NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team

By division
Last Updated Mon Dec 08 11:51:46 EST 2003

Home Advantage = 3.9564

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Georgia (19-8)0.5010
2. Vanderbilt (11-18)0.4958
3. Kansas (28-8)0.4922
4. Notre Dame (24-10)0.4919
5. Kentucky (32-4)0.4777
6. Missouri (21-11)0.4774
7. North Carolina (17-15)0.4726
8. Syracuse (30-5)0.4709
9. Michigan St (22-13)0.4651
10. Texas (26-7)0.4648

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. South Carolina (12-16)0.4596
12. Oklahoma (27-7)0.4589
13. Connecticut (23-10)0.4582
14. Arkansas (9-19)0.4558
15. Oklahoma St (21-10)0.4532
16. Indiana (21-13)0.4512
17. Virginia (14-15)0.4495
18. Rutgers (12-16)0.4474
19. Texas Tech (19-13)0.4458
20. Mississippi St (21-10)0.4432

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Alabama (17-12)0.4429
22. UCLA (10-19)0.4424
23. Seton Hall (17-12)0.4409
24. Villanova (15-15)0.4388
25. Auburn (21-12)0.4378
26. Purdue (19-11)0.4370
27. Arizona St (19-12)0.4365
28. North Carolina St (18-13)0.4317
29. Tennessee (17-11)0.4311
30. Nebraska (11-18)0.4306

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Duke (25-7)0.4306
32. West Virginia (14-15)0.4305
33. Marquette (27-6)0.4304
34. Georgia Tech (14-14)0.4287
35. Ohio St (17-14)0.4284
36. Florida (25-8)0.4259
37. Colorado (20-12)0.4255
38. USC (13-17)0.4212
39. Pittsburgh (28-5)0.4197
40. Arizona (28-4)0.4191

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Maryland (21-10)0.4159
42. Boston College (18-11)0.4147
43. Texas A&M (14-14)0.4141
44. Georgetown (16-15)0.4132
45. Mississippi (14-15)0.4119
46. Providence (16-13)0.4112
47. Penn St (7-21)0.4074
48. Cincinnati (17-12)0.4068
49. Florida St (14-15)0.4055
50. Iowa St (15-13)0.4051

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Kansas St (13-17)0.4036
52. Wake Forest (25-6)0.4029
53. Miami Fla (11-17)0.4026
54. St Johns (18-13)0.4016
55. NC Charlotte (13-16)0.4009
56. Illinois (25-7)0.4009
57. Louisville (25-7)0.3970
58. Temple (15-15)0.3968
59. Baylor (14-14)0.3943
60. California (22-9)0.3937

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. LSU (21-11)0.3928
62. Wisconsin (24-8)0.3925
63. St Louis (16-13)0.3913
64. Washington (10-17)0.3899
65. Stanford (24-9)0.3899
66. Michigan (17-13)0.3888
67. Washington St (7-20)0.3851
68. Minnesota (16-14)0.3829
69. DePaul (16-12)0.3828
70. Oregon St (12-15)0.3780

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. East Carolina (10-15)0.3773
72. Virginia Tech (11-18)0.3769
73. Northwestern (12-17)0.3756
74. Iowa (15-13)0.3736
75. Clemson (15-13)0.3730
76. Oregon (23-10)0.3600
77. Utah (24-8)0.3537
78. TCU (9-19)0.3534
79. Colorado St (17-13)0.3528
80. BYU (23-9)0.3478

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. St Bonaventure (13-14)0.3477
82. New Mexico (9-18)0.3470
83. Butler (26-6)0.3446
84. Geo Washington (12-17)0.3433
85. Uab (18-12)0.3433
86. Memphis (23-7)0.3432
87. South Florida (14-14)0.3409
88. Houston (8-20)0.3382
89. La Salle (12-17)0.3367
90. San Diego St (14-13)0.3311

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Bowling Green (11-16)0.3292
92. Xavier (26-6)0.3290
93. St Josephs (23-7)0.3265
94. Tulane (15-15)0.3265
95. Massachusetts (10-18)0.3250
96. Dayton (24-6)0.3243
97. Air Force (12-16)0.3231
98. Ball St (13-17)0.3208
99. SO Mississippi (13-16)0.3201
100. Fordham (2-26)0.3197

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Gonzaga (24-9)0.3185
102. North Texas (5-21)0.3173
103. Ohio (14-16)0.3155
104. Richmond (15-13)0.3137
105. Wyoming (19-10)0.3136
106. Unlv (21-10)0.3119
107. Wisc Milwaukee (23-8)0.3118
108. Cleveland St (8-22)0.3091
109. Miami Ohio (12-15)0.3077
110. Louisiana Tech (10-15)0.3068

