NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Non-League Power Ratings

By ranking
Last Updated Mon Dec 08 11:51:20 EST 2003

Home Court Advantage = 3.9564

SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 85.006


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
11. Kentucky (13-4)90.3062-34-02-1
12. Georgia (8-3)89.8761-13-11-1
14. Mississippi St (10-2)89.7132-00-11-1
21. Alabama (10-2)88.4572-01-22-0
27. Auburn (12-3)87.6732-10-01-2
30. Florida (13-3)87.2762-10-12-0
52. LSU (11-2)83.9211-10-01-1
54. Mississippi (9-2)83.2570-00-10-0
75. Vanderbilt (7-4)81.4680-20-11-1
76. Tennessee (8-3)81.4000-11-00-1
82. South Carolina (7-4)80.9250-00-21-1
156. Arkansas (5-6)75.7980-10-30-1


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 84.777


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Texas (13-3)91.6754-30-01-0
8. Kansas (13-5)91.4283-33-14-1
15. Oklahoma (12-3)89.3152-22-10-0
24. Missouri (9-3)87.9630-31-03-0
28. Oklahoma St (11-3)87.4001-11-12-0
34. Texas Tech (11-2)86.3970-01-03-2
44. Iowa St (9-1)85.3490-00-11-0
53. Colorado (10-4)83.6020-20-02-1
89. Kansas St (9-4)80.3390-00-12-0
109. Nebraska (8-4)78.8550-10-11-0
113. Texas A&M (8-3)78.5011-00-01-1
145. Baylor (9-2)76.4980-00-00-0


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 84.086


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Duke (11-2)91.0120-13-04-1
22. Wake Forest (11-2)88.4351-10-13-0
32. North Carolina (10-4)86.7592-21-01-1
38. Maryland (10-4)85.6161-31-10-0
56. Florida St (9-2)83.0670-10-02-0
69. Clemson (10-1)81.8420-01-00-1
70. Virginia (8-4)81.8101-11-10-0
74. Georgia Tech (7-4)81.5111-10-01-3
141. North Carolina St (7-5)76.7190-00-31-1


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 83.822


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Syracuse (16-1)98.4164-04-12-0
5. Notre Dame (14-3)92.1074-30-03-0
10. Pittsburgh (12-2)90.9300-21-01-0
19. Connecticut (11-3)88.7240-22-01-1
40. St Johns (9-3)85.4761-11-01-2
65. Villanova (7-6)82.1371-20-21-1
71. Georgetown (9-3)81.6220-10-02-2
72. Boston College (7-4)81.5770-11-02-2
73. West Virginia (9-3)81.5191-00-01-2
79. Providence (7-4)81.0990-00-13-0
97. Miami Fla (7-4)79.8580-10-02-1
114. Rutgers (8-4)78.4900-00-11-2
137. Seton Hall (6-5)76.8640-20-00-3
174. Virginia Tech (7-6)74.6850-00-02-3


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 82.539


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
13. Wisconsin (12-3)89.8030-31-04-0
17. Illinois (11-2)89.0820-11-13-0
20. Purdue (9-3)88.5442-20-12-0
23. Indiana (10-4)88.0051-32-02-1
25. Michigan St (11-6)87.8663-31-11-1
78. Ohio St (7-4)81.2030-30-11-0
93. Iowa (8-3)80.0960-01-10-2
124. Michigan (7-6)77.8240-10-01-4
127. Minnesota (8-5)77.4861-01-40-0
153. Northwestern (8-3)75.9050-00-11-1
211. Penn St (5-6)72.1150-10-00-3


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 82.086


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Arizona (11-2)94.6423-21-02-0
31. Arizona St (8-4)87.0541-22-21-0
42. Oregon (10-2)85.4251-00-21-0
43. California (8-3)85.4200-31-01-0
46. Stanford (10-4)84.9182-11-02-2
96. USC (5-4)79.8860-00-11-1
125. Oregon St (6-2)77.7720-00-00-1
130. Washington (5-4)77.0020-00-11-1
166. Washington St (5-4)74.9700-00-11-0
187. UCLA (3-6)73.7710-21-00-3


