NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team

By division
Last Updated Mon Dec 08 11:51:53 EST 2003

Home Advantage = 3.9564

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Georgia (19-8)0.7765
2. Kansas (28-8)0.7577
3. Kentucky (32-4)0.7542
4. North Carolina (17-15)0.7343
5. Missouri (21-11)0.7334
6. Notre Dame (24-10)0.7318
7. Arkansas (9-19)0.7283
8. Indiana (21-13)0.7263
9. Duke (25-7)0.7260
10. Vanderbilt (11-18)0.7258

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Alabama (17-12)0.7230
12. Syracuse (30-5)0.7225
13. Michigan St (22-13)0.7217
14. Villanova (15-15)0.7199
15. Texas Tech (19-13)0.7195
16. Virginia (14-15)0.7169
17. Purdue (19-11)0.7148
18. Texas (26-7)0.7140
19. South Carolina (12-16)0.7133
20. Oklahoma St (21-10)0.7087

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Oklahoma (27-7)0.7085
22. UCLA (10-19)0.7067
23. Arizona (28-4)0.7062
24. Providence (16-13)0.7060
25. Arizona St (19-12)0.7035
26. Connecticut (23-10)0.7015
27. Colorado (20-12)0.7006
28. Mississippi St (21-10)0.6984
29. NC Charlotte (13-16)0.6977
30. Cincinnati (17-12)0.6964

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Boston College (18-11)0.6957
32. North Carolina St (18-13)0.6954
33. Auburn (21-12)0.6952
34. Georgia Tech (14-14)0.6951
35. Marquette (27-6)0.6937
36. Ohio St (17-14)0.6927
37. Nebraska (11-18)0.6919
38. Seton Hall (17-12)0.6891
39. USC (13-17)0.6878
40. St Johns (18-13)0.6865

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Louisville (25-7)0.6859
42. Tennessee (17-11)0.6837
43. Wake Forest (25-6)0.6807
44. Michigan (17-13)0.6805
45. Illinois (25-7)0.6794
46. St Louis (16-13)0.6789
47. Rutgers (12-16)0.6787
48. Stanford (24-9)0.6782
49. Florida St (14-15)0.6779
50. Pittsburgh (28-5)0.6778

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Penn St (7-21)0.6773
52. Temple (15-15)0.6765
53. Maryland (21-10)0.6756
54. Miami Fla (11-17)0.6750
55. Florida (25-8)0.6726
56. Mississippi (14-15)0.6716
57. California (22-9)0.6715
58. Wisconsin (24-8)0.6707
59. West Virginia (14-15)0.6701
60. Texas A&M (14-14)0.6699

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Washington St (7-20)0.6664
62. Georgetown (16-15)0.6638
63. Kansas St (13-17)0.6631
64. DePaul (16-12)0.6608
65. Washington (10-17)0.6607
66. Virginia Tech (11-18)0.6553
67. Iowa St (15-13)0.6522
68. Minnesota (16-14)0.6497
69. East Carolina (10-15)0.6479
70. Utah (24-8)0.6477

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Oregon St (12-15)0.6474
72. BYU (23-9)0.6468
73. Iowa (15-13)0.6410
74. LSU (21-11)0.6401
75. Houston (8-20)0.6389
76. Fordham (2-26)0.6354
77. Oregon (23-10)0.6311
78. Bowling Green (11-16)0.6308
79. TCU (9-19)0.6284
80. South Florida (14-14)0.6276

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Memphis (23-7)0.6267
82. Northwestern (12-17)0.6257
83. North Texas (5-21)0.6252
84. Clemson (15-13)0.6231
85. Colorado St (17-13)0.6219
86. Baylor (14-14)0.6217
87. Miami Ohio (12-15)0.6205
88. San Diego St (14-13)0.6198
89. New Mexico (9-18)0.6193
90. St Bonaventure (13-14)0.6191

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Dayton (24-6)0.6174
92. Ohio (14-16)0.6163
93. Xavier (26-6)0.6150
94. SO Mississippi (13-16)0.6147
95. Toledo (13-16)0.6145
96. Ball St (13-17)0.6134
97. Butler (26-6)0.6130
98. Unlv (21-10)0.6100
99. St Josephs (23-7)0.6081
100. Central Mich (24-7)0.6070

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Uab (18-12)0.6042
102. Gonzaga (24-9)0.6018
103. Geo Washington (12-17)0.6011
104. San Diego (17-12)0.5956
105. Wyoming (19-10)0.5947
106. Air Force (12-16)0.5930
107. Northern Ill (17-14)0.5925
108. Evansville (12-16)0.5920
109. Cleveland St (8-22)0.5909
110. Richmond (15-13)0.5900

