NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

PITTSBURGH
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 28-6
Power Rating: 89.820
Ranking: 8

2-2 v #1-25
3-3 v #26-50
9-1 v #51-100
7-0 v #101-200
7-0 v #201-324

Home Ratings (14-1): 87.960 (28) 0-0 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 4-0 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-324 League Ratings: 7-1 87.429 Non-League Ratings: 7-0 79.929 Last Ten Ratings: 2-0 94.570

Away Ratings (7-2): 91.741 (6)
1-0 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
3-0 v #51-100
1-0 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-324
League Ratings: 6-2 88.230
Non-League Ratings: 1-0 98.820
Last Ten Ratings: 2-0 87.195

Neutral Ratings (7-3): 88.921 (24) 1-2 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 2-1 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-324 League Ratings: 2-1 89.132 Non-League Ratings: 5-2 88.835 Last Ten Ratings: 4-2 89.972

League Ratings (15-4): 89.898 (13)
0-1 v #1-25
3-3 v #26-50
8-0 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 7-1 87.429
Away Ratings: 6-2 88.230
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 89.132
Last Ten Ratings: 6-1 89.077

Non-League Ratings (13-2): 89.644 (14) 2-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-324 Home Ratings: 7-0 79.929 Away Ratings: 1-0 98.820 Neutral Ratings: 5-2 88.835 Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 90.882

Wins Ratings: 92.468 (8)
2-2 v #1-25
3-3 v #26-50
9-1 v #51-100
7-0 v #101-200
7-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 14-1 89.335
Away Ratings: 7-2 95.445
Neutral Ratings: 7-3 91.046
Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 93.343

Points Ratings: 86.644 (12) 1-2 v #1-25 5-3 v #26-50 9-1 v #51-100 4-0 v #101-200 9-0 v #201-324 Home Ratings: 14-1 86.120 Away Ratings: 7-2 87.261 Neutral Ratings: 7-3 86.343 League Ratings: 15-4 86.595 Non-League Ratings: 13-2 86.761 Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 87.456

Last Ten Ratings (8-2): 90.655 (11)
0-2 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
3-0 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 2-0 94.570
Away Ratings: 2-0 87.195
Neutral Ratings: 4-2 89.972
League Ratings: 6-1 89.077
Non-League Ratings: 2-1 90.882

Home Advantage: 1.6936 (223)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0828 (77)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2325 (71)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.3703 (71)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.4899 (76)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6346 (85)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8470 (103)

Upward Stability: 2.5277 (284)

Downward Stability: 3.4487 (88)

RPI
RPI: 0.6210 (13)
2-3 v #1-25
5-2 v #26-50
8-1 v #51-100
5-0 v #101-200
8-0 v #201-324

RPI Home (14-1): 0.5961 (52) 1-0 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 2-1 v #101-200 8-0 v #201-324

RPI Away (7-2): 0.6363 (3)
1-1 v #1-25
2-1 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324

RPI Neutral (7-3): 0.6448 (18) 0-1 v #1-25 2-2 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-324

RPI League (15-4): 0.6374 (7)
1-2 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
8-0 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-324

RPI Non-League (13-2): 0.5999 (31) 2-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-324

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5536 (44)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/16/2001	Home	W 76-55	vs. #319 Morgan St
11/18/2001	Home	W 58-47	vs. #199 Northrn Arizona
11/20/2001	Home	W 86-62	vs. #282 Robert Morris
11/23/2001	Neut	W 70-53	vs. #137 Oakland
11/24/2001	Neut	W 65-46	vs. #108 Illinois St
11/25/2001	Neut	L 63-69	vs. #77 South Florida
12/5/2001	Home	W 77-55	vs. #311 St Francis PA
12/8/2001	Home	W 83-53	vs. #213 Penn St
12/15/2001	Home	W 58-51	vs. #200 Rhode Island
12/19/2001	Away	W 62-55	vs. #22 Ohio St
12/22/2001	Neut	W 78-63	vs. #179 Duquesne
12/29/2001	Home	W 74-61	vs. #249 St Francis NY
1/2/2002	Home	W 77-54	vs. #60 St Johns
1/5/2002	Away	W 77-74	vs. #59 Boston College
1/8/2002	Away	W 66-58	vs. #92 Rutgers
1/12/2002	Home	L 53-56	vs. #35 Notre Dame
1/15/2002	Away	L 69-76	vs. #30 Miami Fla
1/19/2002	Away	W 68-67	vs. #46 Georgetown
1/22/2002	Home	W 72-57	vs. #62 Syracuse
1/26/2002	Home	W 67-56	vs. #46 Georgetown
1/30/2002	Away	L 76-89	vs. #35 Notre Dame
2/2/2002	Home	W 71-59	vs. #51 Villanova
2/7/2002	Home	W 70-65	vs. #122 Seton Hall
2/10/2002	Away	W 75-63	vs. #62 Syracuse
2/16/2002	Away	W 85-75	vs. #216 West Virginia
2/21/2002	Home	W 78-59	vs. #92 Rutgers
2/26/2002	Away	W 73-66	vs. #122 Seton Hall
3/2/2002	Home	W 92-65	vs. #216 West Virginia
3/7/2002	Neut	W 76-62	vs. #59 Boston College
3/8/2002	Neut	W 76-71	vs. #30 Miami Fla
3/9/2002	Neut	L 65-74	vs. #6 Connecticut
3/15/2002	Neut	W 71-54	vs. #96 Central Conn
3/17/2002	Neut	W 63-50	vs. #23 California
3/21/2002	Neut	L 73-78	vs. #17 Kent

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)