NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI League

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 02 06:43:42 PST 2002


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5780


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Alabama (14-5)0.63344-23-16-1
10. Mississippi St (13-6)0.62524-32-15-2
18. Florida (11-7)0.60492-52-15-1
26. Kentucky (10-7)0.59742-43-14-2
27. Georgia (10-7)0.59614-22-14-3
37. Mississippi (9-8)0.58393-43-12-2
49. Tennessee (8-10)0.57372-72-23-1
59. LSU (8-11)0.56542-72-12-3
60. South Carolina (8-11)0.56452-81-05-2
84. Vanderbilt (6-11)0.53882-61-22-3
88. Arkansas (6-11)0.53723-40-11-6
121. Auburn (4-13)0.51522-61-21-5


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5642


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Maryland (16-2)0.65423-12-14-0
6. Duke (16-3)0.64314-13-03-1
23. North Carolina St (11-8)0.59911-70-04-1
41. Wake Forest (10-8)0.58060-52-03-2
75. Georgia Tech (7-10)0.54591-61-11-1
86. Virginia (7-10)0.53782-40-31-1
124. North Carolina (4-13)0.51450-70-21-3
126. Florida St (5-13)0.51441-60-21-3
173. Clemson (4-13)0.48821-50-22-2


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5590


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Connecticut (16-3)0.64762-17-13-1
7. Pittsburgh (15-4)0.63741-24-26-0
14. Miami Fla (11-7)0.60672-23-44-1
32. Notre Dame (11-7)0.58763-11-23-4
45. Georgetown (10-8)0.57770-52-24-1
51. Boston College (9-9)0.57292-42-23-2
55. St Johns (10-8)0.57032-34-20-2
56. Villanova (8-10)0.56690-62-34-1
76. Syracuse (9-8)0.54450-22-32-3
80. Rutgers (8-9)0.54292-21-22-3
104. Providence (6-11)0.52660-44-31-2
139. Seton Hall (5-12)0.50590-31-41-5
155. Virginia Tech (4-12)0.49710-41-52-2
256. West Virginia (1-15)0.44140-30-31-6


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5579


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Kansas (18-1)0.67055-12-00-0
2. Oklahoma (17-3)0.65516-32-00-0
24. Texas (11-7)0.59903-52-00-0
28. Texas Tech (12-7)0.59573-61-00-0
39. Oklahoma St (10-7)0.58203-50-10-0
64. Missouri (10-9)0.55731-70-00-0
95. Kansas St (7-11)0.53112-50-20-0
129. Colorado (6-12)0.51350-70-20-0
131. Nebraska (6-11)0.51161-50-20-0
159. Texas A&M (3-14)0.49521-90-10-0
165. Iowa St (4-13)0.49240-61-20-0
166. Baylor (4-13)0.49120-91-00-0


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5461


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
15. Oregon (15-5)0.60644-04-30-0
17. Arizona (15-6)0.60501-16-40-0
22. USC (14-7)0.59982-34-40-0
35. California (13-7)0.58562-44-20-0
44. Stanford (12-7)0.57862-22-50-0
58. UCLA (11-8)0.56571-13-60-0
120. Arizona St (7-12)0.51602-31-70-0
168. Washington (5-14)0.49090-42-70-0
193. Oregon St (4-14)0.47730-40-80-0
260. Washington St (1-17)0.43540-40-80-0


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5424


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
20. Ohio St (14-5)0.60233-10-33-1
29. Indiana (12-6)0.59132-22-22-2
31. Illinois (12-6)0.58791-32-24-0
36. Michigan St (10-7)0.58454-30-12-2
54. Wisconsin (11-6)0.57053-11-03-2
77. Minnesota (10-8)0.54442-31-31-0
112. Iowa (8-12)0.52111-63-20-1
117. Northwestern (7-10)0.51860-52-12-2
137. Michigan (6-12)0.50650-61-21-2
182. Purdue (5-12)0.48381-40-31-2
233. Penn St (3-14)0.45590-41-21-4


