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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

Recent Articles:
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Neutral Ratings

By division
Last Updated Tue Apr 02 06:39:35 PST 2002

Home Advantage = 3.9904

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Oklahoma (7-1)97.4732-13-00-0
2. Maryland (10-2)96.9515-21-01-0
3. Arizona (11-1)96.5854-12-05-0
4. Cincinnati (9-1)95.4692-01-13-0
5. Duke (10-1)95.2325-11-02-0
6. Kansas (9-3)94.0043-22-03-1
7. Connecticut (10-3)91.4713-20-03-1
8. Illinois (8-3)91.0750-33-05-0
9. Ohio St (5-1)91.0252-01-10-0
10. Mississippi St (8-2)90.8592-10-12-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. North Carolina St (6-3)90.8511-32-00-0
12. Indiana (8-6)90.6743-32-32-0
13. Creighton (4-1)90.5231-10-01-0
14. Kentucky (4-3)90.4442-32-00-0
15. Marquette (7-2)90.1501-12-12-0
16. Missouri (9-4)90.0402-24-10-0
17. NC Wilmington (4-1)89.9011-10-00-0
18. Xavier (4-2)89.8140-11-12-0
19. Villanova (2-1)89.6720-11-01-0
20. Kent (10-3)89.6542-21-02-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Massachusetts (3-1)89.2721-00-10-0
22. Texas (5-4)89.2462-31-11-0
23. UCLA (5-3)89.0363-01-21-1
24. Pittsburgh (7-3)88.9210-22-01-1
25. Notre Dame (5-3)88.8530-31-01-0
26. Iowa (7-3)88.4732-20-12-0
27. Oregon (8-3)88.4261-22-00-0
28. Hawaii (10-2)88.3190-02-11-0
29. South Florida (6-1)87.9351-10-01-0
30. Dayton (3-1)87.9030-00-12-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. TX Pan American (3-0)87.8920-00-02-0
32. Arizona St (4-1)87.6710-10-02-0
33. Wake Forest (5-3)87.4740-21-04-1
34. Gonzaga (6-2)87.3940-11-04-1
35. Alabama (7-4)87.2863-21-21-0
36. Texas Tech (5-2)87.2570-11-02-1
37. Miami Fla (6-2)87.1481-11-12-0
38. Southern Ill (6-3)86.9630-22-00-1
39. Tulsa (6-3)86.8461-20-01-1
40. USC (3-3)86.7822-10-01-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. San Diego St (4-2)86.7740-10-13-0
42. California (4-2)86.7440-21-01-0
43. New Mexico St (3-1)86.2280-01-10-0
44. Pennsylvania (5-2)86.1600-10-11-0
45. South Carolina (3-4)86.0781-31-11-0
46. Oklahoma St (6-2)86.0410-11-12-0
47. Wyoming (3-2)85.7460-11-00-1
48. McNeese St (3-1)85.5990-10-00-0
49. Ball St (6-3)85.5411-11-10-1
50. Stanford (5-4)85.4520-22-11-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Western KY (4-1)85.3940-10-01-0
52. Louisville (3-2)84.7900-20-01-0
53. Colorado (1-1)84.6510-10-00-0
54. Santa Barbara (5-2)84.4470-10-02-0
55. Fresno St (3-3)84.3420-11-21-0
56. DePaul (2-1)84.2670-11-00-0
57. CS Fullerton (1-0)84.2510-00-00-0
58. Memphis (4-3)84.2071-11-10-1
59. Florida St (1-1)84.1540-10-00-0
60. Butler (5-1)84.0721-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. LSU (3-3)83.9430-11-11-0
62. Florida (2-3)83.4760-21-01-1
63. Houston (2-4)83.4151-20-20-0
64. Georgia (5-3)83.3460-01-00-3
65. Monmouth NJ (2-1)82.9550-10-01-0
66. BYU (1-1)82.9111-00-00-1
67. St Bonaventure (2-2)82.7031-00-00-2
68. Kansas St (1-1)82.1910-10-01-0
69. Coll Of Charltn (6-1)82.1860-00-00-0
70. North Carolina (1-2)82.0840-10-01-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Unlv (2-2)82.0340-00-02-2
72. Georgia Tech (4-4)81.9540-20-02-2
73. Richmond (4-4)81.8730-20-11-0
74. Davidson (2-2)81.7810-10-00-1
75. Pepperdine (4-4)81.4831-30-10-0
76. Fla Atlantic (1-1)81.4080-10-00-0
77. Illinois Chi (5-4)81.2690-20-01-2
78. Minnesota (1-1)81.2040-10-00-0
