NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team

By division
Last Updated Mon Dec 08 11:51:39 EST 2003

Home Advantage = 3.9564

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Vanderbilt (11-18)0.1553
2. Notre Dame (24-10)0.1487
3. Missouri (21-11)0.1387
4. Georgia (19-8)0.1354
5. Rutgers (12-16)0.1339
6. Texas (26-7)0.1316
7. Connecticut (23-10)0.1310
8. Kansas (28-8)0.1301
9. South Carolina (12-16)0.1292
10. Syracuse (30-5)0.1282

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Oklahoma St (21-10)0.1266
12. Mississippi St (21-10)0.1252
13. Auburn (21-12)0.1249
14. Seton Hall (17-12)0.1242
15. UCLA (10-19)0.1236
16. West Virginia (14-15)0.1234
17. Michigan St (22-13)0.1232
18. North Carolina (17-15)0.1216
19. Georgetown (16-15)0.1207
20. Tennessee (17-11)0.1183

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Florida (25-8)0.1181
22. Indiana (21-13)0.1174
23. Arizona St (19-12)0.1158
24. Virginia (14-15)0.1158
25. Oklahoma (27-7)0.1157
26. Kentucky (32-4)0.1155
27. Texas Tech (19-13)0.1153
28. Texas A&M (14-14)0.1152
29. Marquette (27-6)0.1138
30. Nebraska (11-18)0.1121

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Arkansas (9-19)0.1120
32. Iowa St (15-13)0.1116
33. Georgia Tech (14-14)0.1100
34. Pittsburgh (28-5)0.1080
35. Ohio St (17-14)0.1080
36. Colorado (20-12)0.1071
37. Alabama (17-12)0.1071
38. Baylor (14-14)0.1058
39. Kansas St (13-17)0.1049
40. LSU (21-11)0.1045

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. USC (13-17)0.1040
42. North Carolina St (18-13)0.1038
43. Villanova (15-15)0.1025
44. Boston College (18-11)0.1024
45. Purdue (19-11)0.1024
46. Arizona (28-4)0.1018
47. Providence (16-13)0.1011
48. Mississippi (14-15)0.1006
49. California (22-9)0.0990
50. St Louis (16-13)0.0987

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. St Johns (18-13)0.0979
52. Maryland (21-10)0.0969
53. Washington (10-17)0.0968
54. Cincinnati (17-12)0.0964
55. Duke (25-7)0.0963
56. Wake Forest (25-6)0.0962
57. Florida St (14-15)0.0959
58. Wisconsin (24-8)0.0959
59. Oregon St (12-15)0.0946
60. Washington St (7-20)0.0937

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Penn St (7-21)0.0923
62. NC Charlotte (13-16)0.0919
63. DePaul (16-12)0.0917
64. East Carolina (10-15)0.0913
65. Temple (15-15)0.0912
66. Stanford (24-9)0.0907
67. Illinois (25-7)0.0904
68. Clemson (15-13)0.0893
69. Miami Fla (11-17)0.0892
70. Michigan (17-13)0.0890

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Louisville (25-7)0.0887
72. Minnesota (16-14)0.0883
73. Oregon (23-10)0.0877
74. Northwestern (12-17)0.0874
75. Uab (18-12)0.0839
76. Virginia Tech (11-18)0.0838
77. Iowa (15-13)0.0812
78. Geo Washington (12-17)0.0780
79. South Florida (14-14)0.0777
80. Memphis (23-7)0.0773

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. TCU (9-19)0.0771
82. St Bonaventure (13-14)0.0765
83. Butler (26-6)0.0762
84. Utah (24-8)0.0749
85. Colorado St (17-13)0.0743
86. Tulane (15-15)0.0717
87. La Salle (12-17)0.0712
88. Duquesne (9-21)0.0711
89. New Mexico (9-18)0.0708
90. Louisiana Tech (10-15)0.0694

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Wisc Milwaukee (23-8)0.0692
92. Massachusetts (10-18)0.0691
93. BYU (23-9)0.0686
94. Gonzaga (24-9)0.0678
95. Wyoming (19-10)0.0676
96. Air Force (12-16)0.0666
97. Xavier (26-6)0.0662
98. Richmond (15-13)0.0657
99. Dayton (24-6)0.0655
100. San Diego St (14-13)0.0651

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. St Josephs (23-7)0.0651
102. Houston (8-20)0.0650
103. Ohio (14-16)0.0647
104. Rhode Island (18-11)0.0640
105. Ball St (13-17)0.0639
106. NC Asheville (14-17)0.0624
107. Wisc Green Bay (9-19)0.0617
108. Cleveland St (8-22)0.0606
109. Eastern Ill (13-15)0.0605
110. Loyola Chi (15-16)0.0602

