NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2)
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Spreading the Nerd Word
Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Non-League Ratings

By division
Last Updated Tue Apr 02 06:40:13 PST 2002

Home Advantage = 3.9904

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Maryland (16-2)98.7636-21-01-0
2. Duke (15-1)95.4353-12-05-0
3. Oklahoma (14-2)94.4893-12-12-0
4. Cincinnati (14-2)93.9692-02-23-0
5. Kansas (13-3)93.8035-12-12-1
6. Illinois (14-3)93.1180-33-06-0
7. Kentucky (11-3)92.9643-23-10-0
8. Indiana (12-6)91.5164-33-23-1
9. Coll Of Charltn (9-0)91.2180-00-01-0
10. Arizona (9-4)91.0583-32-14-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Butler (14-1)90.3691-00-03-1
12. Connecticut (11-4)90.2762-30-02-1
13. Missouri (14-3)90.1342-15-11-0
14. Pittsburgh (13-2)89.6441-11-00-1
15. UCLA (10-4)89.0204-02-12-3
16. Mississippi St (14-2)88.9250-10-12-0
17. Gonzaga (12-3)88.6010-21-04-1
18. Florida (11-2)88.3820-13-01-1
19. Southern Ill (12-3)88.3451-22-01-0
20. Oklahoma St (13-2)88.1821-11-02-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Stanford (8-3)88.1080-12-12-1
22. Texas (11-5)88.0522-30-13-1
23. Marquette (11-3)88.0171-12-11-1
24. Miami Fla (13-1)87.9371-01-12-0
25. Xavier (9-4)87.6421-20-13-1
26. North Carolina St (12-3)87.5500-22-02-0
27. Kent (9-5)87.1562-21-12-0
28. Oregon (10-4)87.0161-12-11-0
29. Arkansas (8-4)87.0111-31-11-0
30. Memphis (14-4)86.9651-12-33-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. South Carolina (13-4)86.8730-21-25-0
32. Alabama (13-3)86.8052-11-21-0
33. Wake Forest (12-5)86.7431-32-05-2
34. Ball St (8-5)86.7251-31-22-0
35. Notre Dame (10-4)86.5530-41-00-0
36. Georgia (12-3)86.4910-02-03-2
37. Tulsa (9-3)86.4161-20-11-0
38. Western KY (10-3)86.1131-10-01-2
39. Ohio St (10-3)85.9821-10-21-0
40. Texas Tech (11-2)85.8620-01-04-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Iowa (11-4)85.8361-11-11-1
42. Dayton (9-3)85.7930-20-02-1
43. St Bonaventure (8-4)85.5781-20-00-2
44. California (10-2)85.5100-10-04-1
45. Virginia (10-2)85.3580-11-12-0
46. BYU (10-4)85.1691-10-04-3
47. Villanova (11-3)84.9410-03-12-1
48. Tulane (7-3)84.9150-30-02-0
49. Syracuse (14-5)84.3751-22-13-2
50. Fresno St (8-5)84.1821-12-30-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Pennsylvania (13-4)83.8920-11-13-1
52. Colorado (8-2)83.6270-00-11-1
53. Bowling Green (9-2)83.6200-01-11-0
54. Temple (7-10)83.4380-72-04-2
55. Michigan St (8-5)83.4302-30-01-2
56. Wisconsin (7-7)83.1491-10-23-3
57. USC (8-3)83.1180-00-03-3
58. South Florida (10-4)82.9041-11-00-2
59. Manhattan (7-2)82.7660-00-01-2
60. Wyoming (9-5)82.7420-21-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Utah St (7-2)82.6120-00-02-0
62. Utah (8-4)82.5500-21-01-2
63. San Diego St (9-5)82.4730-20-13-2
64. Louisville (10-4)82.4031-30-13-0
65. St Johns (10-4)82.3621-10-11-1
66. Boston College (11-3)82.0820-10-11-0
67. NC Wilmington (6-6)82.0101-31-00-2
68. Hawaii (9-3)81.9910-01-11-1
69. Vanderbilt (11-3)81.8010-11-02-0
70. Arizona St (6-3)81.7380-00-02-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Mississippi (10-3)81.7151-00-10-1
72. Creighton (6-5)81.6951-11-20-1
73. Washington (5-4)81.6910-00-24-1
74. Purdue (8-6)81.4490-32-20-0
75. Tennessee Tech (6-5)81.3540-10-10-2
76. Pacific (6-2)81.3060-00-00-2
77. New Mexico (10-5)81.2030-10-33-0
78. Georgetown (8-3)81.0551-00-30-0