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5420


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
21. Wyoming (12-4)0.60210-03-24-2
33. Unlv (11-6)0.58750-04-23-4
34. Utah (11-5)0.58560-02-04-5
52. San Diego St (10-7)0.57230-00-27-4
99. BYU (7-8)0.52960-02-33-3
123. New Mexico (6-9)0.51480-00-43-4
200. Air Force (3-12)0.47390-01-32-7
207. Colorado St (3-12)0.47000-00-51-7


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5339


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Cincinnati (17-2)0.65222-14-04-1
12. Marquette (15-4)0.61461-21-14-0
19. NC Charlotte (12-6)0.60311-41-03-1
53. Memphis (12-5)0.57120-10-14-2
65. Houston (11-8)0.55660-22-21-1
72. Louisville (9-9)0.54861-41-21-0
74. St Louis (9-8)0.54600-41-13-0
98. South Florida (9-9)0.52970-20-31-2
171. East Carolina (5-12)0.48891-30-22-2
179. Uab (6-11)0.48440-11-11-5
196. TCU (6-11)0.47520-10-21-5
197. Tulane (6-12)0.47490-10-40-4
208. SO Mississippi (4-12)0.46940-20-21-3
222. DePaul (2-14)0.46040-40-30-3


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5166


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
13. Hawaii (18-3)0.60770-03-03-1
25. Tulsa (17-4)0.59860-00-34-1
43. Louisiana Tech (14-5)0.57940-01-32-1
103. SMU (10-9)0.52680-00-41-3
108. Fresno St (10-10)0.52350-01-41-2
113. Nevada (10-10)0.52030-01-42-2
192. Boise St (7-13)0.47800-00-51-3
228. San Jose St (5-15)0.45740-01-40-4
241. Rice (5-14)0.45020-00-41-3
269. Texas El Paso (3-16)0.42430-00-40-4


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5147


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Xavier (17-2)0.62620-00-07-2
46. Richmond (13-6)0.57650-30-05-1
62. St Josephs (12-5)0.56220-10-03-4
63. Temple (12-5)0.55891-00-04-2
67. Dayton (12-7)0.55450-30-02-4
148. La Salle (8-11)0.49920-20-03-6
152. St Bonaventure (9-9)0.49741-00-02-5
181. Massachusetts (7-11)0.48380-20-02-6
214. Geo Washington (5-12)0.46510-20-02-5
225. Duquesne (4-13)0.45850-20-00-8
242. Rhode Island (4-13)0.45010-10-01-8
249. Fordham (4-13)0.44430-10-01-7


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.5021


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
47. Yale (12-4)0.57650-01-22-1
48. Pennsylvania (12-3)0.57550-00-04-1
50. Princeton (11-4)0.57370-00-21-2
130. Brown (8-6)0.51300-00-21-3
150. Harvard (7-7)0.49850-01-10-4
246. Columbia (4-10)0.44570-01-10-4
270. Cornell (2-12)0.42410-00-20-4
285. Dartmouth (2-12)0.40990-00-20-4


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.4993


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
38. NC Wilmington (17-4)0.58340-00-03-2
83. George Mason (13-6)0.54030-00-02-2
101. VA Commonwealth (13-8)0.52720-00-02-3
111. Drexel (11-8)0.52110-00-03-3
136. Delaware (10-10)0.50660-00-03-4
206. William & Mary (7-12)0.47000-00-02-4
212. Old Dominion (7-12)0.46550-00-00-7
219. Towson (7-12)0.46290-00-00-6
223. Hofstra (7-14)0.46030-00-02-6
234. James Madison (7-13)0.45570-00-01-6


