NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI Non-League

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 02 06:43:54 PST 2002


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5887


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Kentucky (11-3)0.65972-22-12-0
11. Alabama (13-3)0.62310-23-12-0
14. Mississippi St (14-2)0.61970-20-05-0
19. Georgia (12-3)0.61080-00-24-1
20. Arkansas (8-4)0.61000-42-00-0
25. Florida (11-2)0.60370-12-12-0
32. South Carolina (13-4)0.59600-20-15-1
34. Vanderbilt (11-3)0.59350-11-01-0
81. Mississippi (10-3)0.54320-11-00-2
84. Auburn (8-3)0.53710-00-01-3
89. LSU (10-4)0.53510-10-04-1
92. Tennessee (6-6)0.53320-10-32-1


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5767


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Arizona (9-4)0.67894-30-14-0
10. UCLA (10-4)0.63583-01-24-2
24. California (10-2)0.60400-11-03-1
30. Stanford (8-3)0.60000-22-01-1
58. Oregon (10-4)0.57302-10-02-1
64. Washington (5-4)0.56960-00-13-1
71. USC (8-3)0.56410-00-02-3
77. Arizona St (6-3)0.55020-01-01-2
157. Oregon St (5-3)0.50020-10-10-0
165. Washington St (5-4)0.49150-10-10-0


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5764


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Maryland (16-2)0.68356-21-03-0
8. Duke (15-1)0.65281-15-04-0
16. Wake Forest (12-5)0.61791-21-26-1
35. Virginia (10-2)0.59320-00-22-0
46. North Carolina St (12-3)0.58070-21-03-0
99. Georgia Tech (8-6)0.53020-21-12-0
123. North Carolina (4-7)0.51570-30-01-2
139. Clemson (9-4)0.51000-10-10-1
146. Florida St (6-4)0.50340-10-01-0


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5693


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Indiana (12-6)0.66194-43-13-1
6. Illinois (14-3)0.65690-37-02-0
21. Ohio St (10-3)0.60940-11-12-1
39. Iowa (11-4)0.59160-12-11-1
50. Purdue (8-6)0.57611-20-11-2
57. Michigan St (8-5)0.57382-10-21-2
68. Wisconsin (7-7)0.56551-21-11-3
70. Minnesota (8-5)0.56480-31-01-2
161. Northwestern (9-3)0.49850-00-02-0
164. Michigan (4-6)0.49660-10-10-1
206. Penn St (4-7)0.46720-10-20-2


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5621


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Kansas (13-3)0.66733-23-03-1
7. Oklahoma (14-2)0.65394-11-13-0
15. Oklahoma St (13-2)0.61861-11-02-1
17. Texas Tech (11-2)0.61380-01-15-0
18. Texas (11-5)0.61141-22-33-0
26. Missouri (14-3)0.60225-10-02-1
86. Nebraska (6-4)0.53610-00-10-1
119. Colorado (8-2)0.51850-10-00-1
141. Baylor (8-3)0.50660-00-00-0
167. Iowa St (7-6)0.48980-00-30-1
205. Kansas St (5-5)0.46730-00-00-2
222. Texas A&M (5-8)0.46020-10-10-0


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5540


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
12. Connecticut (11-4)0.62191-32-01-1
31. Pittsburgh (13-2)0.59991-11-02-1
33. Villanova (11-3)0.59541-00-14-1
36. Miami Fla (13-1)0.59301-01-11-0
51. St Johns (10-4)0.57551-10-21-0
53. Syracuse (14-5)0.57471-01-24-3
55. Notre Dame (10-4)0.57440-41-00-0
63. Boston College (11-3)0.57090-20-01-0
93. Georgetown (8-3)0.53160-21-00-1
94. Providence (9-5)0.53150-20-11-0
103. Rutgers (10-4)0.52530-00-01-3
125. Seton Hall (6-6)0.51440-30-10-0
160. West Virginia (6-5)0.49880-00-02-2
240. Virginia Tech (6-6)0.44870-00-00-1


