NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team

By division
Last Updated Mon Dec 08 11:51:43 EST 2003

Home Advantage = 3.9564

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Vanderbilt (11-18)0.3504
2. Notre Dame (24-10)0.3366
3. Kansas (28-8)0.3298
4. Georgia (19-8)0.3288
5. Missouri (21-11)0.3286
6. Syracuse (30-5)0.3186
7. Texas (26-7)0.3137
8. Connecticut (23-10)0.3131
9. North Carolina (17-15)0.3117
10. South Carolina (12-16)0.3098

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Rutgers (12-16)0.3076
12. Michigan St (22-13)0.3070
13. Kentucky (32-4)0.3037
14. Oklahoma St (21-10)0.3035
15. Indiana (21-13)0.2996
16. UCLA (10-19)0.2994
17. Arkansas (9-19)0.2971
18. Mississippi St (21-10)0.2963
19. Virginia (14-15)0.2956
20. Auburn (21-12)0.2955

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Oklahoma (27-7)0.2955
22. Texas Tech (19-13)0.2948
23. Seton Hall (17-12)0.2938
24. West Virginia (14-15)0.2894
25. Arizona St (19-12)0.2894
26. Alabama (17-12)0.2877
27. Florida (25-8)0.2864
28. Marquette (27-6)0.2860
29. Nebraska (11-18)0.2830
30. Georgetown (16-15)0.2826

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Tennessee (17-11)0.2808
32. Villanova (15-15)0.2802
33. Ohio St (17-14)0.2784
34. Texas A&M (14-14)0.2778
35. Purdue (19-11)0.2760
36. Georgia Tech (14-14)0.2756
37. North Carolina St (18-13)0.2749
38. Colorado (20-12)0.2748
39. Iowa St (15-13)0.2736
40. Pittsburgh (28-5)0.2725

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Arizona (28-4)0.2715
42. USC (13-17)0.2686
43. Mississippi (14-15)0.2683
44. Duke (25-7)0.2661
45. Kansas St (13-17)0.2639
46. Boston College (18-11)0.2625
47. Providence (16-13)0.2624
48. Baylor (14-14)0.2611
49. Maryland (21-10)0.2587
50. California (22-9)0.2581

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Florida St (14-15)0.2574
52. Cincinnati (17-12)0.2572
53. LSU (21-11)0.2570
54. Wake Forest (25-6)0.2550
55. Penn St (7-21)0.2542
56. St Johns (18-13)0.2527
57. Washington (10-17)0.2524
58. Temple (15-15)0.2517
59. Illinois (25-7)0.2517
60. St Louis (16-13)0.2512

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. NC Charlotte (13-16)0.2490
62. Miami Fla (11-17)0.2489
63. Wisconsin (24-8)0.2480
64. Washington St (7-20)0.2469
65. Michigan (17-13)0.2451
66. Stanford (24-9)0.2444
67. Louisville (25-7)0.2439
68. Oregon St (12-15)0.2434
69. DePaul (16-12)0.2432
70. Minnesota (16-14)0.2412

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. East Carolina (10-15)0.2406
72. Northwestern (12-17)0.2397
73. Clemson (15-13)0.2361
74. Virginia Tech (11-18)0.2346
75. Oregon (23-10)0.2292
76. Iowa (15-13)0.2282
77. Uab (18-12)0.2222
78. TCU (9-19)0.2181
79. St Bonaventure (13-14)0.2165
80. Geo Washington (12-17)0.2163

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Memphis (23-7)0.2152
82. Butler (26-6)0.2148
83. Colorado St (17-13)0.2148
84. South Florida (14-14)0.2142
85. Utah (24-8)0.2110
86. BYU (23-9)0.2077
87. New Mexico (9-18)0.2072
88. La Salle (12-17)0.2017
89. Tulane (15-15)0.2015
90. Xavier (26-6)0.1985

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Houston (8-20)0.1984
92. Massachusetts (10-18)0.1978
93. San Diego St (14-13)0.1972
94. St Josephs (23-7)0.1956
95. Air Force (12-16)0.1949
96. Wisc Milwaukee (23-8)0.1945
97. Duquesne (9-21)0.1939
98. Richmond (15-13)0.1937
99. Ball St (13-17)0.1934
100. Dayton (24-6)0.1933

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Gonzaga (24-9)0.1921
102. Wyoming (19-10)0.1910
103. Louisiana Tech (10-15)0.1902
104. Ohio (14-16)0.1897
105. Rhode Island (18-11)0.1874
106. Bowling Green (11-16)0.1866
107. Fordham (2-26)0.1860
108. SO Mississippi (13-16)0.1846
109. Cleveland St (8-22)0.1838
110. Unlv (21-10)0.1831