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4955


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
11. Kent (20-1)0.62400-00-04-0
73. Bowling Green (14-7)0.54640-30-01-1
106. Ball St (13-7)0.52460-10-01-1
110. Toledo (13-8)0.52170-20-01-3
115. Ohio (11-8)0.51890-20-02-1
116. Miami Ohio (10-10)0.51880-20-01-4
175. Marshall (9-11)0.48650-30-01-1
176. Western Mich (10-9)0.48640-10-01-2
213. Buffalo (7-12)0.46541-10-00-3
216. Northern Ill (8-11)0.46370-10-01-2
230. Akron (6-14)0.45680-20-01-3
254. Central Mich (6-14)0.44250-10-00-3
308. Eastern Mich (2-17)0.38610-10-00-3


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.4945


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
16. Western KY (16-1)0.60560-00-04-0
43. Louisiana Tech (14-5)0.57940-01-32-1
79. Ul Lafayette (13-6)0.54320-00-22-1
81. New Mexico St (12-5)0.54060-00-20-2
133. Arkansas Lr (9-7)0.50960-00-20-3
146. New Orleans (9-7)0.50130-00-11-3
160. North Texas (9-8)0.49470-00-22-2
203. Middle Tenn St (7-9)0.47160-00-21-2
229. Arkansas St (6-10)0.45700-00-20-3
257. Florida Intl (4-11)0.44020-00-20-2
289. Denver (3-13)0.40370-00-10-4
302. South Alabama (2-14)0.38770-01-00-4


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4926


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
42. Creighton (17-4)0.57990-01-23-0
66. Southern Ill (16-5)0.55590-02-11-1
85. Illinois St (13-7)0.53800-01-40-0
100. SW Missouri St (12-8)0.52750-01-41-1
177. Drake (9-10)0.48590-01-31-2
185. Wichita St (9-10)0.48310-01-31-1
195. Northern Iowa (9-11)0.47530-02-30-2
253. Bradley (6-14)0.44280-00-50-2
272. Evansville (4-15)0.42110-00-40-2
280. Indiana St (4-15)0.41690-00-40-2


HORIZON AVERAGE = 0.4910


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
87. Wisc Milwaukee (11-6)0.53760-00-02-2
90. Detroit (12-6)0.53580-00-01-1
109. Butler (12-5)0.52250-00-01-1
118. Illinois Chi (11-8)0.51830-00-02-3
132. Loyola Chi (11-8)0.51060-00-02-2
161. Wright St (9-8)0.49420-00-01-3
237. Cleveland St (6-11)0.45420-00-00-5
245. Wisc Green Bay (6-13)0.44750-00-02-3
295. Youngstown St (2-15)0.39800-00-00-4


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4900


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
70. Davidson (14-5)0.54950-00-01-0
102. NC Greensboro (13-6)0.52680-00-01-3
105. East Tenn St (11-6)0.52660-00-01-3
144. Chattanooga (9-8)0.50330-00-01-2
147. Geo Southern (9-8)0.49980-00-02-1
149. Furman (10-10)0.49920-00-01-4
153. Coll Of Charltn (11-8)0.49730-00-00-1
172. The Citadel (9-9)0.48890-00-02-2
238. Westrn Carolina (6-11)0.45360-00-01-2
239. Wofford (5-12)0.45200-00-01-2
250. Appalachian St (5-12)0.44360-00-01-3
258. VMI (5-12)0.43890-00-01-2


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4852


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
89. Santa Barbara (14-7)0.53580-00-02-4
92. Utah St (15-6)0.53450-00-03-2
93. UC Irvine (14-6)0.53400-00-03-2
125. CS Northridge (11-8)0.51450-00-02-4
138. Pacific (12-8)0.50640-00-03-4
160. North Texas (9-8)0.49470-00-22-2
183. Long Beach St (9-10)0.48340-00-02-5
202. Cal Poly (9-10)0.47250-00-02-5
247. Idaho (6-13)0.44540-00-01-6
263. UC Riverside (5-13)0.42870-00-00-6
306. CS Fullerton (2-16)0.38680-00-01-5


