Tulsa (9-2)0.59490-00-11-1
32. Hawaii (6-3)0.55210-01-01-1
57. Louisiana Tech (9-7)0.52990-10-31-1
72. Fresno St (5-7)0.50930-00-40-1
74. SMU (6-6)0.50850-00-21-1
105. Nevada (6-8)0.48120-00-21-2
186. Boise St (3-10)0.44150-00-31-1
242. Rice (2-11)0.41580-00-20-3
260. Texas El Paso (0-12)0.40350-10-30-3
288. San Jose St (0-10)0.38560-00-20-2


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4809


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
22. Pennsylvania (9-2)0.56710-00-02-1
37. Yale (9-3)0.54430-00-11-1
90. Brown (7-5)0.49310-00-12-1
92. Princeton (5-6)0.49240-00-10-4
162. Columbia (4-8)0.45380-11-10-3
169. Dartmouth (4-8)0.44930-00-10-2
171. Harvard (4-7)0.44870-00-10-2
269. Cornell (1-12)0.39890-00-20-4


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4600


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
11. Gonzaga (10-2)0.58760-10-02-1
36. Pepperdine (7-5)0.54461-00-30-2
133. San Diego (5-5)0.46650-00-10-1
134. Santa Clara (4-8)0.46640-10-20-1
201. San Francisco (5-8)0.43650-00-10-3
233. St Marys CA (3-11)0.41860-00-10-4
281. Loyola Marymnt (3-9)0.38960-00-10-1
301. Portland (1-11)0.37020-10-10-1


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4597


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
47. Davidson (8-5)0.53780-01-11-1
55. Coll Of Charltn (7-4)0.53040-00-01-0
108. East Tenn St (6-8)0.48070-00-10-5
111. NC Greensboro (8-9)0.47940-10-20-2
141. Chattanooga (3-9)0.46450-20-10-2
163. Geo Southern (3-7)0.45370-00-01-2
170. Furman (5-9)0.44880-10-10-1
191. The Citadel (3-8)0.43920-00-20-1
203. Westrn Carolina (6-8)0.43570-00-01-0
211. Appalachian St (3-12)0.43110-00-11-4
251. Wofford (2-12)0.41010-00-11-2
254. VMI (2-12)0.40530-10-10-2


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.4573


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
67. NC Wilmington (8-7)0.52200-20-01-3
81. George Mason (7-6)0.50510-00-01-2
139. VA Commonwealth (4-8)0.46510-00-01-2
149. Delaware (4-9)0.45930-00-12-1
157. Drexel (3-9)0.45450-00-10-4
164. Towson (4-10)0.45340-00-00-5
190. Old Dominion (3-8)0.43960-00-00-4
192. James Madison (5-9)0.43860-00-10-3
228. Hofstra (2-11)0.42060-00-10-4
244. William & Mary (2-11)0.41460-10-00-3


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4563


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
51. Kent (8-3)0.53540-10-02-0
75. Bowling Green (7-5)0.50780-10-00-2
76. Ohio (8-5)0.50670-10-00-2
89. Ball St (6-7)0.49370-20-11-0
113. Western Mich (6-7)0.47880-10-00-2
119. Toledo (4-11)0.47400-20-00-5
142. Marshall (3-8)0.46390-20-00-1
187. Northern Ill (5-7)0.44120-00-01-1
195. Miami Ohio (2-11)0.43790-10-10-4
241. Akron (2-9)0.41650-10-00-2
248. Buffalo (4-10)0.41290-10-00-3
267. Central Mich (1-12)0.39900-10-00-4
307. Eastern Mich (1-9)0.36430-00-00-2


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4490


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
56. Creighton (7-5)0.52990-00-21-1
63. Southern Ill (9-5)0.52620-01-01-1
153. Illinois St (4-9)0.45700-10-20-0
154. SW Missouri St (4-9)0.45610-00-30-1
179. Drake (4-9)0.44390-01-10-2
188. Northern Iowa (4-9)0.44090-00-20-2
243. Wichita St (3-9)0.41480-10-20-1
249. Indiana St (2-12)0.41250-00-20-3
252. Bradley (2-10)0.40600-00-20-2
264. Evansville (1-13)0.40240-00-30-2