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Bowling Green (11-16)0.0596
112. SO Mississippi (13-16)0.0595
113. Unlv (21-10)0.0588
114. Fordham (2-26)0.0583
115. South Alabama (12-14)0.0583
116. North Texas (5-21)0.0570
117. Miami Ohio (12-15)0.0566
118. Detroit (17-12)0.0556
119. Valparaiso (20-10)0.0546
120. Davidson (14-10)0.0546

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. San Diego (17-12)0.0544
122. Illinois Chi (21-8)0.0539
123. Wright St (9-18)0.0536
124. Evansville (12-16)0.0535
125. Illinois St (8-21)0.0534
126. Central Mich (24-7)0.0532
127. Toledo (13-16)0.0522
128. Indiana St (7-24)0.0516
129. Tennessee St (1-24)0.0514
130. NC Greensboro (6-22)0.0514

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Yale (13-13)0.0510
132. San Francisco (14-14)0.0509
133. Western KY (23-9)0.0508
134. Princeton (15-11)0.0508
135. Bradley (11-18)0.0506
136. Ark Pine Bluff (4-24)0.0503
137. Northern Ill (17-14)0.0503
138. Northern Iowa (10-17)0.0493
139. SMU (17-13)0.0492
140. Drake (8-20)0.0488

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Canisius (10-18)0.0487
142. Youngstown St (7-20)0.0486
143. New Orleans (13-14)0.0486
144. Nevada (17-13)0.0486
145. St Marys CA (14-15)0.0485
146. Coppin St (11-17)0.0484
147. Tulsa (23-10)0.0483
148. Manhattan (23-7)0.0482
149. Eastern KY (7-17)0.0479
150. Furman (11-17)0.0473

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. George Mason (16-12)0.0470
152. Middle Tenn St (14-14)0.0468
153. Iupui (19-14)0.0467
154. Ul Lafayette (19-9)0.0464
155. Fresno St (20-8)0.0463
156. SW Missouri St (17-12)0.0460
157. Wichita St (18-11)0.0457
158. Creighton (29-5)0.0453
159. Southern Ill (24-6)0.0451
160. Belmont (16-12)0.0446

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Rice (17-10)0.0445
162. Eastern Wash (17-12)0.0441
163. Murray St (15-12)0.0440
164. Western Mich (19-10)0.0440
165. Hawaii (18-11)0.0438
166. IPFW (9-20)0.0436
167. Eastern Mich (12-14)0.0426
168. Portland (10-17)0.0426
169. Tenn Martin (10-14)0.0423
170. Austin Peay (20-8)0.0416

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Appalachian St (16-10)0.0416
172. Boston U (20-10)0.0415
173. Buffalo (5-23)0.0412
174. Cornell (8-18)0.0412
175. Centenary (10-14)0.0406
176. Tennessee Tech (17-12)0.0402
177. Texas El Paso (5-24)0.0401
178. Wofford (10-15)0.0401
179. Kent (20-9)0.0400
180. Montana (12-16)0.0399

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Elon (10-15)0.0397
182. Pepperdine (15-13)0.0389
183. Florida Intl (7-21)0.0387
184. Akron (13-14)0.0385
185. Georgia St (13-15)0.0385
186. McNeese St (13-14)0.0385
187. SE Missouri St (9-19)0.0383
188. East Tenn St (17-11)0.0381
189. Morehead St (17-9)0.0380
190. Marshall (13-15)0.0377

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Northrn Arizona (13-13)0.0376
192. Grambling (10-18)0.0375
193. Sacramento St (11-17)0.0374
194. Mo Kansas City (9-20)0.0372
195. San Jose St (5-21)0.0366
196. Boise St (12-16)0.0363
197. Fairfield (19-11)0.0362
198. SE Louisiana (9-16)0.0361
199. Albany NY (7-21)0.0361
200. Santa Clara (12-15)0.0359

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. UC Irvine (19-9)0.0357
202. Pennsylvania (22-6)0.0354
203. Loyola Marymnt (11-19)0.0351
204. Samford (12-15)0.0350
205. Texas A&M-CC (11-15)0.0346
206. Portland St (4-21)0.0345
207. Arkansas Lr (16-12)0.0345
208. Chicago St (3-27)0.0344
209. Idaho St (13-14)0.0342
210. NO Carolina A&T (1-25)0.0340

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. The Citadel (4-20)0.0335
212. UC Riverside (5-18)0.0335
213. New Mexico St (19-9)0.0333
214. Binghamton (14-13)0.0332
215. Denver (17-15)0.0330
216. Drexel (18-11)0.0329
217. Gardner-Webb (4-24)0.0328
218. Delaware (15-14)0.0326
219. Wagner (21-11)0.0325
220. NC Wilmington (24-7)0.0323