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4818


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
30. Gonzaga (16-1)0.58870-00-02-1
40. Pepperdine (15-2)0.58090-01-20-0
162. San Francisco (8-7)0.49400-00-20-2
174. San Diego (8-8)0.48740-00-30-2
178. Santa Clara (8-7)0.48520-00-20-2
271. St Marys CA (4-12)0.42290-00-20-3
296. Loyola Marymnt (2-13)0.39780-00-30-2
297. Portland (2-13)0.39770-00-20-3


ATLANTIC SUN AVERAGE = 0.4783


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
91. Fla Atlantic (16-7)0.53550-00-02-1
97. Georgia St (16-7)0.53060-00-00-0
122. Troy St (14-7)0.51480-00-00-2
142. Central Florida (13-9)0.50420-00-01-2
156. Jacksonville (12-9)0.49700-00-01-1
157. Samford (12-9)0.49690-00-01-1
224. Jacksonville St (9-13)0.45950-00-01-1
243. Belmont (8-13)0.44910-00-01-2
259. Stetson (7-13)0.43840-00-00-2
262. Campbell (6-14)0.43000-00-00-2
288. Mercer (4-16)0.40470-00-00-2


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4741


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
61. Valparaiso (15-2)0.56240-00-00-0
114. Oral Roberts (11-5)0.51960-00-01-1
127. Oakland (10-5)0.51400-00-00-2
158. Southern Utah (8-7)0.49600-00-01-1
190. Iupui (8-9)0.47870-00-00-3
209. Mo Kansas City (8-8)0.46660-00-00-3
300. Western Ill (3-12)0.39040-00-00-2
315. Chicago St (0-15)0.36490-00-00-3


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.4734


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
71. Montana St (12-3)0.54920-00-00-0
96. Eastern Wash (11-5)0.53080-00-01-1
135. Montana (10-7)0.50700-00-01-2
186. Weber St (9-7)0.48250-00-00-2
218. Northrn Arizona (7-8)0.46300-00-00-2
240. Portland St (6-9)0.45020-00-00-2
287. Sacramento St (3-11)0.40620-00-01-1
294. Idaho St (3-11)0.39810-00-00-2


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4644


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
57. McNeese St (19-3)0.56630-00-00-0
94. Ul Monroe (16-6)0.53290-00-01-2
164. Tex San Antonio (14-8)0.49380-00-01-1
189. Lamar (12-10)0.47900-00-00-3
215. SW Texas St (10-11)0.46400-00-00-2
227. Texas Arlington (9-10)0.45800-00-00-2
231. Stephen Austin (10-11)0.45650-00-00-2
251. Sam Houston (9-11)0.44350-00-01-1
252. Northwestern St (8-11)0.44340-00-00-2
278. SE Louisiana (6-14)0.41770-00-00-2
320. Nicholls St (1-19)0.35340-00-00-2


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4633


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
140. Rider (13-6)0.50440-00-00-0
141. Niagara (14-7)0.50430-00-00-0
143. Marist (13-6)0.50370-00-00-0
167. Manhattan (13-7)0.49110-00-00-0
169. Siena (13-9)0.49030-00-00-0
199. Iona (10-10)0.47410-00-00-0
201. Fairfield (10-10)0.47310-00-00-0
275. Canisius (7-14)0.41890-00-00-0
299. Loyola MD (4-15)0.39190-00-00-0
311. St Peters (3-16)0.38140-00-00-0


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4564


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
128. Holy Cross (12-5)0.51370-00-00-0
145. American (12-5)0.50210-00-00-0
188. Lafayette (9-7)0.47920-00-00-0
191. Bucknell (9-7)0.47830-00-00-0
232. Colgate (8-7)0.45640-00-00-0
264. Army (6-9)0.42830-00-00-0
273. Navy (5-10)0.41960-00-00-0
314. Lehigh (2-13)0.37380-00-00-0


