NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI Neutral

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 02 06:43:17 PST 2002


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5966


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Maryland (10-2)0.69055-11-12-0
9. Duke (10-1)0.67052-13-02-0
34. Wake Forest (5-3)0.62160-11-14-1
39. North Carolina St (6-3)0.61561-31-01-0
52. Florida St (1-1)0.59790-10-00-0
62. North Carolina (1-2)0.58860-10-01-1
73. Georgia Tech (4-4)0.57230-21-12-0
108. Virginia (1-1)0.54030-00-10-0
192. Clemson (2-2)0.47230-10-00-0


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5948


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Arizona (11-1)0.72553-12-04-0
20. UCLA (5-3)0.64132-01-22-1
24. Arizona St (4-1)0.63540-11-01-0
36. California (4-2)0.61911-21-00-0
42. Oregon (8-3)0.61002-10-11-0
51. USC (3-3)0.59880-12-00-2
60. Washington (1-2)0.59010-00-11-1
66. Stanford (5-4)0.58300-22-10-1
160. Oregon St (1-2)0.49990-10-10-0
225. Washington St (1-1)0.44500-00-00-0


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5725


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Mississippi St (8-2)0.67852-20-04-0
6. Kentucky (4-3)0.67542-21-11-0
33. Alabama (7-4)0.62270-33-12-0
49. South Carolina (3-4)0.60281-30-12-0
64. Georgia (5-3)0.58440-00-21-1
79. Florida (2-3)0.56400-20-11-0
88. LSU (3-3)0.55481-20-01-0
91. Vanderbilt (2-3)0.55290-10-00-1
112. Tennessee (1-3)0.53750-21-10-0
116. Mississippi (4-3)0.53360-10-10-1
149. Auburn (1-2)0.50820-10-00-1
210. Arkansas (0-4)0.45500-30-00-1


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5544


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
25. San Diego St (4-2)0.63190-20-03-0
41. Wyoming (3-2)0.61030-11-11-0
56. BYU (1-1)0.59380-01-10-0
85. Air Force (2-3)0.55600-00-12-2
93. Unlv (2-2)0.55150-01-11-0
106. Colorado St (2-2)0.54150-01-10-0
182. New Mexico (2-2)0.48400-00-00-1
200. Utah (1-3)0.46610-10-00-1


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5479


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
13. Connecticut (10-3)0.66101-24-01-1
17. Villanova (2-1)0.64580-10-02-0
18. Pittsburgh (7-3)0.64481-22-02-1
38. Notre Dame (5-3)0.61760-32-00-0
45. Miami Fla (6-2)0.60441-10-12-0
76. Boston College (4-3)0.56720-20-02-0
103. West Virginia (2-2)0.54540-00-01-2
109. Georgetown (1-2)0.54000-20-01-0
127. Seton Hall (2-4)0.52650-20-10-0
128. St Johns (4-4)0.52540-00-31-0
146. Syracuse (2-4)0.51141-01-20-2
148. Providence (2-2)0.51050-10-00-1
263. Rutgers (0-3)0.39160-00-10-1
270. Virginia Tech (0-2)0.37950-00-00-0


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Oklahoma (7-1)0.71284-11-00-0
11. Kansas (9-3)0.66822-23-01-1
30. Texas (5-4)0.62871-23-20-0
32. Missouri (9-4)0.62345-30-01-0
37. Texas Tech (5-2)0.61871-11-11-0
43. Oklahoma St (6-2)0.60900-21-02-0
48. Colorado (1-1)0.60350-10-00-0
65. Kansas St (1-1)0.58370-10-00-0
135. Iowa St (3-4)0.51750-00-30-0
178. Texas A&M (1-4)0.48690-10-10-0
239. Baylor (1-2)0.42450-00-00-0
300. Nebraska (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Massachusetts (3-1)0.68450-11-01-0
15. Xavier (4-2)0.65550-11-12-0
54. Dayton (3-1)0.59780-10-01-0
70. Geo Washington (3-3)0.57790-10-12-0
83. St Bonaventure (2-2)0.55941-00-10-1
105. Richmond (4-4)0.54240-30-01-0
143. Temple (1-6)0.51250-30-21-0
169. La Salle (5-4)0.49200-00-01-1
196. Duquesne (0-2)0.47150-10-00-1
224. Fordham (1-4)0.44540-00-10-0
266. St Josephs (0-4)0.38740-00-00-2
297. Rhode Island (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5501


