NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

Recent Articles:
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains
NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2)
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Spreading the Nerd Word
Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI Neutral

By ranking
Last Updated Mon Dec 08 11:52:12 EST 2003


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5957


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Syracuse (7-2)0.70524-11-12-0
4. Connecticut (4-2)0.70023-21-00-0
5. Pittsburgh (5-1)0.69291-12-02-0
6. Notre Dame (6-2)0.69282-22-01-0
9. St Johns (2-0)0.68550-01-01-0
56. Providence (1-1)0.59880-10-00-0
74. Georgetown (2-2)0.57530-10-02-1
83. West Virginia (3-1)0.56681-00-00-1
95. Virginia Tech (2-1)0.55180-00-01-0
114. Seton Hall (1-2)0.53670-20-00-0
117. Villanova (2-5)0.53310-11-10-3
129. Rutgers (0-0)0.51880-00-00-0
131. Boston College (0-3)0.51400-10-00-2
178. Miami Fla (0-2)0.46770-10-10-0


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5871


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
17. Oklahoma (7-3)0.66241-15-20-0
26. Kansas (8-5)0.64173-32-12-1
27. Texas (7-3)0.64172-23-10-0
33. Oklahoma St (3-3)0.63651-21-01-1
35. Missouri (4-3)0.62882-30-00-0
61. Colorado (3-2)0.59330-10-11-0
66. Iowa St (1-1)0.59100-10-01-0
67. Texas Tech (3-3)0.58661-10-01-2
110. Texas A&M (2-2)0.53880-01-00-1
128. Baylor (2-1)0.51890-00-10-0
132. Nebraska (2-2)0.51380-10-00-0
154. Kansas St (1-3)0.49140-10-11-0


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Georgia (2-1)0.68530-12-00-0
11. Mississippi St (5-2)0.67712-11-10-0
12. Kentucky (10-2)0.67242-15-01-1
15. Auburn (5-3)0.66911-21-02-1
21. Vanderbilt (1-1)0.65120-11-00-0
80. Alabama (3-2)0.57041-00-11-1
87. Florida (3-4)0.56011-10-21-0
99. LSU (3-3)0.54881-00-20-1
109. Mississippi (1-1)0.53900-00-11-0
156. Arkansas (0-2)0.49040-10-10-0
184. Tennessee (1-1)0.46030-00-10-0
280. South Carolina (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Colorado St (2-0)0.74351-00-01-0
71. Unlv (0-0)0.57800-00-00-0
77. Utah (3-3)0.57390-11-20-0
97. Wyoming (3-2)0.54950-01-00-2
102. BYU (4-3)0.54470-20-00-1
119. San Diego St (0-0)0.52980-00-00-0
186. Air Force (0-2)0.45760-10-00-1
300. New Mexico (0-1)NaN 0-10-00-0


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
22. Arizona St (3-3)0.64881-22-10-0
43. USC (2-2)0.61581-11-10-0
44. Arizona (3-2)0.61581-11-00-0
46. Oregon (4-2)0.61261-11-10-0
47. UCLA (1-2)0.61241-10-10-0
70. Stanford (3-3)0.57891-11-01-1
108. California (2-4)0.54080-30-01-0
151. Washington (0-0)0.49460-00-00-0
269. Oregon St (0-1)NaN 0-00-10-0
315. Washington St (1-0)NaN 0-00-00-0


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5672


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
20. North Carolina (3-2)0.65172-11-00-0
39. Duke (7-1)0.62520-11-04-0
50. Virginia (1-2)0.60711-10-10-0
65. North Carolina St (2-3)0.59111-10-21-0
79. Maryland (3-4)0.57091-10-21-1
90. Wake Forest (2-2)0.55900-00-11-1
107. Florida St (1-2)0.54170-10-00-0
127. Georgia Tech (1-1)0.52160-00-00-1
203. Clemson (1-1)0.43610-00-00-1


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
24. Illinois (8-1)0.64761-11-03-0
30. Indiana (8-3)0.63880-34-02-0
31. Wisconsin (2-2)0.63760-11-01-1
52. Ohio St (3-3)0.60361-21-10-0
59. Michigan St (5-5)0.59481-33-00-2
81. Purdue (2-4)0.56961-11-30-0
84. Northwestern (1-2)0.56600-20-01-0
241. Minnesota (0-3)0.37410-00-10-1
246. Michigan (0-4)0.35460-00-10-0
267. Iowa (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1
304. Penn St (0-1)NaN 0-00-10-0