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5503


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
23. St Bonaventure (8-4)0.60481-20-11-1
29. Xavier (9-4)0.60071-23-10-0
40. Massachusetts (6-5)0.59000-22-11-0
49. Dayton (9-3)0.57750-20-11-0
56. Geo Washington (7-4)0.57400-10-23-0
72. Temple (7-10)0.56340-43-53-0
76. St Josephs (7-6)0.55510-01-32-1
87. Richmond (8-8)0.53570-40-11-2
110. Duquesne (5-6)0.52250-20-01-2
124. La Salle (7-6)0.51490-01-10-1
171. Fordham (4-7)0.48400-10-10-1
180. Rhode Island (4-7)0.48140-10-10-3


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5439


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
37. BYU (10-4)0.59270-02-11-3
47. New Mexico (10-5)0.57970-00-33-1
52. San Diego St (9-5)0.57550-31-02-1
54. Utah (8-4)0.57441-20-01-1
100. Unlv (10-5)0.52590-21-10-0
128. Wyoming (9-5)0.51380-21-11-1
133. Colorado St (7-5)0.51240-02-10-0
190. Air Force (6-7)0.47710-00-12-2


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5401


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Cincinnati (14-2)0.64383-20-03-0
48. Memphis (14-4)0.57850-11-15-2
60. Tulane (7-3)0.57250-30-03-0
61. South Florida (10-4)0.57141-11-00-2
65. Louisville (10-4)0.56861-20-13-1
66. Marquette (11-3)0.56811-11-22-0
75. TCU (8-4)0.55590-21-00-0
82. NC Charlotte (6-6)0.54040-30-12-2
130. Uab (7-6)0.51300-10-02-2
131. Houston (6-7)0.51300-30-20-2
152. DePaul (7-5)0.50120-01-11-2
175. St Louis (6-8)0.48320-00-31-2
183. East Carolina (5-6)0.47970-00-11-0
196. SO Mississippi (5-5)0.47220-00-10-0


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5139


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
41. Fresno St (8-5)0.58981-12-31-1
59. Tulsa (9-3)0.57271-20-10-0
74. Hawaii (9-3)0.55661-11-10-0
121. Texas El Paso (6-6)0.51730-10-11-3
122. Nevada (6-3)0.51660-00-00-1
156. Louisiana Tech (5-5)0.50020-10-11-1
159. Boise St (5-4)0.49960-00-11-0
168. SMU (4-5)0.48730-10-00-2
187. Rice (5-5)0.47780-00-00-1
265. San Jose St (4-5)0.42080-00-10-0


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5079


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
38. Ball St (8-5)0.59262-30-12-1
42. Bowling Green (9-2)0.58510-00-03-1
43. Kent (9-5)0.58513-30-03-0
109. Central Mich (2-5)0.52270-10-01-4
111. Western Mich (7-4)0.52210-00-10-1
134. Ohio (6-3)0.51140-00-10-1
144. Miami Ohio (3-8)0.50480-21-21-2
154. Marshall (4-4)0.50080-10-00-0
200. Akron (3-7)0.47010-10-10-0
201. Northern Ill (4-5)0.46970-00-00-2
204. Toledo (2-6)0.46770-10-00-4
238. Buffalo (5-6)0.44970-00-10-2
266. Eastern Mich (3-7)0.42050-10-00-2


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5075


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
22. Southern Ill (12-3)0.60583-20-01-0
67. Creighton (6-5)0.56721-21-10-1
106. Northern Iowa (5-4)0.52350-00-11-1
135. Illinois St (4-7)0.51130-30-01-0
142. Wichita St (6-5)0.50630-10-10-1
169. Indiana St (2-7)0.48690-00-00-5
174. Bradley (3-6)0.48330-00-11-1
199. Drake (5-5)0.47080-00-10-1
213. SW Missouri St (5-7)0.46480-00-10-1
231. Evansville (3-6)0.45470-00-10-2