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Wisc Green Bay (9-19)0.1825
112. North Texas (5-21)0.1822
113. Loyola Chi (15-16)0.1809
114. Miami Ohio (12-15)0.1802
115. San Diego (17-12)0.1733
116. Central Mich (24-7)0.1719
117. Toledo (13-16)0.1715
118. Evansville (12-16)0.1709
119. South Alabama (12-14)0.1696
120. Detroit (17-12)0.1693

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Illinois St (8-21)0.1684
122. Eastern Ill (13-15)0.1670
123. Wright St (9-18)0.1669
124. Indiana St (7-24)0.1660
125. Illinois Chi (21-8)0.1646
126. Northern Ill (17-14)0.1645
127. San Francisco (14-14)0.1639
128. Bradley (11-18)0.1608
129. Nevada (17-13)0.1584
130. Northern Iowa (10-17)0.1574

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Drake (8-20)0.1573
132. Youngstown St (7-20)0.1567
133. St Marys CA (14-15)0.1550
134. Tulsa (23-10)0.1548
135. SMU (17-13)0.1546
136. NC Asheville (14-17)0.1538
137. Ul Lafayette (19-9)0.1520
138. Western Mich (19-10)0.1505
139. Middle Tenn St (14-14)0.1503
140. Southern Ill (24-6)0.1493

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Yale (13-13)0.1490
142. SW Missouri St (17-12)0.1479
143. Western KY (23-9)0.1471
144. Valparaiso (20-10)0.1467
145. Fresno St (20-8)0.1461
146. New Orleans (13-14)0.1460
147. Creighton (29-5)0.1457
148. Portland (10-17)0.1452
149. Wichita St (18-11)0.1449
150. Hawaii (18-11)0.1447

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Eastern KY (7-17)0.1446
152. Rice (17-10)0.1441
153. Buffalo (5-23)0.1441
154. Manhattan (23-7)0.1438
155. Eastern Wash (17-12)0.1437
156. Kent (20-9)0.1431
157. Eastern Mich (12-14)0.1423
158. Davidson (14-10)0.1421
159. Murray St (15-12)0.1421
160. Tenn Martin (10-14)0.1397

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Pepperdine (15-13)0.1383
162. Furman (11-17)0.1378
163. IPFW (9-20)0.1374
164. Princeton (15-11)0.1374
165. Austin Peay (20-8)0.1355
166. Marshall (13-15)0.1354
167. Texas El Paso (5-24)0.1353
168. Tennessee St (1-24)0.1346
169. Florida Intl (7-21)0.1343
170. Akron (13-14)0.1337

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Canisius (10-18)0.1335
172. Wofford (10-15)0.1334
173. Belmont (16-12)0.1333
174. Tennessee Tech (17-12)0.1329
175. Montana (12-16)0.1328
176. George Mason (16-12)0.1325
177. Iupui (19-14)0.1322
178. San Jose St (5-21)0.1315
179. SE Missouri St (9-19)0.1303
180. NC Greensboro (6-22)0.1301

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Loyola Marymnt (11-19)0.1287
182. East Tenn St (17-11)0.1282
183. Boise St (12-16)0.1282
184. Portland St (4-21)0.1281
185. Sacramento St (11-17)0.1259
186. Morehead St (17-9)0.1257
187. Ark Pine Bluff (4-24)0.1250
188. Santa Clara (12-15)0.1249
189. Centenary (10-14)0.1228
190. Appalachian St (16-10)0.1211

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. UC Riverside (5-18)0.1209
192. Arkansas Lr (16-12)0.1207
193. Idaho St (13-14)0.1200
194. Gardner-Webb (4-24)0.1197
195. Mo Kansas City (9-20)0.1196
196. Fairfield (19-11)0.1193
197. Samford (12-15)0.1187
198. Pennsylvania (22-6)0.1185
199. New Mexico St (19-9)0.1181
200. Denver (17-15)0.1176

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Coppin St (11-17)0.1166
202. Chicago St (3-27)0.1164
203. Drexel (18-11)0.1159
204. Weber St (25-5)0.1151
205. The Citadel (4-20)0.1151
206. Cornell (8-18)0.1149
207. Delaware (15-14)0.1147
208. UC Irvine (19-9)0.1144
209. Georgia St (13-15)0.1138
210. Westrn Carolina (6-18)0.1130

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Boston U (20-10)0.1127
212. Arkansas St (11-15)0.1122
213. McNeese St (13-14)0.1121
214. NC Wilmington (24-7)0.1116
215. Montana St (9-16)0.1114
216. Pacific (12-16)0.1111
217. Old Dominion (12-15)0.1110
218. Texas A&M-CC (11-15)0.1110
219. Utah St (22-9)0.1110
220. Fla Atlantic (6-21)0.1109