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
16. Temple (2-1)0.66271-10-01-0
54. St Josephs (4-1)0.60260-00-12-0
105. St Bonaventure (2-2)0.54210-10-01-1
106. Xavier (2-3)0.54170-00-21-1
134. Geo Washington (0-3)0.51240-20-10-0
170. Massachusetts (0-2)0.47890-10-10-0
182. Duquesne (1-2)0.46190-00-00-1
218. Fordham (0-0)0.41380-00-00-0
236. Richmond (0-2)0.37840-00-00-1
264. Dayton (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1
272. Rhode Island (1-0)NaN 0-00-00-0
287. La Salle (0-2)NaN 0-00-20-0


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Marquette (5-2)0.69283-10-02-1
28. Memphis (2-1)0.64111-00-10-0
37. Uab (5-0)0.62751-00-02-0
48. South Florida (1-1)0.60770-00-11-0
76. Louisville (1-2)0.57460-00-21-0
92. St Louis (2-1)0.55410-00-00-1
100. Cincinnati (2-2)0.54660-01-10-0
149. Tulane (1-1)0.49570-00-10-0
158. SO Mississippi (2-2)0.48940-01-00-1
173. TCU (0-0)0.47680-00-00-0
193. Houston (1-2)0.44740-00-00-0
268. DePaul (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
281. East Carolina (1-0)NaN 0-00-00-0
282. NC Charlotte (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
40. St Marys CA (3-1)0.62190-00-11-0
53. Gonzaga (4-5)0.60361-41-11-0
78. Pepperdine (3-1)0.57370-00-01-0
152. Loyola Marymnt (3-4)0.49420-00-00-2
265. San Diego (0-1)NaN 0-10-00-0
276. San Francisco (1-0)NaN 0-00-00-0
283. Santa Clara (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
294. Portland (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
60. Manhattan (4-2)0.59370-10-01-0
62. Niagara (2-1)0.59270-00-00-1
64. Fairfield (3-1)0.59230-00-00-1
111. Siena (2-1)0.53860-00-00-1
145. Iona (3-2)0.50400-00-01-1
161. Marist (2-2)0.48600-00-00-1
204. Canisius (1-1)0.43550-00-00-0
223. St Peters (1-5)0.40170-00-00-2
258. Loyola MD (0-2)0.30400-00-00-0
291. Rider (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
42. Delaware (2-1)0.61580-00-00-1
57. NC Wilmington (3-1)0.59850-00-11-0
72. Drexel (2-2)0.57650-00-10-1
144. VA Commonwealth (1-1)0.50470-00-00-1
174. Hofstra (1-2)0.47180-00-00-1
228. James Madison (1-3)0.39480-00-00-0
262. Towson (0-2)0.25470-00-00-0
270. George Mason (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
285. Old Dominion (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1
293. William & Mary (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5187


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
13. Central Mich (4-1)0.67241-10-01-0
32. Northern Ill (2-1)0.63690-00-11-0
41. Kent (3-1)0.61960-01-10-0
49. Ball St (2-1)0.60750-00-10-0
93. Ohio (1-2)0.55350-10-00-1
133. Eastern Mich (1-1)0.51270-00-00-0
142. Western Mich (1-2)0.50500-00-00-0
163. Akron (0-0)0.48560-00-00-0
165. Bowling Green (1-2)0.48300-00-20-0
176. Toledo (1-2)0.47080-10-00-0
222. Marshall (0-2)0.41020-00-00-1
225. Buffalo (0-0)0.39760-00-00-0
230. Miami Ohio (0-2)0.38800-00-10-0


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
19. Creighton (5-1)0.65861-01-10-0
58. Southern Ill (2-1)0.59760-10-00-0
82. SW Missouri St (1-1)0.56740-00-10-0
85. Wichita St (1-1)0.56480-10-00-0
135. Indiana St (2-3)0.51230-10-10-0
137. Illinois St (1-1)0.50960-00-10-0
167. Bradley (2-1)0.48040-00-00-0
169. Drake (1-2)0.47990-00-00-1
301. Evansville (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
308. Northern Iowa (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
29. Nevada (2-0)0.63990-00-00-0
36. Tulsa (3-1)0.62811-10-00-0
96. Fresno St (0-0)0.55070-00-00-0
160. SMU (2-1)0.48690-00-00-1
275. Rice (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1
286. Louisiana Tech (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1
289. Boise St (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
305. Hawaii (1-0)NaN 0-00-01-0
316. San Jose St (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
320. Texas El Paso (1-0)NaN 0-00-00-0