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. American (16-14)0.0323
222. Vermont (19-11)0.0323
223. Holy Cross (25-5)0.0322
224. Utah St (22-9)0.0322
225. Tex San Antonio (9-17)0.0320
226. Westrn Carolina (6-18)0.0319
227. Weber St (25-5)0.0319
228. Texas Arlington (14-13)0.0318
229. St Peters (10-19)0.0318
230. CS Northridge (13-15)0.0315

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Old Dominion (12-15)0.0311
232. Stetson (6-20)0.0311
233. Hofstra (8-21)0.0310
234. Western Ill (5-21)0.0309
235. Bucknell (13-15)0.0305
236. Pacific (12-16)0.0303
237. Colgate (12-14)0.0302
238. Fla Atlantic (6-21)0.0300
239. Hartford (15-13)0.0299
240. Harvard (11-15)0.0296

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Jacksonville (12-16)0.0296
242. Montana St (9-16)0.0295
243. Prairie View (17-12)0.0293
244. Arkansas St (11-15)0.0292
245. Alcorn St (14-19)0.0292
246. Long Beach St (4-22)0.0291
247. Santa Barbara (18-13)0.0291
248. High Point (7-20)0.0289
249. Florida A&M (17-12)0.0289
250. Southern Utah (9-17)0.0286

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Delaware St (15-12)0.0285
252. Niagara (17-12)0.0284
253. SO Carolina St (20-11)0.0284
254. Rider (12-16)0.0282
255. Bethune Cookman (8-22)0.0282
256. TX Pan American (6-20)0.0281
257. Mt St Marys (11-16)0.0281
258. Nicholls St (2-25)0.0279
259. Loyola MD (4-24)0.0277
260. Brown (17-11)0.0274

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Troy St (25-6)0.0274
262. Charleston Sou (12-14)0.0273
263. Marist (13-16)0.0269
264. Coll Of Charltn (22-7)0.0265
265. VMI (8-19)0.0262
266. Oakland (15-11)0.0260
267. Savannah St (3-24)0.0255
268. Stony Brook (11-15)0.0250
269. James Madison (12-17)0.0250
270. Iona (17-12)0.0249

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. VA Commonwealth (18-10)0.0249
272. Columbia (2-25)0.0248
273. Army (3-22)0.0247
274. Coast Carolina (11-15)0.0243
275. St Francis PA (14-14)0.0241
276. Cal Poly (15-14)0.0239
277. Robert Morris (9-17)0.0237
278. Lehigh (14-12)0.0236
279. Northeastern (14-15)0.0235
280. Jacksonville St (19-10)0.0233

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Dartmouth (7-19)0.0233
282. Towson (4-24)0.0233
283. Central Florida (20-11)0.0231
284. Siena (19-10)0.0230
285. Chattanooga (19-9)0.0228
286. CS Fullerton (10-19)0.0222
287. Maine (12-16)0.0219
288. Jackson St (10-18)0.0216
289. Norfolk St (14-15)0.0215
290. Morris Brown (6-20)0.0212

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Umbc (7-20)0.0211
292. Northwestern St (6-21)0.0211
293. New Hampshire (5-23)0.0205
294. Geo Southern (13-13)0.0204
295. Stephen Austin (19-8)0.0203
296. Lafayette (11-16)0.0201
297. Lipscomb (6-20)0.0200
298. Idaho (12-15)0.0199
299. William & Mary (12-16)0.0194
300. Oral Roberts (17-10)0.0193

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Sacred Heart (7-21)0.0187
302. Ul Monroe (11-16)0.0184
303. Mercer (22-6)0.0173
304. Navy (7-19)0.0168
305. Sam Houston (21-7)0.0165
306. Central Conn (15-13)0.0164
307. Alabama A&M (7-19)0.0161
308. Hampton (19-11)0.0158
309. Howard (13-17)0.0156
310. Monmouth NJ (15-13)0.0149

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Quinnipiac (16-12)0.0149
312. Alabama St (13-15)0.0147
313. Radford (10-20)0.0145
314. Winthrop (18-10)0.0145
315. Campbell (4-22)0.0142
316. Liberty (14-15)0.0133
317. St Francis NY (14-16)0.0132
318. Liu Brooklyn (9-19)0.0131
319. SW Texas St (15-12)0.0128
320. Lamar (12-14)0.0128

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Birmingham Southern (17-9)0.0122
322. Miss Valley St (14-13)0.0115
323. Texas Southern (18-13)0.0113
324. Fair Dickinson (15-14)0.0107
325. MD Eastrn Shore (5-23)0.0064
326. Morgan St (7-22)0.0034
327. Southern (7-20)0.0033
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