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Cincinnati (9-1)0.67342-11-02-0
14. Marquette (7-2)0.65641-11-13-0
26. South Florida (6-1)0.63131-10-00-0
55. DePaul (2-1)0.59500-01-10-0
58. Louisville (3-2)0.59150-10-10-0
78. Houston (2-4)0.56440-41-00-0
86. East Carolina (2-2)0.55530-00-11-1
89. NC Charlotte (1-2)0.55460-10-10-0
96. Memphis (4-3)0.54790-11-01-2
124. Tulane (1-1)0.52820-00-10-0
155. TCU (2-2)0.50360-10-00-1
173. Uab (2-3)0.49110-10-01-1
193. St Louis (2-2)0.47210-00-01-0
282. SO Mississippi (0-2)0.33710-00-00-0


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5474


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Illinois (8-3)0.66970-36-02-0
12. Ohio St (5-1)0.66621-01-12-0
16. Indiana (8-6)0.65214-42-01-2
21. Iowa (7-3)0.63981-22-10-0
145. Minnesota (1-1)0.51170-10-00-0
150. Purdue (3-6)0.50700-20-10-2
161. Wisconsin (1-5)0.49960-11-10-2
171. Michigan (1-2)0.49170-10-00-0
186. Michigan St (1-5)0.48250-10-20-2
215. Northwestern (3-4)0.45260-00-02-0
221. Penn St (1-2)0.44850-00-10-1


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
50. Tulsa (6-3)0.59961-20-11-0
63. Fresno St (3-3)0.58490-11-21-0
67. Hawaii (10-2)0.58241-12-00-0
121. San Jose St (3-3)0.53010-00-20-0
132. Boise St (1-1)0.52010-00-10-0
189. SMU (1-2)0.47920-00-00-1
194. Nevada (1-2)0.47200-00-10-0
253. Texas El Paso (1-4)0.41140-00-00-2
291. Louisiana Tech (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1
307. Rice (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4871


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
27. Brown (2-1)0.63100-00-00-1
46. Pennsylvania (5-2)0.60420-10-13-0
179. Columbia (2-2)0.48560-00-00-1
197. Princeton (0-4)0.47020-10-10-1
211. Harvard (1-2)0.45400-00-10-0
230. Dartmouth (1-1)0.44100-00-00-1
237. Yale (2-4)0.43100-00-11-0
269. Cornell (0-2)0.37980-00-00-1


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
29. Gonzaga (6-2)0.62881-11-02-1
92. San Diego (2-3)0.55180-00-20-1
120. Pepperdine (4-4)0.53050-31-10-0
188. San Francisco (1-1)0.48080-00-00-0
204. Loyola Marymnt (0-2)0.46050-00-10-0
229. Santa Clara (1-2)0.44110-00-01-0
242. Portland (0-4)0.42280-00-10-1
306. St Marys CA (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
68. Furman (1-1)0.57920-00-01-1
74. Coll Of Charltn (6-1)0.57120-00-01-0
82. Davidson (2-2)0.56020-10-00-1
133. East Tenn St (0-0)0.51780-00-00-0
137. Chattanooga (3-2)0.51630-00-10-1
140. VMI (1-1)0.51570-00-01-0
236. Appalachian St (0-0)0.43100-00-00-0
238. Westrn Carolina (0-0)0.42900-00-00-0
293. NC Greensboro (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1
298. Geo Southern (0-1)NaN 0-10-00-0
301. The Citadel (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
309. Wofford (0-1)NaN 0-00-10-0


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
22. NC Wilmington (4-1)0.63950-11-01-0
98. Delaware (2-3)0.54740-00-00-3
101. Hofstra (4-4)0.54581-00-02-2
102. VA Commonwealth (4-2)0.54560-00-01-1
172. George Mason (1-1)0.49130-00-00-0
183. James Madison (2-1)0.48380-00-00-1
209. Old Dominion (0-2)0.45510-00-10-1
233. William & Mary (1-3)0.43260-10-00-0
256. Drexel (1-3)0.40780-00-00-0
299. Towson (1-0)NaN 0-00-00-0


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5121


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Creighton (4-1)0.67181-11-01-0
47. Southern Ill (6-3)0.60412-20-10-0
72. SW Missouri St (1-1)0.57340-00-10-0
122. Illinois St (2-3)0.52980-10-11-0
134. Drake (1-2)0.51760-00-10-1
167. Northern Iowa (1-2)0.49360-00-20-0
228. Wichita St (1-3)0.44340-00-00-1
232. Indiana St (0-0)0.43950-00-00-0
234. Evansville (0-0)0.43220-00-00-0
249. Bradley (0-3)0.41550-00-10-0


