NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

Recent Articles:
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Last Ten Ratings

By ranking
Last Updated Mon Dec 08 11:52:00 EST 2003

Home Court Advantage = 3.9564

BIG EAST AVERAGE = 85.084


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Syracuse (9-1)96.9015-11-02-0
3. Pittsburgh (9-1)95.6332-13-02-0
9. Connecticut (6-4)92.2402-34-00-1
22. Boston College (7-3)87.7650-20-04-0
24. Seton Hall (7-3)87.6141-20-03-1
38. Providence (6-4)85.8181-21-13-1
41. St Johns (6-4)85.5542-21-21-0
43. Notre Dame (5-5)85.3801-31-02-1
53. Georgetown (5-5)84.2940-40-04-1
91. Rutgers (3-7)80.0521-31-21-2
96. Villanova (3-7)79.6371-10-20-3
107. Virginia Tech (3-7)78.6931-20-12-2
143. West Virginia (2-8)76.7220-40-20-2
171. Miami Fla (2-8)74.8730-00-30-5


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 84.788


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Kansas (8-2)95.5454-22-01-0
6. Texas (8-2)92.9563-12-11-0
10. Oklahoma (8-2)92.0102-23-01-0
30. Missouri (5-5)87.1983-30-10-1
39. Colorado (6-4)85.7742-30-02-1
44. Texas Tech (5-5)85.1702-30-03-2
72. Baylor (4-6)82.1071-31-20-1
74. Oklahoma St (3-7)81.8061-40-22-1
79. Iowa St (4-6)81.0681-21-11-1
90. Texas A&M (3-7)80.1731-40-22-1
132. Kansas St (2-8)77.0570-41-11-2
145. Nebraska (2-8)76.5890-50-21-1


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 84.498


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Kentucky (9-1)97.4234-12-00-0
14. Georgia (7-3)89.7822-21-13-0
15. LSU (7-3)89.4521-23-11-0
27. Auburn (5-5)87.4391-42-11-0
28. Mississippi St (5-5)87.3460-34-11-0
42. Florida (5-5)85.3850-31-21-0
59. Tennessee (5-5)83.6663-10-30-1
66. Alabama (4-6)82.7310-32-22-0
71. South Carolina (5-5)82.2920-31-11-1
108. Mississippi (2-8)78.6160-50-31-0
141. Arkansas (2-8)76.7351-20-40-2
192. Vanderbilt (1-9)73.1090-41-20-2


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 83.430


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
13. Duke (7-3)89.9730-13-04-2
19. Wake Forest (8-2)88.2080-01-26-0
23. Maryland (6-4)87.6632-21-03-2
40. North Carolina St (5-5)85.7591-30-24-0
61. North Carolina (5-5)83.3301-21-22-1
80. Georgia Tech (3-7)80.9010-21-22-3
86. Florida St (3-7)80.4110-30-23-2
100. Clemson (3-7)79.1390-20-23-3
160. Virginia (2-8)75.4820-32-00-4


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 82.712


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Michigan St (8-2)92.3351-14-03-1
12. Illinois (8-2)90.7380-22-04-0
26. Wisconsin (7-3)87.6001-12-04-1
46. Indiana (6-4)84.9510-31-04-0
55. Ohio St (6-4)84.1952-21-01-2
67. Purdue (4-6)82.7081-31-01-2
75. Michigan (4-6)81.6680-21-32-1
114. Iowa (3-7)78.2530-20-21-3
139. Northwestern (3-7)76.8350-41-01-3
140. Minnesota (3-7)76.7980-30-21-1
185. Penn St (2-8)73.7561-01-20-5


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 81.820


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Arizona (8-2)92.7671-15-00-0
34. Stanford (7-3)86.3240-22-02-1
47. Arizona St (5-5)84.8821-21-31-0
51. Oregon (6-4)84.4090-11-22-0
58. UCLA (5-5)83.7551-11-40-0
65. California (5-5)82.7710-22-11-1
101. USC (3-7)79.1360-12-40-0
130. Washington (3-7)77.0800-11-31-0
181. Oregon St (2-8)73.8190-10-51-0
190. Washington St (2-8)73.2520-10-40-1


