NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

FLORIDA
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 22-9
Power Rating: 88.484
Ranking: 19

1-5 v #1-25
6-2 v #26-50
8-2 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-324

Home Ratings (14-2): 89.246 (21) 1-1 v #1-25 3-1 v #26-50 4-0 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-324 League Ratings: 6-2 88.398 Non-League Ratings: 8-0 90.422 Last Ten Ratings: 3-0 91.265

Away Ratings (6-4): 90.343 (10)
0-2 v #1-25
2-1 v #26-50
3-1 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-324
League Ratings: 4-4 90.746
Non-League Ratings: 2-0 104.23
Last Ten Ratings: 1-3 90.156

Neutral Ratings (2-3): 83.476 (62) 0-2 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-324 League Ratings: 1-1 85.984 Non-League Ratings: 1-2 85.484 Last Ten Ratings: 1-2 84.375

League Ratings (11-7): 88.517 (18)
1-4 v #1-25
3-2 v #26-50
7-1 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 6-2 88.398
Away Ratings: 4-4 90.746
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 85.984
Last Ten Ratings: 5-4 89.277

Non-League Ratings (11-2): 88.382 (18) 0-1 v #1-25 3-0 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-324 Home Ratings: 8-0 90.422 Away Ratings: 2-0 104.23 Neutral Ratings: 1-2 85.484 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 82.515

Wins Ratings: 89.547 (24)
1-5 v #1-25
6-3 v #26-50
8-1 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 14-2 89.882
Away Ratings: 6-4 92.019
Neutral Ratings: 2-3 83.734
Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 86.703

Points Ratings: 87.453 (7) 2-6 v #1-25 7-1 v #26-50 6-2 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-324 Home Ratings: 14-2 88.281 Away Ratings: 6-4 88.738 Neutral Ratings: 2-3 83.523 League Ratings: 11-7 87.377 Non-League Ratings: 11-2 87.679 Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 86.113

Last Ten Ratings (5-5): 86.312 (38)
0-1 v #1-25
1-3 v #26-50
4-1 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 3-0 91.265
Away Ratings: 1-3 90.156
Neutral Ratings: 1-2 84.375
League Ratings: 5-4 89.277
Non-League Ratings: 0-1 82.515

Home Advantage: 5.1818 (129)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1067 (44)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2839 (32)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4395 (26)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5661 (23)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.7057 (23)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8962 (23)

Upward Stability: 2.9672 (202)

Downward Stability: 3.6067 (62)

RPI
RPI: 0.6048 (18)
2-6 v #1-25
4-2 v #26-50
7-1 v #51-100
5-0 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-324

RPI Home (14-2): 0.6286 (21) 1-1 v #1-25 3-1 v #26-50 4-0 v #51-100 4-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-324

RPI Away (6-4): 0.5871 (13)
1-2 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
3-1 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-324

RPI Neutral (2-3): 0.5640 (79) 0-3 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-324

RPI League (11-7): 0.6049 (18)
1-2 v #1-25
3-4 v #26-50
5-1 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324

RPI Non-League (11-2): 0.6037 (25) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 5-1 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-324

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5698 (23)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/8/2001	Neut	W 72-64	vs. #47 Temple
11/9/2001	Neut	L 71-75	vs. #7 Arizona
11/16/2001	Home	W 68-47	vs. #136 Florida St
11/28/2001	Away	W 108-56	vs. #286 New Hampshire
12/2/2001	Home	W 81-65	vs. #111 Tulane
12/5/2001	Home	W 74-70	vs. #38 Michigan St
12/8/2001	Away	W 92-73	vs. #77 South Florida
12/15/2001	Home	W 73-52	vs. #42 NC Charlotte
12/18/2001	Home	W 103-49	vs. #294 High Point
12/22/2001	Home	W 76-60	vs. #167 New Orleans
12/28/2001	Home	W 94-66	vs. #252 Stetson
12/30/2001	Home	W 107-55	vs. #223 Belmont
1/5/2002	Home	W 69-60	vs. #39 South Carolina
1/9/2002	Away	W 104-100	vs. #54 Tennessee
1/12/2002	Away	W 95-85	vs. #76 Vanderbilt
1/16/2002	Home	W 102-70	vs. #64 LSU
1/19/2002	Home	L 79-84	vs. #29 Georgia
1/26/2002	Away	L 92-94	vs. #55 Arkansas
1/29/2002	Home	L 68-70	vs. #18 Kentucky
2/2/2002	Home	W 76-48	vs. #14 Mississippi St
2/5/2002	Away	W 72-63	vs. #39 South Carolina
2/9/2002	Home	W 80-54	vs. #76 Vanderbilt
2/12/2002	Away	W 85-70	vs. #29 Georgia
2/16/2002	Away	L 51-68	vs. #40 Mississippi
2/20/2002	Home	W 89-61	vs. #93 Auburn
2/23/2002	Away	L 64-65	vs. #16 Alabama
2/26/2002	Home	W 68-62	vs. #54 Tennessee
3/2/2002	Away	L 67-70	vs. #18 Kentucky
3/7/2002	Neut	W 81-63	vs. #93 Auburn
3/8/2002	Neut	L 52-62	vs. #14 Mississippi St
3/15/2002	Neut	L 82-83	vs. #52 Creighton

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)