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Loyola Chi (15-16)0.3065
112. Duquesne (9-21)0.3061
113. Rhode Island (18-11)0.3046
114. Central Mich (24-7)0.3041
115. Wisc Green Bay (9-19)0.3017
116. Toledo (13-16)0.3013
117. San Diego (17-12)0.3007
118. Evansville (12-16)0.2927
119. Illinois St (8-21)0.2913
120. Indiana St (7-24)0.2905

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Detroit (17-12)0.2900
122. Northern Ill (17-14)0.2888
123. Wright St (9-18)0.2877
124. San Francisco (14-14)0.2850
125. Nevada (17-13)0.2821
126. South Alabama (12-14)0.2809
127. Illinois Chi (21-8)0.2773
128. Bradley (11-18)0.2740
129. Youngstown St (7-20)0.2734
130. Tulsa (23-10)0.2726

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Drake (8-20)0.2722
132. Eastern Ill (13-15)0.2697
133. Northern Iowa (10-17)0.2695
134. SMU (17-13)0.2694
135. Middle Tenn St (14-14)0.2685
136. Western Mich (19-10)0.2683
137. St Marys CA (14-15)0.2682
138. Kent (20-9)0.2672
139. Southern Ill (24-6)0.2667
140. Hawaii (18-11)0.2651

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Ul Lafayette (19-9)0.2650
142. Buffalo (5-23)0.2633
143. Portland (10-17)0.2615
144. SW Missouri St (17-12)0.2599
145. Eastern Mich (12-14)0.2567
146. Creighton (29-5)0.2552
147. Western KY (23-9)0.2538
148. Rice (17-10)0.2536
149. Tenn Martin (10-14)0.2531
150. Marshall (13-15)0.2527

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Fresno St (20-8)0.2521
152. Wichita St (18-11)0.2508
153. Eastern Wash (17-12)0.2502
154. Pepperdine (15-13)0.2487
155. New Orleans (13-14)0.2486
156. Texas El Paso (5-24)0.2479
157. Florida Intl (7-21)0.2478
158. Murray St (15-12)0.2459
159. San Jose St (5-21)0.2452
160. Akron (13-14)0.2447

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. IPFW (9-20)0.2441
162. Wofford (10-15)0.2439
163. Yale (13-13)0.2438
164. Eastern KY (7-17)0.2430
165. Boise St (12-16)0.2396
166. Manhattan (23-7)0.2388
167. Loyola Marymnt (11-19)0.2387
168. Portland St (4-21)0.2380
169. Tennessee Tech (17-12)0.2378
170. Valparaiso (20-10)0.2351

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. SE Missouri St (9-19)0.2348
172. Montana (12-16)0.2336
173. Austin Peay (20-8)0.2324
174. Davidson (14-10)0.2320
175. East Tenn St (17-11)0.2317
176. Tennessee St (1-24)0.2311
177. NC Asheville (14-17)0.2311
178. Santa Clara (12-15)0.2295
179. Morehead St (17-9)0.2269
180. Gardner-Webb (4-24)0.2256

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Furman (11-17)0.2255
182. Sacramento St (11-17)0.2251
183. UC Riverside (5-18)0.2251
184. Princeton (15-11)0.2240
185. George Mason (16-12)0.2231
186. Denver (17-15)0.2231
187. Belmont (16-12)0.2223
188. Canisius (10-18)0.2214
189. Iupui (19-14)0.2204
190. Samford (12-15)0.2201

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Arkansas Lr (16-12)0.2196
192. Idaho St (13-14)0.2192
193. New Mexico St (19-9)0.2175
194. Pennsylvania (22-6)0.2161
195. Drexel (18-11)0.2159
196. NC Greensboro (6-22)0.2159
197. Westrn Carolina (6-18)0.2141
198. Fairfield (19-11)0.2139
199. Arkansas St (11-15)0.2132
200. Fla Atlantic (6-21)0.2119

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Montana St (9-16)0.2118
202. Weber St (25-5)0.2103
203. The Citadel (4-20)0.2097
204. Centenary (10-14)0.2096
205. Pacific (12-16)0.2093
206. Long Beach St (4-22)0.2091
207. Delaware (15-14)0.2087
208. Chicago St (3-27)0.2075
209. Mo Kansas City (9-20)0.2072
210. Niagara (17-12)0.2062

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Hofstra (8-21)0.2040
212. CS Northridge (13-15)0.2035
213. Appalachian St (16-10)0.2032
214. NC Wilmington (24-7)0.2028
215. Old Dominion (12-15)0.2024
216. Marist (13-16)0.2013
217. Santa Barbara (18-13)0.2005
218. UC Irvine (19-9)0.1997
219. Ark Pine Bluff (4-24)0.1987
220. Cornell (8-18)0.1981

