NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI Non-League

By ranking
Last Updated Mon Dec 08 11:52:22 EST 2003


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5891


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Georgia (8-3)0.64631-14-00-2
11. Alabama (10-2)0.63492-10-12-0
20. Auburn (12-3)0.62271-11-01-2
23. Kentucky (13-4)0.61623-23-11-1
24. Mississippi St (10-2)0.61512-00-11-1
32. Florida (13-3)0.60451-11-12-0
46. LSU (11-2)0.58501-00-10-1
61. Mississippi (9-2)0.56440-00-11-0
69. Vanderbilt (7-4)0.55650-20-11-1
74. South Carolina (7-4)0.55350-00-01-4
79. Arkansas (5-6)0.54960-20-11-2
120. Tennessee (8-3)0.52080-10-01-1


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5849


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Kansas (13-5)0.65003-32-14-1
7. Texas (13-3)0.64832-33-00-0
8. Oklahoma (12-3)0.64691-13-20-0
18. Missouri (9-3)0.62520-31-02-0
22. Oklahoma St (11-3)0.61911-11-12-1
49. Texas Tech (11-2)0.58150-00-03-2
63. Texas A&M (8-3)0.56130-01-01-0
65. Colorado (10-4)0.56000-10-14-1
83. Iowa St (9-1)0.54700-00-10-0
90. Nebraska (8-4)0.54220-10-11-0
110. Kansas St (9-4)0.52730-10-02-0
136. Baylor (9-2)0.50980-00-00-0


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5696


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
19. Duke (11-2)0.62511-12-04-1
29. Wake Forest (11-2)0.61001-10-13-0
39. North Carolina (10-4)0.59643-20-01-0
48. Florida St (9-2)0.58260-10-00-0
55. Maryland (10-4)0.57481-20-22-0
77. Clemson (10-1)0.55030-01-00-1
85. Virginia (8-4)0.54591-00-21-0
94. Georgia Tech (7-4)0.53901-10-01-2
146. North Carolina St (7-5)0.50180-00-31-1


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5677


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Syracuse (16-1)0.66635-02-13-0
4. Notre Dame (14-3)0.66113-32-03-0
27. Connecticut (11-3)0.61052-20-02-1
40. Pittsburgh (12-2)0.59550-21-03-0
43. St Johns (9-3)0.58771-11-01-2
44. Providence (7-4)0.58640-00-13-1
54. Villanova (7-6)0.57500-21-22-2
59. Boston College (7-4)0.56970-00-12-2
82. Seton Hall (6-5)0.54710-20-00-3
91. West Virginia (9-3)0.54201-00-11-1
105. Georgetown (9-3)0.52970-10-02-1
137. Rutgers (8-4)0.50840-00-11-2
155. Miami Fla (7-4)0.49660-10-02-2
196. Virginia Tech (7-6)0.47200-00-02-2


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5662


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Purdue (9-3)0.63821-21-13-0
16. Wisconsin (12-3)0.62830-33-02-0
28. Indiana (10-4)0.61010-33-04-1
30. Michigan St (11-6)0.60582-42-01-1
36. Illinois (11-2)0.59931-10-13-0
56. Ohio St (7-4)0.57480-31-10-0
92. Minnesota (8-5)0.54111-00-31-1
119. Michigan (7-6)0.52080-10-11-1
121. Iowa (8-3)0.52070-10-01-2
157. Penn St (5-6)0.49630-10-00-3
167. Northwestern (8-3)0.49270-00-00-2


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5621


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Arizona (11-2)0.68723-11-12-0
12. Arizona St (8-4)0.63351-42-01-0
17. Stanford (10-4)0.62712-12-02-2
41. California (8-3)0.59430-30-02-0
47. Oregon (10-2)0.58311-10-11-0
127. USC (5-4)0.51560-11-00-2
129. Washington (5-4)0.51450-00-21-0
148. Oregon St (6-2)0.49990-00-00-0
178. Washington St (5-4)0.48500-00-11-1
181. UCLA (3-6)0.48130-20-01-3