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4490


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
48. Utah St (7-4)0.53680-01-03-0
88. UC Irvine (7-6)0.49540-10-02-1
117. Pacific (6-6)0.47510-00-00-3
120. CS Northridge (5-9)0.47230-00-11-4
155. Santa Barbara (5-7)0.45540-00-10-2
168. Long Beach St (4-8)0.45060-00-10-4
207. North Texas (4-10)0.43230-10-10-3
220. UC Riverside (4-10)0.42770-10-00-4
234. Idaho (4-8)0.41860-00-00-4
239. Cal Poly (4-9)0.41730-00-00-4
314. CS Fullerton (0-13)0.35710-00-00-5


HORIZON AVERAGE = 0.4447


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
54. Butler (10-3)0.53170-00-01-2
95. Wisc Milwaukee (4-6)0.49170-00-01-2
102. Detroit (6-9)0.48390-10-10-3
116. Wright St (6-7)0.47560-10-01-1
173. Loyola Chi (4-10)0.44660-20-00-3
227. Illinois Chi (2-8)0.42170-00-10-2
246. Cleveland St (3-9)0.41440-00-00-2
268. Wisc Green Bay (2-12)0.39890-00-11-2
319. Youngstown St (0-16)0.33800-00-00-3


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.4436


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
35. Western KY (10-3)0.54461-00-10-1
57. Louisiana Tech (9-7)0.52990-10-31-1
121. New Mexico St (5-6)0.47230-00-10-2
126. Arkansas Lr (6-8)0.47070-10-10-2
151. Ul Lafayette (5-8)0.45860-10-11-2
156. New Orleans (7-8)0.45530-20-00-2
198. Arkansas St (4-9)0.43740-10-10-2
207. North Texas (4-10)0.43230-10-10-3
257. Florida Intl (1-12)0.40400-10-20-2
285. South Alabama (1-12)0.38670-10-00-3
304. Denver (2-13)0.36730-00-00-2
308. Middle Tenn St (1-12)0.36430-00-10-1


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4418


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
62. Valparaiso (8-4)0.52700-11-00-0
79. Mo Kansas City (6-4)0.50530-10-00-1
150. Oakland (5-7)0.45870-00-10-1
189. Oral Roberts (5-8)0.44090-00-10-1
196. Iupui (4-8)0.43780-10-01-1
256. Southern Utah (3-12)0.40420-00-20-2
272. Western Ill (3-8)0.39750-10-00-1
309. Chicago St (0-14)0.36310-10-00-1


ATLANTIC SUN AVERAGE = 0.4417


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
86. Troy St (8-6)0.49680-00-10-1
107. Jacksonville (6-7)0.48090-10-01-0
115. Georgia St (6-6)0.47770-00-00-1
128. Central Florida (6-9)0.46950-00-01-1
131. Samford (5-7)0.46830-10-00-2
174. Fla Atlantic (6-8)0.44610-10-00-1
209. Jacksonville St (5-11)0.43180-10-00-1
219. Stetson (3-11)0.42810-20-00-2
226. Belmont (3-11)0.42180-10-10-2
300. Campbell (1-12)0.37190-00-00-2
305. Mercer (0-14)0.36600-00-10-3


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4364


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
98. McNeese St (8-8)0.48810-20-00-2
136. Tex San Antonio (6-6)0.46610-00-00-1
140. Ul Monroe (6-7)0.46460-00-00-2
160. Lamar (6-6)0.45390-00-00-1
165. Sam Houston (5-7)0.45321-00-00-1
172. Northwestern St (5-10)0.44810-10-20-2
216. SW Texas St (5-10)0.42900-00-10-2
238. Texas Arlington (4-9)0.41770-00-00-1
263. SE Louisiana (4-10)0.40260-00-10-1
266. Stephen Austin (4-9)0.39970-00-00-0
297. Nicholls St (0-15)0.37690-10-10-3


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4325


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
34. Central Conn (10-2)0.55170-10-00-1
97. Monmouth NJ (8-6)0.49030-10-00-2
124. Wagner (8-8)0.47090-00-00-4
127. St Francis NY (7-7)0.47030-10-11-0
236. St Francis PA (2-12)0.41790-30-00-1
262. Liu Brooklyn (2-10)0.40300-10-00-1
273. Robert Morris (4-11)0.39720-10-00-1
312. Fair Dickinson (2-13)0.35900-00-00-1
321. Mt St Marys (1-13)0.33280-00-10-0


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.4321


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
42. Montana St (7-3)0.54140-00-01-2
109. Eastern Wash (6-7)0.48060-00-31-1
118. Portland St (4-8)0.47430-00-10-2
202. Northrn Arizona (5-10)0.43630-10-10-2
205. Weber St (3-6)0.43510-00-00-3
224. Montana (3-8)0.42550-00-10-1
311. Idaho St (1-10)0.36020-00-10-2
324. Sacramento St (0-13)0.30330-00-00-1


