NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Home Advantage

By division
Last Updated Mon Dec 08 11:52:02 EST 2003

Home Advantage = 3.9564

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Colorado (20-12)17.716
2. Delaware St (15-12)17.267
3. New Orleans (13-14)15.875
4. Hawaii (18-11)15.421
5. Illinois (25-7)14.901
6. SO Mississippi (13-16)14.365
7. Wright St (9-18)14.228
8. Oral Roberts (17-10)14.156
9. Wisc Milwaukee (23-8)14.009
10. Minnesota (16-14)13.623

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Lipscomb (6-20)13.516
12. Alabama (17-12)13.328
13. Purdue (19-11)12.875
14. Campbell (4-22)12.825
15. South Florida (14-14)12.783
16. Nebraska (11-18)12.704
17. Wisc Green Bay (9-19)12.459
18. Sam Houston (21-7)12.423
19. IPFW (9-20)12.325
20. Youngstown St (7-20)12.141

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Loyola Chi (15-16)12.070
22. Duke (25-7)12.007
23. Penn St (7-21)11.899
24. Jacksonville (12-16)11.155
25. Georgia Tech (14-14)11.109
26. Jackson St (10-18)11.034
27. American (16-14)10.942
28. Wake Forest (25-6)10.915
29. South Carolina (12-16)10.898
30. Long Beach St (4-22)10.878

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. NC Charlotte (13-16)10.864
32. Washington St (7-20)10.738
33. Western KY (23-9)10.638
34. Marshall (13-15)10.592
35. Hartford (15-13)10.416
36. Wisconsin (24-8)10.289
37. TX Pan American (6-20)10.014
38. Eastern Mich (12-14)9.9587
39. Weber St (25-5)9.9408
40. Tennessee Tech (17-12)9.8714

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Texas (26-7)9.8450
42. SW Texas St (15-12)9.7143
43. Pittsburgh (28-5)9.7101
44. Valparaiso (20-10)9.6715
45. Missouri (21-11)9.6320
46. Texas A&M (14-14)9.6261
47. Buffalo (5-23)9.6049
48. Eastern Ill (13-15)9.5098
49. Navy (7-19)9.3753
50. Austin Peay (20-8)9.3002

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Portland St (4-21)9.2846
52. Indiana (21-13)9.2689
53. Florida St (14-15)9.2104
54. Southern Ill (24-6)9.1825
55. Creighton (29-5)9.1311
56. Stephen Austin (19-8)9.0580
57. Georgia (19-8)8.9972
58. Kansas St (13-17)8.9598
59. Tulane (15-15)8.9040
60. Iona (17-12)8.9004

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Fair Dickinson (15-14)8.8420
62. Binghamton (14-13)8.6879
63. Maine (12-16)8.5778
64. Dayton (24-6)8.3458
65. New Mexico (9-18)8.2924
66. Wagner (21-11)8.2184
67. DePaul (16-12)8.1309
68. Cincinnati (17-12)8.1127
69. Arkansas Lr (16-12)8.1053
70. Clemson (15-13)8.0573

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Pacific (12-16)8.0547
72. Rice (17-10)8.0402
73. Grambling (10-18)7.9601
74. Iowa St (15-13)7.7846
75. Santa Barbara (18-13)7.7163
76. Evansville (12-16)7.6144
77. Lamar (12-14)7.5580
78. Florida (25-8)7.5474
79. Northern Iowa (10-17)7.5424
80. Morgan St (7-22)7.5404

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. St Francis NY (14-16)7.5320
82. Arkansas (9-19)7.4942
83. BYU (23-9)7.4408
84. Maryland (21-10)7.3450
85. Murray St (15-12)7.2044
86. Vanderbilt (11-18)7.2010
87. Butler (26-6)7.1741
88. Oregon (23-10)7.1237
89. LSU (21-11)7.1105
90. Michigan (17-13)7.0725

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Villanova (15-15)7.0380
92. California (22-9)7.0084
93. Idaho St (13-14)6.9647
94. Lehigh (14-12)6.9200
95. Oakland (15-11)6.8483
96. Centenary (10-14)6.7377
97. NC Asheville (14-17)6.6670
98. Miami Fla (11-17)6.5993
99. Seton Hall (17-12)6.5760
100. Virginia (14-15)6.5518

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Utah (24-8)6.5052
102. St Louis (16-13)6.4894
103. Air Force (12-16)6.4236
104. Richmond (15-13)6.4140
105. Fresno St (20-8)6.4018
106. Northrn Arizona (13-13)6.3971
107. Miami Ohio (12-15)6.3549
108. Toledo (13-16)6.3195
109. Towson (4-24)6.1986
110. NC Greensboro (6-22)6.1976