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5544


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Marquette (13-3)0.66215-30-02-0
5. Louisville (11-2)0.65231-02-24-0
21. Cincinnati (8-4)0.61971-21-11-0
33. Memphis (9-3)0.60272-10-11-1
35. DePaul (8-3)0.60010-12-21-0
70. SO Mississippi (7-4)0.55550-00-11-1
76. St Louis (6-5)0.55101-11-10-0
93. South Florida (6-4)0.54100-10-11-1
111. East Carolina (7-2)0.52700-00-00-0
116. Uab (7-3)0.52350-00-20-1
135. TCU (6-6)0.51050-10-11-1
142. NC Charlotte (5-7)0.50690-01-21-3
180. Tulane (6-6)0.48240-10-11-2
260. Houston (2-9)0.42760-00-20-2


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5468


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
26. Utah (12-4)0.61240-14-21-1
34. BYU (11-5)0.60020-31-13-0
57. Unlv (11-3)0.57430-20-03-0
68. Wyoming (11-3)0.55770-11-01-1
106. Colorado St (9-4)0.52900-00-31-0
115. San Diego St (8-4)0.52480-10-12-0
132. Air Force (9-4)0.51110-10-00-1
211. New Mexico (5-7)0.46490-00-20-1


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5320


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
13. St Josephs (10-2)0.63320-02-14-0
25. Xavier (10-4)0.61271-12-31-0
38. Dayton (8-4)0.59811-11-02-2
53. Rhode Island (8-3)0.57690-10-01-1
87. Richmond (6-5)0.54491-10-02-1
126. Geo Washington (6-5)0.51580-20-10-0
128. St Bonaventure (6-7)0.51480-20-22-1
134. La Salle (6-5)0.51060-00-10-2
163. Temple (3-8)0.49330-31-01-4
179. Massachusetts (5-7)0.48310-20-21-1
209. Duquesne (6-7)0.46690-10-10-1
254. Fordham (1-10)0.43350-00-00-5


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5112


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
14. Creighton (11-2)0.63182-10-11-0
58. Southern Ill (6-3)0.57250-01-01-3
67. Evansville (4-5)0.55840-10-13-0
147. Indiana St (4-7)0.50090-00-21-2
160. Illinois St (2-7)0.49490-00-10-4
185. Bradley (3-7)0.48040-00-30-1
188. Wichita St (5-4)0.47900-10-00-1
189. SW Missouri St (4-5)0.47850-00-11-2
212. Drake (3-6)0.46450-00-10-2
235. Northern Iowa (3-5)0.45070-10-00-1


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5050


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
31. Western Mich (8-1)0.60580-01-01-0
50. Kent (6-2)0.58050-01-01-1
51. Central Mich (7-3)0.57981-10-01-2
75. Ball St (5-6)0.55160-20-30-1
98. Ohio (4-5)0.53720-20-01-2
112. Toledo (6-4)0.52630-11-00-0
170. Northern Ill (4-6)0.49170-10-00-3
186. Miami Ohio (1-7)0.48041-10-40-0
192. Akron (4-4)0.47400-00-00-0
220. Bowling Green (2-5)0.45940-00-10-2
221. Eastern Mich (4-3)0.45930-00-00-1
264. Marshall (3-5)0.42420-00-00-0
300. Buffalo (3-6)0.39540-00-01-0


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5050


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
52. Gonzaga (11-6)0.57841-41-22-0
107. Pepperdine (8-5)0.52830-20-11-0
125. St Marys CA (6-6)0.51700-20-01-1
141. Santa Clara (8-4)0.50700-00-11-1
172. San Diego (5-8)0.48960-30-11-1
191. San Francisco (4-8)0.47461-00-20-3
193. Portland (6-6)0.47330-00-20-1
197. Loyola Marymnt (6-8)0.47190-00-00-2