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4952


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
28. Kent (10-3)0.63033-20-02-0
44. Ball St (6-3)0.60572-20-00-1
97. Bowling Green (4-3)0.54780-10-02-0
139. Miami Ohio (2-4)0.51580-21-00-1
156. Toledo (3-1)0.50220-10-00-0
165. Central Mich (1-2)0.49750-00-00-1
187. Ohio (2-2)0.48190-00-01-0
195. Marshall (2-3)0.47180-10-00-0
198. Western Mich (2-3)0.46730-00-10-0
205. Buffalo (1-3)0.45960-00-10-1
219. Akron (2-7)0.44930-10-00-1
255. Northern Ill (1-3)0.40790-00-00-0
262. Eastern Mich (1-4)0.40000-10-00-0


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
53. CS Northridge (1-1)0.59780-00-01-0
57. Santa Barbara (5-2)0.59330-10-03-0
75. Long Beach St (2-2)0.56800-00-10-1
111. UC Irvine (4-3)0.53820-10-00-2
130. Utah St (4-2)0.52240-00-00-1
142. Pacific (3-2)0.51260-00-00-2
227. Idaho (0-2)0.44360-00-00-1
289. Cal Poly (0-2)0.28750-00-00-1
302. North Texas (0-1)NaN 0-00-10-0
305. UC Riverside (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1
321. CS Fullerton (1-0)NaN 0-00-00-0


HORIZON AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
69. Butler (5-1)0.57831-00-00-0
94. Illinois Chi (5-4)0.55060-20-01-1
119. Loyola Chi (2-1)0.53160-00-00-0
154. Wisc Green Bay (2-2)0.50380-00-01-0
199. Cleveland St (0-2)0.46710-10-00-1
202. Detroit (1-3)0.46410-00-00-1
245. Wisc Milwaukee (1-3)0.41950-00-00-1
267. Youngstown St (0-0)0.38690-00-00-0
294. Wright St (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
23. New Mexico St (3-1)0.63590-00-11-0
31. Western KY (4-1)0.62400-00-12-0
95. Ul Lafayette (3-2)0.55060-00-10-0
131. Arkansas Lr (1-1)0.52100-00-00-1
206. Arkansas St (1-3)0.45680-10-10-1
240. Florida Intl (3-4)0.42410-00-00-0
248. New Orleans (1-3)0.41620-00-00-0
250. South Alabama (0-0)0.41410-00-00-0
258. Denver (0-0)0.40370-00-00-0
291. Louisiana Tech (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1
302. North Texas (0-1)NaN 0-00-10-0
319. Middle Tenn St (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
90. Iupui (2-2)0.55400-00-00-2
118. Valparaiso (6-3)0.53270-20-00-1
151. Mo Kansas City (1-1)0.50640-00-00-1
157. Oral Roberts (3-2)0.50190-00-00-0
203. Oakland (2-4)0.46280-10-00-1
310. Southern Utah (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
312. Western Ill (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
320. Chicago St (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1


ATLANTIC SUN AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
40. Fla Atlantic (1-1)0.61450-10-01-0
77. Troy St (1-1)0.56650-00-00-0
113. Belmont (1-1)0.53540-00-10-0
126. Georgia St (1-3)0.52740-10-01-1
164. Central Florida (0-0)0.49750-00-00-0
181. Samford (1-3)0.48430-10-00-1
214. Stetson (0-0)0.45290-00-00-0
220. Jacksonville St (0-0)0.44870-00-00-0
231. Mercer (0-3)0.44020-00-10-1
265. Jacksonville (0-2)0.38780-00-00-0
317. Campbell (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
35. McNeese St (3-1)0.61920-10-00-0
99. Ul Monroe (4-5)0.54690-20-00-3
110. Lamar (3-2)0.53880-00-10-1
185. Tex San Antonio (4-2)0.48350-00-00-0
201. Sam Houston (3-4)0.46600-10-00-0
207. Texas Arlington (0-0)0.45620-00-00-0
251. Northwestern St (1-3)0.41280-00-00-0
264. Stephen Austin (0-2)0.38820-00-00-1
273. Nicholls St (0-0)0.37220-00-00-0
303. SW Texas St (1-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
311. SE Louisiana (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
61. Central Conn (6-2)0.58980-10-00-0
81. Monmouth NJ (2-1)0.56060-00-11-0
141. Wagner (0-0)0.51270-00-00-0
212. Robert Morris (0-3)0.45390-10-00-1
244. St Francis PA (0-0)0.42210-00-00-0
274. Fair Dickinson (0-0)0.36400-00-00-0
277. Mt St Marys (0-0)0.35700-00-00-0
283. Liu Brooklyn (0-2)0.33250-00-00-0
295. St Francis NY (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
100. Weber St (6-2)0.54620-01-01-0
104. Montana (4-4)0.54450-00-21-2
114. Eastern Wash (3-3)0.53520-10-01-0
144. Northrn Arizona (1-1)0.51200-00-00-0
162. Montana St (3-4)0.49910-00-00-1
218. Portland St (2-3)0.45030-00-10-0
222. Idaho St (1-3)0.44770-00-00-1
324. Sacramento St (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4565