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4259


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
78. Marist (8-4)0.50620-00-00-1
145. Rider (7-7)0.46180-00-00-1
184. Niagara (5-7)0.44160-00-00-1
193. Manhattan (5-7)0.43840-00-10-1
210. Fairfield (4-10)0.43130-00-10-1
223. Iona (4-7)0.42600-00-00-0
240. St Peters (3-13)0.41670-00-00-1
275. Siena (3-11)0.39440-10-00-1
292. Canisius (2-10)0.37970-00-00-1
310. Loyola MD (2-14)0.36230-00-00-2


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4225


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
82. Tennessee Tech (10-6)0.50240-00-11-3
166. Murray St (6-7)0.45160-00-10-1
167. Morehead St (5-8)0.45070-10-00-3
175. Austin Peay (4-10)0.44590-00-20-3
222. Eastern Ill (4-11)0.42630-30-00-1
253. Tenn Martin (3-7)0.40540-00-10-1
287. Tennessee St (2-14)0.38590-00-00-4
293. SE Missouri St (1-13)0.37820-00-10-3
315. Eastern KY (0-14)0.35650-00-10-4


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4218


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
91. American (8-6)0.49290-10-00-1
137. Colgate (8-6)0.46590-00-10-1
158. Holy Cross (5-7)0.45450-00-10-1
194. Lafayette (5-9)0.43810-10-10-1
247. Army (4-9)0.41380-00-10-1
278. Navy (2-10)0.39090-00-00-1
284. Bucknell (4-9)0.38750-00-10-0
322. Lehigh (1-14)0.33060-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4183


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
83. Hampton (10-3)0.49910-00-00-0
130. SO Carolina St (7-9)0.46870-20-10-1
185. Norfolk St (5-10)0.44160-10-10-1
217. NO Carolina A&T (4-10)0.42850-10-10-1
232. Delaware St (7-9)0.41960-10-10-0
250. Howard (4-10)0.41060-10-00-2
265. Florida A&M (3-15)0.40200-30-00-1
271. Bethune Cookman (3-9)0.39790-20-00-1
279. MD Eastrn Shore (5-12)0.39080-00-00-2
294. Coppin St (1-12)0.37750-10-10-2
306. Morgan St (1-15)0.36560-10-00-2


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4167


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
103. Boston U (8-5)0.48270-00-10-1
164. Towson (4-10)0.45340-00-00-5
197. Vermont (7-5)0.43740-00-00-0
218. Hartford (5-8)0.42850-00-00-1
237. Maine (5-7)0.41780-00-10-0
255. Binghamton (4-9)0.40520-00-00-1
258. New Hampshire (4-8)0.40400-00-20-0
289. Albany NY (3-12)0.38500-10-00-1
296. Stony Brook (3-14)0.37700-00-20-1
299. Northeastern (3-11)0.37570-10-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.3897


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
176. Alabama A&M (6-7)0.44490-20-00-1
221. Alcorn St (7-9)0.42690-00-10-2
274. Alabama St (5-6)0.39560-00-00-0
276. Texas Southern (3-11)0.39240-10-00-1
277. Jackson St (3-10)0.39170-10-10-1
282. Southern (4-11)0.38830-00-10-1
295. Grambling (1-13)0.37710-00-40-2
298. Miss Valley St (3-12)0.37610-10-10-0
316. Prairie View (3-10)0.35210-00-00-1
317. Ark Pine Bluff (0-19)0.35200-10-10-2


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.3801


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
112. Winthrop (7-4)0.47910-10-00-0
259. NC Asheville (5-10)0.40360-00-20-1
280. High Point (3-10)0.38980-20-00-0
291. Charleston Sou (3-12)0.37980-00-20-2
302. Radford (3-9)0.36870-00-00-1
303. Elon (3-13)0.36770-10-10-1
313. Coast Carolina (2-13)0.35720-10-00-1
318. Birmingham Southern (2-11)0.34030-00-00-2
320. Liberty (1-13)0.33520-00-00-1


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.3783


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
235. TX Pan American (5-7)0.41810-10-00-1
270. Morris Brown (0-15)0.39800-10-40-1
283. Centenary (2-8)0.38800-00-00-3
290. Texas A&M-CC (2-9)0.38130-20-00-0
323. Lipscomb (0-10)0.30600-00-00-1
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