NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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Printable NCAA Bracket

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SOUTHERN ILL
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 28-8
Power Rating: 84.857
Ranking: 41

1-2 v #1-25
2-0 v #26-50
3-1 v #51-100
12-5 v #101-200
10-0 v #201-324

Home Ratings (13-0): 90.482 (14) 1-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 6-0 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-324 League Ratings: 9-0 84.435 Non-League Ratings: 4-0 86.466 Last Ten Ratings: 2-0 81.326

Away Ratings (9-5): 81.711 (71)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
4-5 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-324
League Ratings: 5-4 79.259
Non-League Ratings: 4-1 83.396
Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 76.920

Neutral Ratings (6-3): 86.963 (38) 0-2 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-324 League Ratings: 2-1 83.763 Non-League Ratings: 4-2 87.716 Last Ten Ratings: 4-2 86.513

League Ratings (16-5): 82.318 (65)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
2-1 v #51-100
7-4 v #101-200
7-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 9-0 84.435
Away Ratings: 5-4 79.259
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 83.763
Last Ten Ratings: 5-2 81.072

Non-League Ratings (12-3): 88.345 (19) 1-2 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 5-1 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-324 Home Ratings: 4-0 86.466 Away Ratings: 4-1 83.396 Neutral Ratings: 4-2 87.716 Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 88.068

Wins Ratings: 86.779 (39)
1-2 v #1-25
4-1 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
11-5 v #101-200
10-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 13-0 98.591
Away Ratings: 9-5 83.357
Neutral Ratings: 6-3 88.849
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 87.701

Points Ratings: 82.488 (45) 2-2 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 3-1 v #51-100 12-5 v #101-200 10-0 v #201-324 Home Ratings: 13-0 85.457 Away Ratings: 9-5 79.787 Neutral Ratings: 6-3 84.699 League Ratings: 16-5 81.119 Non-League Ratings: 12-3 84.437 Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 82.394

Last Ten Ratings (7-3): 85.361 (45)
0-1 v #1-25
3-1 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 2-0 81.326
Away Ratings: 1-1 76.920
Neutral Ratings: 4-2 86.513
League Ratings: 5-2 81.072
Non-League Ratings: 2-1 88.068

Home Advantage: 10.706 (26)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0529 (132)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1658 (126)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.2872 (121)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.4058 (121)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.5643 (122)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8328 (120)

Upward Stability: 3.1098 (157)

Downward Stability: 3.9356 (19)

RPI
RPI: 0.5768 (43)
3-2 v #1-25
2-1 v #26-50
2-1 v #51-100
11-4 v #101-200
10-0 v #201-324

RPI Home (13-0): 0.6127 (38) 1-0 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-324

RPI Away (9-5): 0.5262 (63)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
4-4 v #101-200
3-1 v #201-324

RPI Neutral (6-3): 0.6041 (47) 0-3 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-324

RPI League (16-5): 0.5559 (66)
0-0 v #1-25
2-1 v #26-50
3-2 v #51-100
4-2 v #101-200
7-0 v #201-324

RPI Non-League (12-3): 0.6058 (22) 3-2 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 6-1 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-324

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5098 (125)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/16/2001	Home	W 82-71	vs. #223 Belmont
11/19/2001	Away	W 69-64	vs. #94 St Louis
11/22/2001	Neut	W 66-57	vs. #141 Iowa St
11/23/2001	Neut	W 78-46	vs. #268 Hartford
11/24/2001	Neut	L 72-75	vs. #10 Illinois
11/29/2001	Home	W 76-68	vs. #131 Illinois Chi
12/1/2001	Home	W 72-60	vs. #9 Indiana
12/8/2001	Away	W 73-66	vs. #103 George Mason
12/16/2001	Away	W 74-60	vs. #174 CS Northridge
12/18/2001	Away	L 62-80	vs. #147 Colorado St
12/22/2001	Home	W 92-80	vs. #301 SE Missouri St
12/29/2001	Away	W 67-63	vs. #143 Murray St
1/2/2002	Away	W 82-72	vs. #260 Evansville
1/5/2002	Home	W 79-58	vs. #108 Illinois St
1/7/2002	Home	W 84-74	vs. #128 SW Missouri St
1/10/2002	Away	L 79-88	vs. #158 Wichita St
1/12/2002	Home	W 83-58	vs. #168 Northern Iowa
1/16/2002	Away	W 55-49	vs. #226 Bradley
1/19/2002	Home	W 91-73	vs. #247 Indiana St
1/24/2002	Away	W 79-64	vs. #166 Drake
1/26/2002	Away	L 64-69	vs. #168 Northern Iowa
1/30/2002	Home	W 101-62	vs. #260 Evansville
2/3/2002	Away	W 79-77	vs. #52 Creighton
2/6/2002	Home	W 78-58	vs. #158 Wichita St
2/9/2002	Home	W 66-57	vs. #166 Drake
2/13/2002	Away	L 71-78	vs. #128 SW Missouri St
2/16/2002	Away	L 70-84	vs. #108 Illinois St
2/20/2002	Home	W 65-62	vs. #52 Creighton
2/23/2002	Away	W 84-74	vs. #247 Indiana St
2/25/2002	Home	W 84-73	vs. #226 Bradley
3/2/2002	Neut	W 66-44	vs. #226 Bradley
3/3/2002	Neut	W 86-63	vs. #128 SW Missouri St
3/4/2002	Neut	L 76-84	vs. #52 Creighton
3/15/2002	Neut	W 76-68	vs. #26 Texas Tech
3/17/2002	Neut	W 77-75	vs. #29 Georgia
3/22/2002	Neut	L 59-71	vs. #6 Connecticut

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)