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.4996


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
73. VA Commonwealth (7-3)0.56170-00-02-0
88. NC Wilmington (6-6)0.53530-31-01-2
108. George Mason (6-4)0.52310-00-11-1
116. Old Dominion (6-4)0.52010-00-10-1
118. Hofstra (5-6)0.51921-00-11-2
150. Delaware (4-6)0.50120-00-10-3
203. James Madison (6-2)0.46780-00-10-0
215. Towson (4-5)0.46380-00-00-2
220. Drexel (3-6)0.46070-00-10-1
247. William & Mary (2-7)0.44270-20-00-0


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4878


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
28. Gonzaga (12-3)0.60141-21-03-1
96. Pepperdine (6-8)0.53071-41-21-2
97. San Diego (6-5)0.53060-01-11-2
217. Santa Clara (4-8)0.46340-10-11-0
219. Loyola Marymnt (6-7)0.46120-00-11-2
233. St Marys CA (4-8)0.45170-00-10-3
251. San Francisco (4-8)0.43640-10-00-3
261. Portland (4-11)0.42680-11-10-1


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4859


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
44. Pennsylvania (13-4)0.58430-11-13-2
127. Princeton (4-8)0.51420-20-10-3
140. Brown (8-4)0.50850-00-01-1
177. Columbia (6-6)0.48310-10-10-2
192. Yale (9-5)0.47510-00-01-1
197. Harvard (7-5)0.47170-00-10-0
224. Dartmouth (6-6)0.45970-00-00-1
301. Cornell (2-10)0.39040-00-10-3


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4816


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
13. Coll Of Charltn (9-0)0.62150-00-02-0
102. Chattanooga (5-6)0.52550-20-21-1
104. Davidson (4-5)0.52470-21-10-2
151. NC Greensboro (7-5)0.50120-10-20-1
158. East Tenn St (4-4)0.50010-00-10-3
170. Geo Southern (2-3)0.48540-10-01-1
178. The Citadel (4-3)0.48230-00-20-0
181. Furman (3-3)0.48030-10-10-0
236. VMI (2-6)0.45060-10-11-1
254. Wofford (2-6)0.43370-00-30-1
287. Appalachian St (2-6)0.40460-00-10-2
311. Westrn Carolina (2-5)0.36970-00-00-0


ATLANTIC SUN AVERAGE = 0.4755


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
85. Georgia St (3-4)0.53641-10-01-2
101. Belmont (3-4)0.52580-10-21-0
115. Samford (3-5)0.52100-20-00-2
137. Stetson (2-3)0.51030-20-00-1
153. Jacksonville (2-3)0.50120-10-00-0
155. Troy St (4-3)0.50050-00-10-0
193. Central Florida (3-3)0.47380-00-00-1
245. Mercer (1-7)0.44480-00-20-3
248. Fla Atlantic (2-5)0.44000-20-00-1
291. Jacksonville St (2-3)0.40060-10-00-0
308. Campbell (1-5)0.37580-00-00-1


HORIZON AVERAGE = 0.4747


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
45. Butler (14-1)0.58191-00-02-1
90. Wright St (7-3)0.53490-10-00-0
91. Detroit (6-7)0.53380-10-11-3
145. Illinois Chi (6-6)0.50480-20-10-1
172. Cleveland St (6-5)0.48400-10-00-1
202. Loyola Chi (5-5)0.46890-20-00-1
278. Wisc Milwaukee (2-7)0.41200-00-10-2
305. Wisc Green Bay (3-8)0.38630-00-10-1
315. Youngstown St (1-8)0.36571-00-00-1