79. NC Charlotte (6-6)80.8670-30-31-0
80. Minnesota (8-5)80.8651-10-21-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. VA Commonwealth (7-3)80.8370-00-03-1
82. Santa Barbara (5-4)80.6580-20-02-0
83. Massachusetts (6-5)80.6312-20-00-1
84. Valparaiso (9-6)80.6000-31-01-2
85. Pepperdine (6-8)80.5101-41-11-3
86. Unlv (10-5)80.4520-20-12-1
87. Tennessee (6-6)80.4470-20-12-2
88. LSU (10-4)80.4360-01-11-1
89. James Madison (6-2)80.4250-10-00-1
90. St Josephs (7-6)80.3430-00-12-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Georgia Tech (8-6)80.2880-10-13-2
92. Geo Washington (7-4)80.2680-10-21-0
93. Sam Houston (5-3)80.1630-11-00-0
94. Cal Poly (5-2)79.9210-00-00-1
95. Weber St (6-4)79.7510-00-03-2
96. Auburn (8-3)79.7110-00-10-1
97. Tex San Antonio (5-2)79.5080-00-00-0
98. San Diego (6-5)79.3630-10-02-1
99. Wright St (7-3)79.3050-10-00-0
100. Davidson (4-5)79.2810-20-11-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Richmond (8-8)78.9600-41-11-1
102. Chattanooga (5-6)78.9140-30-10-1
103. Georgia St (3-4)78.9010-11-01-2
104. Central Conn (13-4)78.8520-20-00-1
105. Nevada (6-3)78.7900-00-00-1
106. UC Irvine (6-5)78.7630-10-11-2
107. Uab (7-6)78.6050-00-12-1
108. Western Mich (7-4)78.5730-10-02-0
109. Montana St (5-6)78.5690-00-02-5
110. Northwestern (9-3)78.5540-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Ohio (6-3)78.4490-00-00-2
112. TCU (8-4)78.3640-00-22-0
113. Marist (6-3)78.1090-00-00-1
114. TX Pan American (12-6)78.0600-00-23-0
115. Colorado St (7-5)78.0540-10-02-2
116. Louisiana Tech (5-5)78.0480-10-11-2
117. East Tenn St (4-4)78.0470-10-10-1
118. Troy St (4-3)78.0240-00-00-2
119. George Mason (6-4)77.9230-01-00-2
120. DePaul (7-5)77.7780-12-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Oregon St (5-3)77.6730-00-11-1
122. Detroit (6-7)77.5020-10-21-2
123. Northern Iowa (5-4)77.4060-01-10-1
124. NC Greensboro (7-5)77.4060-20-10-1
125. Oakland (6-7)77.3060-10-10-2
126. Illinois Chi (6-6)77.2300-20-00-3
127. SMU (4-5)77.1990-00-21-2
128. Houston (6-7)77.1760-20-20-3
129. Providence (9-5)76.9190-10-20-0
130. New Mexico St (6-6)76.8660-01-11-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Seton Hall (6-6)76.8500-30-10-0
132. La Salle (7-6)76.7380-00-04-1
133. Wichita St (6-5)76.6870-00-30-0
134. Rutgers (10-4)76.6600-00-11-0
135. Baylor (8-3)76.4420-00-00-0
136. Eastern Ill (5-6)76.3840-30-00-2
137. Clemson (9-4)76.3810-10-10-0
138. Furman (3-3)76.3540-00-10-2
139. Boise St (5-4)76.3460-00-01-2
140. Arkansas Lr (7-4)76.3250-10-01-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. West Virginia (6-5)76.1600-00-12-1
142. Mo Kansas City (8-3)76.1060-10-10-0
143. Texas El Paso (6-6)76.0740-00-31-2
144. Ul Monroe (3-6)76.0600-20-10-2
145. Iowa St (7-6)75.9870-00-12-3
146. Washington St (5-4)75.9030-00-20-0
147. Duquesne (5-6)75.7480-20-00-2
148. St Louis (6-8)75.5690-00-31-2
149. Murray St (4-6)75.5520-00-31-1
150. Marshall (4-4)75.5390-10-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Florida St (6-4)75.4740-10-01-1
152. Nebraska (6-4)75.4450-00-11-1
153. Ul Lafayette (6-5)75.4120-10-10-2
154. Portland St (5-7)75.4060-10-11-2
155. Hampton (5-6)75.3570-10-00-1
156. Belmont (3-4)75.2960-21-00-1
157. Stetson (2-3)75.1900-10-10-1
158. Arkansas St (7-6)75.1890-10-10-1
159. Old Dominion (6-4)75.1560-10-00-1
160. Iupui (4-6)75.0880-10-11-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Yale (9-5)75.0250-00-00-1