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
71. Siena (5-3)0.57460-20-00-0
80. Marist (3-1)0.56090-00-00-0
107. Manhattan (3-1)0.54090-01-00-0
129. Niagara (5-3)0.52270-00-00-1
136. Iona (4-4)0.51720-00-10-0
208. Canisius (1-3)0.45570-00-00-1
254. Fairfield (1-3)0.41070-00-00-0
281. Rider (0-3)0.34070-00-00-0
285. St Peters (1-2)0.32820-00-00-0
287. Loyola MD (1-1)0.31320-00-00-0


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
84. Murray St (2-2)0.55940-10-01-1
152. Tenn Martin (1-3)0.50610-00-11-1
170. Eastern Ill (1-2)0.49180-00-10-1
180. Morehead St (0-0)0.48480-00-00-0
243. Tennessee St (0-0)0.42270-00-00-0
252. Austin Peay (0-4)0.41160-10-00-2
268. SE Missouri St (0-0)0.38240-00-00-0
272. Eastern KY (0-0)0.37700-00-00-0
292. Tennessee Tech (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
117. Lafayette (1-1)0.53270-00-00-0
174. Bucknell (2-4)0.49020-00-00-2
176. Holy Cross (4-5)0.48850-10-10-0
191. American (2-1)0.47410-00-00-0
284. Navy (0-4)0.33020-00-00-0
296. Colgate (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
308. Army (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
323. Lehigh (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
125. SO Carolina St (2-1)0.52780-00-00-0
147. Hampton (5-4)0.51070-10-00-2
153. Howard (3-2)0.50600-00-00-0
158. Delaware St (2-1)0.50160-00-00-0
159. Morgan St (1-1)0.50110-00-00-0
168. Bethune Cookman (2-1)0.49360-00-00-0
216. MD Eastrn Shore (1-1)0.45190-00-00-0
271. Norfolk St (0-5)0.37920-00-10-0
275. Coppin St (2-6)0.36190-00-00-0
290. Florida A&M (0-2)0.21770-00-00-0
304. NO Carolina A&T (0-2)NaN 0-00-00-0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
123. Boston U (5-3)0.52840-10-00-2
166. Vermont (4-2)0.49630-00-00-0
213. Hartford (2-6)0.45370-00-10-1
223. Stony Brook (0-2)0.44650-00-00-1
226. Maine (2-4)0.44470-00-00-0
257. New Hampshire (0-2)0.40760-10-00-0
261. Binghamton (0-0)0.40070-00-00-0
276. Northeastern (0-3)0.36050-00-00-0
299. Towson (1-0)NaN 0-00-00-0
316. Albany NY (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
115. Alcorn St (4-1)0.53520-00-00-0
177. Alabama St (4-5)0.48730-00-10-1
184. Alabama A&M (2-1)0.48360-00-00-0
217. Texas Southern (1-3)0.45080-10-00-0
241. Prairie View (0-4)0.42290-00-10-1
260. Grambling (0-2)0.40310-00-00-0
279. Miss Valley St (1-1)0.35170-00-00-0
313. Jackson St (0-2)NaN 0-00-00-0
315. Southern (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
322. Ark Pine Bluff (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
87. Charleston Sou (1-1)0.55530-00-00-1
163. Radford (1-3)0.49820-00-00-2
175. Coast Carolina (1-1)0.48940-00-00-1
190. Winthrop (2-4)0.47490-10-00-1
235. NC Asheville (0-0)0.43180-00-00-0
259. Birmingham Southern (0-0)0.40350-00-00-0
286. Liberty (0-2)0.31980-00-00-0
314. High Point (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
318. Elon (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.4100


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
19. TX Pan American (3-0)0.64290-00-00-0
246. Texas A&M-CC (0-0)0.41680-00-00-0
278. Centenary (0-2)0.35410-00-00-1
280. Lipscomb (0-2)0.34510-00-00-1
288. Morris Brown (0-3)0.29100-00-00-0
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