79. Tulane (1-1)81.0710-00-11-0
80. Boston College (4-3)80.9840-10-11-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Valparaiso (6-3)80.9280-20-00-1
82. Washington (1-2)80.8620-10-11-0
83. Tennessee (1-3)80.8260-21-00-1
84. Bowling Green (4-3)80.7570-11-01-0
85. Virginia (1-1)80.6080-10-01-0
86. Weber St (6-2)80.5990-00-02-0
87. Ul Lafayette (3-2)80.4000-00-10-1
88. Siena (5-3)80.1040-10-10-0
89. NC Charlotte (1-2)80.0850-20-00-0
90. Furman (1-1)80.0650-00-01-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Murray St (2-2)79.8300-00-21-0
92. VA Commonwealth (4-2)79.7900-00-00-2
93. Chattanooga (3-2)79.7150-10-00-1
94. Mississippi (4-3)79.6250-10-10-1
95. East Tenn St (0-0)79.5630-00-00-0
96. SW Missouri St (1-1)79.4410-00-00-1
97. Brown (2-1)79.4220-00-00-0
98. Georgetown (1-2)79.4150-00-21-0
99. Toledo (3-1)79.3480-10-00-0
100. St Johns (4-4)79.3430-10-12-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. East Carolina (2-2)79.3230-10-01-1
102. Temple (1-6)79.2350-40-01-1
103. Colorado St (2-2)79.2260-00-01-1
104. Syracuse (2-4)78.9961-11-10-2
105. Iupui (2-2)78.9860-00-21-0
106. San Jose St (3-3)78.9480-10-00-2
107. Michigan (1-2)78.8970-10-01-0
108. Loyola Chi (2-1)78.8970-00-00-0
109. Belmont (1-1)78.8890-10-00-0
110. CS Northridge (1-1)78.8820-00-01-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Air Force (2-3)78.7660-00-10-2
112. Manhattan (3-1)78.6410-00-01-0
113. Wisconsin (1-5)78.6290-10-11-2
114. Providence (2-2)78.5520-00-20-0
115. San Diego (2-3)78.4840-10-10-0
116. Pacific (3-2)78.3610-00-00-2
117. Central Conn (6-2)78.2860-10-00-0
118. Geo Washington (3-3)78.2370-10-10-0
119. Montana (4-4)78.1700-10-10-1
120. Delaware (2-3)78.1650-00-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. West Virginia (2-2)78.0580-00-11-1
122. UC Irvine (4-3)78.0090-10-00-1
123. Auburn (1-2)78.0080-10-10-0
124. Uab (2-3)77.9290-00-11-1
125. Troy St (1-1)77.7740-00-00-1
126. Lamar (3-2)77.7040-00-10-0
127. Utah St (4-2)77.6240-00-00-1
128. La Salle (5-4)77.5620-01-01-1
129. Montana St (3-4)77.2250-00-01-2
130. San Francisco (1-1)77.0250-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Long Beach St (2-2)77.0140-10-00-1
132. Vanderbilt (2-3)76.9890-10-00-1
133. Oregon St (1-2)76.9860-00-10-1
134. Miami Ohio (2-4)76.9330-10-11-1
135. Iowa St (3-4)76.7990-00-12-2
136. St Louis (2-2)76.7950-00-01-0
137. Central Mich (1-2)76.7700-00-00-1
138. Boston U (5-3)76.7050-10-10-1
139. VMI (1-1)76.6100-00-01-0
140. Ul Monroe (4-5)76.5800-20-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Charleston Sou (1-1)76.5220-00-00-1
142. New Mexico (2-2)76.4720-00-00-1
143. Washington St (1-1)76.4190-00-00-0
144. Mo Kansas City (1-1)76.3640-00-10-0
145. James Madison (2-1)76.2840-00-00-1
146. Hofstra (4-4)76.2741-00-00-1
147. TCU (2-2)76.2660-00-20-0
148. Purdue (3-6)76.2380-30-20-0
149. Utah (1-3)76.0810-10-00-2
150. Boise St (1-1)76.0570-00-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Clemson (2-2)76.0140-00-10-0
152. Eastern Wash (3-3)75.9920-10-01-0
153. Illinois St (2-3)75.9890-10-01-1
154. Marist (3-1)75.8400-00-00-0
155. Marshall (2-3)75.8360-10-00-1
156. Central Florida (0-0)75.7490-00-00-0
157. Seton Hall (2-4)75.6510-20-00-1
158. Georgia St (1-3)75.6360-10-01-1
159. Arkansas Lr (1-1)75.4930-00-00-0
160. SMU (1-2)75.4260-00-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. SW Texas St (1-1)75.4030-00-00-0