162. Central Florida (3-3)75.0140-00-00-1
163. Samford (3-5)74.9790-10-20-0
164. Delaware (4-6)74.8530-00-10-3
165. Geo Southern (2-3)74.8510-00-10-1
166. Vermont (7-4)74.8130-00-00-0
167. Illinois St (4-7)74.8090-30-01-0
168. Miami Ohio (3-8)74.8000-20-31-1
169. Colgate (7-4)74.4880-10-01-1
170. Boston U (6-7)74.4000-10-10-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Monmouth NJ (7-7)74.2440-20-11-1
172. Hofstra (5-6)74.1771-00-00-3
173. North Texas (4-6)74.1580-00-11-2
174. Princeton (4-8)74.1190-20-20-1
175. Jacksonville (2-3)74.1080-00-10-1
176. Loyola Chi (5-5)74.0840-20-00-1
177. Central Mich (2-5)74.0130-10-10-0
178. The Citadel (4-3)74.0020-20-00-0
179. SO Mississippi (5-5)73.9060-00-10-1
180. Michigan (4-6)73.8740-10-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Brown (8-4)73.7580-00-01-0
182. Middle Tenn St (5-6)73.6570-00-00-1
183. Eastern Wash (4-8)73.6450-10-31-1
184. Cleveland St (6-5)73.4910-10-00-1
185. Tenn Martin (4-4)73.4100-10-20-0
186. East Carolina (5-6)73.4010-10-01-0
187. North Carolina (4-7)73.3960-30-01-1
188. Radford (4-10)73.3320-00-11-5
189. MD Eastrn Shore (4-6)73.2290-00-20-0
190. New Orleans (5-7)73.1470-10-11-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Northern Ill (4-5)73.1210-00-10-1
192. SW Missouri St (5-7)73.0970-00-11-2
193. Fordham (4-7)73.0320-10-01-3
194. VMI (2-6)72.9930-10-11-1
195. Drake (5-5)72.9910-00-11-1
196. McNeese St (1-6)72.8330-20-10-2
197. Northrn Arizona (5-6)72.8180-20-00-1
198. Oral Roberts (6-8)72.7330-00-20-0
199. Morehead St (2-5)72.6830-10-10-1
200. Loyola Marymnt (6-7)72.5460-10-01-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Virginia Tech (6-6)72.4800-00-10-1
202. Air Force (6-7)72.4730-00-10-2
203. Rider (4-5)72.4660-00-00-1
204. Northwestern St (3-7)72.4130-10-10-2
205. Toledo (2-6)72.4100-10-10-1
206. Rice (5-5)72.4030-00-01-2
207. Wagner (8-7)72.3430-00-10-1
208. Texas A&M (5-8)72.2370-00-21-0
209. Umbc (20-9)72.2160-00-00-0
210. St Marys CA (4-8)72.1550-00-00-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. UC Riverside (2-5)72.0650-00-10-2
212. Bradley (3-6)72.0560-10-00-1
213. Howard (4-5)72.0110-00-30-0
214. Niagara (4-7)71.9890-00-00-2
215. Montana (4-8)71.9320-10-20-2
216. Texas Arlington (2-4)71.6420-00-01-3
217. Kansas St (5-5)71.5940-00-20-1
218. Alabama A&M (2-3)71.5730-20-00-0
219. Appalachian St (2-6)71.3930-00-10-2
220. Austin Peay (2-9)71.3350-10-40-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Columbia (6-6)71.3070-00-20-2
222. Buffalo (5-6)71.2190-00-20-2
223. Wofford (2-6)71.1690-30-00-1
224. Western Ill (7-4)71.1410-10-00-0
225. San Francisco (4-8)71.1270-00-10-4
226. Rhode Island (4-7)70.9420-20-10-1
227. American (6-7)70.8040-10-00-3
228. Lamar (3-4)70.7820-00-10-0
229. Holy Cross (6-10)70.7730-10-00-2
230. Wisc Milwaukee (2-7)70.7070-00-20-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Indiana St (2-7)70.7020-00-20-3
232. South Alabama (3-6)70.5810-10-20-1
233. Alabama St (4-5)70.5580-10-10-0
234. Santa Clara (4-8)70.4760-10-11-0
235. Siena (4-10)70.4440-10-20-2
236. Lafayette (5-7)70.0980-00-10-1
237. Iona (3-7)70.0740-00-01-1
238. SW Texas St (1-5)70.0360-00-10-1
239. Denver (4-7)69.9240-00-00-2
240. Fla Atlantic (2-5)69.9240-10-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Long Beach St (2-7)69.6390-30-10-1
242. Centenary (5-10)69.4840-00-01-4
243. Idaho St (5-6)69.4640-00-00-3
244. Akron (3-7)69.2370-10-10-0