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 80.762


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Marquette (8-2)93.7014-10-03-1
11. Memphis (8-2)91.1511-10-13-0
31. St Louis (8-2)86.8631-00-03-1
37. Uab (6-4)86.0551-30-03-1
54. Louisville (6-4)84.2301-20-03-2
81. NC Charlotte (5-5)80.9000-20-02-3
84. DePaul (5-5)80.5961-10-01-3
88. Cincinnati (4-6)80.3772-20-11-2
110. Tulane (5-5)78.5040-20-00-1
119. South Florida (4-6)77.9360-20-02-1
169. SO Mississippi (3-7)75.0610-00-01-3
201. Houston (2-8)72.4970-20-00-3
212. TCU (2-8)71.7930-30-00-1
222. East Carolina (1-9)71.0010-30-00-5


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 80.087


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
48. Unlv (7-3)84.7550-02-11-2
63. BYU (6-4)83.2220-10-12-2
64. Colorado St (5-5)82.8090-02-12-2
68. Utah (6-4)82.5700-12-02-2
95. San Diego St (4-6)79.8130-00-22-4
120. Wyoming (4-6)77.9170-00-42-1
148. New Mexico (3-7)76.4590-01-31-2
191. Air Force (2-8)73.1500-00-41-2


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 77.652


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
20. Temple (8-2)88.1601-11-11-0
21. Xavier (8-2)88.0820-02-12-1
32. Dayton (8-2)86.5430-12-03-1
60. St Josephs (6-4)83.4950-10-31-0
113. Geo Washington (4-6)78.2630-20-10-1
118. Rhode Island (5-5)77.9510-10-20-1
131. St Bonaventure (5-5)77.0760-00-10-3
173. Massachusetts (4-6)74.4310-00-20-3
188. Richmond (3-7)73.4340-10-21-1
193. La Salle (3-7)73.0270-10-20-2
225. Duquesne (2-8)70.9370-10-10-2
311. Fordham (0-10)60.4210-00-20-1


HORIZON AVERAGE = 77.388


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
17. Butler (8-2)88.3902-11-11-0
29. Wisc Milwaukee (7-3)87.2201-20-12-0
50. Illinois Chi (7-3)84.4820-10-20-0
69. Detroit (7-3)82.5420-20-00-0
103. Loyola Chi (6-4)78.9581-00-11-2
232. Wright St (3-7)70.2470-10-10-3
234. Youngstown St (2-8)70.1620-10-10-3
261. Wisc Green Bay (2-8)67.8860-10-10-2
273. Cleveland St (1-9)66.6080-20-10-2


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 77.122


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
16. Central Mich (8-2)88.6441-10-01-0
87. Ohio (6-4)80.3810-00-02-2
97. Western Mich (6-4)79.5700-00-10-0
105. Northern Ill (5-5)78.8880-00-31-1
129. Eastern Mich (5-5)77.0950-00-11-0
136. Akron (5-5)76.8950-01-11-0
144. Toledo (4-6)76.6280-00-10-2
151. Ball St (4-6)76.0350-00-21-2
163. Marshall (5-5)75.3910-00-01-1
166. Miami Ohio (4-6)75.3030-00-00-1
168. Kent (4-6)75.1740-00-10-1
182. Bowling Green (3-7)73.8190-00-10-2
250. Buffalo (2-8)68.7680-00-00-2


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 76.675


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
45. Gonzaga (7-3)84.9860-10-03-1
62. San Diego (7-3)83.2570-01-20-0
73. San Francisco (7-3)82.0540-00-10-2
167. St Marys CA (4-6)75.2260-00-20-1
176. Pepperdine (4-6)74.0690-00-11-0
183. Loyola Marymnt (4-6)73.8120-01-00-1
209. Portland (3-7)72.0020-01-00-2
258. Santa Clara (2-8)67.9940-00-20-1