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5016


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
15. Hawaii (8-1)0.63000-01-01-0
42. Tulsa (8-4)0.59181-20-10-0
66. Rice (6-2)0.55930-21-00-0
78. Fresno St (7-3)0.55020-20-00-0
123. Nevada (4-5)0.51900-00-31-1
138. Boise St (5-4)0.50800-00-10-1
140. SMU (5-5)0.50760-10-21-0
243. Louisiana Tech (1-5)0.44470-20-10-0
313. San Jose St (1-6)0.36790-00-00-0
323. Texas El Paso (1-8)0.33740-00-10-0


HORIZON AVERAGE = 0.4971


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
37. Butler (11-3)0.59931-21-02-1
96. Illinois Chi (8-3)0.53760-01-10-0
99. Wisc Milwaukee (8-5)0.53600-30-11-0
124. Detroit (6-4)0.51840-00-01-3
143. Wisc Green Bay (5-6)0.50630-20-11-0
174. Wright St (5-5)0.48800-00-00-1
195. Loyola Chi (5-8)0.47230-00-21-3
222. Cleveland St (5-8)0.45810-00-20-2
317. Youngstown St (2-7)0.35800-00-00-0


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.4926


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
102. Ul Lafayette (7-5)0.53230-01-21-1
103. Western KY (8-7)0.53180-21-10-0
104. South Alabama (5-5)0.53040-20-20-0
117. New Mexico St (9-2)0.52200-01-10-1
145. New Orleans (6-5)0.50300-10-10-1
150. North Texas (3-7)0.49930-01-30-0
156. Arkansas Lr (7-5)0.49650-00-11-2
190. Denver (8-6)0.47470-00-10-2
240. Arkansas St (5-6)0.44550-00-00-1
241. Florida Intl (5-7)0.44480-00-10-1
251. Middle Tenn St (3-8)0.43770-00-20-1


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4794


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
95. Manhattan (6-3)0.53770-21-01-0
144. Siena (6-3)0.50420-10-01-0
151. Fairfield (4-5)0.49890-10-01-2
165. Marist (4-5)0.49290-00-11-1
168. Rider (5-4)0.49240-00-10-0
194. Iona (5-3)0.47280-00-02-1
207. Canisius (4-5)0.46780-20-10-0
208. Niagara (4-5)0.46730-00-01-1
223. St Peters (3-6)0.45760-10-10-0
294. Loyola MD (3-6)0.40290-00-10-0


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.4774


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
88. Weber St (9-5)0.54461-20-01-1
113. Eastern Wash (7-6)0.52600-10-10-1
164. Northrn Arizona (7-4)0.49330-10-00-0
169. Idaho St (5-6)0.49220-10-00-3
204. Montana (5-8)0.46831-00-30-0
210. Montana St (4-7)0.46670-00-00-1
252. Sacramento St (5-7)0.43650-10-00-1
302. Portland St (1-10)0.39140-00-30-0


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.4751


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
71. George Mason (5-4)0.55480-10-20-0
86. NC Wilmington (6-4)0.54530-10-21-1
100. Drexel (4-4)0.53520-00-11-1
130. Delaware (5-4)0.51240-00-11-0
139. VA Commonwealth (5-3)0.50790-00-01-2
225. Old Dominion (3-5)0.45750-10-10-1
256. James Madison (3-6)0.43040-00-00-1
259. William & Mary (5-4)0.42810-00-00-0
280. Hofstra (1-8)0.41460-00-10-2
315. Towson (3-6)0.36450-00-00-1


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4722


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
73. Murray St (5-4)0.55400-00-31-0
114. Austin Peay (4-5)0.52560-21-00-0
153. Tennessee Tech (4-6)0.49680-10-10-3
159. Tenn Martin (3-4)0.49530-00-11-1
162. Eastern Ill (4-7)0.49390-30-00-2
224. Morehead St (3-5)0.45760-00-20-1
227. SE Missouri St (4-7)0.45560-11-10-0
271. Eastern KY (2-5)0.41980-20-00-0
319. Tennessee St (1-8)0.35110-10-00-1