245. William & Mary (2-7)69.0590-10-10-1
246. SO Carolina St (2-7)68.9980-30-00-1
247. Elon (2-7)68.9540-10-10-1
248. Harvard (7-5)68.8790-00-10-0
249. Evansville (3-6)68.8120-00-20-1
250. San Jose St (4-5)68.6780-10-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Penn St (4-7)68.6530-10-20-1
252. Florida Intl (4-9)68.6310-00-10-5
253. Canisius (3-6)68.5300-10-00-2
254. NC Asheville (2-9)68.4920-10-20-2
255. Miss Valley St (2-6)68.4100-10-00-1
256. Tennessee St (2-7)68.4010-00-10-3
257. Drexel (3-6)68.2100-00-00-2
258. Quinnipiac (14-16)68.1950-10-00-1
259. St Francis NY (7-5)68.1130-10-00-1
260. Navy (4-10)67.9640-10-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Westrn Carolina (2-5)67.9060-00-00-0
262. Dartmouth (6-6)67.8750-00-00-1
263. Portland (4-11)67.7481-10-00-1
264. Delaware St (3-6)67.7300-10-00-1
265. Winthrop (2-8)67.5190-20-00-0
266. Fairfield (2-7)67.4700-00-00-2
267. Towson (4-5)67.4420-00-10-1
268. Stephen Austin (2-4)66.9850-00-00-2
269. Grambling (1-7)66.7530-00-40-2
270. Birmingham Southern (3-8)66.5240-00-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Wisc Green Bay (3-8)66.2770-00-00-2
272. Northeastern (2-9)66.2270-10-00-0
273. Mercer (1-7)66.0530-10-20-2
274. Idaho (2-6)65.9760-00-00-1
275. Jacksonville St (2-3)65.9280-10-00-1
276. Jackson St (1-8)65.8300-00-20-3
277. Eastern Mich (3-7)65.7880-00-10-2
278. CS Fullerton (2-6)65.6800-00-00-3
279. Texas A&M-CC (3-12)65.5540-10-10-1
280. High Point (2-7)65.1200-20-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Bucknell (4-9)64.9640-00-00-2
282. Coast Carolina (2-9)64.9240-00-20-2
283. Charleston Sou (1-9)64.4910-20-10-1
284. Albany NY (3-8)64.4630-10-00-1
285. New Hampshire (2-8)64.3490-30-00-1
286. Norfolk St (1-9)64.2520-10-10-2
287. Army (4-7)64.1470-10-00-0
288. Sacramento St (4-8)64.0600-00-00-0
289. Southern Utah (1-9)63.9930-10-00-2
290. Robert Morris (4-12)63.8570-20-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Maine (2-8)63.7840-00-10-0
292. Bethune Cookman (2-6)63.6120-20-10-0
293. St Peters (1-8)63.5060-00-00-1
294. Lehigh (2-10)63.4630-00-00-1
295. Hartford (3-11)63.3840-00-00-2
296. St Francis PA (2-10)63.3320-20-10-0
297. Stony Brook (1-9)63.1410-00-00-2
298. Campbell (1-5)62.6030-00-00-1
299. Prairie View (1-7)62.4700-10-00-2
300. Southern (1-7)62.2850-00-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Florida A&M (0-9)62.2020-20-10-3
302. Alcorn St (1-8)62.0020-00-00-4
303. Liu Brooklyn (2-10)61.7880-00-10-0
304. Binghamton (2-9)61.7800-00-00-2
305. Cornell (2-10)61.6870-10-00-3
306. Sacred Heart (8-20)61.5200-00-00-2
307. Coppin St (1-9)61.1200-10-20-0
308. CS Northridge (0-8)60.5070-00-00-5
309. Chicago St (1-9)60.2260-10-00-2
310. Youngstown St (1-8)60.1411-00-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Lipscomb (1-12)59.6700-00-20-1
312. Morris Brown (2-22)57.8740-20-30-2
313. Texas Southern (0-8)56.6430-20-00-2
314. Nicholls St (0-6)56.6030-10-10-2
315. SE Louisiana (0-6)56.4760-10-00-0
316. Ark Pine Bluff (0-10)55.9130-10-20-2
317. Fair Dickinson (1-14)55.8090-00-00-1
318. NO Carolina A&T (0-8)55.5010-10-00-1
319. Loyola MD (1-8)54.8860-00-00-0
320. Morgan St (0-8)54.5580-10-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Mt St Marys (1-12)53.8830-00-20-0
322. Liberty (0-10)53.7090-00-00-2
323. Eastern KY (0-7)53.6010-10-20-1
324. SE Missouri St (0-9)52.6890-00-00-3
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