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.4738


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
69. Western KY (10-3)0.56521-01-20-1
132. New Mexico St (6-6)0.51240-11-01-2
143. Ul Lafayette (6-5)0.50550-20-01-1
156. Louisiana Tech (5-5)0.50020-10-11-1
194. Arkansas St (7-6)0.47370-20-10-0
208. Middle Tenn St (5-6)0.46610-00-00-1
223. South Alabama (3-6)0.45990-20-00-1
229. Arkansas Lr (7-4)0.45830-10-00-0
232. New Orleans (5-7)0.45300-20-01-0
241. North Texas (4-6)0.44800-10-01-1
249. Florida Intl (4-9)0.43950-10-11-1
288. Denver (4-7)0.40320-00-00-1


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4734


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
27. Utah St (7-2)0.60150-01-03-1
80. Pacific (6-2)0.54370-00-00-2
95. Santa Barbara (5-4)0.53130-10-13-0
107. UC Irvine (6-5)0.52320-20-01-2
162. Cal Poly (5-2)0.49760-00-00-1
218. Long Beach St (2-7)0.46240-00-40-1
241. North Texas (4-6)0.44800-10-01-1
269. CS Northridge (0-8)0.41890-00-20-2
272. UC Riverside (2-5)0.41650-10-00-2
300. CS Fullerton (2-6)0.39180-00-00-2
310. Idaho (2-6)0.37200-00-00-1


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.4639


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
78. Weber St (6-4)0.54570-01-12-2
136. Montana St (5-6)0.51080-00-01-4
186. Portland St (5-7)0.47860-00-20-1
195. Eastern Wash (4-8)0.47300-10-31-1
209. Montana (4-8)0.46610-00-30-1
230. Northrn Arizona (5-6)0.45650-10-10-1
234. Idaho St (5-6)0.45110-00-10-2
323. Sacramento St (4-8)0.32950-00-00-0


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4595


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
98. Mo Kansas City (8-3)0.53030-20-00-0
129. Valparaiso (9-6)0.51340-31-00-1
148. Oakland (6-7)0.50250-10-11-1
184. Iupui (4-6)0.47900-10-01-2
216. Oral Roberts (6-8)0.46340-00-20-0
221. Western Ill (7-4)0.46040-10-00-0
312. Chicago St (1-9)0.36900-10-00-0
316. Southern Utah (1-9)0.35820-00-20-1


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4579


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
113. Tennessee Tech (6-5)0.52140-00-12-3
120. Tenn Martin (4-4)0.51810-00-21-1
138. Eastern Ill (5-6)0.51010-30-10-1
166. Murray St (4-6)0.49120-10-20-1
182. Austin Peay (2-9)0.48020-10-30-3
211. Morehead St (2-5)0.46570-10-00-2
285. Tennessee St (2-7)0.40550-00-00-3
307. Eastern KY (0-7)0.37740-00-10-3
318. SE Missouri St (0-9)0.35140-00-10-1


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4519


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
62. Central Conn (13-4)0.57120-20-00-1
112. Monmouth NJ (7-7)0.52190-10-21-1
149. Wagner (8-7)0.50250-00-01-3
179. St Francis NY (7-5)0.48210-10-10-0
242. St Francis PA (2-10)0.44640-30-00-0
260. Robert Morris (4-12)0.42790-20-00-1
267. Liu Brooklyn (2-10)0.41990-10-00-1
317. Mt St Marys (1-12)0.35290-00-10-1
320. Fair Dickinson (1-14)0.34250-00-00-1


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4480


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
83. Sam Houston (5-3)0.53861-10-00-0
117. Tex San Antonio (5-2)0.51950-00-01-0
126. Ul Monroe (3-6)0.51420-20-00-3
226. McNeese St (1-6)0.45920-30-00-2
228. Northwestern St (3-7)0.45880-10-20-1
235. Texas Arlington (2-4)0.45100-00-00-1
252. Nicholls St (0-6)0.43520-10-10-2
253. Lamar (3-4)0.43460-00-10-0
283. SW Texas St (1-5)0.40910-00-10-1
286. Stephen Austin (2-4)0.40520-00-00-0
324. SE Louisiana (0-6)0.30270-00-10-0