162. Hampton (5-4)75.2070-10-00-1
163. Wisc Green Bay (2-2)75.1910-01-00-0
164. Drake (1-2)75.0190-00-00-1
165. Quinnipiac (1-2)74.5780-10-00-0
166. Morehead St (0-0)74.2300-00-00-0
167. Iona (4-4)74.1590-00-01-1
168. Northrn Arizona (1-1)74.1380-00-00-0
169. Northern Iowa (1-2)74.0630-00-00-2
170. Alcorn St (4-1)74.0410-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Michigan St (1-5)74.0040-30-00-2
172. Oral Roberts (3-2)73.9480-00-00-0
173. Niagara (5-3)73.9430-00-00-0
174. Tex San Antonio (4-2)73.9030-00-00-0
175. Nevada (1-2)73.7160-00-00-1
176. Eastern Ill (1-2)73.6810-00-00-2
177. Northwestern (3-4)73.6170-00-00-1
178. Texas A&M (1-4)73.5300-00-21-0
179. Wagner (0-0)73.5110-00-00-0
180. Radford (1-3)73.4840-00-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Arkansas (0-4)73.3740-20-10-1
182. Vermont (4-2)73.3130-00-00-0
183. Coast Carolina (1-1)73.1040-00-00-1
184. Ohio (2-2)72.8550-00-01-0
185. Portland St (2-3)72.6640-10-00-0
186. American (2-1)72.4680-00-00-0
187. Holy Cross (4-5)72.1760-10-00-1
188. Penn St (1-2)72.1690-00-20-0
189. SO Carolina St (2-1)71.8690-00-00-0
190. Sam Houston (3-4)71.7260-10-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. George Mason (1-1)71.6810-00-00-0
192. Tenn Martin (1-3)71.5580-00-20-0
193. Yale (2-4)71.4270-00-00-1
194. Western Mich (2-3)71.4010-10-00-0
195. Westrn Carolina (0-0)71.3900-00-00-0
196. Appalachian St (0-0)71.3460-00-00-0
197. Alabama St (4-5)71.3080-10-10-0
198. Baylor (1-2)71.0040-00-00-0
199. Umbc (1-1)70.9970-00-00-0
200. Lafayette (1-1)70.8440-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Oakland (2-4)70.8060-10-00-2
202. Jacksonville St (0-0)70.7560-00-00-0
203. Howard (3-2)70.7460-00-00-0
204. Samford (1-3)70.7290-10-10-0
205. Cleveland St (0-2)70.6320-10-00-0
206. Buffalo (1-3)70.6100-00-20-0
207. Canisius (1-3)70.5810-00-00-1
208. Louisiana Tech (0-1)70.5800-00-00-1
209. Delaware St (2-1)70.5500-00-00-0
210. Texas Arlington (0-0)70.4930-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Bucknell (2-4)70.3900-00-00-1
212. Wisc Milwaukee (1-3)70.3560-00-10-0
213. Fordham (1-4)70.3400-00-01-2
214. William & Mary (1-3)70.3400-00-10-1
215. Columbia (2-2)70.2570-00-10-0
216. Santa Clara (1-2)70.0850-00-01-0
217. Winthrop (2-4)69.9910-10-00-0
218. Akron (2-7)69.9170-10-00-1
219. Detroit (1-3)69.8460-00-00-1
220. Arkansas St (1-3)69.7750-00-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Dartmouth (1-1)69.7590-00-00-1
222. Indiana St (0-0)69.6940-00-00-0
223. NC Asheville (0-0)69.6250-00-00-0
224. Texas El Paso (1-4)69.4220-00-10-1
225. Stetson (0-0)69.3150-00-00-0
226. Bethune Cookman (2-1)69.0970-00-00-0
227. Tennessee St (0-0)68.8540-00-00-0
228. Fairfield (1-3)68.7520-00-00-0
229. Towson (1-0)68.6840-00-00-0
230. Morgan St (1-1)68.6680-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Evansville (0-0)68.5260-00-00-0
232. Northern Ill (1-3)68.4460-00-00-0
233. Alabama A&M (2-1)68.4090-00-00-0
234. Wichita St (1-3)68.4050-00-10-0
235. Northwestern St (1-3)68.3810-00-00-0
236. St Francis NY (0-1)68.3000-00-00-0
237. Texas A&M-CC (0-0)68.1010-00-00-0
238. Denver (0-0)67.8070-00-00-0
239. Tennessee Tech (0-1)67.7920-00-00-0
240. Hartford (2-6)67.6380-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. North Texas (0-1)67.5250-00-10-0
242. Virginia Tech (0-2)66.6640-00-00-1
243. Florida Intl (3-4)66.6200-00-00-2