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. St Peters (10-19)0.1977
222. Utah St (22-9)0.1972
223. Stetson (6-20)0.1967
224. Western Ill (5-21)0.1966
225. Northrn Arizona (13-13)0.1955
226. Harvard (11-15)0.1954
227. Georgia St (13-15)0.1946
228. Texas A&M-CC (11-15)0.1942
229. Rider (12-16)0.1928
230. VMI (8-19)0.1906

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Brown (17-11)0.1893
232. Jacksonville (12-16)0.1886
233. Coll Of Charltn (22-7)0.1872
234. Cal Poly (15-14)0.1871
235. Southern Utah (9-17)0.1864
236. McNeese St (13-14)0.1859
237. American (16-14)0.1856
238. CS Fullerton (10-19)0.1851
239. James Madison (12-17)0.1847
240. Boston U (20-10)0.1843

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Loyola MD (4-24)0.1837
242. Iona (17-12)0.1834
243. Troy St (25-6)0.1833
244. Chattanooga (19-9)0.1821
245. Siena (19-10)0.1820
246. Elon (10-15)0.1797
247. Columbia (2-25)0.1794
248. Nicholls St (2-25)0.1790
249. Tex San Antonio (9-17)0.1783
250. VA Commonwealth (18-10)0.1776

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. SE Louisiana (9-16)0.1769
252. Vermont (19-11)0.1768
253. Central Florida (20-11)0.1767
254. Coppin St (11-17)0.1760
255. Towson (4-24)0.1752
256. Bucknell (13-15)0.1751
257. TX Pan American (6-20)0.1732
258. Idaho (12-15)0.1715
259. Savannah St (3-24)0.1710
260. Geo Southern (13-13)0.1710

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Northeastern (14-15)0.1675
262. Dartmouth (7-19)0.1675
263. Binghamton (14-13)0.1659
264. Texas Arlington (14-13)0.1655
265. Grambling (10-18)0.1653
266. Maine (12-16)0.1638
267. Albany NY (7-21)0.1607
268. Holy Cross (25-5)0.1600
269. Hartford (15-13)0.1590
270. Charleston Sou (12-14)0.1571

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Stony Brook (11-15)0.1569
272. Oakland (15-11)0.1555
273. William & Mary (12-16)0.1552
274. Wagner (21-11)0.1549
275. Coast Carolina (11-15)0.1545
276. NO Carolina A&T (1-25)0.1542
277. Lafayette (11-16)0.1539
278. Ul Monroe (11-16)0.1535
279. Jacksonville St (19-10)0.1532
280. Northwestern St (6-21)0.1528

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Navy (7-19)0.1522
282. Army (3-22)0.1522
283. New Hampshire (5-23)0.1521
284. Colgate (12-14)0.1489
285. Oral Roberts (17-10)0.1460
286. Lehigh (14-12)0.1441
287. Lipscomb (6-20)0.1436
288. High Point (7-20)0.1417
289. Radford (10-20)0.1411
290. Prairie View (17-12)0.1403

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Mercer (22-6)0.1399
292. Mt St Marys (11-16)0.1385
293. Umbc (7-20)0.1383
294. Morris Brown (6-20)0.1378
295. Jackson St (10-18)0.1374
296. Campbell (4-22)0.1365
297. Delaware St (15-12)0.1365
298. Sacred Heart (7-21)0.1342
299. Alcorn St (14-19)0.1320
300. Liu Brooklyn (9-19)0.1315

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Sam Houston (21-7)0.1310
302. SO Carolina St (20-11)0.1281
303. St Francis PA (14-14)0.1248
304. Lamar (12-14)0.1248
305. Monmouth NJ (15-13)0.1247
306. SW Texas St (15-12)0.1247
307. Bethune Cookman (8-22)0.1234
308. Stephen Austin (19-8)0.1232
309. Robert Morris (9-17)0.1197
310. Winthrop (18-10)0.1189

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Florida A&M (17-12)0.1185
312. Liberty (14-15)0.1171
313. Quinnipiac (16-12)0.1156
314. St Francis NY (14-16)0.1149
315. Central Conn (15-13)0.1143
316. Birmingham Southern (17-9)0.1128
317. Alabama St (13-15)0.1084
318. Howard (13-17)0.1077
319. Fair Dickinson (15-14)0.1017
320. Alabama A&M (7-19)0.0979

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Hampton (19-11)0.0962
322. Miss Valley St (14-13)0.0926
323. Norfolk St (14-15)0.0913
324. Texas Southern (18-13)0.0773
325. MD Eastrn Shore (5-23)0.0763
326. Morgan St (7-22)0.0622
327. Southern (7-20)0.0574
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