NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

OREGON
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 25-9
Power Rating: 89.485
Ranking: 11

7-4 v #1-25
4-0 v #26-50
4-3 v #51-100
6-1 v #101-200
4-1 v #201-324

Home Ratings (12-0): 97.782 (5) 4-0 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-324 League Ratings: 9-0 91.828 Non-League Ratings: 3-0 103.48 Last Ten Ratings: 2-0 83.860

Away Ratings (5-6): 86.926 (29)
2-2 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
1-0 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-324
League Ratings: 5-4 89.559
Non-League Ratings: 0-2 74.766
Last Ten Ratings: 2-0 94.141

Neutral Ratings (8-3): 88.426 (27) 1-2 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 3-1 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-324 League Ratings: 1-1 85.672 Non-League Ratings: 7-2 88.407 Last Ten Ratings: 4-2 87.688

League Ratings (15-5): 90.772 (8)
6-3 v #1-25
2-0 v #26-50
3-2 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 9-0 91.828
Away Ratings: 5-4 89.559
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 85.672
Last Ten Ratings: 5-1 89.563

Non-League Ratings (10-4): 87.016 (28) 1-1 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 4-1 v #101-200 2-1 v #201-324 Home Ratings: 3-0 103.48 Away Ratings: 0-2 74.766 Neutral Ratings: 7-2 88.407 Last Ten Ratings: 3-1 88.727

Wins Ratings: 91.631 (13)
7-4 v #1-25
4-0 v #26-50
4-3 v #51-100
6-1 v #101-200
4-1 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 12-0 105.56
Away Ratings: 5-6 88.440
Neutral Ratings: 8-3 90.459
Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 96.467

Points Ratings: 86.891 (9) 6-3 v #1-25 4-2 v #26-50 5-2 v #51-100 5-1 v #101-200 5-1 v #201-324 Home Ratings: 12-0 91.274 Away Ratings: 5-6 85.449 Neutral Ratings: 8-3 85.844 League Ratings: 15-5 87.615 Non-League Ratings: 10-4 85.446 Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 86.930

Last Ten Ratings (8-2): 92.184 (10)
2-2 v #1-25
2-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
4-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 2-0 83.860
Away Ratings: 2-0 94.141
Neutral Ratings: 4-2 87.688
League Ratings: 5-1 89.563
Non-League Ratings: 3-1 88.727

Home Advantage: 14.095 (9)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1159 (29)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2922 (25)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4403 (24)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5615 (27)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.7010 (27)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8951 (25)

Upward Stability: 3.0418 (179)

Downward Stability: 3.7581 (42)

RPI
RPI: 0.5925 (28)
6-1 v #1-25
4-3 v #26-50
2-1 v #51-100
8-3 v #101-200
5-1 v #201-324

RPI Home (12-0): 0.6533 (8) 2-0 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-324

RPI Away (5-6): 0.5087 (73)
0-1 v #1-25
3-0 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
1-3 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-324

RPI Neutral (8-3): 0.6100 (42) 0-2 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 3-1 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-324

RPI League (15-5): 0.6064 (15)
4-1 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
5-2 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-324

RPI Non-League (10-4): 0.5730 (58) 2-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 2-1 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 5-1 v #201-324

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5450 (62)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/15/2001	Neut	W 92-52	vs. #261 Alabama St
11/16/2001	Neut	W 91-48	vs. #125 Western Mich
11/17/2001	Neut	W 97-67	vs. #181 Long Beach St
11/24/2001	Neut	W 90-63	vs. #70 Louisville
11/27/2001	Neut	L 58-62	vs. #113 Massachusetts
12/2/2001	Away	L 78-79	vs. #275 Portland
12/10/2001	Away	L 72-75	vs. #53 Minnesota
12/14/2001	Home	W 88-64	vs. #50 Pepperdine
12/16/2001	Home	W 86-51	vs. #199 Northrn Arizona
12/20/2001	Home	W 103-90	vs. #75 Arizona St
12/22/2001	Home	W 105-75	vs. #7 Arizona
12/27/2001	Home	W 96-50	vs. #318 Morris Brown
1/4/2002	Away	W 90-80	vs. #7 Arizona
1/6/2002	Away	L 88-95	vs. #75 Arizona St
1/10/2002	Home	W 76-72	vs. #23 California
1/12/2002	Home	W 87-79	vs. #21 Stanford
1/19/2002	Away	W 63-51	vs. #127 Oregon St
1/24/2002	Away	L 92-97	vs. #89 Washington
1/26/2002	Away	W 94-86	vs. #207 Washington St
1/31/2002	Home	W 91-62	vs. #27 UCLA
2/2/2002	Home	W 73-69	vs. #20 USC
2/7/2002	Away	L 87-90	vs. #21 Stanford
2/9/2002	Away	L 103-107	vs. #23 California
2/16/2002	Home	W 91-62	vs. #127 Oregon St
2/21/2002	Home	W 115-77	vs. #207 Washington St
2/23/2002	Home	W 90-84	vs. #89 Washington
2/28/2002	Away	W 67-65	vs. #20 USC
3/2/2002	Away	W 65-62	vs. #27 UCLA
3/7/2002	Neut	W 86-64	vs. #89 Washington
3/8/2002	Neut	L 78-89	vs. #20 USC
3/14/2002	Neut	W 81-62	vs. #171 Montana
3/16/2002	Neut	W 92-87	vs. #33 Wake Forest
3/22/2002	Neut	W 72-70	vs. #24 Texas
3/24/2002	Neut	L 86-104	vs. #2 Kansas

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)