NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

MISSISSIPPI ST
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 27-8
Power Rating: 89.074
Ranking: 14

4-4 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
10-2 v #51-100
7-0 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-324

Home Ratings (13-1): 88.457 (25) 2-0 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 4-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-324 League Ratings: 7-1 85.542 Non-League Ratings: 6-0 79.261 Last Ten Ratings: 3-0 85.949

Away Ratings (6-5): 88.074 (19)
0-2 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
3-2 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324
League Ratings: 3-5 86.871
Non-League Ratings: 3-0 94.636
Last Ten Ratings: 2-0 99.542

Neutral Ratings (8-2): 90.859 (10) 2-2 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-324 League Ratings: 3-0 93.035 Non-League Ratings: 5-2 85.207 Last Ten Ratings: 4-1 90.285

League Ratings (13-6): 89.132 (16)
4-2 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
7-2 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 7-1 85.542
Away Ratings: 3-5 86.871
Neutral Ratings: 3-0 93.035
Last Ten Ratings: 8-0 92.519

Non-League Ratings (14-2): 88.925 (16) 0-2 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 7-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-324 Home Ratings: 6-0 79.261 Away Ratings: 3-0 94.636 Neutral Ratings: 5-2 85.207 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 86.628

Wins Ratings: 91.818 (11)
4-4 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
10-2 v #51-100
6-0 v #101-200
5-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 13-1 92.005
Away Ratings: 6-5 90.080
Neutral Ratings: 8-2 94.341
Last Ten Ratings: 9-1 98.275

Points Ratings: 85.570 (19) 4-5 v #1-25 3-1 v #26-50 9-2 v #51-100 7-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-324 Home Ratings: 13-1 84.312 Away Ratings: 6-5 85.873 Neutral Ratings: 8-2 86.355 League Ratings: 13-6 85.849 Non-League Ratings: 14-2 84.964 Last Ten Ratings: 9-1 89.281

Last Ten Ratings (9-1): 94.226 (5)
0-1 v #1-25
5-0 v #26-50
4-0 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 3-0 85.949
Away Ratings: 2-0 99.542
Neutral Ratings: 4-1 90.285
League Ratings: 8-0 92.519
Non-League Ratings: 1-1 86.628

Home Advantage: 3.0470 (178)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1059 (47)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2824 (33)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4417 (23)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5732 (20)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.7147 (21)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8887 (34)

Upward Stability: 3.2185 (119)

Downward Stability: 4.1501 (8)

RPI
RPI: 0.6230 (11)
4-5 v #1-25
2-1 v #26-50
10-2 v #51-100
6-0 v #101-200
5-0 v #201-324

RPI Home (13-1): 0.6203 (32) 2-1 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-324

RPI Away (6-5): 0.5755 (19)
0-2 v #1-25
2-1 v #26-50
2-2 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324

RPI Neutral (8-2): 0.6785 (5) 0-1 v #1-25 2-1 v #26-50 4-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-324

RPI League (13-6): 0.6252 (10)
3-2 v #1-25
3-2 v #26-50
5-2 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324

RPI Non-League (14-2): 0.6197 (14) 0-2 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 4-0 v #51-100 4-0 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-324

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5736 (19)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/17/2001	Home	W 95-59	vs. #320 Nicholls St
11/19/2001	Home	W 92-55	vs. #289 Florida A&M
11/21/2001	Home	W 93-81	vs. #129 Arkansas Lr
11/24/2001	Away	W 79-71	vs. #102 Ul Lafayette
11/28/2001	Home	W 70-45	vs. #255 Alabama A&M
12/2/2001	Home	W 73-66	vs. #274 South Alabama
12/5/2001	Away	W 71-57	vs. #66 Richmond
12/8/2001	Home	W 91-83	vs. #196 Arkansas St
12/15/2001	Neut	W 104-67	vs. #123 Ul Monroe
12/16/2001	Neut	W 72-63	vs. #117 Georgia St
12/20/2001	Neut	W 74-72	vs. #66 Richmond
12/21/2001	Neut	L 56-90	vs. #5 Cincinnati
12/22/2001	Neut	W 77-74	vs. #131 Illinois Chi
12/29/2001	Away	W 77-66	vs. #111 Tulane
1/5/2002	Home	W 74-69	vs. #18 Kentucky
1/8/2002	Away	L 64-75	vs. #55 Arkansas
1/12/2002	Away	L 59-66	vs. #40 Mississippi
1/16/2002	Home	W 92-91	vs. #54 Tennessee
1/19/2002	Away	L 73-85	vs. #16 Alabama
1/26/2002	Home	W 84-61	vs. #64 LSU
1/30/2002	Away	W 72-64	vs. #93 Auburn
2/2/2002	Away	L 48-76	vs. #19 Florida
2/6/2002	Home	L 68-86	vs. #29 Georgia
2/9/2002	Home	W 76-62	vs. #16 Alabama
2/13/2002	Away	L 65-68	vs. #64 LSU
2/16/2002	Home	W 89-53	vs. #93 Auburn
2/20/2002	Away	W 66-43	vs. #76 Vanderbilt
2/23/2002	Home	W 61-59	vs. #40 Mississippi
2/27/2002	Home	W 89-83	vs. #55 Arkansas
3/2/2002	Away	W 64-57	vs. #39 South Carolina
3/8/2002	Neut	W 62-52	vs. #19 Florida
3/9/2002	Neut	W 57-51	vs. #64 LSU
3/10/2002	Neut	W 61-58	vs. #16 Alabama
3/15/2002	Neut	W 70-58	vs. #84 McNeese St
3/17/2002	Neut	L 64-68	vs. #24 Texas

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)