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4444


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
79. Manhattan (7-2)0.54550-01-10-1
105. Marist (6-3)0.52420-00-00-1
198. Niagara (4-7)0.47170-00-10-3
227. Rider (4-5)0.45910-00-00-1
237. Siena (4-10)0.44970-30-00-2
268. Iona (3-7)0.41940-00-10-0
270. Canisius (3-6)0.41820-00-10-2
271. Fairfield (2-7)0.41780-00-10-1
292. St Peters (1-8)0.39950-00-00-1
322. Loyola MD (1-8)0.33850-00-00-2


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4428


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
147. Colgate (7-4)0.50330-00-11-1
185. Holy Cross (6-10)0.47890-10-20-1
191. American (6-7)0.47690-10-10-2
225. Lafayette (5-7)0.45970-10-10-1
264. Army (4-7)0.42410-00-10-1
276. Bucknell (4-9)0.41270-00-10-2
277. Navy (4-10)0.41220-10-00-1
309. Lehigh (2-10)0.37490-00-10-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4292


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
173. Howard (4-5)0.48340-10-00-2
188. Hampton (5-6)0.47760-10-00-2
244. MD Eastrn Shore (4-6)0.44520-00-00-2
246. SO Carolina St (2-7)0.44370-20-10-1
250. Norfolk St (1-9)0.43710-10-20-1
255. Bethune Cookman (2-6)0.43370-20-00-2
281. Delaware St (3-6)0.40940-10-10-0
282. Florida A&M (0-9)0.40930-30-00-1
284. NO Carolina A&T (0-8)0.40710-10-10-1
299. Coppin St (1-9)0.39420-10-10-2
306. Morgan St (0-8)0.38060-10-00-2


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4276


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
176. Boston U (6-7)0.48320-10-10-3
189. Vermont (7-4)0.47720-00-00-0
215. Towson (4-5)0.46380-00-00-2
258. Albany NY (3-8)0.43110-10-00-2
263. New Hampshire (2-8)0.42600-20-20-0
274. Hartford (3-11)0.41540-00-10-2
294. Stony Brook (1-9)0.39780-00-20-2
296. Northeastern (2-9)0.39650-10-00-0
297. Maine (2-8)0.39620-00-10-0
303. Binghamton (2-9)0.38870-00-00-1


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.4202


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
114. TX Pan American (12-6)0.52130-10-01-1
259. Centenary (5-10)0.42820-00-01-4
298. Texas A&M-CC (3-12)0.39530-20-10-0
304. Morris Brown (2-22)0.38770-10-40-1
313. Lipscomb (1-12)0.36870-00-00-3


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4173


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
214. Radford (4-10)0.46390-00-01-4
239. High Point (2-7)0.44950-20-00-1
243. Winthrop (2-8)0.44580-20-00-1
256. Elon (2-7)0.43240-10-10-2
275. Coast Carolina (2-9)0.41280-10-00-2
280. Birmingham Southern (3-8)0.40950-00-00-2
289. Charleston Sou (1-9)0.40290-00-20-3
293. NC Asheville (2-9)0.39950-00-20-1
321. Liberty (0-10)0.33920-00-00-1


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4103


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
207. Grambling (1-7)0.46640-00-40-2
212. Alabama A&M (2-3)0.46490-20-00-1
257. Alabama St (4-5)0.43170-00-10-1
262. Jackson St (1-8)0.42660-10-10-3
279. Texas Southern (0-8)0.41010-20-00-2
290. Miss Valley St (2-6)0.40280-10-10-0
295. Ark Pine Bluff (0-10)0.39740-10-10-2
302. Prairie View (1-7)0.38920-00-10-3
314. Southern (1-7)0.36680-00-10-1
319. Alcorn St (1-8)0.34660-00-10-2
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