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 76.474


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
49. Southern Ill (8-2)84.5891-11-00-0
56. Creighton (7-3)84.1560-01-21-0
85. Wichita St (6-4)80.5091-20-00-0
126. Northern Iowa (5-5)77.3590-10-10-0
128. SW Missouri St (4-6)77.1760-20-30-0
138. Bradley (5-5)76.8440-11-00-0
180. Illinois St (5-5)73.8290-00-20-0
194. Evansville (4-6)73.0190-00-10-0
229. Drake (3-7)70.5640-00-10-0
272. Indiana St (2-8)66.6900-20-00-0


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 75.848


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
18. Tulsa (8-2)88.3600-11-15-0
102. SMU (6-4)78.9810-00-01-4
104. Rice (6-4)78.9240-00-02-3
109. Nevada (5-5)78.5940-00-00-4
111. Fresno St (5-5)78.4320-10-01-2
133. Hawaii (5-5)77.0510-00-02-2
197. Louisiana Tech (4-6)72.9160-00-03-1
207. Boise St (3-7)72.2530-00-00-4
266. Texas El Paso (2-8)67.4830-00-00-3
285. San Jose St (2-8)65.4810-00-01-3


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 75.799


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
25. Western KY (9-1)87.6130-10-02-0
93. Ul Lafayette (7-3)79.9660-00-01-1
94. Middle Tenn St (7-3)79.9330-00-00-2
123. New Mexico St (6-4)77.7250-00-00-2
142. Arkansas Lr (6-4)76.7330-00-01-3
149. Denver (5-5)76.3710-00-01-3
158. Arkansas St (5-5)75.6160-00-01-2
213. South Alabama (4-6)71.7700-00-00-2
224. New Orleans (3-7)70.9380-10-00-2
228. Florida Intl (2-8)70.7370-00-00-2
276. North Texas (1-9)66.3890-00-01-4


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 73.682


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
36. Weber St (9-1)86.1940-10-00-0
153. Eastern Wash (5-5)75.9960-00-30-0
178. Northrn Arizona (5-5)73.8800-00-10-0
186. Idaho St (4-6)73.6570-00-20-0
202. Montana (5-5)72.4900-00-10-0
214. Sacramento St (4-6)71.6180-00-20-0
221. Montana St (4-6)71.1190-00-10-0
289. Portland St (1-9)64.4970-00-20-0


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 72.723


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
98. Niagara (7-3)79.2610-00-00-1
106. Manhattan (6-4)78.7900-10-00-0
147. Fairfield (6-4)76.5590-00-01-1
154. Iona (6-4)75.9810-00-01-1
157. Siena (6-4)75.6230-00-01-0
174. Marist (5-5)74.2200-00-00-1
199. Rider (5-5)72.7140-00-00-0
216. St Peters (4-6)71.4030-00-10-0
279. Canisius (2-8)65.8890-00-00-2
317. Loyola MD (0-10)56.7930-00-10-1


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 72.665


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
70. East Tenn St (8-2)82.3470-10-01-0
83. Coll Of Charltn (8-2)80.8870-00-00-0
134. Chattanooga (7-3)77.0370-00-01-0
164. Davidson (6-4)75.3500-00-00-1
187. Geo Southern (5-5)73.5560-00-00-2
189. Furman (6-4)73.3810-00-00-1
206. Appalachian St (5-5)72.3320-00-00-1
208. Wofford (5-5)72.0330-00-00-0
245. VMI (4-6)68.9900-00-00-0
249. Westrn Carolina (3-7)68.8110-00-00-1
278. NC Greensboro (2-8)65.9010-00-00-1
308. The Citadel (1-9)61.3560-00-00-1