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Yale (3-0)0.74020-00-02-0
8. Princeton (2-0)0.68860-00-02-0
63. Pennsylvania (2-1)0.59250-10-01-0
220. Cornell (0-0)0.41290-00-00-0
229. Brown (0-2)0.39350-00-00-0
251. Columbia (0-3)0.34880-00-00-1
279. Harvard (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
309. Dartmouth (1-0)NaN 0-00-00-0


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
23. Middle Tenn St (3-0)0.64860-00-00-0
55. North Texas (1-1)0.60180-01-00-0
73. Western KY (3-2)0.57530-11-10-0
113. New Mexico St (2-1)0.53680-00-00-1
116. Ul Lafayette (2-2)0.53380-00-10-0
136. Denver (5-3)0.50980-00-11-0
153. South Alabama (1-1)0.49370-00-00-0
179. Arkansas Lr (3-2)0.46670-00-00-0
191. Arkansas St (1-1)0.45030-00-00-0
202. New Orleans (1-1)0.43780-00-00-0
306. Florida Intl (1-0)NaN 0-00-00-0


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
118. Eastern Wash (2-2)0.53250-00-00-1
126. Montana St (1-1)0.52260-00-00-1
138. Weber St (4-2)0.50920-10-00-0
157. Idaho St (3-2)0.48980-00-00-0
240. Northrn Arizona (1-2)0.37450-00-00-0
245. Montana (0-4)0.35850-00-10-0
296. Sacramento St (1-0)NaN 0-00-00-0
324. Portland St (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


HORIZON AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
14. Butler (5-1)0.67131-11-01-0
112. Detroit (2-2)0.53770-00-10-1
147. Wisc Green Bay (1-1)0.49710-00-00-0
180. Wisc Milwaukee (2-2)0.46290-10-00-0
206. Loyola Chi (0-3)0.43270-00-10-1
247. Cleveland St (1-2)0.35380-00-00-0
266. Illinois Chi (1-0)NaN 0-00-00-0
322. Wright St (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1
323. Youngstown St (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
18. East Tenn St (4-1)0.66010-10-01-0
34. Coll Of Charltn (5-1)0.63241-00-02-0
104. Chattanooga (2-1)0.54260-00-00-0
124. VMI (3-2)0.52570-00-00-0
150. Geo Southern (1-1)0.49500-00-00-1
185. Appalachian St (1-1)0.46020-00-00-0
189. Furman (1-2)0.45500-10-00-0
199. Wofford (1-1)0.44070-00-00-0
273. Davidson (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
312. The Citadel (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
317. Westrn Carolina (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
318. NC Greensboro (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
45. Utah St (5-1)0.61460-10-00-0
55. North Texas (1-1)0.60180-01-00-0
115. Cal Poly (3-2)0.53550-00-00-1
121. CS Northridge (1-1)0.52940-00-00-0
139. UC Irvine (1-2)0.50750-00-00-2
195. Santa Barbara (2-5)0.44710-00-10-0
219. UC Riverside (0-0)0.41380-00-00-0
231. Long Beach St (0-0)0.38720-00-00-0
232. CS Fullerton (0-3)0.38400-00-00-1
295. Idaho (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
310. Pacific (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
68. Central Florida (3-1)0.58290-00-00-1
75. Troy St (4-2)0.57500-10-10-0
101. Belmont (2-1)0.54480-00-00-0
125. Fla Atlantic (2-0)0.52270-00-00-0
148. Jacksonville St (2-2)0.49590-00-00-0
221. Georgia St (0-2)0.41120-00-10-0
224. Gardner-Webb (0-3)0.39830-00-00-1
226. Jacksonville (1-4)0.39750-00-00-0
252. Stetson (1-1)0.34800-00-00-0
271. Mercer (1-0)NaN 0-00-00-0
298. Samford (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1
327. Campbell (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
25. Austin Peay (3-1)0.64490-10-00-0
91. Tennessee Tech (2-2)0.55730-00-00-2
146. SE Missouri St (1-1)0.49900-01-00-0
183. Tenn Martin (0-0)0.46050-00-00-0
212. Eastern KY (0-0)0.42320-00-00-0
249. Tennessee St (0-0)0.34970-00-00-0
274. Morehead St (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
284. Murray St (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1
292. Eastern Ill (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
38. NC Asheville (2-1)0.62580-10-00-0
166. Birmingham Southern (0-0)0.48280-00-00-0
188. Elon (0-0)0.45560-00-00-0
196. Coast Carolina (0-0)0.44680-00-00-0
197. Liberty (0-0)0.44540-00-00-0
214. Radford (0-0)0.41960-00-00-0
217. High Point (1-2)0.41830-00-00-0
233. Winthrop (0-3)0.38120-00-00-0
302. Charleston Sou (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
122. Stephen Austin (0-0)0.52880-00-00-0
164. McNeese St (0-0)0.48400-00-00-0
172. SW Texas St (0-0)0.47780-00-00-0
190. Lamar (0-0)0.45440-00-00-0
192. SE Louisiana (0-0)0.44880-00-00-0
201. Ul Monroe (0-0)0.43920-00-00-0
205. Sam Houston (0-2)0.43450-10-00-0
227. Northwestern St (0-0)0.39640-00-00-0
244. Nicholls St (0-0)0.36140-00-00-0
278. Texas Arlington (1-0)NaN 0-00-00-0
297. Tex San Antonio (1-0)NaN 0-00-00-0