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Samford (12-15)6.1908
112. Denver (17-15)6.1777
113. Westrn Carolina (6-18)6.1627
114. Syracuse (30-5)6.1283
115. Indiana St (7-24)6.0580
116. South Alabama (12-14)5.9184
117. Western Mich (19-10)5.9088
118. North Carolina St (18-13)5.8132
119. Oklahoma (27-7)5.7377
120. Virginia Tech (11-18)5.7176

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. SMU (17-13)5.5576
122. Texas Southern (18-13)5.5125
123. Umbc (7-20)5.4780
124. Michigan St (22-13)5.4762
125. Holy Cross (25-5)5.4162
126. Liberty (14-15)5.4018
127. Washington (10-17)5.3705
128. Jacksonville St (19-10)5.3505
129. Loyola Marymnt (11-19)5.0285
130. Massachusetts (10-18)5.0232

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Houston (8-20)4.9393
132. Tennessee (17-11)4.9288
133. Vermont (19-11)4.9072
134. North Carolina (17-15)4.8926
135. Cleveland St (8-22)4.7984
136. Stetson (6-20)4.7929
137. Ball St (13-17)4.7670
138. Arkansas St (11-15)4.7310
139. Montana (12-16)4.6244
140. McNeese St (13-14)4.5814

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. George Mason (16-12)4.5757
142. Louisiana Tech (10-15)4.5681
143. Notre Dame (24-10)4.5459
144. Southern Utah (9-17)4.5252
145. Lafayette (11-16)4.5205
146. Appalachian St (16-10)4.5143
147. Morehead St (17-9)4.5033
148. Louisville (25-7)4.4866
149. Old Dominion (12-15)4.4486
150. Kansas (28-8)4.4319

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Nevada (17-13)4.4293
152. Oklahoma St (21-10)4.4027
153. Loyola MD (4-24)4.3326
154. New Mexico St (19-9)4.2971
155. Alabama St (13-15)4.2514
156. Providence (16-13)4.1944
157. Arizona St (19-12)4.1537
158. Stony Brook (11-15)4.1055
159. Alcorn St (14-19)4.0743
160. Detroit (17-12)4.0530

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Western Ill (5-21)3.9592
162. Utah St (22-9)3.8913
163. Southern (7-20)3.8393
164. SE Missouri St (9-19)3.8273
165. St Josephs (23-7)3.7946
166. Rutgers (12-16)3.7768
167. TCU (9-19)3.7611
168. Davidson (14-10)3.7556
169. Army (3-22)3.6942
170. Tulsa (23-10)3.6244

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Temple (15-15)3.5723
172. Texas El Paso (5-24)3.5598
173. La Salle (12-17)3.5549
174. Gardner-Webb (4-24)3.4564
175. Geo Washington (12-17)3.1778
176. SE Louisiana (9-16)3.1596
177. Birmingham Southern (17-9)3.1518
178. East Carolina (10-15)3.0640
179. Xavier (26-6)3.0235
180. Radford (10-20)2.9994

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Norfolk St (14-15)2.9905
182. Mt St Marys (11-16)2.9760
183. St Peters (10-19)2.9578
184. Savannah St (3-24)2.9408
185. NC Wilmington (24-7)2.9001
186. VA Commonwealth (18-10)2.8825
187. Northwestern (12-17)2.8354
188. Hofstra (8-21)2.7699
189. San Jose St (5-21)2.7689
190. Central Conn (15-13)2.7486

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Ul Lafayette (19-9)2.6700
192. James Madison (12-17)2.6576
193. Alabama A&M (7-19)2.6439
194. Marquette (27-6)2.6182
195. Akron (13-14)2.6127
196. Bradley (11-18)2.5863
197. Prairie View (17-12)2.5337
198. San Diego St (14-13)2.4721
199. Rhode Island (18-11)2.4671
200. Mississippi St (21-10)2.4486

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Memphis (23-7)2.4308
202. CS Fullerton (10-19)2.4234
203. Boise St (12-16)2.4216
204. Kentucky (32-4)2.4191
205. Eastern Wash (17-12)2.4133
206. Illinois Chi (21-8)2.4027
207. MD Eastrn Shore (5-23)2.3422
208. Charleston Sou (12-14)2.1794
209. Furman (11-17)2.1317
210. CS Northridge (13-15)2.1117

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Texas A&M-CC (11-15)1.9423
212. Mississippi (14-15)1.9066
213. Stanford (24-9)1.8529
214. Texas Tech (19-13)1.8419
215. Albany NY (7-21)1.8147
216. Colgate (12-14)1.7966
217. Troy St (25-6)1.7533
218. Coast Carolina (11-15)1.7143
219. Sacred Heart (7-21)1.7123
220. Nicholls St (2-25)1.6596