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 80.663


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Marquette (13-3)93.2014-21-12-0
4. Louisville (11-2)92.4641-11-14-0
37. DePaul (8-3)85.6980-20-02-1
41. Memphis (9-3)85.4642-00-22-0
49. Cincinnati (8-4)84.3850-12-21-0
98. St Louis (6-5)79.5970-11-12-2
99. South Florida (6-4)79.5610-21-00-0
101. Uab (7-3)79.3990-10-00-2
111. East Carolina (7-2)78.6890-00-01-0
126. SO Mississippi (7-4)77.5060-00-11-2
129. NC Charlotte (5-7)77.2990-00-23-3
159. TCU (6-6)75.6520-10-21-0
176. Tulane (6-6)74.5670-21-00-0
279. Houston (2-9)65.7940-10-10-2


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 80.489


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
35. Utah (12-4)86.1640-13-22-1
47. BYU (11-5)84.7300-21-14-1
55. Wyoming (11-3)83.1360-11-02-0
58. Unlv (11-3)82.9430-10-13-1
92. Colorado St (9-4)80.2310-10-11-1
106. San Diego St (8-4)78.9930-10-11-0
115. Air Force (9-4)78.4470-10-00-1
250. New Mexico (5-7)69.2720-00-20-3


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 78.457


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
18. St Josephs (10-2)88.9720-02-13-0
33. Xavier (10-4)86.5972-21-21-0
59. Dayton (8-4)82.8551-12-11-1
77. Rhode Island (8-3)81.3570-11-01-1
85. St Bonaventure (6-7)80.7790-10-32-1
112. Richmond (6-5)78.5120-11-11-0
120. Temple (3-8)78.2380-32-00-3
134. Geo Washington (6-5)76.9040-30-00-0
140. La Salle (6-5)76.7930-00-10-3
185. Massachusetts (5-7)73.9940-11-30-1
220. Duquesne (6-7)71.6250-20-00-1
288. Fordham (1-10)64.8590-00-00-4


HORIZON AVERAGE = 77.356


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
16. Butler (11-3)89.1162-20-02-0
60. Illinois Chi (8-3)82.7630-00-11-0
81. Wisc Milwaukee (8-5)80.9390-30-02-1
87. Detroit (6-4)80.6200-00-01-3
155. Loyola Chi (5-8)75.8010-10-11-2
165. Wisc Green Bay (5-6)75.0340-10-11-1
197. Wright St (5-5)73.1380-00-00-1
210. Cleveland St (5-8)72.1630-10-10-2
271. Youngstown St (2-7)66.6310-00-00-0


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 77.205


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Western Mich (8-1)91.6240-01-02-0
48. Central Mich (7-3)84.7141-10-01-2
51. Kent (6-2)84.0100-01-01-1
90. Toledo (6-4)80.2841-00-12-1
102. Ohio (4-5)79.3500-20-12-1
119. Ball St (5-6)78.2380-10-30-2
164. Northern Ill (4-6)75.0370-10-00-3
181. Bowling Green (2-5)74.1390-00-10-3
199. Akron (4-4)72.7930-00-00-0
216. Miami Ohio (1-7)71.8970-31-20-0
233. Eastern Mich (4-3)70.8290-00-00-1
234. Marshall (3-5)70.7430-00-00-0
240. Buffalo (3-6)70.0030-00-00-1


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 76.616


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
39. Gonzaga (11-6)85.5570-44-20-0
118. Pepperdine (8-5)78.3270-00-31-0
135. San Diego (5-8)76.8820-10-32-1
161. St Marys CA (6-6)75.3510-00-20-1
163. Portland (6-6)75.2590-00-10-3
170. Santa Clara (8-4)74.8530-00-01-2
184. San Francisco (4-8)74.0540-01-10-4
201. Loyola Marymnt (6-8)72.6410-00-00-2