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. La Salle (12-17)0.5872
112. Indiana St (7-24)0.5852
113. Massachusetts (10-18)0.5823
114. Loyola Chi (15-16)0.5821
115. Tulane (15-15)0.5805
116. Kent (20-9)0.5798
117. Illinois St (8-21)0.5762
118. Louisiana Tech (10-15)0.5759
119. Duquesne (9-21)0.5718
120. Western Mich (19-10)0.5713

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. San Francisco (14-14)0.5709
122. Nevada (17-13)0.5704
123. Rhode Island (18-11)0.5684
124. Wisc Green Bay (9-19)0.5665
125. Wisc Milwaukee (23-8)0.5657
126. Wright St (9-18)0.5644
127. Buffalo (5-23)0.5618
128. Bradley (11-18)0.5587
129. Detroit (17-12)0.5586
130. Marshall (13-15)0.5569

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Drake (8-20)0.5555
132. Youngstown St (7-20)0.5554
133. Ul Lafayette (19-9)0.5526
134. Portland (10-17)0.5522
135. Southern Ill (24-6)0.5518
136. Northern Iowa (10-17)0.5483
137. SMU (17-13)0.5481
138. Pepperdine (15-13)0.5471
139. Tulsa (23-10)0.5458
140. South Alabama (12-14)0.5449

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Portland St (4-21)0.5428
142. Hawaii (18-11)0.5423
143. San Jose St (5-21)0.5422
144. St Marys CA (14-15)0.5405
145. Illinois Chi (21-8)0.5403
146. Middle Tenn St (14-14)0.5372
147. Loyola Marymnt (11-19)0.5367
148. Eastern Mich (12-14)0.5346
149. Florida Intl (7-21)0.5324
150. SW Missouri St (17-12)0.5308

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Creighton (29-5)0.5276
152. Akron (13-14)0.5268
153. Eastern Wash (17-12)0.5236
154. Rice (17-10)0.5230
155. Boise St (12-16)0.5220
156. Eastern Ill (13-15)0.5194
157. Texas El Paso (5-24)0.5190
158. Tenn Martin (10-14)0.5169
159. Fresno St (20-8)0.5130
160. Western KY (23-9)0.5106

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Wichita St (18-11)0.5071
162. Murray St (15-12)0.5070
163. Gardner-Webb (4-24)0.5068
164. Wofford (10-15)0.5046
165. UC Riverside (5-18)0.5045
166. SE Missouri St (9-19)0.5022
167. Santa Clara (12-15)0.5009
168. New Orleans (13-14)0.4998
169. Arkansas St (11-15)0.4985
170. Montana (12-16)0.4981

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Tennessee Tech (17-12)0.4976
172. East Tenn St (17-11)0.4940
173. Arkansas Lr (16-12)0.4935
174. Manhattan (23-7)0.4932
175. Montana St (9-16)0.4912
176. Austin Peay (20-8)0.4891
177. Denver (17-15)0.4889
178. IPFW (9-20)0.4875
179. Long Beach St (4-22)0.4868
180. Eastern KY (7-17)0.4867

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Idaho St (13-14)0.4859
182. Sacramento St (11-17)0.4847
183. New Mexico St (19-9)0.4815
184. Fla Atlantic (6-21)0.4789
185. Weber St (25-5)0.4782
186. Tennessee St (1-24)0.4777
187. Marist (13-16)0.4773
188. Pacific (12-16)0.4768
189. Yale (13-13)0.4768
190. Niagara (17-12)0.4758

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Drexel (18-11)0.4740
192. Davidson (14-10)0.4724
193. Fairfield (19-11)0.4719
194. Samford (12-15)0.4719
195. Morehead St (17-9)0.4709
196. Westrn Carolina (6-18)0.4692
197. Santa Barbara (18-13)0.4686
198. Delaware (15-14)0.4686
199. The Citadel (4-20)0.4668
200. George Mason (16-12)0.4639

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. CS Fullerton (10-19)0.4618
202. Canisius (10-18)0.4612
203. Chicago St (3-27)0.4609
204. Cal Poly (15-14)0.4594
205. Belmont (16-12)0.4579
206. Pennsylvania (22-6)0.4566
207. Iupui (19-14)0.4564
208. Old Dominion (12-15)0.4558
209. Hofstra (8-21)0.4557
210. Western Ill (5-21)0.4551

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. CS Northridge (13-15)0.4543
212. Valparaiso (20-10)0.4539
213. Utah St (22-9)0.4535
214. Princeton (15-11)0.4520
215. UC Irvine (19-9)0.4519
216. Mo Kansas City (9-20)0.4503
217. Furman (11-17)0.4490
218. NC Wilmington (24-7)0.4459
219. Northrn Arizona (13-13)0.4450
220. St Peters (10-19)0.4446