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Canisius (10-18)1.6575
222. Baylor (14-14)1.6283
223. Fla Atlantic (6-21)1.5988
224. West Virginia (14-15)1.5950
225. Colorado St (17-13)1.5770
226. Wyoming (19-10)1.5528
227. Tenn Martin (10-14)1.5346
228. Chattanooga (19-9)1.5160
229. Northeastern (14-15)1.5054
230. Robert Morris (9-17)1.4408

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Ohio (14-16)1.1772
232. St Bonaventure (13-14)1.1251
233. Drake (8-20)1.0702
234. Iupui (19-14)1.0264
235. Wofford (10-15)1.0157
236. Wichita St (18-11)0.9276
237. Geo Southern (13-13)0.8981
238. Central Mich (24-7)0.8240
239. Rider (12-16)0.8225
240. Bowling Green (11-16)0.7910

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Brown (17-11)0.7663
242. Duquesne (9-21)0.7460
243. San Francisco (14-14)0.7367
244. William & Mary (12-16)0.7131
245. Morris Brown (6-20)0.6847
246. Gonzaga (24-9)0.6647
247. Niagara (17-12)0.5755
248. St Francis PA (14-14)0.5726
249. Quinnipiac (16-12)0.5571
250. High Point (7-20)0.5047

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Chicago St (3-27)0.4808
252. Illinois St (8-21)0.4231
253. Iowa (15-13)0.3985
254. Bucknell (13-15)0.3471
255. Ohio St (17-14)0.3189
256. Eastern KY (7-17)0.3158
257. UC Irvine (19-9)0.1908
258. Pennsylvania (22-6)0.0596
259. Montana St (9-16)0.0134
260. Santa Clara (12-15)-2.315

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Unlv (21-10)-0.031
262. Connecticut (23-10)-0.062
263. Ul Monroe (11-16)-0.106
264. Portland (10-17)-0.319
265. The Citadel (4-20)-0.330
266. VMI (8-19)-0.409
267. Florida A&M (17-12)-0.412
268. Fordham (2-26)-0.434
269. SO Carolina St (20-11)-0.481
270. Arizona (28-4)-0.580

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. UC Riverside (5-18)-0.645
272. Sacramento St (11-17)-0.688
273. Idaho (12-15)-0.751
274. Georgia St (13-15)-0.871
275. USC (13-17)-0.873
276. Central Florida (20-11)-1.059
277. Columbia (2-25)-1.111
278. Auburn (21-12)-1.211
279. Mercer (22-6)-1.227
280. Delaware (15-14)-1.254

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Belmont (16-12)-1.473
282. Winthrop (18-10)-1.486
283. Georgetown (16-15)-1.559
284. Coppin St (11-17)-1.583
285. Pepperdine (15-13)-1.588
286. Harvard (11-15)-1.662
287. Hampton (19-11)-1.678
288. Miss Valley St (14-13)-1.740
289. East Tenn St (17-11)-1.867
290. Cornell (8-18)-1.918

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Ark Pine Bluff (4-24)-2.090
292. San Diego (17-12)-2.141
293. Siena (19-10)-2.156
294. St Marys CA (14-15)-2.371
295. Marist (13-16)-2.379
296. Bethune Cookman (8-22)-2.396
297. Boston U (20-10)-2.426
298. Texas Arlington (14-13)-2.443
299. Monmouth NJ (15-13)-2.539
300. New Hampshire (5-23)-2.822

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Middle Tenn St (14-14)-2.861
302. SW Missouri St (17-12)-3.368
303. Oregon St (12-15)-3.426
304. Uab (18-12)-3.442
305. Manhattan (23-7)-3.574
306. Tex San Antonio (9-17)-3.757
307. Kent (20-9)-3.887
308. Coll Of Charltn (22-7)-3.926
309. Mo Kansas City (9-20)-4.381
310. Elon (10-15)-4.473

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Cal Poly (15-14)-4.618
312. Northern Ill (17-14)-4.848
313. Dartmouth (7-19)-4.996
314. Howard (13-17)-5.067
315. Drexel (18-11)-5.170
316. Florida Intl (7-21)-5.239
317. Northwestern St (6-21)-5.309
318. Yale (13-13)-5.486
319. Liu Brooklyn (9-19)-5.568
320. North Texas (5-21)-5.645

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Boston College (18-11)-5.681
322. Princeton (15-11)-6.325
323. NO Carolina A&T (1-25)-6.382
324. Fairfield (19-11)-6.505
325. St Johns (18-13)-6.604
326. UCLA (10-19)-7.218
327. Tennessee St (1-24)-7.324
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