NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

MASSACHUSETTS
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 13-16
Power Rating: 77.897
Ranking: 113

2-4 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
2-5 v #51-100
6-3 v #101-200
2-2 v #201-324

Home Ratings (8-6): 76.707 (137) 0-2 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 2-1 v #201-324 League Ratings: 5-3 77.877 Non-League Ratings: 3-3 73.350 Last Ten Ratings: 3-1 78.725

Away Ratings (2-9): 74.920 (162)
1-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
1-3 v #51-100
0-3 v #101-200
0-1 v #201-324
League Ratings: 1-7 74.420
Non-League Ratings: 1-2 82.928
Last Ten Ratings: 0-4 73.991

Neutral Ratings (3-1): 89.272 (21) 1-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-324 League Ratings: 1-1 84.928 Non-League Ratings: 2-0 93.709 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 84.928

League Ratings (7-11): 76.788 (132)
0-2 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
1-4 v #51-100
4-2 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 5-3 77.877
Away Ratings: 1-7 74.420
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 84.928
Last Ten Ratings: 4-6 78.522

Non-League Ratings (6-5): 80.631 (83) 2-2 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 2-1 v #101-200 1-1 v #201-324 Home Ratings: 3-3 73.350 Away Ratings: 1-2 82.928 Neutral Ratings: 2-0 93.709 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 77.897

Wins Ratings: 78.522 (111)
2-4 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
2-5 v #51-100
7-4 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 8-6 76.678
Away Ratings: 2-9 75.342
Neutral Ratings: 3-1 91.983
Last Ten Ratings: 4-6 77.463

Points Ratings: 77.159 (118) 2-4 v #1-25 1-2 v #26-50 1-5 v #51-100 6-3 v #101-200 3-2 v #201-324 Home Ratings: 8-6 76.520 Away Ratings: 2-9 74.831 Neutral Ratings: 3-1 85.745 League Ratings: 7-11 76.211 Non-League Ratings: 6-5 79.346 Last Ten Ratings: 4-6 77.252

Last Ten Ratings (4-6): 77.309 (126)
0-3 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
1-2 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-324
Home Ratings: 3-1 78.725
Away Ratings: 0-4 73.991
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 84.928
League Ratings: 4-6 78.522
Non-League Ratings: 0-0 77.897

Home Advantage: 1.9505 (211)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0826 (78)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2306 (74)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.3695 (72)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.4877 (79)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6440 (74)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8757 (55)

Upward Stability: 3.3067 (92)

Downward Stability: 3.2117 (146)

RPI
RPI: 0.5244 (106)
0-4 v #1-25
2-1 v #26-50
3-6 v #51-100
5-3 v #101-200
3-2 v #201-324

RPI Home (8-6): 0.5470 (131) 0-2 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 1-2 v #51-100 3-1 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-324

RPI Away (2-9): 0.4373 (200)
1-3 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
1-0 v #51-100
0-3 v #101-200
0-1 v #201-324

RPI Neutral (3-1): 0.6845 (4) 0-1 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-324

RPI League (7-11): 0.4838 (181)
0-2 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
1-4 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
4-3 v #201-324

RPI Non-League (6-5): 0.5900 (40) 0-2 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 2-1 v #51-100 1-2 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-324

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5498 (56)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/16/2001	Home	W 66-60	vs. #129 Arkansas Lr
11/24/2001	Home	W 66-59	vs. #156 Marist
11/27/2001	Neut	W 62-58	vs. #11 Oregon
12/1/2001	Away	W 69-62	vs. #25 North Carolina St
12/4/2001	Home	L 56-67	vs. #202 Holy Cross
12/8/2001	Away	L 78-80	vs. #59 Boston College
12/11/2001	Home	L 59-69	vs. #6 Connecticut
12/15/2001	Neut	W 64-49	vs. #96 Central Conn
12/23/2001	Home	W 78-60	vs. #280 Maine
12/29/2001	Away	L 66-81	vs. #157 Marshall
1/5/2002	Home	L 38-63	vs. #58 St Josephs
1/9/2002	Home	L 62-70	vs. #22 Ohio St
1/12/2002	Away	L 86-95	vs. #201 Fordham
1/16/2002	Away	L 54-63	vs. #66 Richmond
1/19/2002	Home	W 63-53	vs. #47 Temple
1/23/2002	Home	W 73-60	vs. #142 Geo Washington
1/26/2002	Away	W 67-65	vs. #78 St Bonaventure
1/29/2002	Home	L 68-83	vs. #44 Dayton
2/2/2002	Away	L 59-70	vs. #200 Rhode Island
2/6/2002	Away	L 69-78	vs. #179 Duquesne
2/9/2002	Home	W 62-47	vs. #112 La Salle
2/13/2002	Home	L 56-60	vs. #78 St Bonaventure
2/16/2002	Away	L 47-64	vs. #47 Temple
2/19/2002	Away	L 67-72	vs. #58 St Josephs
2/23/2002	Home	W 67-54	vs. #201 Fordham
2/27/2002	Home	W 79-69	vs. #200 Rhode Island
3/2/2002	Away	L 52-72	vs. #12 Xavier
3/6/2002	Neut	W 73-62	vs. #142 Geo Washington
3/7/2002	Neut	L 59-65	vs. #12 Xavier

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)