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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Downward Stability

By division
Last Updated Tue Apr 02 06:44:12 PST 2002

Home Advantage = 3.9904

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Indiana (24-12)4.6781
2. South Carolina (21-15)4.6302
3. Temple (19-15)4.3730
4. Arizona (24-10)4.3227
5. Richmond (21-14)4.2433
6. Syracuse (23-13)4.2094
7. Alabama (27-8)4.1505
8. Mississippi St (27-8)4.1501
9. UCLA (21-12)4.1414
10. Georgia (22-10)4.1405

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Holy Cross (18-15)4.1357
12. Siena (17-19)4.0799
13. VA Commonwealth (20-11)4.0370
14. Illinois (26-9)4.0039
15. Niagara (18-14)3.9918
16. Unlv (21-11)3.9566
17. Iowa (19-16)3.9565
18. Wake Forest (22-13)3.9522
19. Southern Ill (28-8)3.9356
20. Kentucky (21-10)3.9225

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Ohio St (24-8)3.8831
22. Santa Barbara (19-11)3.8803
23. Memphis (26-9)3.8789
24. SW Missouri St (17-15)3.8546
25. South Florida (19-13)3.8474
26. Missouri (24-12)3.8469
27. Fla Atlantic (18-12)3.8438
28. La Salle (15-17)3.8347
29. Villanova (19-13)3.8168
30. San Diego St (19-12)3.8144

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Wisconsin (18-13)3.8119
32. George Mason (19-10)3.8067
33. Texas (22-12)3.7992
34. USC (22-10)3.7949
35. Ball St (21-12)3.7918
36. Pacific (18-10)3.7897
37. Fresno St (18-15)3.7832
38. UC Irvine (20-11)3.7814
39. Illinois Chi (17-14)3.7799
40. Connecticut (27-7)3.7781

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Bowling Green (23-9)3.7781
42. Oregon (25-9)3.7581
43. LSU (18-15)3.7440
44. Western Mich (17-13)3.7265
45. Ul Monroe (19-12)3.7219
46. California (23-9)3.6854
47. Stanford (20-10)3.6852
48. Boston College (20-12)3.6725
49. Utah St (22-8)3.6702
50. NC Greensboro (20-11)3.6698

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Georgia St (19-11)3.6574
52. NC Wilmington (23-10)3.6545
53. Detroit (18-13)3.6365
54. St Josephs (19-11)3.6360
55. BYU (17-12)3.6204
56. Tex San Antonio (19-10)3.6193
57. Illinois St (17-14)3.6188
58. Coll Of Charltn (20-8)3.6167
59. St Bonaventure (17-13)3.6143
60. Miami Fla (24-8)3.6092

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Alabama St (18-12)3.6072
62. Florida (22-9)3.6067
63. St Louis (15-16)3.5914
64. Howard (17-13)3.5840
65. Nevada (16-13)3.5807
66. American (18-12)3.5767
67. Houston (17-15)3.5750
68. St Johns (20-12)3.5700
69. New Mexico St (18-11)3.5668
70. Delaware (14-16)3.5596

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Samford (15-14)3.5537
72. Oral Roberts (17-13)3.5282
73. Creighton (23-9)3.5168
74. Utah (19-9)3.5086
75. Eastern Wash (15-13)3.5073
76. Louisville (19-13)3.5056
77. Xavier (26-6)3.5007
78. Ohio (17-11)3.5002
79. Wichita St (15-15)3.4937
80. Notre Dame (21-11)3.4782

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Marist (19-9)3.4755
82. Minnesota (18-13)3.4633
83. Texas Tech (23-9)3.4621
84. Michigan St (18-12)3.4573
85. Lamar (15-14)3.4571
86. Ul Lafayette (19-11)3.4546
87. NC Charlotte (18-12)3.4492
88. Pittsburgh (28-6)3.4487
89. Murray St (17-12)3.4449
90. Montana (14-15)3.4438

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Miami Ohio (13-18)3.4428
92. New Mexico (16-14)3.4412
93. Tennessee (14-16)3.4347
94. Hofstra (12-20)3.4295
95. Rider (17-11)3.4155
96. Vermont (21-8)3.4091
97. Yale (21-9)3.4060
98. Iona (13-17)3.4030
99. Winthrop (17-12)3.4017
100. Central Florida (16-12)3.3939

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Mississippi (19-11)3.3937
102. Pennsylvania (25-7)3.3900
103. Louisiana Tech (19-10)3.3886
104. Hartford (14-18)3.3839
105. Northwestern (16-13)3.3827
106. SMU (14-14)3.3822
107. Davidson (18-10)3.3811
108. Colgate (15-11)3.3744
109. North Carolina St (23-11)3.3741
110. Northern Iowa (14-15)3.3677

