NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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Printable NCAA Bracket

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MIAMI FLA
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 24-8
Power Rating: 86.594
Ranking: 30

3-2 v #1-25
3-2 v #26-50
4-4 v #51-100
8-0 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-324

Home Ratings (13-2): 85.945 (34) 2-0 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 2-1 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-324 League Ratings: 6-2 83.539 Non-League Ratings: 7-0 85.469 Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 80.242

Away Ratings (5-4): 86.742 (34)
0-1 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
1-3 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324
League Ratings: 4-4 87.265
Non-League Ratings: 1-0 86.094
Last Ten Ratings: 2-2 86.336

Neutral Ratings (6-2): 87.148 (37) 1-1 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-324 League Ratings: 1-1 88.000 Non-League Ratings: 5-1 83.797 Last Ten Ratings: 1-2 84.359

League Ratings (11-7): 86.148 (34)
2-2 v #1-25
2-1 v #26-50
3-4 v #51-100
4-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 6-2 83.539
Away Ratings: 4-4 87.265
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 88.000
Last Ten Ratings: 5-4 84.980

Non-League Ratings (13-1): 87.937 (24) 1-0 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 4-0 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-324 Home Ratings: 7-0 85.469 Away Ratings: 1-0 86.094 Neutral Ratings: 5-1 83.797 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 73.531

Wins Ratings: 88.654 (31)
3-2 v #1-25
3-2 v #26-50
4-4 v #51-100
8-0 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 13-2 88.080
Away Ratings: 5-4 88.396
Neutral Ratings: 6-2 89.685
Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 84.840

Points Ratings: 84.082 (35) 3-2 v #1-25 5-2 v #26-50 4-4 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 7-0 v #201-324 Home Ratings: 13-2 83.258 Away Ratings: 5-4 85.074 Neutral Ratings: 6-2 83.933 League Ratings: 11-7 84.154 Non-League Ratings: 13-1 83.890 Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 82.656

Last Ten Ratings (5-5): 83.769 (56)
0-2 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
3-1 v #51-100
1-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 2-1 80.242
Away Ratings: 2-2 86.336
Neutral Ratings: 1-2 84.359
League Ratings: 5-4 84.980
Non-League Ratings: 0-1 73.531

Home Advantage: 3.0024 (180)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0856 (73)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2356 (68)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.3826 (63)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5068 (59)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6498 (64)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8539 (91)

Upward Stability: 3.0151 (190)

Downward Stability: 3.6092 (60)

RPI
RPI: 0.6013 (21)
3-2 v #1-25
4-5 v #26-50
5-1 v #51-100
7-0 v #101-200
5-0 v #201-324

RPI Home (13-2): 0.6256 (27) 2-0 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 2-1 v #51-100 4-1 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-324

RPI Away (5-4): 0.5577 (30)
1-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-324

RPI Neutral (6-2): 0.6044 (45) 1-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-324

RPI League (11-7): 0.6067 (14)
2-2 v #1-25
2-1 v #26-50
3-4 v #51-100
4-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324

RPI Non-League (13-1): 0.5930 (36) 1-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 7-0 v #201-324

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5518 (49)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/18/2001	Neut	W 93-56	vs. #295 Eastern Mich
11/19/2001	Neut	W 81-79	vs. #120 Uab
11/20/2001	Neut	W 67-65	vs. #145 Clemson
11/24/2001	Home	W 79-69	vs. #246 Lafayette
11/26/2001	Home	W 74-48	vs. #161 Fla Atlantic
11/29/2001	Home	W 87-71	vs. #239 Howard
12/3/2001	Home	W 77-59	vs. #251 Florida Intl
12/8/2001	Away	W 64-55	vs. #192 Texas A&M
12/15/2001	Neut	W 58-53	vs. #9 Indiana
12/18/2001	Home	W 90-62	vs. #289 Florida A&M
12/22/2001	Home	W 64-56	vs. #42 NC Charlotte
12/27/2001	Neut	W 68-61	vs. #64 LSU
12/30/2001	Home	W 71-48	vs. #311 St Francis PA
1/2/2002	Away	W 79-71	vs. #46 Georgetown
1/5/2002	Away	L 75-76	vs. #6 Connecticut
1/8/2002	Away	L 60-71	vs. #60 St Johns
1/12/2002	Away	W 77-68	vs. #164 Virginia Tech
1/15/2002	Home	W 76-69	vs. #8 Pittsburgh
1/19/2002	Home	W 102-96	vs. #104 Providence
1/24/2002	Home	W 76-58	vs. #51 Villanova
1/29/2002	Home	L 65-70	vs. #59 Boston College
2/2/2002	Home	W 68-66	vs. #6 Connecticut
2/5/2002	Away	W 65-56	vs. #51 Villanova
2/10/2002	Away	L 63-76	vs. #59 Boston College
2/13/2002	Home	W 79-56	vs. #60 St Johns
2/17/2002	Away	L 61-64	vs. #92 Rutgers
2/23/2002	Home	L 77-90	vs. #35 Notre Dame
2/26/2002	Away	W 81-65	vs. #104 Providence
3/2/2002	Home	W 83-77	vs. #164 Virginia Tech
3/7/2002	Neut	W 84-76	vs. #46 Georgetown
3/8/2002	Neut	L 71-76	vs. #8 Pittsburgh
3/14/2002	Neut	L 80-93	vs. #31 Missouri

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)