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4664


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
72. Harvard (7-5)0.55440-00-11-2
97. Pennsylvania (8-6)0.53750-10-22-2
133. Yale (5-7)0.51090-30-02-2
166. Princeton (5-7)0.49270-20-02-1
230. Brown (5-9)0.45270-00-00-4
275. Cornell (4-8)0.41680-10-00-1
281. Dartmouth (3-9)0.41400-00-00-1
318. Columbia (2-11)0.35210-00-00-1


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4663


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
60. Coll Of Charltn (8-3)0.56511-00-02-2
84. Chattanooga (6-3)0.54600-01-10-2
118. Davidson (3-4)0.52100-20-01-2
177. Appalachian St (4-4)0.48610-20-01-1
187. East Tenn St (3-6)0.47950-10-00-4
205. NC Greensboro (3-8)0.46820-20-11-0
226. Furman (3-8)0.45600-30-10-0
233. Geo Southern (4-4)0.45100-00-01-1
234. VMI (3-5)0.45090-00-00-2
274. Wofford (1-6)0.41730-00-10-3
301. The Citadel (1-6)0.39250-00-10-1
316. Westrn Carolina (0-7)0.36230-00-00-2


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4662


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
45. Utah St (7-3)0.58571-21-00-0
81. Pacific (5-4)0.54790-01-11-2
89. UC Irvine (5-3)0.54350-20-00-1
150. North Texas (3-7)0.49930-01-30-0
175. CS Northridge (5-4)0.48770-00-21-0
198. Santa Barbara (3-8)0.47140-10-20-0
231. Cal Poly (3-5)0.45190-00-10-0
273. Idaho (3-5)0.41800-00-00-0
298. UC Riverside (0-5)0.39760-00-10-2
306. CS Fullerton (2-8)0.37960-00-00-0
321. Long Beach St (0-8)0.34540-00-10-1


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4559


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
80. Valparaiso (6-7)0.54810-31-31-0
108. Oral Roberts (8-4)0.52820-00-00-2
182. Iupui (6-10)0.48120-30-00-3
202. Oakland (5-6)0.46930-10-00-1
277. Southern Utah (3-7)0.41640-20-00-0
283. Western Ill (2-9)0.41090-10-00-1
285. Chicago St (3-12)0.40860-10-20-1
304. Mo Kansas City (1-12)0.38410-20-10-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4518


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
62. McNeese St (2-3)0.56270-10-21-0
109. Tex San Antonio (2-4)0.52810-10-01-2
158. SW Texas St (3-2)0.49580-00-00-0
173. Stephen Austin (2-3)0.48820-10-00-0
203. Texas Arlington (1-5)0.46910-20-00-0
246. SE Louisiana (0-5)0.44150-10-10-2
249. Sam Houston (2-4)0.44090-10-00-0
253. Lamar (2-4)0.43580-00-00-1
299. Nicholls St (1-6)0.39560-00-20-1
311. Ul Monroe (1-5)0.37020-00-00-1
322. Northwestern St (0-7)0.34150-10-00-0


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 0.4478


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
131. Troy St (8-4)0.51150-10-10-1
152. Belmont (4-7)0.49700-20-10-2
154. Jacksonville St (9-3)0.49670-00-10-0
201. Central Florida (7-5)0.46930-00-01-0
213. Mercer (7-3)0.46390-00-00-2
217. Samford (3-7)0.46130-00-00-2
244. Georgia St (4-6)0.44350-10-20-0
247. Gardner-Webb (2-10)0.44140-00-00-4
269. Jacksonville (4-7)0.42030-00-10-1
276. Fla Atlantic (3-8)0.41670-00-00-1
307. Campbell (3-7)0.37720-00-00-1
309. Stetson (2-8)0.37430-00-10-2


