NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

NORTH CAROLINA ST
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 23-11
Power Rating: 87.542
Ranking: 25

1-7 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
6-1 v #51-100
9-1 v #101-200
5-0 v #201-324

Home Ratings (11-4): 84.054 (51) 0-2 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 5-1 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-324 League Ratings: 5-3 86.073 Non-League Ratings: 6-1 82.511 Last Ten Ratings: 2-0 95.792

Away Ratings (6-4): 87.812 (22)
0-2 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
3-1 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324
League Ratings: 4-4 85.237
Non-League Ratings: 2-0 91.105
Last Ten Ratings: 0-3 78.839

Neutral Ratings (6-3): 90.851 (11) 1-3 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-324 League Ratings: 2-1 94.183 Non-League Ratings: 4-2 88.214 Last Ten Ratings: 3-2 92.550

League Ratings (11-8): 87.538 (24)
1-5 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
4-1 v #51-100
6-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 5-3 86.073
Away Ratings: 4-4 85.237
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 94.183
Last Ten Ratings: 4-4 87.690

Non-League Ratings (12-3): 87.550 (26) 0-2 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 3-1 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-324 Home Ratings: 6-1 82.511 Away Ratings: 2-0 91.105 Neutral Ratings: 4-2 88.214 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 90.597

Wins Ratings: 89.271 (25)
1-7 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
6-1 v #51-100
9-1 v #101-200
5-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 11-4 83.665
Away Ratings: 6-4 90.685
Neutral Ratings: 6-3 93.310
Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 89.927

Points Ratings: 85.472 (21) 1-7 v #1-25 2-2 v #26-50 6-1 v #51-100 9-1 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-324 Home Ratings: 11-4 84.499 Away Ratings: 6-4 84.288 Neutral Ratings: 6-3 87.987 League Ratings: 11-8 85.401 Non-League Ratings: 12-3 85.585 Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 86.142

Last Ten Ratings (5-5): 88.144 (21)
1-4 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 2-0 95.792
Away Ratings: 0-3 78.839
Neutral Ratings: 3-2 92.550
League Ratings: 4-4 87.690
Non-League Ratings: 1-1 90.597

Home Advantage: -1.206 (283)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1482 (5)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.3118 (16)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4420 (22)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5510 (34)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6792 (41)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8795 (46)

Upward Stability: 2.9324 (209)

Downward Stability: 3.3741 (109)

RPI
RPI: 0.5916 (29)
1-9 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
7-1 v #51-100
8-1 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-324

RPI Home (11-4): 0.5802 (76) 0-3 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 5-1 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-324

RPI Away (6-4): 0.5869 (14)
0-2 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
4-1 v #51-100
1-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324

RPI Neutral (6-3): 0.6156 (39) 1-3 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-324

RPI League (11-8): 0.5991 (23)
1-5 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
4-1 v #51-100
6-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324

RPI Non-League (12-3): 0.5807 (46) 0-2 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-324

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5634 (29)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/14/2001	Neut	W 95-51	vs. #304 Prairie View
11/15/2001	Neut	W 78-56	vs. #228 San Jose St
11/16/2001	Neut	W 71-47	vs. #163 East Carolina
11/20/2001	Home	W 75-58	vs. #180 James Madison
11/23/2001	Home	W 63-53	vs. #153 The Citadel
11/27/2001	Neut	L 50-64	vs. #22 Ohio St
12/1/2001	Home	L 62-69	vs. #113 Massachusetts
12/5/2001	Home	W 80-42	vs. #224 Wofford
12/8/2001	Away	W 82-68	vs. #62 Syracuse
12/15/2001	Home	W 92-54	vs. #248 NC Asheville
12/19/2001	Home	W 70-50	vs. #271 Charleston Sou
12/23/2001	Away	W 67-66	vs. #83 Houston
12/30/2001	Home	L 65-72	vs. #1 Maryland
1/5/2002	Away	W 81-74	vs. #65 Virginia
1/8/2002	Home	W 77-62	vs. #136 Florida St
1/13/2002	Home	L 57-76	vs. #3 Duke
1/15/2002	Away	W 80-79	vs. #145 Clemson
1/19/2002	Home	W 84-71	vs. #74 Georgia Tech
1/23/2002	Away	W 77-59	vs. #152 North Carolina
1/26/2002	Home	W 80-61	vs. #47 Temple
1/30/2002	Home	L 81-82	vs. #33 Wake Forest
2/3/2002	Away	L 73-89	vs. #1 Maryland
2/6/2002	Home	W 85-68	vs. #65 Virginia
2/10/2002	Away	W 76-67	vs. #136 Florida St
2/14/2002	Away	L 71-108	vs. #3 Duke
2/16/2002	Home	W 83-54	vs. #145 Clemson
2/20/2002	Away	L 59-65	vs. #74 Georgia Tech
2/24/2002	Home	W 98-76	vs. #152 North Carolina
3/2/2002	Away	L 71-83	vs. #33 Wake Forest
3/8/2002	Neut	W 92-72	vs. #65 Virginia
3/9/2002	Neut	W 86-82	vs. #1 Maryland
3/10/2002	Neut	L 61-91	vs. #3 Duke
3/15/2002	Neut	W 69-58	vs. #38 Michigan St
3/17/2002	Neut	L 74-77	vs. #6 Connecticut

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)