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Troy St (18-10)3.3671
112. Dayton (21-10)3.3664
113. Loyola Chi (16-13)3.3639
114. Tulsa (26-7)3.3614
115. TCU (14-15)3.3534
116. Old Dominion (13-16)3.3527
117. Jacksonville (14-12)3.3515
118. Alcorn St (20-10)3.3490
119. Chattanooga (14-14)3.3487
120. Wyoming (21-9)3.3398

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Drake (14-15)3.3367
122. Weber St (15-11)3.3317
123. Oklahoma (31-5)3.3315
124. Fairfield (12-17)3.3308
125. SO Carolina St (14-15)3.3187
126. Hampton (25-7)3.3113
127. Vanderbilt (17-14)3.3093
128. Manhattan (20-9)3.3091
129. Hawaii (27-6)3.3048
130. Oklahoma St (23-9)3.3043

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Delaware St (16-13)3.3019
132. Marshall (13-15)3.2993
133. Lafayette (14-14)3.2935
134. Bucknell (13-16)3.2855
135. Kent (29-6)3.2792
136. Furman (13-13)3.2788
137. Boston U (22-10)3.2719
138. Bethune Cookman (11-17)3.2582
139. James Madison (13-15)3.2489
140. San Diego (14-13)3.2411

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Drexel (14-14)3.2389
142. Maine (11-18)3.2307
143. Oakland (16-12)3.2270
144. New Orleans (14-14)3.2200
145. Montana St (17-9)3.2156
146. Massachusetts (13-16)3.2117
147. Wright St (16-11)3.2107
148. Rutgers (18-13)3.2082
149. Northern Ill (12-16)3.1883
150. Uab (13-17)3.1700

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Radford (14-16)3.1667
152. Georgia Tech (15-16)3.1525
153. Sam Houston (14-14)3.1512
154. Marquette (26-7)3.1482
155. Toledo (15-14)3.1451
156. Belmont (11-17)3.1398
157. Kansas (31-4)3.1268
158. Providence (15-16)3.1164
159. Butler (26-6)3.1141
160. Purdue (13-18)3.1123

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Cal Poly (14-12)3.1095
162. Arkansas St (13-16)3.0903
163. Stephen Austin (12-15)3.0901
164. Tennessee Tech (23-7)3.0861
165. William & Mary (9-19)3.0769
166. Mo Kansas City (16-11)3.0693
167. Boise St (12-17)3.0624
168. Alabama A&M (15-10)3.0576
169. Arkansas (14-15)3.0532
170. CS Northridge (11-16)3.0453

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Brown (16-10)3.0443
172. Buffalo (12-18)3.0404
173. Middle Tenn St (12-15)3.0315
174. Valparaiso (24-8)3.0312
175. Tulane (13-15)3.0283
176. Umbc (20-9)3.0233
177. Rice (10-19)3.0063
178. Wisc Milwaukee (13-13)3.0039
179. Northwestern St (11-18)3.0014
180. East Tenn St (15-10)2.9998

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Cincinnati (31-4)2.9915
182. McNeese St (20-9)2.9908
183. The Citadel (13-12)2.9832
184. Northrn Arizona (12-14)2.9787
185. Pepperdine (21-10)2.9761
186. St Francis NY (18-11)2.9759
187. SW Texas St (11-16)2.9712
188. Quinnipiac (14-16)2.9712
189. Long Beach St (11-17)2.9620
190. Georgetown (18-11)2.9588

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Virginia (17-12)2.9561
192. Jacksonville St (11-16)2.9549
193. Towson (11-17)2.9527
194. San Francisco (12-15)2.9368
195. Monmouth NJ (18-12)2.9365
196. Cleveland St (12-16)2.9365
197. Colorado St (10-17)2.9311
198. New Hampshire (10-17)2.9159
199. Texas Southern (11-17)2.9113
200. MD Eastrn Shore (11-18)2.9083

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Geo Washington (12-16)2.9080
202. Morehead St (14-11)2.9062
203. Bradley (9-20)2.8986
204. Miss Valley St (11-16)2.8978
205. Iupui (12-15)2.8976
206. Eastern Ill (12-16)2.8936
207. Binghamton (9-19)2.8906
208. Princeton (15-12)2.8896
209. Wagner (19-10)2.8659
210. Army (10-16)2.8505

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. North Texas (13-14)2.8454
212. Austin Peay (11-18)2.8436
213. Canisius (10-20)2.8315
214. Elon (11-16)2.8307
215. Charleston Sou (10-17)2.8248
216. TX Pan American (15-9)2.8238
217. Texas El Paso (9-22)2.8224
218. Akron (9-21)2.8206
219. Arizona St (13-15)2.8175
220. NO Carolina A&T (10-17)2.8126

