NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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Printable NCAA Bracket

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TEXAS
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 22-12
Power Rating: 87.562
Ranking: 24

2-8 v #1-25
5-2 v #26-50
4-0 v #51-100
9-2 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-324

Home Ratings (10-5): 82.531 (64) 0-3 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 5-1 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-324 League Ratings: 4-4 83.453 Non-League Ratings: 6-1 83.242 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 85.750

Away Ratings (7-3): 90.664 (8)
0-1 v #1-25
3-1 v #26-50
1-0 v #51-100
3-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324
League Ratings: 6-2 89.203
Non-League Ratings: 1-1 87.070
Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 87.547

Neutral Ratings (5-4): 89.246 (22) 2-4 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-324 League Ratings: 1-1 87.000 Non-League Ratings: 4-3 89.668 Last Ten Ratings: 3-2 89.523

League Ratings (11-7): 87.140 (27)
0-4 v #1-25
5-1 v #26-50
1-0 v #51-100
5-2 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 4-4 83.453
Away Ratings: 6-2 89.203
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 87.000
Last Ten Ratings: 4-3 86.804

Non-League Ratings (11-5): 88.052 (22) 2-4 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 4-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-324 Home Ratings: 6-1 83.242 Away Ratings: 1-1 87.070 Neutral Ratings: 4-3 89.668 Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 90.984

Wins Ratings: 89.697 (22)
2-8 v #1-25
5-2 v #26-50
4-0 v #51-100
9-2 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 10-5 82.494
Away Ratings: 7-3 94.365
Neutral Ratings: 5-4 91.595
Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 92.377

Points Ratings: 85.002 (24) 2-8 v #1-25 5-1 v #26-50 6-1 v #51-100 6-1 v #101-200 3-1 v #201-324 Home Ratings: 10-5 82.490 Away Ratings: 7-3 86.093 Neutral Ratings: 5-4 86.377 League Ratings: 11-7 84.521 Non-League Ratings: 11-5 85.590 Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 85.842

Last Ten Ratings (6-4): 89.496 (17)
3-3 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
1-0 v #51-100
1-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 1-1 85.750
Away Ratings: 2-1 87.547
Neutral Ratings: 3-2 89.523
League Ratings: 4-3 86.804
Non-League Ratings: 2-1 90.984

Home Advantage: -3.470 (310)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1330 (12)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.3235 (10)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4726 (10)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5892 (12)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.7219 (16)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.9109 (13)

Upward Stability: 3.6801 (16)

Downward Stability: 3.7992 (33)

RPI
RPI: 0.6049 (17)
4-7 v #1-25
4-3 v #26-50
3-0 v #51-100
9-2 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-324

RPI Home (10-5): 0.5885 (64) 0-3 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 4-0 v #101-200 2-1 v #201-324

RPI Away (7-3): 0.6084 (6)
0-2 v #1-25
2-0 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
1-0 v #101-200
2-1 v #201-324

RPI Neutral (5-4): 0.6287 (30) 1-2 v #1-25 1-2 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-324

RPI League (11-7): 0.5990 (24)
0-4 v #1-25
3-1 v #26-50
2-1 v #51-100
6-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-324

RPI Non-League (11-5): 0.6114 (18) 1-2 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 3-2 v #51-100 4-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-324

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5909 (8)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/17/2001	Home	L 74-88	vs. #7 Arizona
11/22/2001	Neut	W 78-68	vs. #127 Oregon St
11/23/2001	Neut	L 64-67	vs. #15 Gonzaga
11/24/2001	Neut	L 71-77	vs. #9 Indiana
12/1/2001	Neut	W 83-75	vs. #21 Stanford
12/5/2001	Home	W 89-64	vs. #263 Texas A&M-CC
12/10/2001	Home	W 79-52	vs. #207 Washington St
12/15/2001	Home	W 96-90	vs. #176 Jacksonville
12/19/2001	Home	W 80-67	vs. #84 McNeese St
12/22/2001	Away	W 87-78	vs. #63 Unlv
12/29/2001	Away	L 61-71	vs. #48 Utah
1/2/2002	Home	W 81-69	vs. #159 TX Pan American
1/5/2002	Away	W 70-61	vs. #34 Oklahoma St
1/7/2002	Home	W 68-48	vs. #104 Providence
1/12/2002	Home	W 102-78	vs. #149 Baylor
1/14/2002	Away	W 74-71	vs. #26 Texas Tech
1/19/2002	Home	W 77-66	vs. #114 Nebraska
1/23/2002	Home	L 74-80	vs. #192 Texas A&M
1/26/2002	Away	W 69-63	vs. #149 Baylor
1/30/2002	Away	L 70-71	vs. #121 Kansas St
2/2/2002	Home	L 84-85	vs. #4 Oklahoma
2/6/2002	Away	W 66-52	vs. #192 Texas A&M
2/9/2002	Home	W 104-95	vs. #95 Colorado
2/11/2002	Home	L 103-110	vs. #2 Kansas
2/17/2002	Away	W 72-70	vs. #31 Missouri
2/20/2002	Home	L 80-85	vs. #34 Oklahoma St
2/23/2002	Away	L 78-96	vs. #4 Oklahoma
2/26/2002	Home	W 96-71	vs. #26 Texas Tech
3/2/2002	Away	W 79-76	vs. #141 Iowa St
3/8/2002	Neut	W 89-85	vs. #31 Missouri
3/9/2002	Neut	L 51-67	vs. #4 Oklahoma
3/15/2002	Neut	W 70-57	vs. #59 Boston College
3/17/2002	Neut	W 68-64	vs. #14 Mississippi St
3/22/2002	Neut	L 70-72	vs. #11 Oregon

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)