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4513


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
78. Tennessee Tech (17-2)0.54440-00-00-0
134. Murray St (13-6)0.50820-00-02-1
163. Morehead St (12-6)0.49380-00-00-2
220. Austin Peay (9-9)0.46160-00-00-3
261. Tennessee St (7-10)0.43260-00-00-2
267. Eastern Ill (7-10)0.42560-00-00-2
276. Tenn Martin (7-10)0.41850-00-00-2
291. SE Missouri St (4-13)0.39970-00-00-3
313. Eastern KY (3-13)0.37730-00-00-2


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4503


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
68. Central Conn (14-1)0.55280-00-00-0
107. Wagner (11-3)0.52400-00-00-2
151. Monmouth NJ (11-5)0.49810-00-00-2
184. St Francis NY (11-6)0.48320-00-01-1
236. Robert Morris (8-6)0.45460-00-00-2
290. St Francis PA (4-11)0.40300-00-00-2
301. Liu Brooklyn (3-12)0.38890-00-00-2
304. Fair Dickinson (3-11)0.38730-00-00-2
317. Mt St Marys (2-12)0.36110-00-00-1


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4288


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
82. Alcorn St (19-2)0.54030-00-00-0
194. Alabama St (14-7)0.47690-00-00-0
217. Alabama A&M (13-7)0.46310-00-00-0
244. Texas Southern (11-9)0.44860-00-00-0
277. Miss Valley St (9-10)0.41830-00-00-0
283. Jackson St (8-11)0.41210-00-00-0
284. Prairie View (8-11)0.41150-00-00-0
292. Grambling (7-12)0.39950-00-00-0
307. Southern (6-12)0.38630-00-00-0
323. Ark Pine Bluff (2-16)0.33150-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
198. Texas A&M-CC (4-2)0.47490-00-00-0
235. Centenary (4-2)0.45560-00-00-0
316. TX Pan American (3-3)0.36150-00-00-0
322. Lipscomb (1-6)0.33210-00-00-0
324. Morris Brown (1-0)NaN 0-00-00-0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4383


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
119. Boston U (16-3)0.51760-00-00-0
170. Vermont (14-4)0.49000-00-00-0
204. Hartford (11-7)0.47090-00-00-0
219. Towson (7-12)0.46290-00-00-6
248. Maine (9-10)0.44500-00-00-0
265. New Hampshire (8-9)0.42690-00-00-0
286. Binghamton (7-10)0.40940-00-00-0
298. Northeastern (5-12)0.39240-00-00-0
309. Stony Brook (5-13)0.38550-00-00-0
310. Albany NY (5-12)0.38210-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4355


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
69. Hampton (20-1)0.55120-00-00-0
187. SO Carolina St (12-8)0.48250-00-00-0
205. Howard (13-8)0.47020-00-00-0
210. Delaware St (13-7)0.46610-00-00-0
221. NO Carolina A&T (10-9)0.46140-00-00-0
266. Norfolk St (9-10)0.42670-00-00-0
279. Bethune Cookman (9-11)0.41710-00-00-0
282. Florida A&M (9-10)0.41490-00-00-0
303. MD Eastrn Shore (7-12)0.38750-00-00-0
318. Coppin St (4-16)0.35920-00-00-0
319. Morgan St (3-17)0.35420-00-00-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4152


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
180. Winthrop (15-4)0.48380-00-00-0
226. NC Asheville (10-5)0.45800-00-00-0
255. Radford (10-6)0.44180-00-00-0
268. Charleston Sou (9-8)0.42520-00-00-0
274. Elon (9-9)0.41930-00-00-0
293. Birmingham Southern (6-6)0.39910-00-00-0
305. High Point (7-12)0.38700-00-00-0
312. Coast Carolina (6-11)0.37930-00-00-0
321. Liberty (3-14)0.34330-00-00-0
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