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Northrn Arizona (13-13)0.1109
222. Long Beach St (4-22)0.1106
223. CS Northridge (13-15)0.1104
224. St Peters (10-19)0.1098
225. Hofstra (8-21)0.1098
226. Elon (10-15)0.1091
227. Santa Barbara (18-13)0.1088
228. Niagara (17-12)0.1079
229. Western Ill (5-21)0.1078
230. Stetson (6-20)0.1071

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Harvard (11-15)0.1059
232. Marist (13-16)0.1053
233. Jacksonville (12-16)0.1041
234. Southern Utah (9-17)0.1032
235. Rider (12-16)0.1031
236. SE Louisiana (9-16)0.1031
237. American (16-14)0.1025
238. Vermont (19-11)0.1013
239. Grambling (10-18)0.1006
240. Loyola MD (4-24)0.1002

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Brown (17-11)0.1001
242. Tex San Antonio (9-17)0.1001
243. Bucknell (13-15)0.0992
244. VMI (8-19)0.0987
245. Coll Of Charltn (22-7)0.0983
246. Cal Poly (15-14)0.0971
247. Troy St (25-6)0.0970
248. Nicholls St (2-25)0.0970
249. Albany NY (7-21)0.0961
250. James Madison (12-17)0.0958

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Texas Arlington (14-13)0.0957
252. Iona (17-12)0.0957
253. Wagner (21-11)0.0945
254. NO Carolina A&T (1-25)0.0942
255. CS Fullerton (10-19)0.0941
256. Columbia (2-25)0.0939
257. Holy Cross (25-5)0.0938
258. Siena (19-10)0.0933
259. Chattanooga (19-9)0.0931
260. Binghamton (14-13)0.0931

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. TX Pan American (6-20)0.0929
262. VA Commonwealth (18-10)0.0925
263. Hartford (15-13)0.0919
264. Central Florida (20-11)0.0904
265. Towson (4-24)0.0904
266. Savannah St (3-24)0.0898
267. Northeastern (14-15)0.0887
268. Charleston Sou (12-14)0.0876
269. Dartmouth (7-19)0.0870
270. Idaho (12-15)0.0859

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Stony Brook (11-15)0.0856
272. Geo Southern (13-13)0.0856
273. Oakland (15-11)0.0852
274. Colgate (12-14)0.0841
275. Jacksonville St (19-10)0.0834
276. Maine (12-16)0.0833
277. Coast Carolina (11-15)0.0830
278. Delaware St (15-12)0.0829
279. Army (3-22)0.0828
280. Prairie View (17-12)0.0821

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Northwestern St (6-21)0.0807
282. New Hampshire (5-23)0.0799
283. Lafayette (11-16)0.0798
284. Mt St Marys (11-16)0.0796
285. SO Carolina St (20-11)0.0793
286. Lehigh (14-12)0.0788
287. William & Mary (12-16)0.0787
288. High Point (7-20)0.0786
289. Ul Monroe (11-16)0.0766
290. Bethune Cookman (8-22)0.0760

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Florida A&M (17-12)0.0755
292. Navy (7-19)0.0748
293. Jackson St (10-18)0.0746
294. Alcorn St (14-19)0.0745
295. Lipscomb (6-20)0.0745
296. Oral Roberts (17-10)0.0737
297. Umbc (7-20)0.0733
298. Morris Brown (6-20)0.0726
299. Sacred Heart (7-21)0.0703
300. Mercer (22-6)0.0694

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. St Francis PA (14-14)0.0690
302. Radford (10-20)0.0682
303. Sam Houston (21-7)0.0671
304. Robert Morris (9-17)0.0665
305. Campbell (4-22)0.0665
306. Stephen Austin (19-8)0.0664
307. Liu Brooklyn (9-19)0.0627
308. Monmouth NJ (15-13)0.0610
309. Lamar (12-14)0.0599
310. Winthrop (18-10)0.0599

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Central Conn (15-13)0.0598
312. SW Texas St (15-12)0.0596
313. Quinnipiac (16-12)0.0594
314. Howard (13-17)0.0563
315. St Francis NY (14-16)0.0557
316. Liberty (14-15)0.0553
317. Alabama St (13-15)0.0538
318. Birmingham Southern (17-9)0.0537
319. Norfolk St (14-15)0.0528
320. Alabama A&M (7-19)0.0525

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Hampton (19-11)0.0521
322. Fair Dickinson (15-14)0.0474
323. Miss Valley St (14-13)0.0459
324. Texas Southern (18-13)0.0395
325. MD Eastrn Shore (5-23)0.0338
326. Morgan St (7-22)0.0257
327. Southern (7-20)0.0230
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