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 76.230


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
63. Ul Lafayette (7-5)82.6231-00-31-0
67. New Mexico St (9-2)82.0610-01-20-0
103. Western KY (8-7)79.3390-21-10-1
117. South Alabama (5-5)78.3720-40-00-0
146. North Texas (3-7)76.4830-00-32-1
150. Arkansas Lr (7-5)76.1780-00-10-1
162. Denver (8-6)75.3240-00-10-1
172. New Orleans (6-5)74.7120-20-01-0
200. Arkansas St (5-6)72.6860-00-00-2
236. Florida Intl (5-7)70.4330-00-00-2
237. Middle Tenn St (3-8)70.3240-10-10-0


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 76.152


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
26. Creighton (11-2)87.7191-11-01-1
57. Southern Ill (6-3)83.0110-00-01-2
107. Evansville (4-5)78.9410-00-22-1
168. Northern Iowa (3-5)74.8740-00-10-2
179. Indiana St (4-7)74.2840-00-11-3
193. Bradley (3-7)73.2580-00-10-2
194. SW Missouri St (4-5)73.2460-00-11-2
208. Illinois St (2-7)72.2740-00-00-5
213. Wichita St (5-4)72.0250-00-20-1
217. Drake (3-6)71.8930-00-00-4


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 75.101


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
29. Hawaii (8-1)87.3170-01-01-0
45. Tulsa (8-4)85.1410-21-12-1
50. Rice (6-2)84.3850-01-21-0
84. Fresno St (7-3)80.8780-10-10-0
108. Nevada (4-5)78.8750-00-11-3
136. SMU (5-5)76.8640-10-12-1
186. Boise St (5-4)73.8700-00-00-2
281. Louisiana Tech (1-5)65.6580-30-00-0
285. San Jose St (1-6)65.2310-00-00-0
327. Texas El Paso (1-8)52.7960-00-10-2


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 74.015


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
94. Weber St (9-5)79.9680-11-11-1
110. Eastern Wash (7-6)78.7700-10-10-0
138. Northrn Arizona (7-4)76.8250-10-01-0
171. Idaho St (5-6)74.7200-00-10-2
188. Montana (5-8)73.7630-21-10-0
214. Montana St (4-7)71.9240-00-00-3
232. Sacramento St (5-7)70.9310-00-10-1
286. Portland St (1-10)65.2160-00-20-1


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 73.488


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
36. Manhattan (6-3)85.7820-20-02-0
121. Siena (6-3)78.0370-11-00-0
169. Iona (5-3)74.8720-00-01-0
182. Marist (4-5)74.1110-00-11-1
183. Niagara (4-5)74.0810-00-00-1
189. Fairfield (4-5)73.7310-11-00-2
195. Rider (5-4)73.1980-00-00-1
223. Canisius (4-5)71.5140-30-00-1
257. St Peters (3-6)68.2780-10-00-1
305. Loyola MD (3-6)61.2770-10-00-0


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 72.985


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
62. Utah St (7-3)82.6730-11-11-0
68. UC Irvine (5-3)81.9780-10-10-1
104. Pacific (5-4)79.3181-00-11-2
131. CS Northridge (5-4)76.9800-00-11-1
146. North Texas (3-7)76.4830-00-32-1
204. Santa Barbara (3-8)72.5150-00-21-2
209. Cal Poly (3-5)72.2260-00-10-0
238. Idaho (3-5)70.3050-00-00-0
274. CS Fullerton (2-8)66.3430-00-00-1
292. UC Riverside (0-5)64.5080-00-10-3
314. Long Beach St (0-8)59.5040-00-10-1