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Arkansas Lr (16-11)2.8085
222. Santa Clara (12-15)2.8065
223. Robert Morris (12-18)2.7686
224. Geo Southern (11-11)2.7641
225. Washington (10-18)2.7477
226. Texas Arlington (11-14)2.7459
227. NC Asheville (12-14)2.7435
228. Portland St (11-16)2.7421
229. Duke (31-4)2.7380
230. Seton Hall (11-18)2.7308

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Harvard (14-12)2.7287
232. Maryland (32-4)2.7285
233. High Point (9-19)2.7158
234. Navy (9-20)2.7097
235. Gonzaga (28-4)2.7033
236. Norfolk St (10-19)2.6892
237. Baylor (12-16)2.6876
238. Tenn Martin (11-14)2.6834
239. Florida A&M (9-19)2.6756
240. Clemson (13-17)2.6734

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Central Mich (8-19)2.6730
242. Michigan (10-18)2.6635
243. Albany NY (8-20)2.6581
244. Jackson St (9-19)2.6580
245. Air Force (9-19)2.6578
246. Auburn (12-16)2.6520
247. East Carolina (10-18)2.6518
248. Nebraska (12-15)2.6515
249. Virginia Tech (10-18)2.6459
250. Kansas St (12-16)2.6446

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Columbia (10-16)2.6369
252. Iowa St (11-19)2.6315
253. Colorado (14-14)2.6259
254. Western KY (26-4)2.6222
255. Prairie View (9-18)2.6114
256. Northeastern (7-21)2.6018
257. Central Conn (27-5)2.5904
258. Westrn Carolina (8-16)2.5798
259. Wisc Green Bay (9-21)2.5764
260. Stetson (9-16)2.5701

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. SO Mississippi (9-17)2.5539
262. Coast Carolina (8-20)2.5437
263. Fordham (8-20)2.4914
264. Idaho (8-19)2.4649
265. Tennessee St (9-17)2.4572
266. Duquesne (9-19)2.4552
267. Birmingham Southern (9-14)2.4518
268. Southern Utah (9-16)2.4235
269. Indiana St (6-22)2.4180
270. St Marys CA (8-20)2.4152

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Grambling (8-19)2.4051
272. Western Ill (10-16)2.3986
273. Southern (7-19)2.3627
274. Sacramento St (7-19)2.3536
275. Sacred Heart (8-20)2.3534
276. Evansville (7-21)2.3525
277. San Jose St (9-20)2.3516
278. Florida St (11-17)2.3357
279. Rhode Island (8-20)2.3268
280. Texas A&M (8-22)2.3162

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Campbell (7-19)2.3099
282. Idaho St (8-17)2.3027
283. Denver (7-20)2.2935
284. VMI (7-18)2.2906
285. Stony Brook (6-22)2.2853
286. Florida Intl (8-20)2.2746
287. Dartmouth (8-18)2.2703
288. Loyola Marymnt (8-20)2.2330
289. Appalachian St (7-18)2.2309
290. North Carolina (8-20)2.2160

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Wofford (7-18)2.2028
292. Oregon St (9-17)2.1736
293. UC Riverside (7-18)2.1620
294. Portland (6-24)2.1483
295. Coppin St (5-25)2.1408
296. SE Louisiana (6-20)2.1245
297. DePaul (9-19)2.1191
298. Centenary (9-12)2.0850
299. Texas A&M-CC (7-14)2.0786
300. West Virginia (7-20)2.0171

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Mercer (5-23)1.9964
302. Lehigh (4-23)1.9662
303. Loyola MD (5-23)1.9654
304. St Francis PA (6-21)1.9302
305. Penn St (7-21)1.9219
306. South Alabama (5-20)1.8984
307. SE Missouri St (4-22)1.8513
308. Liu Brooklyn (5-22)1.8105
309. Fair Dickinson (4-25)1.8100
310. CS Fullerton (4-22)1.7765

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Eastern Mich (5-24)1.7725
312. Cornell (4-22)1.6799
313. Washington St (6-21)1.6518
314. St Peters (4-24)1.6418
315. Morgan St (3-25)1.5978
316. Liberty (3-24)1.5178
317. Youngstown St (3-23)1.4236
318. Eastern KY (3-20)1.4039
319. Mt St Marys (3-24)1.3456
320. Ark Pine Bluff (2-26)1.0740

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Morris Brown (3-22)1.0401
322. Lipscomb (2-18)0.9493
323. Nicholls St (1-25)0.8066
324. Chicago St (1-24)0.6425
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