244. Old Dominion (0-2)66.5780-10-00-0
245. Maine (2-4)66.4320-00-00-0
246. South Alabama (0-0)66.4250-00-00-0
247. Nebraska (0-1)66.0620-00-00-1
248. Rutgers (0-3)65.9370-00-00-1
249. St Josephs (0-4)65.6280-00-10-0
250. Birmingham Southern (0-0)65.6210-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. NC Greensboro (0-1)65.4920-00-00-0
252. Idaho St (1-3)65.4870-00-00-1
253. Drexel (1-3)65.2800-00-00-0
254. Texas Southern (1-3)65.2360-10-00-0
255. Harvard (1-2)65.2180-00-10-0
256. New Orleans (1-3)65.1550-00-00-0
257. Princeton (0-4)64.4350-10-00-1
258. Eastern Mich (1-4)64.3540-00-10-1
259. MD Eastrn Shore (1-1)64.2720-00-00-0
260. Duquesne (0-2)64.2200-10-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Coppin St (2-6)63.8390-00-00-0
262. Binghamton (0-0)63.2730-00-00-0
263. Geo Southern (0-1)63.1160-00-10-0
264. Youngstown St (0-0)63.0550-00-00-0
265. SE Missouri St (0-0)62.9080-00-00-0
266. Rice (0-1)62.7190-00-00-0
267. Portland (0-4)62.3300-00-00-2
268. Rhode Island (0-1)62.2620-00-10-0
269. Idaho (0-2)62.2260-00-00-1
270. St Peters (1-2)62.1230-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Eastern KY (0-0)61.9130-00-00-0
272. Sacred Heart (0-0)61.5200-00-00-0
273. St Francis PA (0-0)60.7690-00-00-0
274. Miss Valley St (1-1)60.5040-00-00-0
275. NO Carolina A&T (0-2)60.4070-00-00-0
276. St Marys CA (0-1)60.3230-00-00-1
277. Loyola MD (1-1)59.6360-00-00-0
278. Colgate (0-1)59.6130-00-00-0
279. Middle Tenn St (0-1)59.3520-00-00-1
280. Cornell (0-2)59.2100-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Loyola Marymnt (0-2)59.2020-00-10-0
282. Western Ill (0-1)59.1800-00-00-1
283. Sacramento St (0-1)58.9620-00-00-0
284. Jackson St (0-2)58.8460-00-00-0
285. SO Mississippi (0-2)58.7690-00-00-0
286. Rider (0-3)58.3960-00-00-1
287. Jacksonville (0-2)58.3820-00-00-1
288. Wofford (0-1)58.2860-10-00-0
289. Cal Poly (0-2)57.9530-00-00-1
290. Liu Brooklyn (0-2)57.6310-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Austin Peay (0-4)57.6280-00-10-2
292. Mercer (0-3)57.4740-00-00-2
293. Nicholls St (0-0)56.8530-00-00-0
294. Fair Dickinson (0-0)56.7930-00-00-0
295. Bradley (0-3)56.5950-00-00-1
296. Navy (0-4)56.5300-00-00-0
297. Northeastern (0-3)56.3170-00-00-0
298. Southern Utah (0-1)56.1260-00-00-0
299. Southern (0-1)56.0670-00-00-0
300. The Citadel (0-1)55.9090-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. UC Riverside (0-1)55.0490-00-00-1
302. Lehigh (0-1)54.6380-00-00-0
303. SE Louisiana (0-1)54.5690-00-00-0
304. Grambling (0-2)54.4880-00-00-0
305. Mt St Marys (0-0)54.2420-00-00-0
306. Stony Brook (0-2)54.1640-00-00-0
307. Elon (0-1)53.8610-00-00-1
308. Chicago St (0-1)53.4610-00-10-0
309. New Hampshire (0-2)53.0290-10-00-0
310. Centenary (0-2)52.8750-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Norfolk St (0-5)52.6810-00-00-1
312. Morris Brown (0-3)52.2800-00-00-0
313. Army (0-1)51.7880-00-00-0
314. Stephen Austin (0-2)51.5240-00-00-0
315. Robert Morris (0-3)51.3800-10-00-1
316. Prairie View (0-4)50.0560-10-00-0
317. Florida A&M (0-2)50.0300-00-00-0
318. Lipscomb (0-2)48.8890-00-00-1
319. Wright St (0-1)48.5160-00-00-0
320. Albany NY (0-1)47.6900-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Campbell (0-1)47.4390-00-00-0
322. High Point (0-1)46.9950-00-00-0
323. Liberty (0-2)44.4910-00-00-0
324. Ark Pine Bluff (0-1)42.7250-00-00-0
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