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 72.456


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
78. UC Irvine (8-2)81.1500-00-00-0
115. Santa Barbara (7-3)78.2260-00-00-1
116. Cal Poly (7-3)78.0540-00-00-0
117. Utah St (7-3)78.0170-10-00-0
195. CS Northridge (5-5)73.0120-00-00-0
196. Idaho (5-5)72.9300-00-00-0
218. CS Fullerton (4-6)71.3270-00-00-0
265. Long Beach St (3-7)67.5190-00-00-0
270. UC Riverside (3-7)66.7820-00-00-0
276. North Texas (1-9)66.3890-00-01-4
294. Pacific (1-9)63.6150-00-00-0


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 72.336


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
35. NC Wilmington (9-1)86.2970-00-10-0
99. VA Commonwealth (7-3)79.1430-00-00-1
124. Drexel (7-3)77.6960-00-00-1
152. George Mason (6-4)76.0110-00-00-1
179. James Madison (5-5)73.8550-00-00-1
226. Delaware (4-6)70.8960-00-00-2
244. Old Dominion (3-7)69.2910-00-01-0
246. William & Mary (4-6)68.9610-00-00-2
251. Hofstra (3-7)68.6960-00-00-2
324. Towson (0-10)52.5150-00-00-1


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 71.878


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
77. Austin Peay (8-2)81.3200-10-00-0
92. Tennessee Tech (7-3)80.0400-00-00-2
122. Eastern Ill (7-3)77.8140-00-01-0
146. Morehead St (6-4)76.5630-00-00-2
150. Murray St (5-5)76.3060-00-00-2
230. Eastern KY (3-7)70.3210-00-00-3
240. Tenn Martin (3-7)69.7900-00-00-1
297. SE Missouri St (2-8)63.0650-00-00-1
325. Tennessee St (0-10)51.6860-00-00-2


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 71.457


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
52. Troy St (8-2)84.3070-10-00-0
89. Mercer (9-1)80.2030-00-01-0
135. Central Florida (6-4)76.9310-00-00-2
137. Jacksonville St (7-3)76.8810-00-00-1
170. Belmont (7-3)74.9030-00-00-0
172. Samford (6-4)74.7950-00-00-1
217. Jacksonville (4-6)71.3980-00-00-1
233. Georgia St (4-6)70.2350-00-00-2
286. Stetson (3-7)64.7550-00-00-1
292. Gardner-Webb (2-8)64.1060-00-00-1
296. Fla Atlantic (2-8)63.1170-00-00-1
320. Campbell (1-9)55.8570-00-00-1


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 70.939


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
33. Pennsylvania (9-1)86.3620-10-00-0
82. Brown (8-2)80.8950-00-00-2
156. Princeton (6-4)75.6680-00-00-2
175. Yale (6-4)74.1880-00-00-2
260. Dartmouth (4-6)67.8870-00-00-1
282. Cornell (2-8)65.6680-00-00-2
309. Harvard (2-8)61.2050-00-00-1
321. Columbia (0-10)55.6390-00-00-2


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 70.785


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
76. Iupui (8-2)81.5460-10-01-1
112. Valparaiso (8-2)78.3410-00-00-0
162. Oakland (8-2)75.4230-00-00-1
165. Mo Kansas City (6-4)75.3170-00-01-2
235. Oral Roberts (5-5)70.0150-00-01-1
259. Southern Utah (3-7)67.9040-00-00-1
307. Western Ill (1-9)61.6300-00-00-1
319. Chicago St (0-10)56.1030-00-00-2


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 69.217


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
57. Holy Cross (9-1)83.8440-10-00-0
127. American (7-3)77.1820-00-00-2
210. Colgate (6-4)71.9090-00-00-1
242. Bucknell (4-6)69.4160-00-00-3
253. Lafayette (5-5)68.6010-00-00-1
284. Lehigh (3-7)65.4990-00-00-2
293. Navy (3-7)63.9600-00-00-1
323. Army (0-10)53.3250-00-00-2