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 72.577


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
64. NC Wilmington (6-4)82.4530-10-20-0
95. George Mason (5-4)79.9640-10-00-3
116. Drexel (4-4)78.3910-10-01-1
143. Delaware (5-4)76.5680-10-01-0
167. VA Commonwealth (5-3)74.8930-00-01-2
218. Old Dominion (3-5)71.6350-10-10-1
242. James Madison (3-6)69.6910-00-10-0
248. William & Mary (5-4)69.3520-00-00-0
304. Towson (3-6)61.5620-00-10-0
306. Hofstra (1-8)61.2590-00-10-2


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 72.285


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
61. Murray St (5-4)82.6890-00-21-1
123. Austin Peay (4-5)77.9220-11-10-1
147. Tennessee Tech (4-6)76.4460-10-10-2
149. Tenn Martin (3-4)76.2430-00-01-2
160. Eastern Ill (4-7)75.4310-30-00-1
191. Morehead St (3-5)73.4070-00-20-1
226. SE Missouri St (4-7)71.1820-10-02-2
299. Eastern KY (2-5)63.1180-20-00-0
322. Tennessee St (1-8)54.1240-10-00-2


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 72.004


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
86. Chattanooga (6-3)80.7320-00-11-2
88. Coll Of Charltn (8-3)80.4570-01-12-0
100. Davidson (3-4)79.4120-20-01-2
144. East Tenn St (3-6)76.5340-10-10-2
158. Appalachian St (4-4)75.6990-20-00-1
177. Wofford (1-6)74.4080-00-20-2
207. Geo Southern (4-4)72.3140-00-00-0
235. VMI (3-5)70.5360-00-10-1
255. NC Greensboro (3-8)68.6820-20-10-0
284. Furman (3-8)65.2400-30-10-0
311. The Citadel (1-6)60.6840-10-00-1
315. Westrn Carolina (0-7)59.3420-00-00-2


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 71.442


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
83. Pennsylvania (8-6)80.9080-10-33-0
142. Harvard (7-5)76.6270-00-10-2
148. Yale (5-7)76.2500-10-22-0
151. Princeton (5-7)76.0660-20-02-1
203. Brown (5-9)72.5280-00-10-1
272. Cornell (4-8)66.5900-10-10-0
296. Dartmouth (3-9)63.6920-00-00-1
316. Columbia (2-11)58.8730-00-00-1


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 71.335


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
105. Troy St (8-4)79.2680-10-20-0
128. Jacksonville St (9-3)77.3030-10-00-0
154. Belmont (4-7)75.8320-30-00-1
157. Mercer (7-3)75.7970-00-00-2
173. Central Florida (7-5)74.6890-00-01-2
202. Samford (3-7)72.6070-00-00-4
205. Gardner-Webb (2-10)72.4180-00-10-2
244. Fla Atlantic (3-8)69.6170-00-01-1
256. Georgia St (4-6)68.6650-20-10-0
267. Jacksonville (4-7)67.2020-10-10-0
302. Campbell (3-7)62.3410-00-10-0
313. Stetson (2-8)60.2860-00-10-1


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 70.664


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
80. Valparaiso (6-7)81.0280-30-21-1
132. Oral Roberts (8-4)76.9680-00-10-1
175. Iupui (6-10)74.6010-30-00-3
221. Oakland (5-6)71.5800-10-00-1
252. Southern Utah (3-7)68.8810-00-20-0
275. Western Ill (2-9)66.2550-10-00-2
287. Chicago St (3-12)65.0090-10-10-2
309. Mo Kansas City (1-12)60.9890-10-20-1


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 69.834


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
66. Holy Cross (9-4)82.0780-21-00-0
229. Lehigh (6-5)71.0150-10-00-1
231. American (5-8)70.9640-00-10-1
241. Bucknell (5-7)69.8460-10-10-0
249. Lafayette (4-7)69.3430-00-10-1
253. Navy (3-8)68.8120-00-00-0
290. Colgate (3-8)64.6040-10-00-0
303. Army (3-7)62.0130-10-00-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 69.342