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
51. St Francis NY (3-0)0.60580-00-00-0
171. Fair Dickinson (1-1)0.47850-00-00-0
194. Central Conn (1-2)0.44720-00-00-0
207. Monmouth NJ (0-2)0.43090-00-00-1
216. Robert Morris (0-0)0.41840-00-00-0
277. Wagner (0-1)NaN 0-10-00-0
290. St Francis PA (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
299. Liu Brooklyn (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
319. Mt St Marys (1-0)NaN 0-00-00-0


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4544


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
86. Iupui (4-3)0.56060-20-01-0
130. Southern Utah (1-1)0.51460-00-00-0
175. Oakland (1-1)0.47170-00-00-0
177. Mo Kansas City (1-4)0.46960-10-00-1
181. Valparaiso (2-2)0.46250-10-00-0
210. Chicago St (1-3)0.42820-00-00-2
238. Western Ill (0-2)0.37590-00-00-0
248. Oral Roberts (1-2)0.35180-00-00-0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
69. Boston U (3-0)0.57940-00-01-0
140. Northeastern (3-3)0.50730-00-00-2
141. Vermont (3-3)0.50600-10-00-1
168. Hartford (1-3)0.48040-00-00-1
187. Maine (1-4)0.45660-00-20-0
256. New Hampshire (0-2)0.32020-00-00-0
262. Towson (0-2)0.25470-00-00-0
311. Stony Brook (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
313. Binghamton (1-0)NaN 0-00-00-0
314. Albany NY (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
89. American (2-0)0.55900-00-00-0
94. Holy Cross (4-2)0.55350-11-00-0
123. Bucknell (3-2)0.52590-00-00-1
155. Lafayette (1-1)0.49140-00-00-0
215. Lehigh (1-1)0.41850-00-00-0
257. Colgate (0-2)0.30920-00-00-0
321. Navy (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
325. Army (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-1


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
98. Howard (3-1)0.54930-00-00-0
103. SO Carolina St (3-2)0.54410-10-00-0
120. Hampton (2-1)0.52980-00-00-0
159. Florida A&M (1-1)0.48880-00-00-0
198. Bethune Cookman (1-1)0.44160-00-00-0
200. Norfolk St (2-1)0.43980-00-00-0
211. NO Carolina A&T (0-2)0.42820-10-00-0
242. Coppin St (0-2)0.36940-00-00-0
260. Morgan St (0-2)0.29620-00-00-0
307. Delaware St (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0
326. MD Eastrn Shore (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
162. Texas Southern (3-2)0.48560-00-00-0
209. Alcorn St (2-4)0.42870-00-00-0
213. Jackson St (0-0)0.42210-00-00-0
235. Miss Valley St (0-2)0.37860-00-00-1
237. Ark Pine Bluff (0-0)0.37780-00-00-0
239. Alabama A&M (0-0)0.37500-00-00-0
243. Grambling (0-2)0.36300-00-00-0
250. Southern (0-0)0.34910-00-00-0
254. Alabama St (0-2)0.33380-00-00-0
288. Prairie View (0-1)NaN 0-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
143. Morris Brown (1-1)0.50480-00-10-0
234. TX Pan American (0-7)0.37890-00-10-1
255. Centenary (0-3)0.33030-00-00-0
261. Lipscomb (0-3)0.29560-00-00-0
303. Texas A&M-CC (1-0)NaN 0-00-00-0
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