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 69.055


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
198. Winthrop (7-3)72.9070-00-00-0
200. Elon (6-4)72.5990-00-00-0
211. Birmingham Southern (7-3)71.8200-00-00-0
227. NC Asheville (5-5)70.8810-10-00-0
231. Radford (5-5)70.2890-00-00-0
256. Coast Carolina (4-6)68.3690-00-00-0
269. Liberty (5-5)67.2000-00-00-0
290. Charleston Sou (3-7)64.2630-00-00-0
295. High Point (2-8)63.1650-00-00-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 68.893


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
125. Sam Houston (8-2)77.3970-10-00-0
159. Stephen Austin (7-3)75.6030-00-00-0
177. Texas Arlington (7-3)74.0590-00-00-0
204. Ul Monroe (5-5)72.3770-00-00-0
219. SE Louisiana (5-5)71.2640-00-00-0
237. McNeese St (5-5)69.9120-00-00-0
254. Lamar (5-5)68.4520-00-00-0
274. SW Texas St (4-6)66.4380-00-00-0
277. Tex San Antonio (4-6)66.0340-00-00-0
287. Northwestern St (3-7)64.7180-00-00-0
326. Nicholls St (0-10)51.5750-00-00-0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 68.367


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
121. Vermont (7-3)77.8390-10-00-0
155. Boston U (7-3)75.7080-00-00-0
203. Maine (6-4)72.4860-00-00-0
205. Hartford (6-4)72.3320-00-00-0
236. Binghamton (4-6)69.9970-00-00-0
239. Northeastern (5-5)69.7980-00-00-0
262. Stony Brook (4-6)67.8220-00-00-0
299. New Hampshire (2-8)62.8660-00-00-0
304. Albany NY (2-8)62.3040-00-00-0
324. Towson (0-10)52.5150-00-00-1


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 68.264


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
161. St Francis NY (8-2)75.4610-00-00-0
223. Wagner (7-3)70.9560-10-00-0
248. Fair Dickinson (5-5)68.8240-00-00-0
252. St Francis PA (5-5)68.6910-00-00-0
263. Central Conn (5-5)67.7990-00-00-0
271. Monmouth NJ (5-5)66.7060-00-00-0
280. Robert Morris (4-6)65.7750-00-00-0
283. Liu Brooklyn (3-7)65.5390-00-00-0
288. Mt St Marys (4-6)64.6260-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 64.833


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
220. Miss Valley St (8-2)71.1590-00-00-0
247. Alcorn St (6-4)68.8700-00-00-0
257. Prairie View (7-3)67.9940-00-00-0
264. Jackson St (6-4)67.5340-00-00-0
291. Texas Southern (5-5)64.2130-00-00-0
298. Grambling (4-6)62.9350-00-00-0
300. Ark Pine Bluff (4-6)62.7280-00-00-0
305. Alabama St (4-6)62.2350-00-00-0
310. Alabama A&M (3-7)60.7880-00-00-0
312. Southern (3-7)59.8700-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 63.503


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
243. Texas A&M-CC (5-5)69.3480-00-00-0
268. Centenary (5-5)67.2530-00-10-0
303. Lipscomb (4-6)62.3600-00-00-0
306. TX Pan American (4-6)62.1450-00-00-1
318. Morris Brown (3-7)56.4120-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 63.068


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
215. SO Carolina St (7-3)71.4540-10-00-0
238. Hampton (7-3)69.8590-00-00-0
255. Florida A&M (7-3)68.4070-00-00-0
267. Delaware St (7-3)67.3990-00-00-0
275. Howard (6-4)66.3940-00-00-0
301. Coppin St (5-5)62.7230-00-00-0
302. Norfolk St (5-5)62.5990-00-00-0
314. MD Eastrn Shore (3-7)58.3890-00-00-0
315. Bethune Cookman (3-7)58.3590-00-00-0
316. Morgan St (3-7)57.2180-00-00-0
327. NO Carolina A&T (1-9)50.9480-00-00-1
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