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4449


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
64. Holy Cross (9-4)0.56110-21-00-0
199. American (5-8)0.47050-10-00-4
237. Lehigh (6-5)0.44930-10-00-1
255. Bucknell (5-7)0.43320-10-10-0
257. Lafayette (4-7)0.42940-00-10-2
261. Navy (3-8)0.42750-00-00-1
296. Colgate (3-8)0.39810-10-00-1
303. Army (3-7)0.39030-10-00-0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4408


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
176. Boston U (5-6)0.48700-20-21-0
183. Hartford (4-6)0.48120-20-00-1
200. Vermont (5-6)0.46990-10-00-3
206. Maine (4-7)0.46800-00-20-1
232. Binghamton (5-6)0.45160-10-00-2
238. Northeastern (5-6)0.44610-01-00-3
242. Albany NY (4-7)0.44480-20-00-0
262. Stony Brook (4-5)0.42530-00-20-1
312. New Hampshire (2-9)0.36970-10-00-0
315. Towson (3-6)0.36450-00-00-1


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4391


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
149. NC Asheville (3-9)0.49960-40-10-2
171. Charleston Sou (4-5)0.49140-10-01-3
215. Coast Carolina (4-5)0.46260-10-00-1
236. Elon (2-6)0.44960-20-00-1
239. Birmingham Southern (6-4)0.44580-00-01-2
266. Liberty (5-6)0.42320-00-00-1
287. High Point (4-6)0.40790-10-00-1
290. Winthrop (4-6)0.40510-10-00-0
314. Radford (2-9)0.36690-00-00-2


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4388


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
101. Wagner (10-7)0.53270-20-10-0
218. St Francis PA (8-7)0.46010-10-00-1
219. Central Conn (8-7)0.45990-10-00-1
228. Monmouth NJ (6-7)0.45520-00-10-2
267. Fair Dickinson (7-6)0.42110-00-00-2
286. St Francis NY (5-9)0.40820-00-10-1
289. Mt St Marys (6-8)0.40710-10-00-1
291. Liu Brooklyn (4-10)0.40390-00-00-1
295. Robert Morris (5-8)0.40080-10-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4139


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
122. Florida A&M (5-4)0.52010-20-20-0
161. Delaware St (2-6)0.49430-20-11-0
216. Hampton (3-5)0.46200-00-11-1
248. Howard (2-7)0.44120-00-10-2
258. Coppin St (0-9)0.42920-30-00-2
270. NO Carolina A&T (0-7)0.41990-20-00-2
292. Norfolk St (3-5)0.40330-10-00-2
293. SO Carolina St (2-8)0.40290-20-10-1
308. Bethune Cookman (2-8)0.37630-20-00-2
325. MD Eastrn Shore (0-9)0.30170-00-00-0
326. Morgan St (1-9)0.30140-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4122


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
214. Alabama St (2-7)0.46320-00-10-2
229. Prairie View (2-7)0.45320-10-10-3
245. Texas Southern (4-6)0.44310-10-00-1
265. Alabama A&M (3-5)0.42360-00-10-2
268. Grambling (1-8)0.42080-10-20-2
278. Alcorn St (2-10)0.41570-10-00-1
279. Jackson St (1-8)0.41530-00-11-1
284. Ark Pine Bluff (0-10)0.40970-20-10-2
305. Miss Valley St (0-7)0.38140-00-20-1
327. Southern (2-6)0.29620-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.3942


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
250. Centenary (7-11)0.43990-10-10-3
263. Texas A&M-CC (7-15)0.42500-10-10-4
282. TX Pan American (6-15)0.41260-00-10-3
310. Lipscomb (5-17)0.37130-00-00-2
324. Morris Brown (3-20)0.32240-00-10-0
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