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
91. McNeese St (2-3)80.2710-30-01-0
122. Tex San Antonio (2-4)77.9950-10-21-0
139. SW Texas St (3-2)76.8050-00-00-1
215. Texas Arlington (1-5)71.9180-20-00-1
225. Sam Houston (2-4)71.2720-10-00-0
261. Stephen Austin (2-3)67.8610-10-00-0
262. Lamar (2-4)67.6320-00-00-0
268. Ul Monroe (1-5)67.1120-00-00-3
295. SE Louisiana (0-5)63.8110-10-10-1
301. Nicholls St (1-6)62.5440-10-10-2
318. Northwestern St (0-7)55.5380-00-10-1


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 69.217


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
133. Boston U (5-6)76.9500-20-21-0
178. Vermont (5-6)74.3460-10-10-2
180. Northeastern (5-6)74.1880-01-10-1
224. Binghamton (5-6)71.3100-10-00-2
230. Maine (4-7)71.0100-00-00-3
251. Hartford (4-6)69.1130-10-10-1
276. Stony Brook (4-5)65.9700-00-10-2
294. Albany NY (4-7)64.2650-20-00-0
297. New Hampshire (2-9)63.4590-10-00-1
304. Towson (3-6)61.5620-00-10-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 69.086


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
190. Charleston Sou (4-5)73.6380-10-00-2
196. Coast Carolina (4-5)73.1900-10-10-0
198. Birmingham Southern (6-4)72.9290-00-01-2
239. NC Asheville (3-9)70.2790-50-00-2
258. Elon (2-6)68.2550-20-10-0
260. Winthrop (4-6)68.1180-00-10-0
264. Liberty (5-6)67.5200-00-00-2
265. High Point (4-6)67.3450-10-00-0
312. Radford (2-9)60.5000-00-00-2


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 68.696


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
152. Wagner (10-7)75.9720-30-00-0
212. Monmouth NJ (6-7)72.0580-00-00-3
245. St Francis PA (8-7)69.5660-10-00-1
246. Central Conn (8-7)69.4950-10-00-0
269. Fair Dickinson (7-6)66.8710-00-10-1
270. Robert Morris (5-8)66.7120-10-00-0
273. St Francis NY (5-9)66.4530-00-00-2
278. Mt St Marys (6-8)65.8600-10-10-1
282. Liu Brooklyn (4-10)65.2740-00-00-1


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 64.355


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
206. Prairie View (2-7)72.3530-20-00-2
247. Alabama St (2-7)69.4300-00-10-3
254. Jackson St (1-8)68.7530-10-01-2
266. Alcorn St (2-10)67.2690-10-00-2
280. Texas Southern (4-6)65.7680-10-00-1
283. Grambling (1-8)65.2710-10-30-2
291. Alabama A&M (3-5)64.6000-10-00-1
310. Miss Valley St (0-7)60.9090-00-00-3
320. Ark Pine Bluff (0-10)54.6650-20-20-4
321. Southern (2-6)54.5340-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 63.497


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
222. Centenary (7-11)71.5650-10-10-3
263. Texas A&M-CC (7-15)67.5660-10-10-2
293. TX Pan American (6-15)64.3010-00-20-5
307. Lipscomb (5-17)61.0630-00-00-3
324. Morris Brown (3-20)52.9900-00-00-3


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 63.092


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
192. Florida A&M (5-4)73.2660-20-20-0
219. Delaware St (2-6)71.6330-20-10-0
228. Hampton (3-5)71.0930-10-01-1
243. Howard (2-7)69.6670-00-20-0
277. SO Carolina St (2-8)65.9540-20-10-1
289. Norfolk St (3-5)64.7010-10-10-1
308. Coppin St (0-9)61.0040-30-10-1
317. Bethune Cookman (2-8)57.0160-20-00-2
323. NO Carolina A&T (0-7)53.9640-20-10-1
325. MD Eastrn Shore (0-9)52.8740-00-00-1
326. Morgan St (1-9)52.8430-00-00-0
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