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Chattanooga (19-9)0.4443
222. Siena (19-10)0.4439
223. NC Greensboro (6-22)0.4437
224. VMI (8-19)0.4430
225. Appalachian St (16-10)0.4429
226. Rider (12-16)0.4428
227. Harvard (11-15)0.4400
228. Coll Of Charltn (22-7)0.4395
229. Stetson (6-20)0.4363
230. Idaho (12-15)0.4362

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Brown (17-11)0.4348
232. Iona (17-12)0.4342
233. James Madison (12-17)0.4337
234. Southern Utah (9-17)0.4330
235. Jacksonville (12-16)0.4308
236. Loyola MD (4-24)0.4295
237. NC Asheville (14-17)0.4270
238. Columbia (2-25)0.4251
239. Central Florida (20-11)0.4247
240. Cornell (8-18)0.4224

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Geo Southern (13-13)0.4212
242. Centenary (10-14)0.4200
243. Towson (4-24)0.4185
244. Troy St (25-6)0.4142
245. VA Commonwealth (18-10)0.4118
246. Texas A&M-CC (11-15)0.4085
247. Nicholls St (2-25)0.4050
248. Tex San Antonio (9-17)0.4048
249. Georgia St (13-15)0.4046
250. McNeese St (13-14)0.4042

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. SE Louisiana (9-16)0.4023
252. Northeastern (14-15)0.4014
253. Vermont (19-11)0.3952
254. Dartmouth (7-19)0.3951
255. Boston U (20-10)0.3929
256. Maine (12-16)0.3925
257. Navy (7-19)0.3921
258. American (16-14)0.3916
259. Bucknell (13-15)0.3913
260. Elon (10-15)0.3897

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Ul Monroe (11-16)0.3869
262. New Hampshire (5-23)0.3867
263. Savannah St (3-24)0.3866
264. William & Mary (12-16)0.3862
265. Binghamton (14-13)0.3805
266. Lafayette (11-16)0.3782
267. Northwestern St (6-21)0.3778
268. Texas Arlington (14-13)0.3755
269. Ark Pine Bluff (4-24)0.3751
270. Radford (10-20)0.3748

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. TX Pan American (6-20)0.3731
272. Albany NY (7-21)0.3708
273. Hartford (15-13)0.3693
274. Campbell (4-22)0.3684
275. Coast Carolina (11-15)0.3676
276. Army (3-22)0.3654
277. Oakland (15-11)0.3638
278. Holy Cross (25-5)0.3622
279. Jacksonville St (19-10)0.3622
280. Charleston Sou (12-14)0.3601

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Liu Brooklyn (9-19)0.3589
282. High Point (7-20)0.3572
283. Stony Brook (11-15)0.3569
284. Oral Roberts (17-10)0.3565
285. Colgate (12-14)0.3531
286. Mercer (22-6)0.3445
287. Lipscomb (6-20)0.3429
288. Wagner (21-11)0.3426
289. Lehigh (14-12)0.3424
290. Lamar (12-14)0.3407

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. SW Texas St (15-12)0.3407
292. Sacred Heart (7-21)0.3407
293. Sam Houston (21-7)0.3396
294. Umbc (7-20)0.3314
295. Grambling (10-18)0.3304
296. Coppin St (11-17)0.3298
297. Jackson St (10-18)0.3272
298. Monmouth NJ (15-13)0.3235
299. Mt St Marys (11-16)0.3211
300. Stephen Austin (19-8)0.3204

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Quinnipiac (16-12)0.3154
302. Winthrop (18-10)0.3149
303. Alcorn St (14-19)0.3148
304. Robert Morris (9-17)0.3134
305. St Francis PA (14-14)0.3126
306. Liberty (14-15)0.3115
307. Morris Brown (6-20)0.3107
308. NO Carolina A&T (1-25)0.3083
309. St Francis NY (14-16)0.3077
310. Birmingham Southern (17-9)0.3014

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Central Conn (15-13)0.2993
312. Prairie View (17-12)0.2990
313. Fair Dickinson (15-14)0.2796
314. Delaware St (15-12)0.2781
315. Alabama St (13-15)0.2703
316. SO Carolina St (20-11)0.2663
317. Howard (13-17)0.2630
318. Bethune Cookman (8-22)0.2589
319. Miss Valley St (14-13)0.2537
320. Alabama A&M (7-19)0.2386

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Florida A&M (17-12)0.2375
322. Hampton (19-11)0.2361
323. MD Eastrn Shore (5-23)0.2355
324. Norfolk St (14-15)0.2161
325. Texas Southern (18-13)0.2138
326. Morgan St (7-22)0.2063
327. Southern (7-20)0.1947
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